Physicians and Surgeons

0.4%

Will "Physicians and Surgeons" be replaced by AI & Robots?

There is very little chance of this occupation being replaced by robots/AI. However, our poll suggests a higher chance of automation: a 32% chance of automation within the next 2 decades.

Automation Risk Level

Totally Safe

or 0.4% probability of automation

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How this compares with other jobs: 15 out of 707

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How likely do you think this occupation will be taken over by robots/AI within the next 20 years?

Job description

SOC Code: 29-1060

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Yoga Suryawan (Small chance) says
Diagnosing is probably a possible thing to accomplish by an AI, but giving the comprehensive treatment of every human aspects such as bio-psycho-social is not something an AI capable to do. Because doctors cure sometimes, treat often, comfort always.
Aug 09, 2020 at 05:12 AM
Rajagopal (No chance) says
AI will be assisting physicians to do better decisions. But the physician role can't be replaced
Jun 26, 2020 at 04:46 AM
Javon (No chance) says
I wouldn't trust a machine with my organs, would you?
Jun 03, 2020 at 12:51 AM
Alexa (No chance) says
Physicians and Surgeons have no chance of a robot taking over their job. The percentage of ¨no chance¨ was super surprising
May 14, 2020 at 11:32 PM
Jim says
So much animosity toward surgeons, I wonder why? As a trauma and orthopaedic surgeon myself, I wonder how well would a robot distinguish between an artery, vein, tendon and nerve for example? How much pressure to apply on those screws? How to remove a stuck implant? When to stop a surgery in order to save the life of the patient? How will the robot decide when to remove an extremity or an organ to save life? How will the robot persuade a patient he/she needs/doesn't need a surgery?
Maybe some day it will be possible, but robots I've seen so far will have a hard time wiping someone's ass, let alone perform a surgery without a constant supervision. Would have been nice if such robots existed tho'
Jan 19, 2020 at 06:25 PM
Henry Goddard (Likely) says
Because robots can literally do this now and it will take away the human error
Dec 02, 2019 at 04:44 PM
Shahan Haseeb (No chance) says
There is a lot that is still unknown. We still don't have a cure for cancer, ALS and countless other diseases. We discover new and improved treatment regimens almost every day. If we stop training doctors or if we replace doctors with robots then innovation and breakthroughs will cease. And medicine as a field will stagnate.
Nov 06, 2019 at 04:13 PM
Nicola says
And if we replace many easy diagnosing and easy surgeries physicians will have more time going into scientific research.
Apr 26, 2020 at 04:33 PM
Stew (Highly likely) says
In Spain they are already undertaking robotic surgery.
Oct 02, 2019 at 07:55 PM
Twins says
I believe that they will be taken as robots are better in all possible ways
Sep 02, 2019 at 02:43 AM
Hansie Slim (No chance) says
the human aspect in medical practice is much too integrated and human related to be technological and electronic
Aug 20, 2019 at 08:26 AM
Dolphins (Small chance) says
I definitely agree. Although robots could execute surgeries better there will never be 100% guarantee of no problems to arise. Plus, surgeons also have to do deal with the emotional, psychological aspect of being a surgeon with patients, families, etc. Which a robot would never be able to do.
Feb 10, 2020 at 09:48 PM
Kev (No chance) says
Very socially oriented job
Higher level cognitive skills and holistic approaches to care mean it is very difficult to totally replace job
Mundane tasks will certainly be automated however
Jun 09, 2019 at 07:24 AM
Doc says
I think, you are a physician, aren’t you?
Let me tell you, physicians can be easily replaced by Watson right now. Nurse can write symptoms on her own. Watson will provide diagnosis. So, where do we need physicians here? Right, to write prescriptions. Thus, the only obstacle here is the obsolete law that can be easily changed. It is how does capitalism work. Remember, money before patients ;)
Jun 16, 2019 at 12:35 PM
Jono says
I think this is an oversimplification. It is very challenging to sift through which symptoms are the relevant symptoms and weight them all properly. Watson can do certain things very well for example choosing first line treatment for cancer. However, the difficulty comes when patients are not describing symptoms in a classic way (which is the majority of the time). The art of medicine is distilling the words of a patient into a way which can be fit into an algorithmic box.
Jul 17, 2019 at 06:31 PM
Bo (Could go either way) says
Well, no. Watson failed. It couldn't even choose safe first-line treatments for cancer. Stop hyping shitty systems.
Oct 18, 2019 at 02:08 PM
J says
The system Watson uses is completely flawed. No articles have been published on its efficacy in the real world, I wonder why... Do a little research buddy
Jan 28, 2020 at 08:26 PM
Ruth Edmonds (Small chance) says
A lot of what we do is to follow algorithmic like guidelines, which could be automated, but to fully cover everything you have to have a low index of suspicion. Given investigation may be damaging to health and we sometimes need to think laterally I am not sure that AI can cope with that yet, or even new syndromes
Jun 07, 2019 at 08:49 PM
Dmi says
As an AI developer, I can tell you that robots have it. It is called anomal values detection. Ai is outperforming physicians already. Tbh, is much cheaper and much effective than most of physicians and surgeons. You have had a moment of glory. Now it is time to walk away.
Jun 16, 2019 at 12:39 PM
Noleon says
You're not an AI developer, you're just envious of physicians.
Aug 19, 2019 at 03:50 AM
bob (very unlikely) says
I am an AI specialist and to clarify things, AI and/or robots cannot comprehend the human mind. Also for a software developer, they haven't fully made AI grasp the intelligence humans have. Also, AVD can only be used to run diagnostics so yes I'm looking forward to seeing you try to make an AI soon now that can outsmart human beings soon because that is just impossible. You would need approximately a computer that could handle millions and millions of data that would fry a quantum computer. So good luck!!! Also, surgeons and physicians have the intelligence of human minds and AI is not outperforming them but helping them in their jobs. However, for those futuristic programmers, this percentage will soon be going up since tech is getting more and more advanced throughout the years.
Sep 08, 2019 at 05:00 PM
* says
We need the surgeons but if we can integrate more technology with them, they can do there job faster, help more people, be less stressed and over all make the experience of seeing the doctor better and less time consuming.
Oct 10, 2019 at 07:50 PM
kris says
Wow thx so much!!!! I guess some guys like dmi don't know too much at AI after all.
Feb 04, 2020 at 11:47 PM
Priv says
Ahahaha you have got to be kidding me?? What are you even saying. Supercomputers already make more calculations per second than the human brain, and soon commercially available computers will be able to (according to Moore's law). Meanwhile quantum computers can process trillions of operations per second. So it seems you either do not know what you're talking about, or are just trolling tbh.
Feb 28, 2020 at 08:42 AM
Jay says
LOL Bob imagine frying a Quantum Computer. PS we don't even have them yet but when we do they are said they'd be able to calculate pretty much anything instantly. They'd be the thing we need to be able to solve how to beat things like cancer as they can literally calculate every permutation & combination possible instantly.

FYI normal computers are already better at calculating than humans. *Imagine a calculator on your phone*.

Maybe you meant decision making and learning from experiences which is where computers lack right now. But then again down the track imagine having access to every surgeon around the world and their experience learning by combining with machine learning. This is what you get with robotics, the experience of every robotic surgeon around the world and every surgery performed in history as they are able to share information. Compared to a grad just out of uni with 30 practice surgeries.

Highly likely robots will perform surgeries alongside practitioners but doubt they'd make them obsolete. The precision on a robot can be higher as well as they're being able to enter the body through little holes rather than a person having to cut you open while maintaining your vitals. (Imagine a tiny little device that can enter your body rather than a big human sized robot).
Aug 28, 2020 at 05:08 AM
chris (Likely) says
Robots have already been able to outperform surgeons in some surgeries based on quickness and precision and they will continue to improve.
Apr 17, 2019 at 08:20 PM
Coool says
Do you want a robot doing surgery on you Chris?
Apr 24, 2019 at 02:39 PM
CEREN DİKMEÇLİ says
I don't want to die
Apr 25, 2019 at 11:41 AM
Nicola says
People also do not want self driving Trucks too kill them and Experts say they will come anyway.

Where is the differences?
Jun 05, 2019 at 10:40 PM
Ben says
Self driving trucks will save lives. AI surgical staff will too.

If AI is better, or will be... Then it will be implemented. That's just the truth. Human beings have limits
Aug 25, 2019 at 04:04 PM
Nicola says
You also don’t want to get killed by a self driving Truck but experts say they will come anyway.

Why shouldn’t they replace at least surgeons when they’re good enough and kill less people then human surgeons?
Jun 06, 2019 at 03:00 PM
EDA UZUNDEDE says
So true
Apr 25, 2019 at 11:40 AM

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