特效艺术家和动画师

自动化风险
计算出的
48%
风险等级
投票
39%
根据 1,171 票的投票结果
劳动力需求
增长
5.4%
到2032年
工资
$98,950
或每小时 $47.57
体积
35,990
截至 2022
摘要
工作评分
5.8/10

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自动化风险

48% (中等风险)

中等风险(41-60%):中等风险的职业通常涉及常规任务,但仍需要一些人类的判断和交互。

有关这个分数是什么以及如何计算的更多信息可在这里找到。

工作中的一些相当重要的品质难以自动化:

  • 原创性

用户投票

在接下来的二十年内,实现全自动化的可能性为39%

我们的访客投票表示,这个职业被自动化的可能性很低。 这个评估进一步得到了通过计算得出的自动化风险等级的支持,该等级预计有48%的机会实现自动化。

你认为自动化的风险是什么?

特效艺术家和动画师在未来20年内被机器人或人工智能取代的可能性有多大?






情感

以下图表会在有大量投票数据可以呈现有意义的数据时包含在内。这些视觉表示显示了用户投票结果随时间的变化,提供了对情绪趋势的重要指示。

随着时间的推移的情绪(季度)

随着时间(每年)的情绪变化

增长

相对于其他职业,呈现适度增长

预计"Special Effects Artists and Animators"的工作空缺数量将在2032内增长5.4%

总就业人数和预计的职位空缺

* 根据劳工统计局的数据,该数据涵盖了从2021到2031的期间。
更新的预测将在09-2023到期.

工资

相对于其他职业,薪酬非常高

在2022,'Special Effects Artists and Animators'的年度中位数工资为$98,950,或每小时$47。

'Special Effects Artists and Animators'的薪资比全国中位工资高113.7%,全国中位工资为$46,310。

随着时间推移的工资

* 来自美国劳工统计局的数据

体积

与其他职业相比,工作机会的适中范围。

截至2022,在美国有35,990人被雇佣为'Special Effects Artists and Animators'。

这代表了全国就业劳动力的大约< 0.001%

换句话说,大约每4 千人中就有1人被雇佣为“Special Effects Artists and Animators”。

工作描述

使用电影、视频、计算机或其他电子工具和媒体制作特效或动画,用于计算机游戏、电影、音乐视频和商业广告等产品。

SOC Code: 27-1014.00

资源

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评论

留下评论

Ro (极有可能)说
Sora AI
Feb 19, 2024 at 04:39 下午
james adamson说
Everyone here is looking at this from the perspective of a creative. I am also in that bucket, but when the bean counters see something cheaper and more efficient the little nuances and facets of human beauty and creativity will not be considered.
A powerful and forceful director/CEO/MD on board could swing that in human creativity's favour, but look at all the areas in production where the money goes for the lowest common denominator.
Art and money are not good bedfellows and AI art like plastic and industrial streamlining are where we are headed unfortunately.( IMHO.)While we got a bit cleverer at being efficient we will also get A LOT cheaper a lot saddder and A LOT more unpleasant on the eye!

From DaVinci to plastic impressions and AI interpretations of beauty.
I'm thinking of the film Brazil and a horrendous retail park I visited in LA! Gaudy gossip magazines cheap toy shops and the show Black Mirror!
Jan 31, 2024 at 11:12 上午
armando camero说
you'll be replaced by AI if the client is okay with 'good enough' . but you won't if the client needs minor detail adjustments and lots of precision and control
Jan 14, 2024 at 09:33 下午
Navarone (极有可能)说
Im a 3D rigging artist with 5+ years in the industry and if things keep going the way they are, i think that by 2040, 3D art is going to be just a few directors and producers using AI instead of a pipeline.
Art is dead.
Oct 01, 2023 at 12:30 下午
JD (极有可能)说
AI art is already being embraced in small ways. the complexity and quality is only going to grow out of convenience to bigger animation companies, and demand from film production studios.
Sep 12, 2023 at 12:41 上午
Joe说
If you'd posed this question to me just two years ago, my response would have been a firm "absolutely not." However, given the emergence of advanced AI generative models, my current perspective leans towards a scenario in which the role may not vanish entirely, but instead undergo a substantial reduction in workforce. So the hundreds of visual effects artists typically employed in a film's production might dwindle down to 5-10 individuals
Sep 02, 2023 at 11:19 下午
dufhbsf (低)说
Originality is valued in animation and now that demand for original animations is growing it is highly unlikely that this job can get automated
Sep 02, 2023 at 03:19 下午
Tejas Tarambale (没有机会)说
Because Animation is not just about videos & art. It needs artistic thinking & different touch which connects you with art & attract you.

People want new things so AI can't give the think which not exist or it can't think its own...

That's why Robot will not get artists place.

Eventually we get Ai for faster processing & giving results to people & by that increases there revenue.
thanks.

It's my personal opening.
Aug 09, 2023 at 05:25 上午
Rogério (不确定)说
Maybe AI could make the in-between animation, but the key frames will still being made by humans.
Feb 04, 2023 at 01:32 上午
motiondelacruz (极有可能)说
Bro, ai graphic design is already here. In twenty years, the entire process will have been already fully automated by about 5 or 10 years.
Oct 23, 2022 at 02:13 上午
BibirMengkeroet (适度)说
If you're talking about special effects as VFX, then yes, you'll be replaced. In fact, AI Inpainting for video is currently under development and it will become public soon. Some 3D animators have already been replaced by motion capture. I think 2D animators are safe from AI for about 1-3 years.

However, special FX will never be replaced by AI. But you can count on your fingers the number of movies nowadays that still use special effects.
Sep 13, 2022 at 02:52 下午
Santa Claus (极有可能)说
New AI image generators can produce results on par with human artists. While not quite there yet, it is just a matter of time. When art directors can produce high-quality results in minutes for pennies, there will be a strong incentive against hiring professional artists. This will also discourage new artists from spending years honing their skills and perhaps choosing a different profession altogether.
Sep 10, 2022 at 03:30 上午
Ale (没有机会)说
I think it is impossible but even if A.I manage to make animation it won't have much quality because animation requires imagination and originality too which A.I won't be able to give in animation.
Jul 30, 2022 at 07:20 上午
Kate (低)说
Nowadays, there are already ways of making procedural animations. It might be the case that we will just need programmers to write the code to 'educate' the AI. Consequently, it will be able to learn and animate by itself.
Jul 12, 2022 at 06:05 上午
sal说
I do not think that the robot will replace the graphics engine, whether in cartoons or in influential films. This is not a new concept.

Motion capture suits appeared decades ago and they do not eliminate the need for humans in the final product. If that were to happen, they would already be retired.
Jul 10, 2022 at 01:34 上午
Jonas (适度)说
Modelling tools and retopology tools are already being automated. 3d scanning and script writing as well. I think that animators still will supervise but tools will definitely be more and more automated.
Jun 08, 2022 at 05:34 上午
ur mom (没有机会)说
Art can't be made by robots. We've seen this time and time again, especially when people use AI to change a perfectly made 24 fps animation to 60 fps. Animation has to have a human touch to be appealing, so there's no way animation can be automated and still have people interested.
Mar 25, 2022 at 08:27 下午
R (极有可能)说
Like any other art form, AI can provide infinite “creative” samples to choose from
Jan 15, 2022 at 07:22 上午
j (没有机会)说
Animation quality would go down by a lot if animation were automated. As an animator, animation needs a human touch. It doesn't look right if it's automated.
Jan 12, 2022 at 03:16 上午
Mikael说
Working in visualization of film, I can't see AI. doing what we do in any foreseeable future. The reason for this is that a lot of the 3d process is a creative feedback-loop between the client and the artist. It's just open talk.

Also, would you have an AI do Lookdev when the client is looking for something stylized? The only way this would work would be if the AI. would be able to have that same back and fourth of ideas. It just can't.
Jan 05, 2022 at 02:24 下午

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