Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers

Comments (6)

Will "Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers" be replaced by AI & Robots?

It's quite likely this occupation will be replaced by robots/AI. This is further validated by our poll, which suggests a 74% chance of automation within the next 2 decades.

Automation Risk Level

Robots are watching

or 79% probability of automation

Projected Growth


by 2024

Median Annual Wage


or $19.87 hourly

People Employed


as of 2016

Most likely
Least likely

How this compares with other jobs: 438 out of 706

Cast Your Vote

How likely do you think this occupation will be taken over by robots/AI within the next 20 years?

Job description

Drive a tractor-trailer combination or a truck with a capacity of at least 26,000 pounds Gross Vehicle Weight (GVW). May be required to unload truck. Requires commercial drivers' license.

SOC Code: 53-3032

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A says
No way.
I'm all for automation in areas that are not life critical/life sensitive (stocking shelves, customer service, picking orders, cashiering, bookkeeping), but society is playing with fire here. There will be countless innocent deaths on the roads if this is adopted on a large scale. But hey, those lives are just cannon fodder/pawns in the game of industrial progress right?
You watch the media spin automated trucking as immoral when the first lives lost are a group of high earning fund managers, lawyers, or IT managers.
Dec 26, 2019 at 04:02 PM
Jake (Small chance) says
Dedicated consistent routes will be possible but irregular long haul and in city jobs will take longer. Driving a truck and driving a car are totally different and I think people don't really understand how different they truly are.
Oct 10, 2019 at 11:11 AM
Patryk says
maybe on long distances, yes, but I don't think it will happen in cities with distribution
Oct 08, 2019 at 07:50 PM
Kristina (Highly likely) says
Hazmat must have a trained professional. And an untrained person would not be responsible enough to know if the load is over weight. Add the to a risk of a computer failer or a computer hack and the untrained and people around become dead.
Sep 27, 2019 at 01:39 AM
bob (Could go either way) says
self driving tractors are too dangerous
May 20, 2019 at 12:00 AM
Charles G. Wolfe (No chance) says
I dont think a robot will be able to handle a tractor/trailer hauling steel coils, being the main reason. Coils need to checked very once in a while to make sure their still secure as most every other steel loads do.
Robots will never take the place of humans behind the wheel of eighteen-wheelers hauling steel.
May 12, 2019 at 10:41 PM
Andrew Piasecki says
Just to play devil's advocate, why can't a robot opperate the vehicle and the company pay an untrained person minimum wage to check the state of the steel every once in a while?
Aug 06, 2019 at 08:01 PM

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