Avukatlar
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Otomasyon riski
Düşük Risk (21-40%): Bu seviyedeki işlerin otomasyona geçme riski sınırlıdır, çünkü teknik ve insan odaklı becerilerin bir karışımını talep ederler.
Bu puanın ne olduğu ve nasıl hesaplandığına dair daha fazla bilgi burada 'da mevcuttur.
Kullanıcı anketi
Ziyaretçilerimiz, bu mesleğin otomatikleşme şansının düşük olduğunu belirtmişlerdir. Bu değerlendirme, otomasyon risk seviyesinin hesaplanması ile daha da desteklenmektedir, bu da otomasyonun %22% olasılığını tahmin eder.
Otomasyonun riski hakkında ne düşünüyorsunuz?
Avukatların önümüzdeki 20 yıl içinde robotlar veya yapay zeka tarafından değiştirilme olasılığı nedir?
Duygu
Aşağıdaki grafik(ler), anlamlı veri oluşturmak için önemli miktarda oy olduğu her yerde dahil edilmiştir. Bu görsel temsiller, zaman içinde kullanıcı anket sonuçlarını göstererek, duygu eğilimleri hakkında önemli bir gösterge sağlar.
Zaman içindeki duygu durumu (üç aylık)
Zaman içindeki duygu durumu (yıllık)
Büyüme
'Lawyers' iş ilanlarının sayısının 2032 yılına kadar 9,6% artması bekleniyor.
Toplam istihdam ve tahmini iş açılışları
Güncellenmiş projeksiyonlar 09-2023 tarihinde teslim edilmelidir..
Ücretler
2022 yılında, 'Lawyers' için medyan yıllık ücret 135.740 $ idi, yani saat başına 65 $.
'Lawyers' ulusal medyan ücretin, 46.310 $ olduğu yerde, %193,1% daha yüksek bir ücret aldılar.
Zaman içindeki ücretler
Hacim
2022 itibariyle Amerika Birleşik Devletleri'nde 707.160 kişi 'Lawyers' olarak istihdam edilmiştir.
Bu, ülke genelindeki istihdam edilen iş gücünün yaklaşık olarak %0,48%'ını temsil eder.
Başka bir deyişle, her 209 kişiden biri 'Lawyers' olarak istihdam edilmektedir.
İş tanımı
Müvekkillerini ceza ve hukuk davalarında ve diğer yasal işlemlerde temsil eder, hukuki belgeler düzenler veya müvekkillere yasal işlemler konusunda yönetim veya danışmanlık yapar. Tek bir alanda uzmanlaşmış olabilir veya hukukun birçok alanında geniş çapta pratik yapabilir.
SOC Code: 23-1011.00
Kaynaklar
Yeni bir kariyere başlama veya iş değiştirme düşünceniz varsa, size mükemmel yeni rolü bulmanızda yardımcı olabilecek kullanışlı bir iş arama aracı oluşturduk.
Yorumlar
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Plus, a lot of lawyers have strong political connections and a lot of money and influence. No way they'd willingly allow themselves to be replaced by AI.
Ministerial work like estate, wills, estate planning, corporations law, definitely.
Contract law, most likely. Use of standardized language and exploiting vague wording seems like AI forte.
Litigation, nope. Despite what people say it's about critical thinking skills. In many case its the opposite. It's creative BS'ing.
Dealing with people who are can be genuine boneheads or lazy, but may be in positions of authority or needed for your case.
Criminal Law and Family law, don'teven think about it. Both involve real stakes for people's rights and extreme emotions of those involved. Many times requiring subjective evaluation of evidence.
Numerous cases pivot on the attempt to convince a jury, or judge in certain cases, that your version of the facts is accurate. Furthermore, while you will be able to ask an AI about a law, it's unlikely that the AI will be able to interpret the facts from your situation and apply them to the law. This is because interpreting whether the facts of your case apply to the scope of the law often requires inherently human ingenuity and creative thinking.
Also, whether the law applies to your case, or if convicted, whether your sentence should be reduced, can often involve making appeals to morals and the specific circumstances of the case. Some argue that AI will be able to draft commercial contracts between businesses. This may be true, but it would first require someone, ideally a lawyer, to advise you on whether certain agreements you've made will increase your liability or position you more favorably in case of a contractual breach. An AI would simply write the contract, presumably more quickly and with fewer mistakes.
Finally, many seem to believe that the law is black and white. This is incorrect for several reasons and is an area where AI would likely struggle. In countries like the U.K., U.S., India, Australia, Canada, and New Zealand, many areas of law are not governed by statute but created on a case-by-case basis. This can result in a lack of consistency in the law and occasional conflicting judicial decisions. Lawyers often argue that these cases can be reconciled, or that, in contemporary society, one decision is more favorable than another.
Even regarding statute law, there are usually many approaches to 'legislative interpretation' (such as textualism, structuralism, or intentionalism). At different points in time, the legal system has preferred one approach over another for certain issues. While AI might be able to explain this, I fear many will not give it the appropriate significance it deserves. This could result in individuals mistakenly thinking they have not committed a tort, traffic offense, crime, etc. due to a particular interpretation method.
Additionally, even when a certain method of statutory interpretation is preferred, a skilled lawyer could argue that a different approach should be applied due to special circumstances in the case, changing societal values, or a discrepancy between Parliament/Congress' expressed intention about the application of the legislation and how the law is currently being applied.
In terms of arbitration or conciliation, the entire point of lawyers in these circumstances is not necessarily to know the law, but to provide impartial advice from someone who isn't emotionally invested in the issue. Clients often do not think rationally due to the emotive nature of the circumstances. However, AI will likely automate 'grunt work' like finding cases, writing letters, and contracts. AI will also likely be beneficial because many commercial and property disputes may not warrant paying expensive fees for lawyers - the same goes for low-level criminal and traffic offenses.
I also don't see many people mentioning that AI itself will likely create more work for lawyers. For example, claims that an AI gave not only bad legal advice, but outright negligent advice, and whether the owner company should be liable. Issues like AI being discriminatory, privacy breaches, and the extent to which AI will be allowed to give legal information or answer legal concerns about specific facts will undoubtedly arise. There will likely be news articles about how someone was negatively affected by using AI. Unlike lawyers, it would be much harder to prove liability for the company that owns the AI. Therefore, the use of AI in relation to the law is likely to be limited - at least for public use.
Even if not limited by the government, I believe a sophisticated AI law robot would likely be locked away behind an expensive paywall that only legal firms and other companies could afford. AI might also not be proficient in law in many smaller countries for a significant period. I've noticed it often doesn't recognize the law or case I referred to, or it completely misinterprets the definition, facts, and decisions of that law or case.
A final issue with the use of AI is that it may often provide incorrect laws. Court cases in many countries refer to cases in other countries or states. Because of this, the AI might read the case name mentioned and provide a plethora of decisions from completely different jurisdictions.
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