نظرة عامة
خطر الأتمتة
2. استطلاع رأي المستخدمين
النمو
الأجور
5. الحجم
وصف
موارد
تعليقات

مبرمجي الكمبيوتر

خطر الأتمتة
محسوب
52%
مستوى المخاطرة
التصويت
47%
بناءً على 9,017 صوت
طلب العمل
النمو
-10.2 %
بحلول العام 2032
أجور
97,800 $
أو 47.02 $ في الساعة
الحجم
132,740
اعتبارا من 2022
ملخص
نقاط الوظيفة
4.7/10

هل تريد هذا الملخص على موقعك؟ الرمز المضمن:

صوت
تعليقات (181)

خطر الأتمتة

52% (مخاطر معتدلة)

مخاطر متوسطة (41-60%): المهن التي تتضمن مخاطر متوسطة للأتمتة تتضمن عادة المهام الروتينية ولكنها ما زالت تتطلب بعض الحكم البشري والتفاعل.

مزيد من المعلومات حول ما هذه النتيجة، وكيف يتم حسابها متوفرة هنا.

بعض الصفات المهمة جداً للوظيفة صعبة التحويل إلى أتمتة:

  • الإدراك الاجتماعي

  • الأصالة

استطلاع رأي المستخدمين

فرصة 47% للأتمتة الكاملة خلال العقدين القادمين

صوت زوارنا بأنهم غير متأكدين إذا كان سيتم أتمتة هذه المهنة. يدعم هذا التقييم أيضًا بواسطة مستوى خطر الأتمتة المحسوب، الذي يقدر بـ 52% فرصة للأتمتة.

ما هو رأيك في مخاطر الأتمتة؟

ما هي احتمالية أن يتم استبدال مبرمجي الكمبيوتر بالروبوتات أو الذكاء الاصطناعي في غضون العشرين سنة المقبلة؟






المشاعر

يتم تضمين الرسم البياني (الرسوم البيانية) التالي في أي مكان يوجد فيه عدد كبير من الأصوات لتقديم بيانات ذات مغزى. تعرض هذه التمثيلات المرئية نتائج استطلاعات الرأي للمستخدمين على مر الزمن، مما يوفر دليلاً هاماً على اتجاهات الشعور.

المشاعر على مر الزمن (ربع سنوي)

المشاعر على مر الزمن (سنوياً)

النمو

نمو بطيء جدا مقارنة بالمهن الأخرى.

من المتوقع أن ينخفض 10.2% عدد فرص العمل المتاحة لـ 'Computer Programmers' بحلول 2032

التوظيف الكلي، وفتحات الوظائف المقدرة

* بيانات من مكتب إحصاءات العمل للفترة ما بين 2021 و 2031
من المتوقع تحديث التوقعات في 09-2023.

أجور

مدفوع بشكل كبير جداً بالمقارنة مع المهن الأخرى

في 2022، بلغ الأجر السنوي الوسيط لـ 'Computer Programmers' 97,800 $، أو 47 $ في الساعة

تم دفع "Computer Programmers" بمقدار 111.2% أعلى من الأجر الوسيط الوطني، الذي بلغ 46,310 $

الأجور على مر الزمن

* بيانات من مكتب إحصاءات العمل

الحجم

نطاق أوسع لفرص العمل مقارنة بالمهن الأخرى

بحلول 2022 كان هناك 132,740 شخص يعملون كـ 'Computer Programmers' داخل الولايات المتحدة.

هذا يمثل حوالي 0.09% من القوى العاملة الموظفة في جميع أنحاء البلاد

بتعبير آخر، حوالي 1 من كل 1 ألف أشخاص يعملون كـ 'Computer Programmers'.

وصف الوظيفة

قم بإنشاء وتعديل واختبار الرموز والبرامج النصية التي تتيح تشغيل تطبيقات الكمبيوتر. العمل وفقًا للمواصفات التي وضعها مطورو البرامج والويب أو أفراد آخرين. قد يقوم بتطوير وكتابة برامج الكمبيوتر لتخزين وتحديد موقع واسترجاع المستندات والبيانات والمعلومات المحددة.

SOC Code: 15-1251.00

موارد

إذا كنت تفكر في بدء مهنة جديدة، أو تبحث عن تغيير وظائفك، فقد قمنا بإنشاء أداة بحث عملية قد تساعدك في الحصول على الدور الجديد المثالي.

ابحث عن وظائف في منطقتك المحلية

تعليقات

اترك تعليق

يقول MR
Hi! From which year do you use data from and when was the calculations performed?
Apr 18, 2024 at 09:54 ص
يقول Admin
The calculations were last performed in January 2023, the data was the most recent data available at the time from O*NET

See more info here:
https://willrobotstakemyjob.com/about-our-calculations
Apr 18, 2024 at 10:14 ص
يقول Darin Beaudreau (معتدل)
20 years is a reasonable timeline for a large portion of software engineering to be able to be automated, but the problem in replacing programmers isn't AI's ability to reason, but in the customers themselves. To be able to fully replace engineers, a customer needs to be able to accurately describe their requirements, and anyone who works in that field will tell you that customers are idiots.

I think web development will be the first variation of software development that is automated because the majority of all web development is the same and very basic. Things like embedded, robotics, and applications programming will take much longer and require AI to be able to see the whole of an application in a single context to avoid a plateau effect where you get increasingly more errors due to loss of information regarding the program's architecture.
Apr 02, 2024 at 04:16 م
يقول user (معتدل)
I've been a software engineer for over 10 years. This is really only the beginning. The pace of innovation in AI will only increase. We are already using Github Copilot at work and AI gives amazing code reviews. Outsourcing is now much more effective. Less engineers are needed already because of AI. With "Devin", we are seeing a tiny glimpse of what is to come in the next 20 years. I'm going back to school and transitioning out of the industry over the next 2-3 years.
Mar 27, 2024 at 02:00 ص
يقول maikelos272@gmail.com (من المحتمل جدا)
Although AI is a tool for programmers, the better it gets the more of our job it can perfrom. It is unfathomable to me that AI will not be able to do a programmers job really well within the next 20 years. I reckon it will happen in 10. The only hope I have is that rather than the job market deminishing, its output will grow exponentially and programmers will grow to be supervrisors of AI. Nontheless at some point AI will be able to write apps and programs based purely on Natural language input. Albeit the code might be far from perfect at the beggining it will only get better.
Mar 20, 2024 at 08:54 ص
يقول Stechkin
Check out Devin. It solved 13% of the Git Hub problems. Its scary good.
Mar 24, 2024 at 11:03 ص
يقول ezkha (غير مؤكد)
So I've heard about this AI "Devin", which is apparently capable of programming and distributing an entire application from scratch to release; but it is absolutely terrible at managing issues and fixing bugs. If my source is credible, it's 20% efficient compared to 80% with a human.

I think it'll probably improve and replace programming. Though maybe issues and solving bugs, in particular, will take a while to replace.
Mar 14, 2024 at 04:38 م
يقول user (من المحتمل جدا)
AI has been on the rise in the past several years, and is likely to continue growing rapidly. Within the past years what has been possible has greatly increased many magnitudes, and several AI tools that can accomplish coding means have been created, and are being greatly invested on and improved. With the release of "Dave" and companies like "Magic.dev" I can foresee this being a greatly human reduced job in the next 2-6 years.
Mar 14, 2024 at 11:47 ص
يقول S (من المحتمل جدا)
ChatGPT is already proficient. It will at the very least heavily reduce the amount of software engineers required
Mar 04, 2024 at 05:05 م
يقول Johnifer (لا فرصة)
Those who say that AI will completely take over CS don't know CS.
Feb 28, 2024 at 12:55 م
يقول Hot Take
Finally, someone with a brain! CS is developing AI and we will always be necessary to supervise it and align with human goals.
Mar 27, 2024 at 12:06 ص
يقول Jon (غير مؤكد)
I see that most people voting with certainty on this topic don't understand how this job works, or they are just average or bellow average professionals.

GPT really gives you solutions for complex tasks but on minor details it's going to invent some buggy solution ultimately creating more bugs than helping you.

That's why you really need to understand the tool/system that you're working with.

Feb 26, 2024 at 06:40 ص
يقول kir (منخفض)
AI has a difficult time with complex use cases, architecture, and requirements from clients.
Feb 12, 2024 at 02:35 ص
يقول Michal
That is true but, even if it only does programming really well and never gets around to understanding requirements and architecture well, which I think it will, then it will still take a lot of jobs.
Mar 20, 2024 at 08:56 ص
يقول Rin (من المحتمل جدا)
For being beings based on technology, programs, and algorithms, computer programming will be able to replicate itself and take over its own recreation processes.
Feb 06, 2024 at 04:25 م
يقول Ryan (معتدل)
Basic functionality in software is easily automated. Building entirely new systems might be more difficult. If we develop AGI, then any job done at a keyboard is gone, but if that proves more difficult than expected then high level system design and development jobs might last a bit longer.
Jan 22, 2024 at 07:29 م
يقول Bryan Schmidt (معتدل)
So much of what we do as computer programmers can be automated.

My job is to interpret what the product owners want, and convert that into code. Currently, I have transitioned into using AI to help me with most of the code, while I'm still guiding the architecture, code style, and overall codebase.

It won't be long until AI could handle most of if not all of that as well.
Jan 20, 2024 at 10:06 م
يقول John (من المحتمل جدا)
Because chatgpt can already make script, sure its a wrong sometimes. but just imagine but it will be like in 20 years.
Dec 23, 2023 at 12:17 ص
يقول Auditormadness9 (من المحتمل جدا)
It already wrote like 20 scripts for me that completely worked as expected.
Dec 11, 2023 at 10:23 م
يقول Sequenze5517 (منخفض)
Because Computer Programmers made and update AI. Logically, the AI will not update himself.
Nov 29, 2023 at 01:20 م
يقول me (لا فرصة)
coding requires a lot of skill and thinking which cannot be replaced by ai
Nov 28, 2023 at 03:08 م
يقول matin (منخفض)
robots make robots?
Nov 13, 2023 at 10:04 ص
يقول Leo (من المحتمل جدا)
so clearly they already have stuff like Chat GPT that tells you code,
Nov 06, 2023 at 02:45 م
يقول Anonymous (غير مؤكد)
As it stands, an AI gets its information from the internet. That means that much of the code it acquires at this point when you ask for sample code or something similar will likely be from GitHub or some similar website. It doesn't have to understand the workings of the code, it just needs to know what to look for and dispense it to you. Sometimes the code may not even work. AI could eventually understand programming and then it'll be a different story, but AI doesn't really KNOW much of what it says, it just give a definition from the huge databases it has access to.
Nov 01, 2023 at 08:57 م

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