重型和拖拉机拖车司机
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计算自动化风险
迫在眉睫的风险（81-100%）：这个等级的职业在不久的将来有极高的可能被自动化。这些工作主要包括重复性高、可预测的任务，几乎不需要人类的判断。
有关这个分数是什么以及如何计算的更多信息可在这里找到。
用户投票
我们的访客投票表示，他们不确定这个职业是否会被自动化。 然而，我们生成的自动化风险等级表明自动化的可能性要高得多：有86%的机会会被自动化。
你认为自动化的风险是什么？
重型和拖拉机拖车司机在未来20年内被机器人或人工智能取代的可能性有多大？
情感
以下图表在有大量投票数据时会显示。这些可视化图表展示了用户投票结果随时间的变化，提供了情感趋势的重要指示。
随着时间（每年）的情绪变化
增长
预计"Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers"的工作空缺数量将在2033内增长4.6%
总就业人数和预计的职位空缺
更新的预测将在09-2024到期.
工资
在2023，'Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers'的年度中位数工资为$54,320，或每小时$26。
'Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers'的薪资比全国中位工资高13.0%，全国中位工资为$48,060。
随着时间推移的工资
体积
截至2023，在美国有2,044,400人被雇佣为'Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers'。
这代表了全国就业劳动力的大约1.3%
换句话说，大约每74人中就有1人被雇佣为“Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers”。
工作描述
驾驶拖拉机-拖车组合或至少有26,001磅总车重（GVW）的卡车。可能需要卸货。需要商业驾驶执照。包括拖车司机。
SOC Code: 53-3032.00
资源
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评论
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Imagine thieves braking in front of a big truck and it stops as to not hit them and they look the trailer or disconnect it.
There's too much liability, along with small tasks and decisions that need to be made on the fly.
It's much more likely doctors and lawyers will be replaced first because AI could diagnose you and do surgical procedures. 1 doctor or lawyer could open up a practice and manage hundreds of clients with a powerful enough AI before class A trucks could be safely implemented and insured.
If you're in your 30s, you can likely still make an income from trucking, and you may even be able to ride it out until retirement. However, if you're the next generation of kids, probably not.
All they need is a new law with dedicated trucker lanes, similar to bike or bus lanes.
So, you want a dedicated lane for a Heavy vehicle to drive through, which the heavy vehicle in question is dedicated solely to transporting materials and goods.
You are describing a Train.
But specifically a train that moves on streets and highways. If there are two things the U.S loves (assuming we are talking specifically about the U.S), it's Guns and Cars. I doubt people would be too happy letting a big portion of driveable area get used up nor would they be happy to have it drive next to them, because the fear of it malfunctioning would be heightened. That's also not to mention how primitive the ai is for self driving, and the potential ethical concerns.
I do think that Ai will replace delivery jobs like this, but It'll most likely be in a form that would have the least potential to cause damage, like a drone or a train out in the middle of nowhere.
As such, for short-haul routes, the "driving" part is a relatively minor part of the job. Even if it's automated, the trucker is still needed. For long-haul routes, robotic convoys will indeed eliminate the need for some drivers. But each convoy will still need a shepherd for the other duties that can't be substantially eliminated in that period of time.
Autonomous trucks are here! Expect to find a new career as early as 2024.
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