概述
自动化风险
2. 用户投票
3. 增长
工资
5. 体积
描述
资源
评论

水手和船舶油工

中等风险
49%
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自动化风险
计算出的
58%
(中等风险)
投票
40%
(中等风险)
Average: 49%
劳动力需求
增长
3.5%
到2033年
工资
$48,400
或每小时 $23.27
体积
29,960
截至 2023
摘要
工作评分
4.1/10

人们还浏览了

律师
计算机程序员
船长，大副，和水上船只的驾驶员
平面设计师
演员

计算自动化风险

58% (中等风险)

中等风险（41-60%）：中等风险的职业通常涉及常规任务，但仍需要一些人类的判断和交互。

有关这个分数是什么以及如何计算的更多信息可在这里找到。

工作中的一些相当重要的品质难以自动化：

  • 狭窄的工作空间，尴尬的姿势

  • 手工熟练度

  • 帮助和照顾他人

  • 手指灵巧

用户投票

在接下来的二十年内，实现全自动化的可能性为40%。

我们的访客投票表示，他们不确定这个职业是否会被自动化。 这个评估进一步得到了通过计算得出的自动化风险等级的支持，该等级预计有58%的机会实现自动化。

你认为自动化的风险是什么？

水手和船舶油工在未来20年内被机器人或人工智能取代的可能性有多大？






情感

以下图表在有大量投票数据时会显示。这些可视化图表展示了用户投票结果随时间的变化，提供了情感趋势的重要指示。

随着时间（每年）的情绪变化

增长

相对于其他职业，呈现适度增长。

预计"Sailors and Marine Oilers"的工作空缺数量将在2033内增长3.5%

总就业人数和预计的职位空缺

* 根据劳工统计局的数据，该数据涵盖了从2021到2031的期间。
更新的预测将在09-2024到期.

工资

相对于其他职业来说薪资较低

在2023，'Sailors and Marine Oilers'的年度中位数工资为$48,400，或每小时$23。

'Sailors and Marine Oilers'的薪资比全国中位工资高0.7%，全国中位工资为$48,060。

随着时间推移的工资

* 来自美国劳工统计局的数据

体积

与其他职业相比，就业机会的下限范围较低。

截至2023，在美国有29,960人被雇佣为'Sailors and Marine Oilers'。

这代表了全国就业劳动力的大约< 0.001%

换句话说，大约每5 千人中就有1人被雇佣为“Sailors and Marine Oilers”。

工作描述

负责监视船只航行路线上的障碍物，测量水深，根据船长、副船长或驾驶员的指示转动船桥上的方向盘，或使用紧急设备。拆卸、装配、检修和储存货物处理设备、固定索具和动力设备。执行各种维护任务，以保护船体的涂装表面并维护船舶设备和线缆。在液体运输船上工作时，必须持有政府颁发的证书和油槽工证书。包括熟练水手和普通水手。

SOC Code: 53-5011.00

资源

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评论

Leave a comment

Danny (低) 1 month ago
Id like to hope that a mariners job would be unable to be replacd by ai as too much manual thinking and experience is needed especially whilst navigating. Whilst sure the ai could do all the required calculations down to a T it lacks one thing that humans have which is experience and also just that human feel for the ship
0 0 Reply
Jack (极有可能) 8 months ago
I think ai will be a heavy problem for humanity because if all humans gonna be replaced by ai people will be lazy and not able to and especially the marine jobs the ocean is heavy and the risk is more
0 0 Reply
Adam (低) 2 years ago
Too much variability. Difficult, dynamic environment requiring human judgement and responsiveness.
0 0 Reply
D.T. MacTavish 3 years ago
It won't be fully automated for various reasons, sailors probably won't be fully replaced within the century but automation can make their jobs easier in the meantime.
0 0 Reply
John 4 years ago
Sailors need to be replaced by robots, they're all lazy, dumb, and poop all the time. Many sailors are also flat earthers, so I hope those idiots get replaced by robots.
0 0 Reply
Sailordude 1 year ago
Ok first being a sailor is a difficult and can sometimes be a labor intensive job. Also I do not understand at all why you say that we are flat earthers that is just weird as there is no reason to think that and also where in the name of hell did you get that idea.
Also the poop thing is just something I would hear from a 1st grader.
0 0 Reply
Lorenzo Bonanno (低) 4 years ago
Sailor wages are a minimal part of the costs of the shipping industry, while insurance companies will push to maintain workers onboard vessels, especially officers, as they can be held accountable in case of accidents.

Another reason is the fact that most work on board ships is maintenance, removing workers from a ship would mean keeping a ship longer in ports for regular maintenance and cleaning of holds, which is not economically viable.

Before looking for automation of the jobs, shipping companies will look to ways to reduce their fuel costs, as it is by far the largest continuous expense.
0 0 Reply
Faisal Ali 4 years ago
This isn't a career for robots at all. It needs to be done by humans instead. A robot will be destroyed in a battle.
0 0 Reply
Bjørnar (低) 4 years ago
Depending on what kind of boat you work on, but as an anchor handler I don’t think my job will be taken by robots
0 0 Reply
Hank the Tank 4 years ago
I am a marine engineer of the watch and my oilers are pretty worthless these days. Can’t run a mop, can’t weld, can’t paint, can’t learn. No interest in learning and advancement in the career, won’t put down the smartphone long enough to take orders. Just give me PTZ cameras and a remote alarm monitoring interface and automate the job away.
0 0 Reply
David (低) 4 years ago
Robots will not be able to handle tasks which require a keen alertness of all of the variables involved with seafaring activities
0 0 Reply
Kurt R (低) 5 years ago
Robots are dumb. The ship I currently work on has miles of wires for all of the supposed automation, and yet things still break and require human hands to fix. Sure this may change in the next 20 years, but my gut tells me humans will still need to be involved to some extent. Either way, I'll be retired by then. Good luck to all of the young aspiring mariners.
0 0 Reply
Khan 4 years ago
Ok.
Machines can already play chess or fly planes though.
Why can't they sail the nth amount of seas?
0 0 Reply
D.T. MacTavish 3 years ago
Chess players nor pilots have been replaced. Chess at least is a sport so people want to watch other people play it, not machines (I don't think machine chess would take off on a sports channel) and at least in pilots' cases much of the plane is automated but still requires a human to operate it there are just somethings machines won't be perfect at in the meantime. Sailors will still be around as well, but much of their work might become automated but I don't see a human presence being removed from ships in the next few decades, especially not the officers.
0 0 Reply

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