Ağır ve Traktör-Treyler Kamyon Şoförleri

Yüksek Risk
66%
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Sonuçlarınızı arkadaşlarınız ve ailenizle paylaşın.
Veya, Bu Mesleği Daha Ayrıntılı Keşfedin...
OTOMASYON RİSKİ
HESAPLANAN
86%
(Yakın Tehlike)
ANKET YAPMA
47%
(Orta Risk)
Average: 66%
İŞGÜCÜ TALEBİ
BÜYÜME
4,6%
yıl 2033 itibariyle
ÜCRETLER
$54.320
veya saat başına $26,11
Hacim
2.044.400
2023 itibariyle
ÖZET
İŞ SKORU
4,5/10

İnsanlar ayrıca inceledi

Hesaplanmış otomasyon riski

86% (Yakın Tehlike)

Yakın Tehlike (81-100%): Bu seviyedeki mesleklerin yakın gelecekte otomatikleştirilme olasılığı son derece yüksektir. Bu işler, genellikle insan muhakemesine pek ihtiyaç duyulmayan tekrarlayan, öngörülebilir görevlerden oluşmaktadır.

Bu puanın ne olduğu ve nasıl hesaplandığına dair daha fazla bilgi burada 'da mevcuttur.

İşin bazı oldukça önemli özellikleri otomatikleştirmek için zordur:

  • El Becerisi

Kullanıcı anketi

Önümüzdeki iki on yıl içinde tam otomasyona geçme şansı 47%

Ziyaretçilerimiz, bu mesleğin otomatikleştirilip otomatikleştirilmeyeceğinden emin olmadıklarını belirtmişler. Ancak, oluşturduğumuz otomasyon risk seviyesi, otomasyonun çok daha yüksek bir ihtimal olduğunu öne sürmektedir: %86% otomasyon şansı.

Otomasyonun riski hakkında ne düşünüyorsunuz?

Ağır ve Traktör-Treyler Kamyon Şoförleriın önümüzdeki 20 yıl içinde robotlar veya yapay zeka tarafından değiştirilme olasılığı nedir?






Duygu

Aşağıdaki grafik, anlamlı veriler sunmak için yeterli miktarda oy bulunduğunda eklenir. Bu görsel temsiller, kullanıcı anket sonuçlarını zaman içinde göstererek duygu eğilimlerine dair önemli bir gösterge sağlar.

Zaman içindeki duygu durumu (yıllık)

Büyüme

Diğer mesleklere göre orta düzeyde büyüme

'Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers' iş ilanlarının sayısının 2033 yılına kadar 4,6% artması bekleniyor.

Toplam istihdam ve tahmini iş açılışları

* 2021 ve 2031 arasındaki dönem için İşgücü İstatistikleri Bürosu'ndan alınan veriler. Lütfen çevirinin mantıklı ve web sitesi kullanımı için uygun olduğundan emin olun.
Güncellenmiş projeksiyonlar 09-2024 tarihinde teslim edilmelidir..

Ücretler

Diğer mesleklere göre orta düzeyde maaş alıyor.

2023 yılında, 'Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers' için medyan yıllık ücret $54.320 idi, yani saat başına $26.

'Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers' ulusal medyan ücretin, $48.060 olduğu yerde, %13,0% daha yüksek bir ücret aldılar.

Zaman içindeki ücretler

* İşgücü İstatistikleri Bürosu'ndan alınan veriler.

Hacim

Diğer mesleklere kıyasla önemli ölçüde daha fazla iş fırsatı yelpazesi

2023 itibariyle Amerika Birleşik Devletleri'nde 2.044.400 kişi 'Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers' olarak istihdam edilmiştir.

Bu, ülke genelindeki istihdam edilen iş gücünün yaklaşık olarak %1,3%'ını temsil eder.

Başka bir deyişle, her 74 kişiden biri 'Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers' olarak istihdam edilmektedir.

İş tanımı

En az 26.001 pound Brüt Araç Ağırlığı (GVW) kapasitesine sahip bir traktör-römork kombinasyonu veya bir kamyon sürün. Kamyonu boşaltmanız gerekebilir. Ticari sürücü belgesi gereklidir. Çekici kamyon sürücülerini içerir.

SOC Code: 53-3032.00

Kaynaklar

Yerel bölgenizde iş arayın

Yeni bir kariyere başlama veya iş değiştirme düşünceniz varsa, size mükemmel yeni rolü bulmanızda yardımcı olabilecek kullanışlı bir iş arama aracı oluşturduk.

Yerel bölgenizde iş arayın

Yorumlar

Leave a comment

Stan (Hiç şansı yok) 4 months ago
The roads are not well maintained and smooth causing weather to be a high judgment factor.
0 0 Reply
Kevin (Düşük) 4 months ago
AI cannot adapt to road conditions, it also can not chain tires, drop trailers or easily re route in a big truck. It's very unlikely that big class A trucks will be replaced by an AI, unless trillions are spent on inferstucre. Also thefts would be much more of a problem along with safety features.

Imagine thieves braking in front of a big truck and it stops as to not hit them and they look the trailer or disconnect it.

There's too much liability, along with small tasks and decisions that need to be made on the fly.

It's much more likely doctors and lawyers will be replaced first because AI could diagnose you and do surgical procedures. 1 doctor or lawyer could open up a practice and manage hundreds of clients with a powerful enough AI before class A trucks could be safely implemented and insured.
0 0 Reply
Evan (Belirsiz) 8 months ago
because i think that we could make self driving trucks, but the driver itself has to problem solve like first off what if the truck is about to run over a car but the sencors are broken in that area. but if we had a human driver then they could problem solve and quick swerve away
0 0 Reply
Lars 8 months ago
I don't think automation will be possible within 50 years for this type of work. Just think of the train that in the maximum line could also be automated immediately, but if you always try to have a train driver on board. Artificial intelligence is still too immature to be used in such a dangerous job. In conclusion, the truck driver is a job that is still too specialized and varied, to be robotic.
1 0 Reply
Shayne Thomas (Düşük) 9 months ago
I just don't believe autonomous trucking could become a thing unless people were to give up their ability to drive themselves. If no one drove and it was just robots then it is a very plausible scenario. It would probably be safer and more efficient than if humans were driving the same trucks. The counter to that, I would say, is that it would only be that way if only robots were driving. This is because of human error, being impatient, not being a good driver, and driving under the influence. There are many factors to include when putting human drivers into the equation that cannot be calculated by a machine. Personally, I don't want to give up my own freedom to drive so companies could be slightly more efficient and I'm sure there are a lot of others who would feel similar.
1 0 Reply
Josh (Belirsiz) 1 year ago
Seems no one has visited this section in awhile. I think it's safe to say all previous comments and this assessment itself was based off over-hyped technology that has proven to be much more complicated than initially thought. The eventual automation of commercial drivers is probably high but still decades away with the current challenges.
1 0 Reply
Anonymous (Belirsiz) 1 year ago
It's going to be automated; it's not debatable. The question is, "How soon will it happen?" My guess is that it's going to take another 20 to 50 years before the technology is sophisticated enough to displace human beings. At that point, it'd no longer be an attractive or plausible occupation for most.

If you're in your 30s, you can likely still make an income from trucking, and you may even be able to ride it out until retirement. However, if you're the next generation of kids, probably not.
1 0 Reply
Jeremy 2 years ago
It's truly the case that Tesla is leading with the new Cyber Trucks and future models. How much profit can be made by just selling 1,000 trucks? There is a huge market.

All they need is a new law with dedicated trucker lanes, similar to bike or bus lanes.
0 0 Reply
2nd rule of the pirate code: Curfew by 10 PM 1 year ago
"All they need is a new law with dedicated trucker lanes, similar to bike or bus lanes."
So, you want a dedicated lane for a Heavy vehicle to drive through, which the heavy vehicle in question is dedicated solely to transporting materials and goods.

You are describing a Train.
But specifically a train that moves on streets and highways. If there are two things the U.S loves (assuming we are talking specifically about the U.S), it's Guns and Cars. I doubt people would be too happy letting a big portion of driveable area get used up nor would they be happy to have it drive next to them, because the fear of it malfunctioning would be heightened. That's also not to mention how primitive the ai is for self driving, and the potential ethical concerns.

I do think that Ai will replace delivery jobs like this, but It'll most likely be in a form that would have the least potential to cause damage, like a drone or a train out in the middle of nowhere.
1 0 Reply
Mr. Nobody (Düşük) 2 years ago
Certain cities have a very tight shipping/receiving docks, not to mention the streets.. who’s going to chain up the tires in the snow?
0 0 Reply
Nathan (Ilımlı) 2 years ago
Even though working on trucks will become safer, it will still be unsafe and there is a likelihood of getting hurt.
0 0 Reply
Mark (Düşük) 2 years ago
Parts of the trucking industry are likely to be automated in the next 20 years. For instance, long-distance convoys. But truckers do more than just drive. They also do maintenance, load balancing, inspections, and sometimes loading and unloading at destinations.

As such, for short-haul routes, the "driving" part is a relatively minor part of the job. Even if it's automated, the trucker is still needed. For long-haul routes, robotic convoys will indeed eliminate the need for some drivers. But each convoy will still need a shepherd for the other duties that can't be substantially eliminated in that period of time.
0 0 Reply
Matt (Son derece muhtemel) 2 years ago
As a truck driver, I have mixed views on automated driving. I don't see any evidence that a truck could be 100% autonomous in my lifetime. There is so much more to trucking than just driving, a lot more.
1 0 Reply
Ry 2 years ago
Lol, if you've ever been a local city truck driver, this will never happen. Maybe interstate driving could be automated for the mega-corporations, but local driving in a major city? Probably never. The fact that this has such a high likelihood of getting votes proves that you shouldn't blindly believe anyone on the internet who tells you anything. Most of the votes are clearly not from anyone in the industry.
0 0 Reply
RB Hopson (Düşük) 3 years ago
Although the tech will be here soon, I think the infrastructure required to fully automate this sector will take much longer to implement.
0 0 Reply
Nico Cione (Son derece muhtemel) 3 years ago
I think that there will be driverless electric-powered trucks in the future.
0 0 Reply
Mr. T (Son derece muhtemel) 3 years ago
Especially long haul transport will be vulnerable because these routes are less complex to automize. Short-haul transport will stay relevant a little longer. Although there will be massive competition, due to the low entry barriers of starting at this job.
0 0 Reply
Steve (Son derece muhtemel) 3 years ago
Based on the current processes, and the vast evolution of self driving cars
0 0 Reply
Andrea (Hiç şansı yok) 3 years ago
A robot cannot replace the instincts of human driving knowledge, especially during extreme weather conditions. I haven’t even begun to discuss pre trip inspections or backing and parking a trailer in a dock. This takes many years to master. This is not like driving a car. Robots will NEVER replace a human driver.
0 0 Reply
Ryan R 3 years ago
Likely sooner. There are already semi trucks with AI learn cameras installed on them going around. Won't be shocked if it's sooner than a decade.
0 0 Reply
Steve W. 3 years ago
Bad news: Search for "This Year, Autonomous Trucks Will Take to the Road With No One on Board"
Autonomous trucks are here! Expect to find a new career as early as 2024.
0 0 Reply
Kevin 4 months ago
Here we are and nope no where to be found. Doctors and lawyers will have to find new jobs before truck drivers.
0 0 Reply

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