Bilgisayar Programcıları

Yüksek Risk
67%
Sıradaki Gitmek İstediğiniz Yer Neresi?
Sonuçlarınızı arkadaşlarınız ve ailenizle paylaşın.
Veya, Bu Mesleği Daha Ayrıntılı Keşfedin...
OTOMASYON RİSKİ
HESAPLANAN
70%
(Yüksek Risk)
ANKET YAPMA
64%
(Yüksek Risk)
Average: 67%
İŞGÜCÜ TALEBİ
BÜYÜME
-%9,6
yıl 2033 itibariyle
ÜCRETLER
$99.700
veya saat başına $47,93
Hacim
120.370
2023 itibariyle
ÖZET
İŞ SKORU
3,5/10

İnsanlar ayrıca inceledi

Hesaplanmış otomasyon riski

70% (Yüksek Risk)

Yüksek Risk (61-80%): Bu kategorideki işler, görevlerinin çoğu mevcut veya yakın gelecekteki teknolojiler kullanılarak kolayca otomatikleştirilebileceği için otomasyondan önemli bir tehditle karşı karşıyadır.

Bu puanın ne olduğu ve nasıl hesaplandığına dair daha fazla bilgi burada 'da mevcuttur.

İşin bazı oldukça önemli özellikleri otomatikleştirmek için zordur:

  • Sosyal Algılama

  • Özgünlük

Kullanıcı anketi

Önümüzdeki iki on yıl içinde tam otomasyona geçme şansı 64%

Ziyaretçilerimiz, bu mesleğin otomatikleştirileceği ihtimali üzerine oy kullandılar. Bu değerlendirme, otomasyon risk seviyesinin hesaplanması ile daha da desteklenmektedir, bu da otomasyonun %70% olasılığını tahmin eder.

Otomasyonun riski hakkında ne düşünüyorsunuz?

Bilgisayar Programcılarıın önümüzdeki 20 yıl içinde robotlar veya yapay zeka tarafından değiştirilme olasılığı nedir?






Duygu

Aşağıdaki grafik, anlamlı veriler sunmak için yeterli miktarda oy bulunduğunda eklenir. Bu görsel temsiller, kullanıcı anket sonuçlarını zaman içinde göstererek duygu eğilimlerine dair önemli bir gösterge sağlar.

Zaman içindeki duygu durumu (üç aylık)

Zaman içindeki duygu durumu (yıllık)

Büyüme

Diğer mesleklere göre çok yavaş büyüme.

'Computer Programmers' iş açıklarının sayısının 2033 yılına kadar 9,6% azalması bekleniyor

Toplam istihdam ve tahmini iş açılışları

* 2021 ve 2031 arasındaki dönem için İşgücü İstatistikleri Bürosu'ndan alınan veriler. Lütfen çevirinin mantıklı ve web sitesi kullanımı için uygun olduğundan emin olun.
Güncellenmiş projeksiyonlar 09-2024 tarihinde teslim edilmelidir..

Ücretler

Diğer mesleklere göre çok yüksek maaşlı

2023 yılında, 'Computer Programmers' için medyan yıllık ücret $99.700 idi, yani saat başına $47.

'Computer Programmers' ulusal medyan ücretin, $48.060 olduğu yerde, %107,4% daha yüksek bir ücret aldılar.

Zaman içindeki ücretler

* İşgücü İstatistikleri Bürosu'ndan alınan veriler.

Hacim

Diğer mesleklere kıyasla daha geniş iş olanakları yelpazesi

2023 itibariyle Amerika Birleşik Devletleri'nde 120.370 kişi 'Computer Programmers' olarak istihdam edilmiştir.

Bu, ülke genelindeki istihdam edilen iş gücünün yaklaşık olarak %0,08%'ını temsil eder.

Başka bir deyişle, her 1 bin kişiden biri 'Computer Programmers' olarak istihdam edilmektedir.

İş tanımı

Bilgisayar uygulamalarının çalışmasına izin veren kodları ve betikleri oluşturun, değiştirin ve test edin. Yazılım ve web geliştiricileri veya diğer kişiler tarafından çizilen özelliklerden çalışın. Belirli belgeleri, verileri ve bilgileri depolamak, bulmak ve almak için bilgisayar programları geliştirebilir ve yazabilir.

SOC Code: 15-1251.00

Kaynaklar

Yerel bölgenizde iş arayın

Yeni bir kariyere başlama veya iş değiştirme düşünceniz varsa, size mükemmel yeni rolü bulmanızda yardımcı olabilecek kullanışlı bir iş arama aracı oluşturduk.

Yerel bölgenizde iş arayın

Yorumlar

Leave a comment

J 5 days ago
Robots aint gonna code themselves, if we get to that point then that's Skynet/matrix. Aka end of the world for everyone so who cares
0 0 Reply
John pork (Hiç şansı yok) 13 days ago
it is because AI and robots require programming and without programmers, they cannot function
0 0 Reply
Emy (Son derece muhtemel) 15 days ago
Even though programming can demand thinking sometimes, 70% of the work is repetitive or the same across different business. Not only that, but 80% of the time you are not solving any complex problem that demands creativity or deep thinking.
2 0 Reply
Jersey Jim 9 days ago
You can convert from one language to another with AI and a developer is not protected by knowing Java vs C#. This further erodes job protection. Recreating the wheel will drastically stop in programming and I'd imagine known problems will converge to one solution.
0 0 Reply
@irton (Hiç şansı yok) 1 month ago
Why do they already develop this, and AI is not smart enough to do more? To complement, it is good.
1 2 Reply
Cessna (Belirsiz) 1 month ago
Some AI can program or help a person program like chatgpt
1 0 Reply
Siddhant Tambe (Belirsiz) 1 month ago
In order for AI to truly replace a Human computer programmer job, they will need to be "human" enough to handle the multiple complexities of building a whole ecosystem of a software product, along with defining clients who has accurately specify requirement.
For instance, I asked ChatGPT to write me a simple code that creates a "conversation" with OpenAI's APIs. It could not even do that accurately.
Current likelihood of replacing a computer programmer is laughable at best. Maybe over 20 years there might be "some" progress.
3 1 Reply
pleb 12 days ago
To be honest, it's quite scary that most people think this job will be entirely replaced. If AI ever fully becomes "human enough" (as you said! That's a brilliant way to put it) to take over every single Computer Programmer job... well, I don't think we have to worry about whether CS Majors will get employed.
0 0 Reply
Some Programmer (Düşük) 2 months ago
We need programmers to make AI, the programmers themselves propel AI ahead by making new ideas, AI cannot do that it is simply using the knowledge it has to gen a quick answer for the user based on training, however i do believe that there is a chance that AI will replace humans if its way of thinking becomes completely identical as to a human would think and if quantum computing gets invented.
3 0 Reply
half-full 12 days ago
a good example of this would be asking an ai to generate a wineglass thats full to the brim; it cant because all the pictures online are half-full, lmao
0 0 Reply
Arsh (Ilımlı) 2 months ago
Some concepts like orginaltity and thinking can not be replicated, but base code is in danger
1 0 Reply
Somone (Ilımlı) 2 months ago
This job could be revamped/transformed but i don't think AI will take over completely because AI isn't good at randomness and complex thinking/problem solving so i think AI will be a tool that will assist coders, engineers, etc not take over completely.
2 0 Reply
random idiot (Hiç şansı yok) 2 months ago
Don't Computer programmers code AI...
2 4 Reply
Distragin (Düşük) 2 months ago
The amount of Ai copying from one another is insane if one Ai makes a mistake it could be devastating to other AI informational sources. This is why coding and programming are minimal risk, AI is most likely just gonna copy each other leading to inefficient mayhem!
1 1 Reply
Jersey Jim 9 days ago
These reasons have little bearing on the push for automation. Modern DevOps can push out fixes quickly. Companies don't really suffer much from downtime or security breaches. AI only has to be good enough with slight imperfections to kill jobs. Companies have already be proven willing to eat some losses from self-checkouts versus cashiers. It is cold math. The cost savings will far exceed the losses from downtime or government fines.
0 0 Reply
Guilherme (Düşük) 3 months ago
Because client's need change and language models can't pick up nuances 100% of the time there will always be a place for programers. But the kind of tasks they perform might change.
1 0 Reply
darkmewtwo (Düşük) 3 months ago
Ask an ai to simplify code. It will not work
2 2 Reply
Wes (Hiç şansı yok) 3 months ago
You still need someone to understand every line of code the AI produces. Although AI is decent at programming now, I am certain that we will always need a human to write code to some degree.
6 1 Reply
` (Belirsiz) 4 months ago
I think that while there is a high chance that AI will be used to automate the creation of basic code, AI will always make mistakes that have to be corrected by humans who know what they're doing, and I don't think AI will replace programmers in the next ~20 years because of the need for complex and intricate code used in projects such as game engines.
10 3 Reply
Guy (Son derece muhtemel) 5 months ago
Already starting, automation has begun being used for coding in many places.
6 4 Reply
Adrian 3 months ago
Agreed. AI will continue to grow, and it learns faster than any human could. The only type of software development postions I see staying is the creation of new languages. However, these jobs will be very few and require an insanely high level of education and years of experience. Heck, these jobs are offshored right now.
1 0 Reply
Luke 3 months ago
Often incorrect and needs fixing though, at least from my experience.
4 0 Reply
Caro (Düşük) 5 months ago
There will probably be many bugs (Like how Ai has trouble with fingers), so no matter what, the job will be necessary.
5 5 Reply
Aiden (Ilımlı) 5 months ago
bc like it might but prob not and like it will always be important to have human programmers because if ai ever become sentient and gain their own objectives, they will have all the power in the world if they're the only ones that know how to run our code and stuff like that so yea it would be dangerous to give that much power away to them
1 7 Reply
Mistral Claude 7 months ago
Here is the thing my dudes. As professional programer (30 years on the job, so of that thing even replaces out job, I will surely be retired already anyway) I tried chatgpt, copilot, Claude and even Mistral for coding. They are all pretty darn helpful to code on nephew level...you know, that terrible code we got from a 3rd party to maintain? Yeah. It goes great on that level. It's also great to do start level stuff that has been done 1000s of times. Try doing something new though, or some actual logic, and they fail, always. And never even realize they are failing. The reason is pretty simple. what we have (the llms) are not real AIs. When (if) we have a real AI, then, the moment a computer can replicate human level programming, is also the moment the computer can code another AI doesn't it? What would happen if it can code a AI better than itself?
20 4 Reply
Jose 5 months ago
Some of the best programmers in the world are working daily to help improve ChatGTP and other models. The capabilities are quickly increasing and given some time they will be better than most programmers. So yes some very good programmers will have a job, but most will not be needed. You wrote the comment 2 months ago, there is now a new model which you thought was not possible 2 months ago. What will happen in another 2 months, or 2 years?
9 6 Reply
DB 2 months ago
New model does not not mean better solution always
0 0 Reply
Ritchie Duncan (Son derece muhtemel) 7 months ago
AI suites such as ChatGPT etc have the ability to code functions in a variety of languages and for various platforms. A simple description of the function to be created, along with the system, such as Visual Studio, Unity etc allows the code to be copied and pasted into the code base.
Arguably within the next 10 years, programmers, in the form we know them now, will be obsolete.
5 5 Reply
Socks 7 months ago
Until AI programs can always fix everything in e.g. app that is being made as well as in themselves they will be just a tool for already competent programmer that has to understand most details anyway.
5 1 Reply

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