Genel Bakış
Otomasyon Riski
2. Kullanıcı Anketi
3. Büyüme
4. Ücretler
5. Hacim
Tanım
Kaynaklar
Yorumlar

Ağır ve Traktör-Treyler Kamyon Şoförleri

OTOMASYON RİSKİ
HESAPLANAN
88%
risk seviyesi
ANKET YAPMA
64%
537 oy üzerinden
İŞGÜCÜ TALEBİ
BÜYÜME
4,3%
yıl 2032 itibariyle
ÜCRETLER
49.920 $
veya saat başına 24,00 $
Hacim
1.984.180
2022 itibariyle
ÖZET
İŞ SKORU
3,8/10

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Oy Verin
Yorumlar (33)

Otomasyon riski

88% (Yakın Tehlike)

Yakın Tehlike (81-100%): Bu seviyedeki mesleklerin yakın gelecekte otomatikleştirilme olasılığı son derece yüksektir. Bu işler, genellikle insan muhakemesine pek ihtiyaç duyulmayan tekrarlayan, öngörülebilir görevlerden oluşmaktadır.

Bu puanın ne olduğu ve nasıl hesaplandığına dair daha fazla bilgi burada 'da mevcuttur.

İşin bazı oldukça önemli özellikleri otomatikleştirmek için zordur:

  • El Becerisi

Kullanıcı anketi

Önümüzdeki iki on yıl içinde tam otomasyona geçme şansı 64%

Ziyaretçilerimiz, bu mesleğin otomatikleştirileceği ihtimali üzerine oy kullandılar. Bu değerlendirme, otomasyon risk seviyesinin hesaplanması ile daha da desteklenmektedir, bu da otomasyonun %88% olasılığını tahmin eder.

Otomasyonun riski hakkında ne düşünüyorsunuz?

Ağır ve Traktör-Treyler Kamyon Şoförleriın önümüzdeki 20 yıl içinde robotlar veya yapay zeka tarafından değiştirilme olasılığı nedir?






Duygu

Aşağıdaki grafik(ler), anlamlı veri oluşturmak için önemli miktarda oy olduğu her yerde dahil edilmiştir. Bu görsel temsiller, zaman içinde kullanıcı anket sonuçlarını göstererek, duygu eğilimleri hakkında önemli bir gösterge sağlar.

Zaman içindeki duygu durumu (yıllık)

Büyüme

Diğer mesleklere göre orta düzeyde büyüme

'Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers' iş ilanlarının sayısının 2032 yılına kadar 4,3% artması bekleniyor.

Toplam istihdam ve tahmini iş açılışları

* 2021 ve 2031 arasındaki dönem için İşgücü İstatistikleri Bürosu'ndan alınan veriler. Lütfen çevirinin mantıklı ve web sitesi kullanımı için uygun olduğundan emin olun.
Güncellenmiş projeksiyonlar 09-2023 tarihinde teslim edilmelidir..

Ücretler

Diğer mesleklere göre orta düzeyde maaş alıyor.

2022 yılında, 'Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers' için medyan yıllık ücret 49.920 $ idi, yani saat başına 23 $.

'Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers' ulusal medyan ücretin, 46.310 $ olduğu yerde, %7,8% daha yüksek bir ücret aldılar.

Zaman içindeki ücretler

* İşgücü İstatistikleri Bürosu'ndan alınan veriler.

Hacim

Diğer mesleklere kıyasla önemli ölçüde daha fazla iş fırsatı yelpazesi

2022 itibariyle Amerika Birleşik Devletleri'nde 1.984.180 kişi 'Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers' olarak istihdam edilmiştir.

Bu, ülke genelindeki istihdam edilen iş gücünün yaklaşık olarak %1,3%'ını temsil eder.

Başka bir deyişle, her 74 kişiden biri 'Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers' olarak istihdam edilmektedir.

İş tanımı

En az 26.001 pound Brüt Araç Ağırlığı (GVW) kapasitesine sahip bir traktör-römork kombinasyonu veya bir kamyon sürün. Kamyonu boşaltmanız gerekebilir. Ticari sürücü belgesi gereklidir. Çekici kamyon sürücülerini içerir.

SOC Code: 53-3032.00

Kaynaklar

Yeni bir kariyere başlama veya iş değiştirme düşünceniz varsa, size mükemmel yeni rolü bulmanızda yardımcı olabilecek kullanışlı bir iş arama aracı oluşturduk.

Yerel bölgenizde iş arayın

Yorumlar

Yorum bırakın

"Shayne Thomas (Düşük) diyor ki"
I just don't believe autonomous trucking could become a thing unless people were to give up their ability to drive themselves. If no one drove and it was just robots then it is a very plausible scenario. It would probably be safer and more efficient than if humans were driving the same trucks. The counter to that, I would say, is that it would only be that way if only robots were driving. This is because of human error, being impatient, not being a good driver, and driving under the influence. There are many factors to include when putting human drivers into the equation that cannot be calculated by a machine. Personally, I don't want to give up my own freedom to drive so companies could be slightly more efficient and I'm sure there are a lot of others who would feel similar.
Mar 25, 2024 at 08:24 ÖS
"Josh (Belirsiz) diyor ki"
Seems no one has visited this section in awhile. I think it's safe to say all previous comments and this assessment itself was based off over-hyped technology that has proven to be much more complicated than initially thought. The eventual automation of commercial drivers is probably high but still decades away with the current challenges.
Nov 01, 2023 at 02:18 ÖS
"Anonymous (Belirsiz) diyor ki"
It's going to be automated; it's not debatable. The question is, "How soon will it happen?" My guess is that it's going to take another 20 to 50 years before the technology is sophisticated enough to displace human beings. At that point, it'd no longer be an attractive or plausible occupation for most.

If you're in your 30s, you can likely still make an income from trucking, and you may even be able to ride it out until retirement. However, if you're the next generation of kids, probably not.
Jan 30, 2023 at 02:01 ÖS
"Jeremy diyor ki"
It's truly the case that Tesla is leading with the new Cyber Trucks and future models. How much profit can be made by just selling 1,000 trucks? There is a huge market.

All they need is a new law with dedicated trucker lanes, similar to bike or bus lanes.
Aug 15, 2022 at 11:31 ÖS
"2nd rule of the pirate code: Curfew by 10 PM diyor ki"
"All they need is a new law with dedicated trucker lanes, similar to bike or bus lanes."
So, you want a dedicated lane for a Heavy vehicle to drive through, which the heavy vehicle in question is dedicated solely to transporting materials and goods.

You are describing a Train.
But specifically a train that moves on streets and highways. If there are two things the U.S loves (assuming we are talking specifically about the U.S), it's Guns and Cars. I doubt people would be too happy letting a big portion of driveable area get used up nor would they be happy to have it drive next to them, because the fear of it malfunctioning would be heightened. That's also not to mention how primitive the ai is for self driving, and the potential ethical concerns.

I do think that Ai will replace delivery jobs like this, but It'll most likely be in a form that would have the least potential to cause damage, like a drone or a train out in the middle of nowhere.
Oct 27, 2023 at 09:01 ÖS
"Mr. Nobody (Düşük) diyor ki"
Certain cities have a very tight shipping/receiving docks, not to mention the streets.. who’s going to chain up the tires in the snow?
Jul 12, 2022 at 08:03 ÖS
"Nathan (Ilımlı) diyor ki"
Even though working on trucks will become safer, it will still be unsafe and there is a likelihood of getting hurt.
May 22, 2022 at 11:16 ÖS
"Mark (Düşük) diyor ki"
Parts of the trucking industry are likely to be automated in the next 20 years. For instance, long-distance convoys. But truckers do more than just drive. They also do maintenance, load balancing, inspections, and sometimes loading and unloading at destinations.

As such, for short-haul routes, the "driving" part is a relatively minor part of the job. Even if it's automated, the trucker is still needed. For long-haul routes, robotic convoys will indeed eliminate the need for some drivers. But each convoy will still need a shepherd for the other duties that can't be substantially eliminated in that period of time.
Apr 19, 2022 at 01:05 ÖS
"Matt (Son derece muhtemel) diyor ki"
As a truck driver, I have mixed views on automated driving. I don't see any evidence that a truck could be 100% autonomous in my lifetime. There is so much more to trucking than just driving, a lot more.
Jan 25, 2022 at 05:22 ÖS
"Ry diyor ki"
Lol, if you've ever been a local city truck driver, this will never happen. Maybe interstate driving could be automated for the mega-corporations, but local driving in a major city? Probably never. The fact that this has such a high likelihood of getting votes proves that you shouldn't blindly believe anyone on the internet who tells you anything. Most of the votes are clearly not from anyone in the industry.
Dec 31, 2021 at 01:03 ÖÖ
"RB Hopson (Düşük) diyor ki"
Although the tech will be here soon, I think the infrastructure required to fully automate this sector will take much longer to implement.
Oct 08, 2021 at 02:20 ÖS
"Nico Cione (Son derece muhtemel) diyor ki"
I think that there will be driverless electric-powered trucks in the future.
Sep 09, 2021 at 03:15 ÖS
"Mr. T (Son derece muhtemel) diyor ki"
Especially long haul transport will be vulnerable because these routes are less complex to automize. Short-haul transport will stay relevant a little longer. Although there will be massive competition, due to the low entry barriers of starting at this job.
Sep 07, 2021 at 10:29 ÖÖ
"Steve (Son derece muhtemel) diyor ki"
Based on the current processes, and the vast evolution of self driving cars
Aug 28, 2021 at 04:08 ÖS
"Andrea (Hiç şansı yok) diyor ki"
A robot cannot replace the instincts of human driving knowledge, especially during extreme weather conditions. I haven’t even begun to discuss pre trip inspections or backing and parking a trailer in a dock. This takes many years to master. This is not like driving a car. Robots will NEVER replace a human driver.
Jun 13, 2021 at 09:09 ÖS
"Ryan R diyor ki"
Likely sooner. There are already semi trucks with AI learn cameras installed on them going around. Won't be shocked if it's sooner than a decade.
Jun 03, 2021 at 11:42 ÖS
"Steve W. diyor ki"
Bad news: Search for "This Year, Autonomous Trucks Will Take to the Road With No One on Board"
Autonomous trucks are here! Expect to find a new career as early as 2024.
May 12, 2021 at 04:31 ÖÖ
"William Sturges (Düşük) diyor ki"
Still will need a person in truck. Robots will not fuel truck or complete a UsDot inspection. It also can not get and sign paperwork or know what loading/unloading door or dock is required.
Apr 14, 2021 at 12:59 ÖS
"R.D. (Düşük) diyor ki"
Interfacing with the customer...a robot? The tractor's today are overweight with computer help and, create more of a problem. Just ask any truckdriver.
Mar 13, 2021 at 07:48 ÖS
"Daniel Churchley (Son derece muhtemel) diyor ki"
As a hgv driver I see how vehicles are evolving and I am also aware of how much money is being invested in automation with companies like Tesla
Jan 24, 2021 at 01:25 ÖS
"Pat D diyor ki"
Companies will have to have a person in every tractor trailer to oversee fueling if it's long haul. Unless they have automated fuel stops all over the country. I say 50 years min for total automated trucking. I'll send my kids though IT school by then
Jan 10, 2021 at 03:28 ÖÖ

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