Genel Bakış
Otomasyon Riski
2. Kullanıcı Anketi
3. Büyüme
4. Ücretler
5. Hacim
Tanım
Kaynaklar
Yorumlar

Yazarlar ve Yazarlar

Orta Risk
54%
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OTOMASYON RİSKİ
HESAPLANAN
60%
(Yüksek Risk)
ANKET YAPMA
47%
(Orta Risk)
Average: 54%
İŞGÜCÜ TALEBİ
BÜYÜME
5,1%
yıl 2033 itibariyle
ÜCRETLER
$73.690
veya saat başına $35,42
Hacim
49.450
2023 itibariyle
ÖZET
İŞ SKORU
4,9/10

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Hesaplanmış otomasyon riski

60% (Yüksek Risk)

Yüksek Risk (61-80%): Bu kategorideki işler, görevlerinin çoğu mevcut veya yakın gelecekteki teknolojiler kullanılarak kolayca otomatikleştirilebileceği için otomasyondan önemli bir tehditle karşı karşıyadır.

Bu puanın ne olduğu ve nasıl hesaplandığına dair daha fazla bilgi burada 'da mevcuttur.

İşin bazı oldukça önemli özellikleri otomatikleştirmek için zordur:

  • Özgünlük

  • İkna

  • Sosyal Algılama

Impact of Chat GPT on this occupation

We've received many comments and emails about Chat GPT and it's impact on this occupation. It's very impressive software, so people are understandably worried and/or excited.

However, something important to note with regards to the score we've calculated here, is that this occupation is comprised of many different types of job roles. Some examples of these include Advertising Writer, Blurb Writer, Copywriter and Screenwriter.

Some roles/tasks are more susceptible than other's to being automated by Chat GPT, but the score we've calculated is one that's an amalgamation of all of them.

Unfortunately, the source for our data (o*net) doesn't split this category up to the individual roles, so we can't calculate a score for each of them. If they do at some point in the future, we'll do the same, and generate scores accordingly.

Writing occupations aren't dead, but they are changing, so the best advice we can offer is to keep up to date with the latest developments, and use the tools available to your advantage.

Kullanıcı anketi

Önümüzdeki iki on yıl içinde tam otomasyona geçme şansı 47%

Ziyaretçilerimiz, bu mesleğin otomatikleştirilip otomatikleştirilmeyeceğinden emin olmadıklarını belirtmişler. Ancak, oluşturduğumuz otomasyon risk seviyesi, otomasyonun çok daha yüksek bir ihtimal olduğunu öne sürmektedir: %60% otomasyon şansı.

Otomasyonun riski hakkında ne düşünüyorsunuz?

Yazarlar ve Yazarların önümüzdeki 20 yıl içinde robotlar veya yapay zeka tarafından değiştirilme olasılığı nedir?






Duygu

Aşağıdaki grafik, anlamlı veriler sunmak için yeterli miktarda oy bulunduğunda eklenir. Bu görsel temsiller, kullanıcı anket sonuçlarını zaman içinde göstererek duygu eğilimlerine dair önemli bir gösterge sağlar.

Zaman içindeki duygu durumu (üç aylık)

Zaman içindeki duygu durumu (yıllık)

Büyüme

Diğer mesleklere göre orta düzeyde büyüme

'Writers and Authors' iş ilanlarının sayısının 2033 yılına kadar 5,1% artması bekleniyor.

Toplam istihdam ve tahmini iş açılışları

* 2021 ve 2031 arasındaki dönem için İşgücü İstatistikleri Bürosu'ndan alınan veriler. Lütfen çevirinin mantıklı ve web sitesi kullanımı için uygun olduğundan emin olun.
Güncellenmiş projeksiyonlar 09-2024 tarihinde teslim edilmelidir..

Ücretler

Diğer mesleklere göre yüksek maaşlı

2023 yılında, 'Writers and Authors' için medyan yıllık ücret $73.690 idi, yani saat başına $35.

'Writers and Authors' ulusal medyan ücretin, $48.060 olduğu yerde, %53,3% daha yüksek bir ücret aldılar.

Zaman içindeki ücretler

* İşgücü İstatistikleri Bürosu'ndan alınan veriler.

Hacim

Diğer mesleklere kıyasla orta derecede iş fırsatları

2023 itibariyle Amerika Birleşik Devletleri'nde 49.450 kişi 'Writers and Authors' olarak istihdam edilmiştir.

Bu, ülke genelindeki istihdam edilen iş gücünün yaklaşık olarak %< 0,001%'ını temsil eder.

Başka bir deyişle, her 3 bin kişiden biri 'Writers and Authors' olarak istihdam edilmektedir.

İş tanımı

Orijinal ve yazılı materyal hazırlayın, örneğin senaryolar, hikayeler, reklamlar ve diğer materyaller.

SOC Code: 27-3043.00

Kaynaklar

Will Chat GPT spell the end of blogging?

Here's a very informative video from Ricky Kesler from Income School about Chat GPT as it relates to blogging (and SEO). We think it contains great advice, and can be applied to all sorts of writing job roles, not just bloggers.

Yeni bir kariyere başlama veya iş değiştirme düşünceniz varsa, size mükemmel yeni rolü bulmanızda yardımcı olabilecek kullanışlı bir iş arama aracı oluşturduk.

Yerel bölgenizde iş arayın

Yorumlar

Leave a comment

Hope (Düşük) 10 days ago
GPT and other AI generators may be able to write stories, but they don't come anywhere near human-written stories. Whenever asked to write a story, they always write it in a certain form, with similar plots. Nothing new or exciting. Plus, all humans think differently, so it would be impossible to model and AI that can think like every human. As a young author, I try to write stories outside the box that would be difficult for an AI to try replicating.
0 0 Reply
Sophie (Belirsiz) 3 months ago
LLM or Large Language Models like ChatGPT only outputs the material humans write. It also has no creativity, all outputs are based on our interactions, prompts and the existing data. Who creates that data? We do. We write our hearts, emotions out on a piece of writing, causing it to influence people, and we shape the way a person's bias works. What GPT outputs is something emotionless and cannot sway people. How much times have you been through sorrow from reading a book? How much times have you felt sorrow from a piece of text? Probably none.
0 2 Reply
Laurel 3 months ago
I'm an author, and I just thought I'd share my take on this. While it's true that AI can't replicate human emotions and experiences, it has proven to be capable of writing average stories. Too many people consume media without a critical eye. As long as people as a whole start to care more about quality media, we should be fine.
0 0 Reply
Adria Donohue (Düşük) 3 months ago
Because at the current moment AI does not have to opacity to write a full length story without it being very repetitive and forgetting itself, and will only get worse as time goes on. Furthermore, an AI lacks the very human and unique emotion that a person can write into the story. I have tampered with the world of Artificial Intelligence before, and all the characters it portrays seem to be the same personality, like they've been copy and pasted. This is a problem AI struggles with that even humans suffer with, but humans are more able to fix this fatal error that can ruin a story.
0 0 Reply
Ele (Low) 4 months ago
As a writer myself, AI doesn't scare me because it lacks what writing and stories originally entail: experience. You can have a fantasy dystopia story written by ChatGPT, but it can never hold up to the bar human-made fantasy dystopian stories have set. Why? These stories contain human experiences, they contain a message that authors wish to convey, experiences authors wish to convey. It's the humanity that stories hold that make them loved by people. Any text-based AI can write a story, but will it ever hold the same impact to a story an actual person wrote? No, because AI hasn't experienced anything actual people have experienced. It only "sees" what people witness and puts it into its generation without second thought. The reason people consume stories is because they can relate to it, they learn something from it. I know AI helps breakdown and teach things we can't understand by piecing together information from the internet faster than we can, but for it to write a story? Fat chance. Writing is more than just fast money content (that, sadly, already is in today's times) it is a form of art that records experiences and messages that cannot be conveyed with straightforwardness. It is something that holds bits and pieces of humanity, of someone's memories, of messages that are so big that it can never fit in a simple sentence. No matter how many years it will take, AI can never catch up with how high the bar has been set when it comes to writing.
2 0 Reply
try (Belirsiz) 4 months ago
the originality of writing would be the most difficult to program a bot to do.
0 0 Reply
Ray (Düşük) 4 months ago
Robots will never be able to copy real writers' creativity, although they could help you write a short essay for school, AI cannot do original and creative writing.
2 0 Reply
Human # 7,522,997,653 (Düşük) 5 months ago
I don't really think AI will take over writing. In my eyes, AI will never capture the thrilling, magical, real experience that humans can create.

Although they have a chance, AI can never reach the same level of imagination that we humans have when it comes to stories and fiction.

Though I have very little hope for humanity in the future, I still believe humans can change for the better.
3 0 Reply
R H DARNELL (Düşük) 5 months ago
Real writing uses creativity. AI is not creative, AI can only use what you input. It can rhyme, and write grammatically correct sentences, but it cannot convey emotion or elicit a response on a human level. I believe it could write a "good" outline, but not a good screenplay, much less a great book.
2 0 Reply
Pasi (Hiç şansı yok) 5 months ago
It depends on the author, but currently the AI simply can not write a good book.
1 0 Reply
Chris Ochs (Ilımlı) 7 months ago
News and nonfiction are high. Fantasy, sci-fi, horror novels far less so.
2 0 Reply
Dom (Düşük) 7 months ago
Creativity, novelty, capturing the social, invention.
2 0 Reply
Rebecca (Düşük) 7 months ago
Because robots tend to be predictable and writers need imagination and I don't see robots having that
2 0 Reply
Philip Whittebane (Son derece muhtemel) 7 months ago
At least many blurb and screenwriting jobs could be automated. Although there would still be the requirement for some level of creativity
2 0 Reply
Tomoko Julius (Hiç şansı yok) 8 months ago
i doubt that any time soon the originality of the human touch will fade away with the coming in of AI. It simply cannot. PERIOD!!!
0 0 Reply
Mike (Son derece muhtemel) 8 months ago
Highly only because ChatGPT is used for writing, and it can be used in story making
0 0 Reply
copper (Hiç şansı yok) 8 months ago
the robots simply lack the creativity of a good author like J.K.Rowling or Suzanne Collins.
0 0 Reply
Penguin (Hiç şansı yok) 8 months ago
Robots cannot have experiences. They just spit out a cacophony of random words with no care as to a message or logic or ethics.
0 0 Reply
M (Düşük) 10 months ago
In the United States, creative material developed by AI cannot be trademarked and therefore unprofitable.
0 0 Reply
David 5 months ago
To be fair, it's difficult to tell whether or not a text was written by AI, especially if the person who generated the prompt refactored the text.
0 0 Reply
Dakshay (Ilımlı) 11 months ago
If AI keeps improving, certainly studios will start using AI generated scripts to make movies/tv shows/ books. They will be garbage generic stuff in the beginning but at one point AI will certainly be able to write as well as a human. So writers working for studios will be in danger. But I think big established authors like Brandon Sanderson, have planned projects for decades later. And people will still buy their books because they love the stories. I think if you can cultivate a community of dedicated fans, you can definitely make a killing (or at least a livable income.)
Personally, I would hate to see the art of storytelling to be turned over to machines.
0 0 Reply

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