مبرمجي الكمبيوتر

مخاطرة عالية
69٪؜
إلى أين ترغب في الذهاب بعد ذلك؟
شارك نتائجك مع الأصدقاء والعائلة.
أو، استكشف هذه المهنة بمزيد من التفصيل...
خطر الأتمتة
محسوب
70٪؜
(مخاطرة عالية)
التصويت
68٪؜
(مخاطرة عالية)
Average: 69٪؜
طلب العمل
النمو
؜-9٫6٪؜
بحلول العام 2033
أجور
99٬700 $
أو 47٫93 $ في الساعة
الحجم
120٬370
اعتبارا من 2023
ملخص
نقاط الوظيفة
3٫5/10

الأشخاص قاموا أيضاً بالمشاهدة

مخاطر الأتمتة المحسوبة

70٪؜ (مخاطرة عالية)

مخاطرة عالية (61-80%): الوظائف في هذه الفئة تواجه تهديدًا كبيرًا من التحول الى الأتمتة، حيث يمكن أتمتة العديد من مهامها بسهولة باستخدام التكنولوجيا الحالية أو التكنولوجيا المستقبلية القريبة.

مزيد من المعلومات حول ما هذه النتيجة، وكيف يتم حسابها متوفرة هنا.

بعض الصفات المهمة جداً للوظيفة صعبة التحويل إلى أتمتة:

  • الإدراك الاجتماعي

  • الأصالة

استطلاع رأي المستخدمين

فرصة 68٪؜ للأتمتة الكاملة خلال العقدين القادمين

صوت زوارنا بأنه من المحتمل أن يتم أتمتة هذه المهنة. يدعم هذا التقييم أيضًا بواسطة مستوى خطر الأتمتة المحسوب، الذي يقدر بـ 70٪؜ فرصة للأتمتة.

ما هو رأيك في مخاطر الأتمتة؟

ما هي احتمالية أن يتم استبدال مبرمجي الكمبيوتر بالروبوتات أو الذكاء الاصطناعي في غضون العشرين سنة المقبلة؟






المشاعر

يتم تضمين الرسم البياني التالي في أي مكان يوجد فيه عدد كبير من الأصوات لتقديم بيانات ذات مغزى. تعرض هذه التمثيلات المرئية نتائج استطلاعات المستخدمين على مر الزمن، مما يوفر دلالة مهمة على اتجاهات المشاعر.

المشاعر على مر الزمن (ربع سنوي)

المشاعر على مر الزمن (سنوياً)

النمو

نمو بطيء جدا مقارنة بالمهن الأخرى.

من المتوقع أن ينخفض 9٫6٪؜ عدد فرص العمل المتاحة لـ 'Computer Programmers' بحلول 2033

التوظيف الكلي، وفتحات الوظائف المقدرة

* بيانات من مكتب إحصاءات العمل للفترة ما بين 2023 و 2033
من المتوقع تحديث التوقعات في 09-2025.

أجور

مدفوع بشكل كبير جداً بالمقارنة مع المهن الأخرى

في 2023، بلغ الأجر السنوي الوسيط لـ 'Computer Programmers' 99٬700 $، أو 47 $ في الساعة

تم دفع "Computer Programmers" بمقدار 107٫4٪؜ أعلى من الأجر الوسيط الوطني، الذي بلغ 48٬060 $

الأجور على مر الزمن

* بيانات من مكتب إحصاءات العمل

الحجم

نطاق أوسع لفرص العمل مقارنة بالمهن الأخرى

بحلول 2023 كان هناك 120٬370 شخص يعملون كـ 'Computer Programmers' داخل الولايات المتحدة.

هذا يمثل حوالي 0٫08٪؜ من القوى العاملة الموظفة في جميع أنحاء البلاد

بتعبير آخر، حوالي 1 من كل 1 ألف أشخاص يعملون كـ 'Computer Programmers'.

وصف الوظيفة

قم بإنشاء وتعديل واختبار الرموز والبرامج النصية التي تتيح تشغيل تطبيقات الكمبيوتر. العمل وفقًا للمواصفات التي وضعها مطورو البرامج والويب أو أفراد آخرين. قد يقوم بتطوير وكتابة برامج الكمبيوتر لتخزين وتحديد موقع واسترجاع المستندات والبيانات والمعلومات المحددة.

SOC Code: 15-1251.00

تعليقات

Leave a comment

Everyone’s in denial 3 days ago
I am not saying I support the automation of everything, it’s just that in reality no one is safe as it accelerates. This is not just an assistant, nor just a displacement of humans, it is the complete replacement of the human mind. Pandora’s box was opened, now we have no idea if we will enter dystopia or utopia...
0 0 Reply
Tony B (منخفض) 6 days ago
AI has so far been good for created standard well known solutions. It is not good at all at understanding large amounts of existing code.
0 0 Reply
Mu (منخفض) 9 days ago
They will be reduced but not entirely replaced. This can be in ai research to improve the programming or new novel types of Research
0 0 Reply
Jacob (منخفض) 15 days ago
It will change a sofware engineer is still going to be required to check the code. You aren't going to want this to automated that's crazy.
0 0 Reply
Timothy (معتدل) 1 month ago
"For example, tasks or task components that appeal to capacities in which AI systems excel, will have to be less (or less fully) mastered by people, so that less training will probably be required. AI systems are already much better than people at logically and arithmetically correct gathering (selecting) and processing (weighing, prioritizing, analyzing, combining) large amounts of data. They do this quickly, accurately and reliably. They are also more stable (consistent) than humans, have no stress and emotions and have a great perseverance and a much better retention of knowledge and skills than people. As a machine, they serve people completely and without any “self-interest” or “own hidden agenda.”"
0 0 Reply
Michał (من المحتمل جدا) 1 month ago
Without knowing programming at this point you can easily write a good program with the help of AI. I completely agree that this work can be automated.
0 4 Reply
TAmzid2872 (غير مؤكد) 2 months ago
Programming isnt just about writing code, its about problem solving
5 0 Reply
Sven H. (من المحتمل جدا) 2 months ago
AI can already code extremely well; there will be no need for human programmers in the future.
1 3 Reply
Doubtful (منخفض) 2 months ago
AI is horrible at following instructions, and bad at understanding architecture. Also, as context grows it tends to forget instructions.
3 1 Reply
Jersey Jim 1 month ago
Model Context Protocol helps give AI better context. AI can work across many files now (way better IDE integration has happened in the past 6 months). The limits of AI have dwindled and will continue to dwindle as time goes on. Vibe coding is now a thing and AI can follow directions to build complete mvp's in under an hour.
0 0 Reply
Michael Bohn (غير مؤكد) 3 months ago
For the AI to work properly, you need people who know how to write the prompts and how to evaluate the written code.
5 2 Reply
Pavel 2 months ago
But if AI becomes as good as humans then why programmers would be ever needed if not those who work on AI itself? Maybe for some complex and big programms people would still be needed.
0 0 Reply
... 2 months ago
How does this relate to programmers? Programmers program not write prompts. Evaluation to code is already possible
0 0 Reply
J 3 months ago
Robots aint gonna code themselves, if we get to that point then that's Skynet/matrix. Aka end of the world for everyone so who cares
7 2 Reply
PossiblyUnemployed 2 months ago
My worry is if future code-generating models can modify itself or the programs it works on towards a specific goal, sort of like an intelligent self-modifying quine.
0 0 Reply
John pork (لا فرصة) 4 months ago
it is because AI and robots require programming and without programmers, they cannot function
1 2 Reply
PotentiallyJobless 2 months ago
It is true that programmers were necessary to create and train the models, but at this point what may be more necessary is just making sure the systems and hardware that keep the AI running don't malfunction. As it is, modern AI is finding ways to modify itself and its environment.
0 0 Reply
Emy (من المحتمل جدا) 4 months ago
Even though programming can demand thinking sometimes, 70% of the work is repetitive or the same across different business. Not only that, but 80% of the time you are not solving any complex problem that demands creativity or deep thinking.
6 2 Reply
Jersey Jim 3 months ago
You can convert from one language to another with AI and a developer is not protected by knowing Java vs C#. This further erodes job protection. Recreating the wheel will drastically stop in programming and I'd imagine known problems will converge to one solution.
0 3 Reply
rick 2 months ago
programming is problem resolution. there is not a single solution. lol.
0 0 Reply
@irton (لا فرصة) 4 months ago
Why do they already develop this, and AI is not smart enough to do more? To complement, it is good.
1 5 Reply
Cessna (غير مؤكد) 5 months ago
Some AI can program or help a person program like chatgpt
3 2 Reply
Siddhant Tambe (غير مؤكد) 5 months ago
In order for AI to truly replace a Human computer programmer job, they will need to be "human" enough to handle the multiple complexities of building a whole ecosystem of a software product, along with defining clients who has accurately specify requirement.
For instance, I asked ChatGPT to write me a simple code that creates a "conversation" with OpenAI's APIs. It could not even do that accurately.
Current likelihood of replacing a computer programmer is laughable at best. Maybe over 20 years there might be "some" progress.
8 3 Reply
pleb 4 months ago
To be honest, it's quite scary that most people think this job will be entirely replaced. If AI ever fully becomes "human enough" (as you said! That's a brilliant way to put it) to take over every single Computer Programmer job... well, I don't think we have to worry about whether CS Majors will get employed.
3 2 Reply
Some Programmer (منخفض) 5 months ago
We need programmers to make AI, the programmers themselves propel AI ahead by making new ideas, AI cannot do that it is simply using the knowledge it has to gen a quick answer for the user based on training, however i do believe that there is a chance that AI will replace humans if its way of thinking becomes completely identical as to a human would think and if quantum computing gets invented.
3 2 Reply
half-full 4 months ago
a good example of this would be asking an ai to generate a wineglass thats full to the brim; it cant because all the pictures online are half-full, lmao
1 2 Reply
Arsh (معتدل) 5 months ago
Some concepts like orginaltity and thinking can not be replicated, but base code is in danger
1 2 Reply
Somone (معتدل) 6 months ago
This job could be revamped/transformed but i don't think AI will take over completely because AI isn't good at randomness and complex thinking/problem solving so i think AI will be a tool that will assist coders, engineers, etc not take over completely.
2 2 Reply
random idiot (لا فرصة) 6 months ago
Don't Computer programmers code AI...
2 8 Reply
Jamal 2 months ago
I think they do honestly, wait nvm i think its chatgpt giving us our jobs
0 0 Reply

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