面包师傅

高风险
73%
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投票 评论 (20)
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自动化风险
计算出的
84%
(即将来临的风险)
投票
62%
(高风险)
Average: 73%
劳动力需求
增长
5.2%
到2033年
工资
$34,950
或每小时 $16.80
体积
220,230
截至 2023
摘要
工作评分
3.2/10

人们还浏览了

计算自动化风险

84% (即将来临的风险)

迫在眉睫的风险(81-100%):这个等级的职业在不久的将来有极高的可能被自动化。这些工作主要包括重复性高、可预测的任务,几乎不需要人类的判断。

有关这个分数是什么以及如何计算的更多信息可在这里找到。

工作中的一些相当重要的品质难以自动化:

  • 手指灵巧

  • 手工熟练度

用户投票

在接下来的二十年内,实现全自动化的可能性为62%

我们的访客投票认为,这个职业很可能会被自动化。 这个评估进一步得到了通过计算得出的自动化风险等级的支持,该等级预计有84%的机会实现自动化。

你认为自动化的风险是什么?

面包师傅在未来20年内被机器人或人工智能取代的可能性有多大?






情感

以下图表在有大量投票数据时会显示。这些可视化图表展示了用户投票结果随时间的变化,提供了情感趋势的重要指示。

随着时间(每年)的情绪变化

增长

相对于其他职业的快速增长

预计"Bakers"的工作空缺数量将在2033内增长5.2%

总就业人数和预计的职位空缺

* 根据劳工统计局的数据,该数据涵盖了从2021到2031的期间。
更新的预测将在09-2024到期.

工资

相对于其他职业,薪酬极低

在2023,'Bakers'的年度中位数工资为$34,950,或每小时$16。

' Bakers '的薪酬比全国中位工资低27.3%,全国中位工资为$48,060。

随着时间推移的工资

* 来自美国劳工统计局的数据

体积

与其他职业相比,更大的就业机会范围

截至2023,在美国有220,230人被雇佣为'Bakers'。

这代表了全国就业劳动力的大约0.15%

换句话说,大约每689人中就有1人被雇佣为“Bakers”。

工作描述

混合并烘烤原料,制作面包,面卷,饼干,蛋糕,馅饼,糕点或其他烘焙食品。

SOC Code: 51-3011.00

资源

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评论

Leave a comment

Guy (低) 3 months ago
Robots will not replace humans in the near future when it comes to baking. Because baking has steps that are very challenging for an ai to compute and would need a physical robot to do them. Not like the ordering menus at McDonalds with ChatGPT on a screen. People also simply like real bakers more. If bakeries all became ai generated nobody would go to them after a few years.
1 0 Reply
Bruce Jackson (没有机会) 1 year ago
Imagine a robotic Baker kneading or proofing dough. Adjustments due to altitude or touch must be made by human hands. Dough contains live microorganisms that respond to human hands. The taste of robotic baked goods would ruin the food industry.
4 0 Reply
Guy 3 months ago
Yeah thats accurate. Im surprised it was rated this high of a risk.
2 0 Reply
Sofia 3 years ago
Damn way to crush a child’s dream
3 0 Reply
B 4 years ago
Reading comments like these make me think everybody thinks of a robot a big metal android like in movies, and not as specially made robots designed specifically to do a job with the intent of replacing people
3 0 Reply
Ale 4 years ago
It doesn't require for a robot that has taste buds, just one that can follow directions, and one human to taste the recipes, that's it. Honestly i like being a Baker more than a chef, way more, but it suffers from similar problems. It needs to go, and i will be thankful for it. I guess in the next few years it's time to learn a new job, don't go to chef school like i did. Terrible job overall.
0 0 Reply
michael 1 year ago
Why chef is terrible job? You mean cookery chef? I guess bakery & patisserie chef is far easier compare with cookery chef
0 0 Reply
Annie123 4 years ago
Robots would be such bad bakers. There is no chance anyone would go to bakeries anymore this is crazy.
1 0 Reply
Guy 3 months ago
True, if I saw a bakery that used ai im not going
0 0 Reply
naturalbeauty (低) 4 years ago
products made by robots are not made by heart.
2 0 Reply
MAR 3 years ago
that is sooo true. nothing would be made with love if it was made by AIs.
0 0 Reply
Mille 5 years ago
They have no taste buds or smell so it will probably end up in disgusting food if they create food.
1 0 Reply
dd123abc 5 years ago
I want to be a pastry chef and now I can't thanks
0 0 Reply
Guy 3 months ago
You could also start your own bakery, though it is very expensive and requires more management than other bakery jobs.
0 0 Reply
Lily 4 years ago
You can still be one its just that some robots are doing that job... their are still pastry jobs available
0 0 Reply
Millie (没有机会) 5 years ago
Because they can knock something over or do something wrong and create chaos
1 0 Reply
Hey peeps 5 years ago
It is not a good idea for robots to be bakers
1 0 Reply
David Kohen (没有机会) 5 years ago
Requires computers with the ability to taste, to project how others will react to taste and innovate food. In my opinion, one of the last to go. However as a profession it will be impacted by ex-lawyers, doctors and especially computer engineers who enter the field after losing their forst profession.
1 0 Reply
Millie 5 years ago
Good point they can not taste
1 0 Reply
Matthew J Watson 5 years ago
Perhaps the job can change which could focus on designing and decorating custom pastries. While robots replicate them
0 0 Reply

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