Graphic Designers
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Calculated automation risk
Moderate Risk (41-60%): Occupations with a moderate risk of automation usually involve routine tasks but still require some human judgment and interaction.
More information on what this score is, and how it is calculated is available here.
User poll
Our visitors have voted that it's probable this occupation will be automated. This assessment is further supported by the calculated automation risk level, which estimates 47% chance of automation.
What do you think the risk of automation is?
What is the likelihood that Graphic Designers will be replaced by robots or artificial intelligence within the next 20 years?
Sentiment
The following graph is included wherever there is a substantial amount of votes to render meaningful data. These visual representations display user poll results over time, providing a significant indication of sentiment trends.
Sentiment over time (quarterly)
Sentiment over time (yearly)
Growth
The number of 'Graphic Designers' job openings is expected to rise 2.5% by 2033
Total employment, and estimated job openings
Updated projections are due 09-2024.
Wages
In 2023, the median annual wage for 'Graphic Designers' was $58,910, or $28 per hour
'Graphic Designers' were paid 22.6% higher than the national median wage, which stood at $48,060
Wages over time
Volume
As of 2023 there were 212,720 people employed as 'Graphic Designers' within the United States.
This represents around 0.14% of the employed workforce across the country
Put another way, around 1 in 713 people are employed as 'Graphic Designers'.
Job description
Design or create graphics to meet specific commercial or promotional needs, such as packaging, displays, or logos. May use a variety of mediums to achieve artistic or decorative effects.
SOC Code: 27-1024.00
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Comments
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But that's not the case with designing. Though designing has rules, it's not as rigid as coding.
In short: Even if hard it in theory could be possible, but I'm more for making that AI + Artist combo to help people with drawing.
Graphic design is too broad of a term in my opinion. There's logo design, web design, package design, wayfinding design, branding, mobile design, t-shirt design, print design, poster design, and much more.
Digital art and illustrations I think are already under threat. When the art being generated is general and the boundaries of art are more forgiving, then the general nature of AI will thrive. But for more exacting work like logo design, web design, and package design, AI struggles from my experience.
I have played around with Adobe's built-in AI tools for Illustrator and Photoshop. While they're cool to play with, I often find myself wasting time playing prompt engineering, when I could have created something on my own faster. If I as a designer don't have patience to prompt-engineer my way into a design, I'm certain clients won't either.
There's also levels to graphic design. Maybe AI will get rid of the bad designers and the bad clients! But the precise, custom, unique work that many clients look for is hard to replace.
Lastly, being a graphic designer is more than just the technical skills. It's about directing a vision for the design. Even if AI is 100% perfect, it may not understand the client's needs.
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