Genel Bakış
Otomasyon Riski
2. Kullanıcı Anketi
3. Büyüme
4. Ücretler
5. Hacim
Tanım
Kaynaklar
Yorumlar

Müzik Direktörleri ve Besteciler

OTOMASYON RİSKİ
HESAPLANAN
9%
risk seviyesi
ANKET YAPMA
37%
351 oy üzerinden
İŞGÜCÜ TALEBİ
BÜYÜME
4,9%
yıl 2032 itibariyle
ÜCRETLER
62.940 $
veya saat başına 30,26 $
Hacim
11.690
2022 itibariyle
ÖZET
İŞ SKORU
5,9/10

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Oy Verin
Yorumlar (24)

Otomasyon riski

9% (Minimum Risk)

Minimum Risk (0-20%): Bu kategorideki meslekler genellikle karmaşık problem çözme, yaratıcılık, güçlü kişilerarası beceriler ve yüksek derecede manuel beceri gerektirdiği için otomatikleştirilme olasılığı düşüktür. Bu işler genellikle karmaşık el hareketleri ve hassas koordinasyon gerektirir, bu da makinelerin gerekli görevleri taklit etmesini zorlaştırır.

Bu puanın ne olduğu ve nasıl hesaplandığına dair daha fazla bilgi burada 'da mevcuttur.

İşin bazı çok önemli nitelikleri otomatikleştirmek zordur:

  • Güzel Sanatlar

İşin bazı oldukça önemli özellikleri otomatikleştirmek için zordur:

  • Özgünlük

  • İkna

  • Sosyal Algılama

  • Pazarlık

Kullanıcı anketi

Önümüzdeki iki on yıl içinde tam otomasyona geçme şansı 37%

Ziyaretçilerimiz, bu mesleğin otomatikleşme şansının düşük olduğunu belirtmişlerdir. Bu değerlendirme, otomasyon risk seviyesinin hesaplanması ile daha da desteklenmektedir, bu da otomasyonun %9% olasılığını tahmin eder.

Otomasyonun riski hakkında ne düşünüyorsunuz?

Müzik Direktörleri ve Bestecilerın önümüzdeki 20 yıl içinde robotlar veya yapay zeka tarafından değiştirilme olasılığı nedir?






Duygu

Aşağıdaki grafik(ler), anlamlı veri oluşturmak için önemli miktarda oy olduğu her yerde dahil edilmiştir. Bu görsel temsiller, zaman içinde kullanıcı anket sonuçlarını göstererek, duygu eğilimleri hakkında önemli bir gösterge sağlar.

Zaman içindeki duygu durumu (yıllık)

Büyüme

Diğer mesleklere göre orta düzeyde büyüme

'Music Directors and Composers' iş ilanlarının sayısının 2032 yılına kadar 4,9% artması bekleniyor.

Toplam istihdam ve tahmini iş açılışları

* 2021 ve 2031 arasındaki dönem için İşgücü İstatistikleri Bürosu'ndan alınan veriler. Lütfen çevirinin mantıklı ve web sitesi kullanımı için uygun olduğundan emin olun.
Güncellenmiş projeksiyonlar 09-2023 tarihinde teslim edilmelidir..

Ücretler

Diğer mesleklere göre orta düzeyde maaş alıyor.

2022 yılında, 'Music Directors and Composers' için medyan yıllık ücret 62.940 $ idi, yani saat başına 30 $.

'Music Directors and Composers' ulusal medyan ücretin, 46.310 $ olduğu yerde, %35,9% daha yüksek bir ücret aldılar.

Zaman içindeki ücretler

* İşgücü İstatistikleri Bürosu'ndan alınan veriler.

Hacim

Diğer mesleklere kıyasla çok daha düşük iş fırsatları aralığı

2022 itibariyle Amerika Birleşik Devletleri'nde 11.690 kişi 'Music Directors and Composers' olarak istihdam edilmiştir.

Bu, ülke genelindeki istihdam edilen iş gücünün yaklaşık olarak %< 0,001%'ını temsil eder.

Başka bir deyişle, her 12 bin kişiden biri 'Music Directors and Composers' olarak istihdam edilmektedir.

İş tanımı

Müzik sanatçıları veya grupları tarafından gerçekleştirilen enstrümantal veya vokal performansları yönetin, yönlendirin, planlayın ve yönetin; örneğin orkestralar, gruplar, korolar ve neşe kulüpleri; veya orijinal müzik eserleri yaratın.

SOC Code: 27-2041.00

Kaynaklar

Yeni bir kariyere başlama veya iş değiştirme düşünceniz varsa, size mükemmel yeni rolü bulmanızda yardımcı olabilecek kullanışlı bir iş arama aracı oluşturduk.

Yerel bölgenizde iş arayın

Yorumlar

Yorum bırakın

"J (Düşük) diyor ki"
The only people are impressed by the music AIVA and other AI technologies create are people who either lack an ability to evaluate music properly (they are not musical themselves and don't actively listen to music) or people who stand to gain if they can replace the creativity of composers with a program.

This is without taking into account all of the interpersonal elements of composition, which are also not well understood by people who don't do this work.

Finally, given that humans are subject to copyright law and that the level of imitation and inspiration from previous works is controlled and limited by these laws, it is unlikely that music created by AI that was not drastically reshaped by a human composer would avoid copyright lawsuits or be subject to copyright itself, as current technology in this field only knows how to aggregate and make stylistic choices based on probability. A human composer is not going to waste time fiddling with AI compositions to "get them there" when they could just write something themselves.

Show me an evangelist who actually produces music and isn't heavily invested in AI themselves in some way, and I'll reconsider.
Jan 06, 2024 at 09:08 ÖS
"Rachel Farina (Son derece muhtemel) diyor ki"
AI is already composing and generating music. Algorithms can already curate. There will always be work for the top - John Williams, Hans Zimmer won't find their work gone. But for indie films and anyone on a budget, AI composing will be the thing within the next few years. The technology grows at an exponential pace. Though stuff sounds embarrassing now, six months from now, that will not be the case.
Mar 28, 2023 at 10:43 ÖS
"Marcus (Son derece muhtemel) diyor ki"
As we already see everything can be done by sophisticated software. It started with pictures, then text and next is music. We all thought Software can never replace artists, but as we see that was a wrong assupmtion and in fact got hit first by the "AI" hype. With enough data and "training" any sort of music will be possible. Using a DAW will be obsolete.
Mar 04, 2023 at 02:49 ÖS
"Fl studio 20 (Son derece muhtemel) diyor ki"
Art like graphic design is already being synthesized with superb detail using AI. What's to say that music isn't next?
Sep 18, 2022 at 11:47 ÖS
"yo lads (Ilımlı) diyor ki"
i seen some robots making chunes and people saying they bussin beats
bye bye dutse, hesh and koot
Sep 16, 2021 at 06:14 ÖÖ
"Zac (Hiç şansı yok) diyor ki"
Even if they could it wouldn't be the same as a person composing and putting their input and ideas into the composition. The feeling and emotion has to come from within to create something astonishing in my opinion. Because of this, they wouldn't fully replace humans in music writing/composing.
Jun 16, 2021 at 04:48 ÖÖ
"John (Son derece muhtemel) diyor ki"
There are already many ai composers like AIVA, so I am pretty sure in the next 15-20 years ai composers will replace human music composers.
May 07, 2021 at 08:39 ÖS
"DJ (Hiç şansı yok) diyor ki"
Produce own style of music, create melody you like, there is just no way AI could replace it
Mar 20, 2021 at 05:00 ÖS
"Gadgetsz diyor ki"
The act of composing will not be replaced BUT it will definitely change and maybe become more easy and accessible for all people. Maybe one day, everyone is a composer because you don't even need to learn score writing, DAW, playing or singing. Maybe just by thinking, you can create masterworks.. We will see?
Mar 05, 2021 at 06:34 ÖS
"EdwinBrophy diyor ki"
Composing pop music is already nearly completely automated but serious music will continue to require human composers.
Jul 07, 2020 at 01:34 ÖS
"EdwinBrophyIsAClown diyor ki"
Composing pop music is not automated. Just because it is created on a computer doesn't mean it is automated, you still need human to create the ideas.
Dec 08, 2020 at 11:57 ÖÖ
"nathanuppnext diyor ki"
I'm a trap producer and its true
Apr 11, 2021 at 07:12 ÖS
"Dave diyor ki"
Not true, and there is no such thing as 'serious music'
Sep 20, 2022 at 11:32 ÖS
"Joshua diyor ki"
People who learn the same music theories write different songs, so do robots. Robots are rarely likely to replace human beings in the field of composition.
Jun 01, 2020 at 03:19 ÖS
"Natalie (Düşük) diyor ki"
Music would be awful of it was automated. Music requires feelings to be any good.
May 22, 2020 at 01:00 ÖÖ
"Joel (Hiç şansı yok) diyor ki"
Music, or the act of composing music, has no formula of equation to it. Music is the expression of one's emotions, often called the outburst of the soul. A robot or machine is literally incapable of having emotions or a soul, therefore a robot will never be able to replace a human composer.
Jun 26, 2019 at 03:40 ÖÖ
"Jason diyor ki"
You are wrong. A big part of AI works by spotting patterns. Patterns is relatively simple given that there are only so many notes and scales in music. It can even come out with sounds that arent be able to be produced by normal instruments. AI can already write articles somewhat. They can already compose music (see link below). Playing music is trivial and doesnt even require AI. There are only 2 things that an AI may have trouble with.

1. Which is understanding which part of what they created did a human like and thus may have trouble using reinforced learning.

2. Lyrics have meaning behind the words. Its much more complex than just a melody. Its these lyrics and building melody in combination with lyrics which is going to be rather difficult but not impossible. Lyric writing is going to be one of the Last things AI will be able to do.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wYb3Wimn01s
Sep 01, 2019 at 10:23 ÖÖ
"Anomius Maximus (Hiç şansı yok) diyor ki"
No way a robot would have ever been able to create a song as great, innovative, inspiring and culture changing as the masterpiece that is known as 'All Star' by Smash Mouth.
Apr 29, 2019 at 11:34 ÖS
"Matt diyor ki"
:)
Apr 30, 2019 at 08:28 ÖS
"Someone (Son derece muhtemel) diyor ki"
Sad but very likely. Many projects (e.g. Jukedeck and Aiva) have already proven this by analyzing works made by humans and creating their own pieces.
Apr 26, 2019 at 06:54 ÖS
"Nikola diyor ki"
But just because a robot can "make" music or "write" a book, i.e. create a composite of what's already out there, it doesn't mean that these professions will be overtaken by AI. People gravitate towards works of art created by humans, because reading a good book or gives you insight into the mind of the person who created it, in addition to possibly being relatable to you on a personal level.

Art is deeply individual, both from the perspective of the artist and the consumer of art. I'd say it's very hard to imagine that any creative profession that's grounded in relaying the sensory, emotional, intellectual, and philosophical experiences of the world would ever cease to exist. People will always feel the need to tell stories and express themselves through art, and other people will always want to hear those stories and consume that art. It's because art gives more meaning to our lives. It elevates our experience of living to another level.

There's a difference between automating jobs like assembly line work or driving and automating creative work. The former can arguably be perfected through automation, while the latter becomes devoid of meaning through automation.

Only one way I can imagine this happening is if all humans cease to exist, and we're replaced by machines. But if that happens, I won't be around to care.
Jul 13, 2020 at 12:54 ÖS
"Zaran Jathaul (Hiç şansı yok) diyor ki"
You can't automate music. Unless it is dub step but even then people have to make that. After hundreds of years why has classical music always stayed popular? Because it is an advanced form of music that people understand once they get an advanced understanding of music and that is why people will always pay to see it live.
Apr 09, 2019 at 02:27 ÖS

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