木匠

最小风险
19%
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投票 评论 (22)
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自动化风险
计算出的
17%
(最小风险)
投票
19.5%
(最小风险)
Average: 19%
劳动力需求
增长
4.2%
到2033年
工资
$56,350
或每小时 $27.09
体积
700,290
截至 2023
摘要
工作评分
7.0/10

人们还浏览了

计算自动化风险

17% (最小风险)

最小风险(0-20%):这一类别的职业被自动化的可能性较低,因为它们通常需要复杂的问题解决能力,创造力,强大的人际交往能力和高度的手动灵巧。这些工作通常涉及复杂的手部动作和精确的协调,使得机器难以复制所需的任务。

有关这个分数是什么以及如何计算的更多信息可在这里找到。

工作中的一些相当重要的品质难以自动化:

  • 手指灵巧

  • 手工熟练度

用户投票

在接下来的二十年内,实现全自动化的可能性为19.5%

我们的访客投票表示,这个职业被自动化的可能性极小。 这个评估进一步得到了通过计算得出的自动化风险等级的支持,该等级预计有17%的机会实现自动化。

你认为自动化的风险是什么?

木匠在未来20年内被机器人或人工智能取代的可能性有多大?






情感

以下图表在有大量投票数据时会显示。这些可视化图表展示了用户投票结果随时间的变化,提供了情感趋势的重要指示。

随着时间(每年)的情绪变化

增长

相对于其他职业,呈现适度增长

预计"Carpenters"的工作空缺数量将在2033内增长4.2%

总就业人数和预计的职位空缺

* 根据劳工统计局的数据,该数据涵盖了从2021到2031的期间。
更新的预测将在09-2024到期.

工资

相对于其他职业,薪酬适中

在2023,'Carpenters'的年度中位数工资为$56,350,或每小时$27。

'Carpenters'的薪资比全国中位工资高17.2%,全国中位工资为$48,060。

随着时间推移的工资

* 来自美国劳工统计局的数据

体积

与其他职业相比,明显更多的工作机会范围。

截至2023,在美国有700,290人被雇佣为'Carpenters'。

这代表了全国就业劳动力的大约0.46%

换句话说,大约每216人中就有1人被雇佣为“Carpenters”。

工作描述

建造、搭建、安装或修理由木材和类似材料制成的结构和设施,如混凝土模板;建筑框架,包括隔墙、横梁、立柱和屋梁;以及木质楼梯,窗户和门框,硬木地板。也可能安装橱柜、壁板、石膏板和瓦楞或卷材保温材料。包括建造门或通风墙(通风墙或隔断)的地下通道的防火门建造者。

SOC Code: 47-2031.00

资源

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评论

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Brian (no chance) (没有机会) 4 months ago
I've worked in carpentry for a few years. Seen most aspects of carpentry from my father. He was the person who designed, made, install custom cabinets.

Maybe an integration where we use it to show a client a design or how which wood would be better.

If you ask me whether they'll replace my job, I heavily doubt it, however I do believe AI will be useful to both carpenters and clients alike.
1 0 Reply
chippy dan (没有机会) 1 year ago
I'm a chippy, ok furniture can be done by ai, but renovating a house is different, lot's of different repairs
1 0 Reply
Lukas (不确定) 1 year ago
Some jobs will definitely be occupied but in the premium segment, where there are extreme accuracy requirements and complex furniture, people will always be needed and wanted even if the jobs could be done by robots.
1 0 Reply
Jared Y (没有机会) 2 years ago
A robot cannot build a house, piece by piece.

I'd like to see a robot put breakers into an electrical panel, lay tile in a tight bathroom, hang a cabinet, or install a four-piece crown moulding.

Sure, you can get a 3D-printed concrete house, but you still have to run electrical and plumbing, among other things.

I don't see it happening.
0 0 Reply
KevinR 2 years ago
I would have loved having a couple of robots do the heavy lifting during my 27 years as a carpenter.

AI and ML are here to stay, and I believe the jobs that are created from the advancement of technology will far outweigh the losses. There will also be better jobs that give us a better quality of life.

Don't forget, we'll be building differently with 3D printing.
0 0 Reply
T (低) 2 years ago
Carpenters do so many different things that require complex ranges of motion.

Some tasks could be replaced but it will likely be a while before robots fully replace human carpenters.
0 0 Reply
Darren Maxwell 4 years ago
Carpentry will never die completely but the money will/already has....
Skirting Architrave handrails will all be pre cut your already starting to see it now so Everything will be pre fab inevitably the pay scale will just go down and down
0 0 Reply
Katlynn 4 years ago
Why do robots have to take our jobs

What happens when we can't do a job then we can't make money to support us.
0 0 Reply
W R 2 years ago
Universal Basic Income, Andrew Yang had a plan for this.
0 0 Reply
Will 3 years ago
@Katlynn Don't you know we wont have to work everything will be free like it would be if the world was communist
0 0 Reply
S 3 years ago
That's where welfare comes in.
0 0 Reply
Jason (低) 4 years ago
I would agree with installers which are most carpenters today as I am not I am a custom designer/build from furniture to homes to custom interiors I can build anything from raw materials

There are few carpenters left like me I never feel when the economy, tanks
0 0 Reply
BOB da Builder (没有机会) 4 years ago
movement /and split dissensions over thousands of variables
0 0 Reply
Nick Bronnenmayer (低) 4 years ago
I have a lot of different tasks to do and moving to my working positions needs climbing or crawling. Standard houses can be made bi robots, but repairing a 100 year's old roof will stay a job for humans more than 30 years.
0 0 Reply
Drew 2 years ago
Not unless they just build the whole roof system that they can use a crane
0 0 Reply
Kieran Green (低) 4 years ago
I can see it likely that new build houses will be built by robots but I do t think they will be able to retro fit houses which have already been built by humans. And there are still and will be millions of houses to retro fit in decades to come.
0 0 Reply
Manuel Castillo (没有机会) 5 years ago
Computers will never be able to problem solve real world situations when it comes to construction whether it's structural, finish and or scenic. Carpenters will not and cannot be replaced by computer.
0 0 Reply
Henrik Nielsen 5 years ago
I mean, its possible, BUT it will require a robot that can move as freely as humans, think with the same level of intelligence and "emotion" as humans (as a captender making a tough call, you think what would the client like, maybe i should focus on making this look good, But how does a robot know what "looks good" under extremely specific situations)

Every job is different, from the setting/location, weather, what and how the client wants, improvising and changing cuts/plans/drawing based on the house/job. No carpenter has ever made a cut without accounting for errors in the house from previous construction.

robots might replace carpenders, electricians, plummers, and all these trades. BUT it will not be easy, like at all. would you hire a robot to do the job a human can do, but worse?
0 0 Reply
Mike 5 years ago
What you describe as the human element "emotion" is nothing more than an organic algorithm. It will be created in machines and its possible that AI and robots may be able to develop more "emotion" than even humans are capable of. The short of the long is that robots and AI will become better at absolutely everything, and in ways that we will never be able to even comprehend. It's best to just work at what we can while we still can, and to understand that the future will be nothing like this blast off we're in the midst of.
0 0 Reply
zack 5 years ago
bs
0 0 Reply
He 5 years ago
Carpentry is a skilled trade. There's no mass production, you have to think carefully, and good communication is also necessary.
0 0 Reply
TJ 5 years ago
no way, no how

there's just too many variables involved on a day to day basis, not to mention robotics is pretty far away from having viable robots that can actually do the work.
0 0 Reply

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