经济学家

中等风险
49%

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与朋友和家人分享您的结果。
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投票 评论 (21)
自动化风险
计算出的
51%
(中等风险)
投票
48%
(中等风险, 根据 1,253 票的投票结果)
Average: 49%
劳动力需求
增长
5.1%
到2033年
工资
$115,730
或每小时 $55.63
体积
16,420
截至 2023
摘要
这个雪花图案展示了什么？
雪花是五个徽章的视觉总结：自动化风险（计算得出）、风险（投票得出）、增长、工资和体积。它为你提供了一个职业概况的即时快照。雪花的颜色与其大小有关。与其他职业相比，某个职业的得分越好，雪花就会变得越大且越绿。
工作评分
5.6/10
这是什么？
工作评分（越高越好）：

我们使用四个因素对工作进行评分。这些是：

- 被自动化的可能性
- 工作增长
- 工资
- 可用职位的数量

这些是求职时需要考虑的一些关键事项。

人们还浏览了

计算机程序员 律师 会计师和审计师 财务和投资分析师 网页开发者

计算自动化风险

51% (中等风险)

中等风险（41-60%）：中等风险的职业通常涉及常规任务，但仍需要一些人类的判断和交互。

有关这个分数是什么以及如何计算的更多信息可在这里找到。

工作中的一些相当重要的品质难以自动化：

  • 原创性

  • 说服

用户投票

在接下来的二十年内，实现全自动化的可能性为48%。

我们的访客投票表示，他们不确定这个职业是否会被自动化。 这个评估进一步得到了通过计算得出的自动化风险等级的支持，该等级预计有51%的机会实现自动化。

你认为自动化的风险是什么？

经济学家在未来20年内被机器人或人工智能取代的可能性有多大？

情感

以下图表显示了在有足够投票的情况下生成的有意义数据。它展示了用户投票结果随时间的变化，清晰地指示了情感趋势。

随着时间的推移的情绪（季度）

随着时间（每年）的情绪变化

增长

相对于其他职业，呈现适度增长。

预计"Economists"的工作空缺数量将在2033内增长5.1%

总就业人数和预计的职位空缺

* 根据劳工统计局的数据，该数据涵盖了从2023到2033的期间。
更新的预测将在09-2025到期.

工资

相对于其他职业，薪酬非常高。

在2023，'Economists'的年度中位数工资为$115,730，或每小时$56。

'Economists'的薪资比全国中位工资高140.8%，全国中位工资为$48,060。

随着时间推移的工资

* 来自美国劳工统计局的数据

体积

与其他职业相比，就业机会的下限范围较低。

截至2023，在美国有16,420人被雇佣为'Economists'。

这代表了全国就业劳动力的大约< 0.001%

换句话说，大约每9 千人中就有1人被雇佣为“Economists”。

工作描述

进行研究，准备报告，或制定计划解决与商品和服务的生产与分配或货币和财政政策相关的经济问题。可能会使用抽样技术和计量经济学方法收集和处理经济和统计数据。

SOC Code: 19-3011.00

评论 (21)

发表评论
Yehuda Porath (低)
12 10月 2020 18:58
I'm an economist. Our "science" is made up of many things. Some of it, like the statistical work and data collection and processing, seems fairly roboticizable. Much of the rest - The interpretations, the use of theory to explain results, figuring out why the theory often doesn't carry over to the real world, understanding the human behavior behind complex systems of humans messing things up together, figuring out why This Time Is (or isn't) Different - all this requires a great deal of intuition, persuasion, creativity, and intuitive leaps, in addition to the knowledge, information, data, and models we learn. It doesn't at this time appear that we'll get AI that good within 2 decades. I suppose it's possible, we could hit the Singularity, but I doubt it in that time frame
Faisal Ali Al Zahrani
24 2月 2021 13:07
There is no chance for Economists to run outta of jobs?!! Cause economists are indeed in demand in "High Demand" and economists are aware of automations and risk of losing jobs. So how the heck you would want a machine to take over the job?? Without human economists our economy will be unstable and not accurate at all. We need human economists not "machines". Economists are highly important it's our society our life we couldn't live without it. We don't expect businesses to fail we need to accommodate that.
Preto
03 7月 2024 18:10
Finally somoene that actually understands what economy really is
Niko (没有机会)
25 6月 2020 19:44
The insights change as macro fundamentals change... a computer cannot understand the macro indicators, political influence, sentiment or expectations.. We still do not understand inflation
Jersey Jim
16 6月 2025 17:33
Milton Friedman explained inflation very clearly.
Miguel Villavicencio (低)
25 5月 2021 04:14
As long as human interests define human decisions, economists will have an organic field.
Anukul Bodile (没有机会)
12 5月 2020 09:04
I would have said that AI would replace economists if all humans were this mythical being called Homo economicus, someone who has no social affinities, no lapses of judgement or hang-ups, no capacity even for thinking about anyone besides him or herself.
Nerd sry
28 10月 2020 05:06
Ahh yes, the assumption that humans are "rational decision-makers" in neoclassical models of economics. These optimization patterns not even close to the way our (non-robot) brains make decisions... Completely agree
Gino (没有机会)
07 1月 2020 03:04
La economia es la accion humana como diria ludwig von mises es imposible hacer economia sin humanos. Economics is human action, as Ludwig von Mises would say, it is impossible to do economics without humans.
the truth (极有可能)
09 11月 2023 21:07
economists are inherently flawed in their predictions and prescriptions as they lack insight in sciences such as sociology, social policy etc.

they consistantly display an inability to model any form of human behaviour and the lack of these variables in their data have lead to perpetual disaterous global economic crashes.

AI will doubtless surpass human economists in the very short term and as a result, large, medium and even small business will dispence with the need for any form of human based economic processes which offer very little financial return for the cost incurred.
Carlos Plácido Teixeira (适度)
14 8月 2021 01:10
The profession is full of routines in its analytical processes. Already today, recommendations for the best investments in bonds and stocks are starting to be made by artificial intelligence systems. If professionals insist on exclusively using econometric tools, then the probability tends to be even greater.
Chris (没有机会)
17 1月 2021 20:46
Requires outside the box thinking that can't be programmed into a robot
Jim
03 4月 2025 01:45
Outside the box thinking? 90% of papers are regurgitated from old sources and new theories are collectively dismissed at the first chance. Keynesian economics basically is economics and the whole field is a big mono-culture.
Phillip Tussing
10 8月 2020 03:00
Ha ha ha! OF COURSE economists will not be replaced! As Ludwig von Mises might say, it is impossible to "do economics" without humans. Ah, but teaching undergraduate economics can be done by pre-recorded videos, with grading done simply and automatically, and supervised by a few economists. And of course all the number-crunching required for corporate economics can be done by algorithms, supervised by a few human economists. And almost all the number-crunching in research work can be done by programs overseen by a few research economists. So... there will still be a few economics jobs...
rle (极有可能)
08 8月 2020 14:53
If economist continue to create use regression analysis only looking at prior data then yes, there is no need to pay an analyst 100K to click a button anyone can do in excel. I've worked to automate these roles & actuarial positions.
Lol (No chance) (没有机会)
28 10月 2020 05:44
The automation of analysis and modeling is a great and useful tool for economists (and actuaries). However, as time goes on, there is exponentially more "prior data" you were using with your automation. As new data is generated every day, we are constantly analyzing it to improve both the assumptions on which we base our models and our modeling techniques themselves. I agree with you that the field will become automated, but not in the way that you mean it: as a one-time formula where you click a button and "the answer" is computed. Because economics (and actuarial science) are far from being fully understood. Likewise, their models are far from perfect at generating an ideal solution. To achieve a perfect model, all relevant pieces of information regarding how every individual human will make every future decision must be known (which is impossible), but because we have more data and analysis tools every day, the practice of studying economics will continue to be a valuable and profitable area of expertise. Automation does not mean extinction!!!!
Tom
09 11月 2021 18:27
It doesn't sound like you know what actuaries (and possibly economists) do. The spreadsheets full of calculations are a tool, not the product. The work you're describing is mostly done by uncredentialed junior "actuarial analysts" or even by interns.
Isaac Lemmen (没有机会)
06 3月 2020 21:10
It is mostly politics and rhetoric
levi eleazar de oliveira bezerra (低)
07 6月 2019 00:01
The economics sector studies human behaviour and is not a matter of exact since it requires creativity and study of society to be able to apply the changes and for this to happen and necessary the accompaniment to the effective result.
Teg (极有可能)
25 1月 2021 02:40
Society will reach a steady state where economic policy will be easily automated
Jesus told me to own a gun (极有可能)
03 12月 2023 15:25
economics is renowned for it's extremely poor level of accuracy due to economists ideological cognitive dissonance. AI will easily replace the industry with higher levels of accuracy and improved reaction time to problematic variables.
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