Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers

Comments (5)

Will "Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers" be replaced by AI & Robots?

It's quite likely this occupation will be replaced by robots/AI. This is further validated by our poll, which suggests a 73% chance of automation within the next 2 decades.

Automation Risk Level

Robots are watching

or 79% probability of automation

Projected Growth


by 2024

Median Annual Wage


or $19.87 hourly

People Employed


as of 2016

Most likely
Least likely

How this compares with other jobs: 438 out of 706

Cast Your Vote

How likely do you think this occupation will be taken over by robots/AI within the next 20 years?

Job description

Drive a tractor-trailer combination or a truck with a capacity of at least 26,000 pounds Gross Vehicle Weight (GVW). May be required to unload truck. Requires commercial drivers' license.

SOC Code: 53-3032

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Jake (Small chance) says
Dedicated consistent routes will be possible but irregular long haul and in city jobs will take longer. Driving a truck and driving a car are totally different and I think people don't really understand how different they truly are.
Oct 10, 2019 at 11:11 AM
Patryk says
maybe on long distances, yes, but I don't think it will happen in cities with distribution
Oct 08, 2019 at 07:50 PM
Kristina (Highly likely) says
Hazmat must have a trained professional. And an untrained person would not be responsible enough to know if the load is over weight. Add the to a risk of a computer failer or a computer hack and the untrained and people around become dead.
Sep 27, 2019 at 01:39 AM
bob (Could go either way) says
self driving tractors are too dangerous
May 20, 2019 at 12:00 AM
Charles G. Wolfe (No chance) says
I dont think a robot will be able to handle a tractor/trailer hauling steel coils, being the main reason. Coils need to checked very once in a while to make sure their still secure as most every other steel loads do.
Robots will never take the place of humans behind the wheel of eighteen-wheelers hauling steel.
May 12, 2019 at 10:41 PM
Andrew Piasecki says
Just to play devil's advocate, why can't a robot opperate the vehicle and the company pay an untrained person minimum wage to check the state of the steel every once in a while?
Aug 06, 2019 at 08:01 PM

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