سائقي الشاحنات الثقيلة والمقطورات

خطر الأتمتة
محسوب
88%
مستوى المخاطرة
التصويت
64%
بناءً على 537 صوت
طلب العمل
النمو
4.3%
بحلول العام 2032
أجور
49,920 $
أو 24.00 $ في الساعة
الحجم
1,984,180
اعتبارا من 2022
ملخص
نقاط الوظيفة
3.8/10

هل تريد هذا الملخص على موقعك؟ الرمز المضمن:

خطر الأتمتة

88% (خطر وشيك)

الخطر الوشيك (81-100%): المهن في هذا المستوى لديها احتمالية عالية جدا للتحول إلى الأتمتة في المستقبل القريب. تتألف هذه الوظائف في المقام الأول من المهام المتكررة والمتوقعة مع القليل من الحاجة للحكم البشري.

مزيد من المعلومات حول ما هذه النتيجة، وكيف يتم حسابها متوفرة هنا.

بعض الصفات المهمة جداً للوظيفة صعبة التحويل إلى أتمتة:

  • الرشاقة اليدوية

استطلاع رأي المستخدمين

فرصة 64% للأتمتة الكاملة خلال العقدين القادمين

صوت زوارنا بأنه من المحتمل أن يتم أتمتة هذه المهنة. يدعم هذا التقييم أيضًا بواسطة مستوى خطر الأتمتة المحسوب، الذي يقدر بـ 88% فرصة للأتمتة.

ما هو رأيك في مخاطر الأتمتة؟

ما هي احتمالية أن يتم استبدال سائقي الشاحنات الثقيلة والمقطورات بالروبوتات أو الذكاء الاصطناعي في غضون العشرين سنة المقبلة؟






المشاعر

يتم تضمين الرسم البياني (الرسوم البيانية) التالي في أي مكان يوجد فيه عدد كبير من الأصوات لتقديم بيانات ذات مغزى. تعرض هذه التمثيلات المرئية نتائج استطلاعات الرأي للمستخدمين على مر الزمن، مما يوفر دليلاً هاماً على اتجاهات الشعور.

المشاعر على مر الزمن (سنوياً)

النمو

نمو معتدل بالنسبة للمهن الأخرى

من المتوقع أن يزداد 4.3% عدد فرص العمل المتاحة لـ 'Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers' بحلول 2032

التوظيف الكلي، وفتحات الوظائف المقدرة

* بيانات من مكتب إحصاءات العمل للفترة ما بين 2021 و 2031
من المتوقع تحديث التوقعات في 09-2023.

أجور

مدفوع بشكل معتدل بالنسبة للمهن الأخرى

في 2022، بلغ الأجر السنوي الوسيط لـ 'Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers' 49,920 $، أو 23 $ في الساعة

تم دفع "Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers" بمقدار 7.8% أعلى من الأجر الوسيط الوطني، الذي بلغ 46,310 $

الأجور على مر الزمن

* بيانات من مكتب إحصاءات العمل

الحجم

نطاق أكبر بشكل ملحوظ من فرص العمل مقارنة بالمهن الأخرى

بحلول 2022 كان هناك 1,984,180 شخص يعملون كـ 'Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers' داخل الولايات المتحدة.

هذا يمثل حوالي 1.3% من القوى العاملة الموظفة في جميع أنحاء البلاد

بتعبير آخر، حوالي 1 من كل 74 أشخاص يعملون كـ 'Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers'.

وصف الوظيفة

قم بقيادة مجموعة من الجرارات والمقطورات أو شاحنة بسعة لا تقل عن 26,001 رطل من الوزن الإجمالي للمركبة (GVW). قد يُطلب منك تفريغ الشاحنة. يتطلب رخصة قيادة تجارية. يشمل سائقي شاحنات القطر.

SOC Code: 53-3032.00

موارد

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ابحث عن وظائف في منطقتك المحلية

تعليقات

اترك تعليق

يقول Shayne Thomas (منخفض)
I just don't believe autonomous trucking could become a thing unless people were to give up their ability to drive themselves. If no one drove and it was just robots then it is a very plausible scenario. It would probably be safer and more efficient than if humans were driving the same trucks. The counter to that, I would say, is that it would only be that way if only robots were driving. This is because of human error, being impatient, not being a good driver, and driving under the influence. There are many factors to include when putting human drivers into the equation that cannot be calculated by a machine. Personally, I don't want to give up my own freedom to drive so companies could be slightly more efficient and I'm sure there are a lot of others who would feel similar.
Mar 25, 2024 at 08:24 م
يقول Josh (غير مؤكد)
Seems no one has visited this section in awhile. I think it's safe to say all previous comments and this assessment itself was based off over-hyped technology that has proven to be much more complicated than initially thought. The eventual automation of commercial drivers is probably high but still decades away with the current challenges.
Nov 01, 2023 at 02:18 م
يقول Anonymous (غير مؤكد)
It's going to be automated; it's not debatable. The question is, "How soon will it happen?" My guess is that it's going to take another 20 to 50 years before the technology is sophisticated enough to displace human beings. At that point, it'd no longer be an attractive or plausible occupation for most.

If you're in your 30s, you can likely still make an income from trucking, and you may even be able to ride it out until retirement. However, if you're the next generation of kids, probably not.
Jan 30, 2023 at 02:01 م
يقول Jeremy
It's truly the case that Tesla is leading with the new Cyber Trucks and future models. How much profit can be made by just selling 1,000 trucks? There is a huge market.

All they need is a new law with dedicated trucker lanes, similar to bike or bus lanes.
Aug 15, 2022 at 11:31 م
يقول 2nd rule of the pirate code: Curfew by 10 PM
"All they need is a new law with dedicated trucker lanes, similar to bike or bus lanes."
So, you want a dedicated lane for a Heavy vehicle to drive through, which the heavy vehicle in question is dedicated solely to transporting materials and goods.

You are describing a Train.
But specifically a train that moves on streets and highways. If there are two things the U.S loves (assuming we are talking specifically about the U.S), it's Guns and Cars. I doubt people would be too happy letting a big portion of driveable area get used up nor would they be happy to have it drive next to them, because the fear of it malfunctioning would be heightened. That's also not to mention how primitive the ai is for self driving, and the potential ethical concerns.

I do think that Ai will replace delivery jobs like this, but It'll most likely be in a form that would have the least potential to cause damage, like a drone or a train out in the middle of nowhere.
Oct 27, 2023 at 09:01 م
يقول Mr. Nobody (منخفض)
Certain cities have a very tight shipping/receiving docks, not to mention the streets.. who’s going to chain up the tires in the snow?
Jul 12, 2022 at 08:03 م
يقول Nathan (معتدل)
Even though working on trucks will become safer, it will still be unsafe and there is a likelihood of getting hurt.
May 22, 2022 at 11:16 م
يقول Mark (منخفض)
Parts of the trucking industry are likely to be automated in the next 20 years. For instance, long-distance convoys. But truckers do more than just drive. They also do maintenance, load balancing, inspections, and sometimes loading and unloading at destinations.

As such, for short-haul routes, the "driving" part is a relatively minor part of the job. Even if it's automated, the trucker is still needed. For long-haul routes, robotic convoys will indeed eliminate the need for some drivers. But each convoy will still need a shepherd for the other duties that can't be substantially eliminated in that period of time.
Apr 19, 2022 at 01:05 م
يقول Matt (من المحتمل جدا)
As a truck driver, I have mixed views on automated driving. I don't see any evidence that a truck could be 100% autonomous in my lifetime. There is so much more to trucking than just driving, a lot more.
Jan 25, 2022 at 05:22 م
يقول Ry
Lol, if you've ever been a local city truck driver, this will never happen. Maybe interstate driving could be automated for the mega-corporations, but local driving in a major city? Probably never. The fact that this has such a high likelihood of getting votes proves that you shouldn't blindly believe anyone on the internet who tells you anything. Most of the votes are clearly not from anyone in the industry.
Dec 31, 2021 at 01:03 ص
يقول RB Hopson (منخفض)
Although the tech will be here soon, I think the infrastructure required to fully automate this sector will take much longer to implement.
Oct 08, 2021 at 02:20 م
يقول Nico Cione (من المحتمل جدا)
I think that there will be driverless electric-powered trucks in the future.
Sep 09, 2021 at 03:15 م
يقول Mr. T (من المحتمل جدا)
Especially long haul transport will be vulnerable because these routes are less complex to automize. Short-haul transport will stay relevant a little longer. Although there will be massive competition, due to the low entry barriers of starting at this job.
Sep 07, 2021 at 10:29 ص
يقول Steve (من المحتمل جدا)
Based on the current processes, and the vast evolution of self driving cars
Aug 28, 2021 at 04:08 م
يقول Andrea (لا فرصة)
A robot cannot replace the instincts of human driving knowledge, especially during extreme weather conditions. I haven’t even begun to discuss pre trip inspections or backing and parking a trailer in a dock. This takes many years to master. This is not like driving a car. Robots will NEVER replace a human driver.
Jun 13, 2021 at 09:09 م
يقول Ryan R
Likely sooner. There are already semi trucks with AI learn cameras installed on them going around. Won't be shocked if it's sooner than a decade.
Jun 03, 2021 at 11:42 م
يقول Steve W.
Bad news: Search for "This Year, Autonomous Trucks Will Take to the Road With No One on Board"
Autonomous trucks are here! Expect to find a new career as early as 2024.
May 12, 2021 at 04:31 ص
يقول William Sturges (منخفض)
Still will need a person in truck. Robots will not fuel truck or complete a UsDot inspection. It also can not get and sign paperwork or know what loading/unloading door or dock is required.
Apr 14, 2021 at 12:59 م
يقول R.D. (منخفض)
Interfacing with the customer...a robot? The tractor's today are overweight with computer help and, create more of a problem. Just ask any truckdriver.
Mar 13, 2021 at 07:48 م
يقول Daniel Churchley (من المحتمل جدا)
As a hgv driver I see how vehicles are evolving and I am also aware of how much money is being invested in automation with companies like Tesla
Jan 24, 2021 at 01:25 م
يقول Pat D
Companies will have to have a person in every tractor trailer to oversee fueling if it's long haul. Unless they have automated fuel stops all over the country. I say 50 years min for total automated trucking. I'll send my kids though IT school by then
Jan 10, 2021 at 03:28 ص

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