مبرمجي الكمبيوتر

70٪؜ (مخاطرة عالية)

مخاطرة عالية (61-80%): الوظائف في هذه الفئة تواجه تهديدًا كبيرًا من التحول الى الأتمتة، حيث يمكن أتمتة العديد من مهامها بسهولة باستخدام التكنولوجيا الحالية أو التكنولوجيا المستقبلية القريبة.

مزيد من المعلومات حول ما هذه النتيجة، وكيف يتم حسابها متوفرة هنا.

استطلاع رأي المستخدمين

المشاعر

يتم تضمين الرسم البياني التالي في أي مكان يوجد فيه عدد كبير من الأصوات لتقديم بيانات ذات مغزى. تعرض هذه التمثيلات المرئية نتائج استطلاعات المستخدمين على مر الزمن، مما يوفر دلالة مهمة على اتجاهات المشاعر.

أجور

مدفوع بشكل كبير جداً بالمقارنة مع المهن الأخرى

في 2023، بلغ الأجر السنوي الوسيط لـ 'Computer Programmers' 99٬700 $، أو 47 $ في الساعة

تم دفع "Computer Programmers" بمقدار 107٫4٪؜ أعلى من الأجر الوسيط الوطني، الذي بلغ 48٬060 $

الأجور على مر الزمن

تعليقات

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Shadencus (منخفض) 3 days ago

Because programming good maintainable code requires understanding the greater project structure and deciding whats important and whats isn't. Also many programming problems require unique solutions, that may be similiar to each other but fundmentally different.
So its pretty hard to train an ai that can be adapted to every it infrastrcuture. It also is a risk since it would mean giving ai access to 100% of the system, which is a concerning security risk.
One day there may be an ai that can do that, but even then it will require programmers that maintain the ai and check/test code that it wrote since someone will need to take responsbility for what the ai does. And since i cant even gurantee my own code to work at all times in different cases, I sure as hell wont take responbility for some ai code no matter how good the ai is

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Aleksander 4 days ago

After reading some of the comments. Here is my take on it. AI can give you a doctor diagnosis based pictures and laboratory samples. That diagnosis can be correct and human doctor can make a mistake and give the wrong diagnosis based on the same case. But ... AI can never replace human doctors not now not in the following 20 years. Programmers are in the same fold.

0 0 Reply

Sinus46 (منخفض) 23 days ago

AI cannot create new content outside of the data it was trained on. There is no way that an AI can write an entire new computer program without first looking at actual programs written by humans

1 1 Reply

Francesco Giovannini (منخفض) 23 days ago

Contrary to popular belief, the work of a quality programmer is very creative and is not easily replaceable by automated processes.

2 0 Reply

Mark Orsted (منخفض) 2 months ago

I think that we cannot trust software to understand the human experience. I use agentic and non-agentic AI to help code now, after 30 years doing this, and it's primary benefit is saving me from typing a lot of code that I know how to write, and can confirm is written properly, or correct as needed. The "correct as needed" factor is VERY high still.

3 2 Reply

Dev (معتدل) 2 months ago

AI adds another attack surface to software development companies

1 0 Reply

Titus (من المحتمل جدا) 2 months ago

Once A.I. overtakes human intelligence it will write billions of lines of code error free with simple prompts from any person wanting a digital product. Why would any company need overpaid, error prone people at that point. Learn a trade quickly programmers!

1 13 Reply

Jim 28 days ago

AI is not intelligent at all. It uses basic pattern matching and heuristics. That is why it needs massive amounts of training data, most of which is created by companies. This has big limitations and second order effects like how AI will be biased according to data (Facial recognition software labels black people gorillas, etc, grok with neo-nazi views).

1 1 Reply

Swayam Bhowmick (من المحتمل جدا) 2 months ago

Everyone who's commenting and judging is basing their judgment on the current state of things. But, the current state is rapidly evolving, and most people are failing to account for the trajectory that the progress of AI is taking. 2 years ago, we were laughing at AI-generated videos of Will Smith eating spaghetti; today, the realism sends shivers down our spines. 2 years ago, AI generated broken code, now, it's capabale of somewhat functional code, replacing junior devs entirely.

Please take into account the trajectory of progress rather than the current state of things.

7 3 Reply

Ab (من المحتمل جدا) 2 months ago

It does not require any physical interaction with the real world

1 10 Reply

Habs (غير مؤكد) 2 months ago

Software development includes understanding requirements and talking to customers (who do not know what they want). My job will be heavily automated but not yet to be fully replaced by AI.

2 2 Reply

Name (منخفض) 3 months ago

AIs kind of suck at programming and logic they always add more bugs into my code

11 4 Reply

A 3 months ago

Currently. What about in 10 years though

9 1 Reply

John 3 months ago

Just as a few other professions, I’d say it would simply be limited to reducing unspecialized, entry-level positions. Those who find a niche would find that programming with chatbots are like lugging a junior dev that doesn’t learn around.

1 0 Reply

Everyone’s in denial 4 months ago

I am not saying I support the automation of everything, it’s just that in reality no one is safe as it accelerates. This is not just an assistant, nor just a displacement of humans, it is the complete replacement of the human mind. Pandora’s box was opened, now we have no idea if we will enter dystopia or utopia...

8 6 Reply

Jordan 2 months ago

No it is not. LLM's don't replicate how human brains work at all.

4 2 Reply

Tony B (منخفض) 4 months ago

AI has so far been good for created standard well known solutions. It is not good at all at understanding large amounts of existing code.

7 3 Reply

Jersey Jim 3 months ago

Getting better every week. MCP. Augment Code. LLM rules.

2 1 Reply

Shadencus 3 days ago

Doesn't matter since it not only needs to understand the code but also the tech stack(Azure, Django, bamboo, etc.) which runs the code and even if you train your ai for that, that its only useful for the code in that specific environment. And I dont even want to start about security risks

0 0 Reply

Mu (منخفض) 4 months ago

They will be reduced but not entirely replaced. This can be in ai research to improve the programming or new novel types of Research

1 2 Reply

Jacob (منخفض) 4 months ago

It will change a sofware engineer is still going to be required to check the code. You aren't going to want this to automated that's crazy.

5 0 Reply

Timothy (معتدل) 5 months ago

"For example, tasks or task components that appeal to capacities in which AI systems excel, will have to be less (or less fully) mastered by people, so that less training will probably be required. AI systems are already much better than people at logically and arithmetically correct gathering (selecting) and processing (weighing, prioritizing, analyzing, combining) large amounts of data. They do this quickly, accurately and reliably. They are also more stable (consistent) than humans, have no stress and emotions and have a great perseverance and a much better retention of knowledge and skills than people. As a machine, they serve people completely and without any “self-interest” or “own hidden agenda.”"

0 0 Reply

Michał (من المحتمل جدا) 5 months ago

Without knowing programming at this point you can easily write a good program with the help of AI. I completely agree that this work can be automated.

0 9 Reply

Jordan 2 months ago

There's a serious difference between it works and it works correctly. Without understanding the code and testing it, all you've done is make a polished turd.

2 0 Reply

TAmzid2872 (غير مؤكد) 6 months ago

Programming isnt just about writing code, its about problem solving

12 0 Reply

Sven H. (من المحتمل جدا) 6 months ago

AI can already code extremely well; there will be no need for human programmers in the future.

1 8 Reply