作家和作者
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自动化风险
中等风险（41-60%）：中等风险的职业通常涉及常规任务，但仍需要一些人类的判断和交互。
有关这个分数是什么以及如何计算的更多信息可在这里找到。
Impact of Chat GPT on this occupation
We've received many comments and emails about Chat GPT and it's impact on this occupation. It's very impressive software, so people are understandably worried and/or excited.
However, something important to note with regards to the score we've calculated here, is that this occupation is comprised of many different types of job roles. Some examples of these include Advertising Writer, Blurb Writer, Copywriter and Screenwriter.
Some roles/tasks are more susceptible than other's to being automated by Chat GPT, but the score we've calculated is one that's an amalgamation of all of them.
Unfortunately, the source for our data (o*net) doesn't split this category up to the individual roles, so we can't calculate a score for each of them. If they do at some point in the future, we'll do the same, and generate scores accordingly.
Writing occupations aren't dead, but they are changing, so the best advice we can offer is to keep up to date with the latest developments, and use the tools available to your advantage.
用户投票
我们的访客投票表示，这个职业被自动化的可能性很低。 这个评估进一步得到了通过计算得出的自动化风险等级的支持，该等级预计有49%的机会实现自动化。
你认为自动化的风险是什么？
作家和作者在未来20年内被机器人或人工智能取代的可能性有多大？
情感
以下图表会在有大量投票数据可以呈现有意义的数据时包含在内。这些视觉表示显示了用户投票结果随时间的变化，提供了对情绪趋势的重要指示。
随着时间的推移的情绪（季度）
随着时间（每年）的情绪变化
增长
预计"Writers and Authors"的工作空缺数量将在2032内增长4.1%
总就业人数和预计的职位空缺
更新的预测将在09-2023到期.
工资
在2022，'Writers and Authors'的年度中位数工资为$73,150，或每小时$35。
'Writers and Authors'的薪资比全国中位工资高58.0%，全国中位工资为$46,310。
随着时间推移的工资
体积
截至2022，在美国有54,010人被雇佣为'Writers and Authors'。
这代表了全国就业劳动力的大约< 0.001%
换句话说，大约每2 千人中就有1人被雇佣为“Writers and Authors”。
工作描述
创作并准备书面材料，如剧本，故事，广告和其他材料。
SOC Code: 27-3043.00
资源
Will Chat GPT spell the end of blogging?
Here's a very informative video from Ricky Kesler from Income School about Chat GPT as it relates to blogging (and SEO). We think it contains great advice, and can be applied to all sorts of writing job roles, not just bloggers.
如果您正在考虑开始新的职业生涯，或者想要换工作，我们已经为您创建了一个方便的工作搜索工具，它可能会帮助您找到那个完美的新角色。
评论
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Personally, I would hate to see the art of storytelling to be turned over to machines.
ChatGPT is not going to write things that people care about. This isn't because chatgpt is a bad writer - it's because people primarily consume written content because of the person behind it. Since the dawn of the internet, and even before, there have been an infinite number of takes, a vast supply of content. Yet, somehow, people still pay for newspapers, and substacks, and books, and all sorts of things that are seemingly available for free with just a Google search. It's because of the particulars of that person's perspective, not just "story good" or "take good."
There are already far more failed writers than successful ones, and far more failed "in the style of" works than actual successful works. What AI will do is simply raise the stakes for what it takes to be a successful writer or author, since it establishes a baseline commodity. However, that baseline is already very, very high.
it's not gonna replace real writers yet but it is coming like winter.
Humans are still the best storytellers.
Personally I went into this field because I absolutely thought I could write better than the average book, and that the "cream will rise to the top". I still believe this is true.
Where I get worried is if AI can learn to write fiction really well. Can an AI in 10 years learn beyond what it is taught (fed average books) and create amazing stories? That's what really scares me.
Will people want to read a story written by an AI or will people want to read stories written by humans? There's an element of detachment when reading AI writing and the uncanny valley effect might take hold when we read an AI trying to present human emotions through character. We will know - whoever put those words down did not understand them and they will have less meaning. Or will they? If they make sense they make sense. If it has emotional impact it has emotional impact - even if that was replicated through pulp learning and mastered through engagement scores.
Scary times to be a writer - to have any job. But this was always my dream and so I know deep down there's no chance I'll give up on it. Even if I can only build two thousand loyal readers, that is enough to make a living, and I'll do that through being very very human and marketing myself face first.
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