Lastbils- och traktortrailerförare

RISK FÖR AUTOMATISERING
BERÄKNAD
88%
risknivå
UNDERSÖKNING
64%
Baserat på 537 röster
ARBETSMARKNADSBEHOV
TILLVÄXT
4,3%
från år 2032
LÖNER
49.920 $
eller 24,00 $ per timme
Volym
1 984 180
från och med 2022
SAMMANFATTNING
JOBBPOÄNG
3,8/10

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Risk för automatisering

88% (Omedelbar Risk)

Omedelbar risk (81-100%): Yrken på denna nivå har en extremt hög sannolikhet att automatiseras inom den närmaste framtiden. Dessa jobb består huvudsakligen av repetitiva, förutsägbara uppgifter med litet behov av mänskligt omdöme.

Mer information om vad detta betyg är, och hur det beräknas finns tillgängligt här.

Vissa ganska viktiga egenskaper hos jobbet är svåra att automatisera:

  • Manuell Fingerfärdighet

Användarundersökning

64% procent chans för full automatisering inom de närmaste två decennierna

Våra besökare har röstat för att det är troligt att detta yrke kommer att automatiseras. Detta bedömning stöds ytterligare av den beräknade automationsrisknivån, som uppskattar 88% chans för automation.

Vad tror du är risken med automatisering?

Vad är sannolikheten att Lastbils- och traktortrailerförare kommer att ersättas av robotar eller artificiell intelligens inom de närmaste 20 åren?






Känsla

Följande diagram inkluderas överallt där det finns ett betydande antal röster för att ge meningsfull data. Dessa visuella representationer visar användarundersökningars resultat över tid, vilket ger en betydande indikation på sentimenttrender.

Känslor över tid (årligen)

Tillväxt

Måttlig tillväxt jämfört med andra yrken

Antalet 'Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers' lediga jobb förväntas att öka med 4,3% till 2032

Total sysselsättning och uppskattade jobböppningar

* Data från Bureau of Labor Statistics för perioden mellan 2021 och 2031
Uppdaterade prognoser beräknas 09-2023.

Löner

Måttligt betald jämfört med andra yrken

I 2022 var den medianårliga lönen för 'Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers' 49.920 $, eller 23 $ per timme.

'Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers' betalades 7,8% högre än den nationella medianlönen, som låg på 46.310 $

Löner över tid

* Data från Byrån för arbetsstatistik

Volym

Betydligt större utbud av jobbmöjligheter jämfört med andra yrken

Från och med 2022 var det 1 984 180 personer anställda som 'Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers' inom USA.

Detta representerar cirka 1,3% av den anställda arbetskraften i hela landet

Sagt på ett annat sätt, runt 1 av 74 personer är anställda som 'Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers'.

Arbetsbeskrivning

Kör en traktor-släpvagnskombination eller en lastbil med en kapacitet på minst 26 001 pund Bruttoviktsvikt (GVW). Kan behöva lasta ur lastbilen. Kräver kommersiellt körkort. Inkluderar bärgningsbilsförare.

SOC Code: 53-3032.00

Resurser

Om du funderar på att starta en ny karriär, eller vill byta jobb, har vi skapat ett praktiskt jobbsökverktyg som kanske kan hjälpa dig att hitta den perfekta nya rollen.

Sök jobb i ditt lokala område

Kommentarer

Lämna en kommentar

Shayne Thomas (Låg) säger
I just don't believe autonomous trucking could become a thing unless people were to give up their ability to drive themselves. If no one drove and it was just robots then it is a very plausible scenario. It would probably be safer and more efficient than if humans were driving the same trucks. The counter to that, I would say, is that it would only be that way if only robots were driving. This is because of human error, being impatient, not being a good driver, and driving under the influence. There are many factors to include when putting human drivers into the equation that cannot be calculated by a machine. Personally, I don't want to give up my own freedom to drive so companies could be slightly more efficient and I'm sure there are a lot of others who would feel similar.
Mar 25, 2024 at 08:24
Josh (Osäker) säger
Seems no one has visited this section in awhile. I think it's safe to say all previous comments and this assessment itself was based off over-hyped technology that has proven to be much more complicated than initially thought. The eventual automation of commercial drivers is probably high but still decades away with the current challenges.
Nov 01, 2023 at 02:18
Anonymous (Osäker) säger
It's going to be automated; it's not debatable. The question is, "How soon will it happen?" My guess is that it's going to take another 20 to 50 years before the technology is sophisticated enough to displace human beings. At that point, it'd no longer be an attractive or plausible occupation for most.

If you're in your 30s, you can likely still make an income from trucking, and you may even be able to ride it out until retirement. However, if you're the next generation of kids, probably not.
Jan 30, 2023 at 02:01
Jeremy säger
It's truly the case that Tesla is leading with the new Cyber Trucks and future models. How much profit can be made by just selling 1,000 trucks? There is a huge market.

All they need is a new law with dedicated trucker lanes, similar to bike or bus lanes.
Aug 15, 2022 at 11:31
2nd rule of the pirate code: Curfew by 10 PM säger
"All they need is a new law with dedicated trucker lanes, similar to bike or bus lanes."
So, you want a dedicated lane for a Heavy vehicle to drive through, which the heavy vehicle in question is dedicated solely to transporting materials and goods.

You are describing a Train.
But specifically a train that moves on streets and highways. If there are two things the U.S loves (assuming we are talking specifically about the U.S), it's Guns and Cars. I doubt people would be too happy letting a big portion of driveable area get used up nor would they be happy to have it drive next to them, because the fear of it malfunctioning would be heightened. That's also not to mention how primitive the ai is for self driving, and the potential ethical concerns.

I do think that Ai will replace delivery jobs like this, but It'll most likely be in a form that would have the least potential to cause damage, like a drone or a train out in the middle of nowhere.
Oct 27, 2023 at 09:01
Mr. Nobody (Låg) säger
Certain cities have a very tight shipping/receiving docks, not to mention the streets.. who’s going to chain up the tires in the snow?
Jul 12, 2022 at 08:03
Nathan (Måttlig) säger
Even though working on trucks will become safer, it will still be unsafe and there is a likelihood of getting hurt.
May 22, 2022 at 11:16
Mark (Låg) säger
Parts of the trucking industry are likely to be automated in the next 20 years. For instance, long-distance convoys. But truckers do more than just drive. They also do maintenance, load balancing, inspections, and sometimes loading and unloading at destinations.

As such, for short-haul routes, the "driving" part is a relatively minor part of the job. Even if it's automated, the trucker is still needed. For long-haul routes, robotic convoys will indeed eliminate the need for some drivers. But each convoy will still need a shepherd for the other duties that can't be substantially eliminated in that period of time.
Apr 19, 2022 at 01:05
Matt (Mycket troligt) säger
As a truck driver, I have mixed views on automated driving. I don't see any evidence that a truck could be 100% autonomous in my lifetime. There is so much more to trucking than just driving, a lot more.
Jan 25, 2022 at 05:22
Ry säger
Lol, if you've ever been a local city truck driver, this will never happen. Maybe interstate driving could be automated for the mega-corporations, but local driving in a major city? Probably never. The fact that this has such a high likelihood of getting votes proves that you shouldn't blindly believe anyone on the internet who tells you anything. Most of the votes are clearly not from anyone in the industry.
Dec 31, 2021 at 01:03
RB Hopson (Låg) säger
Although the tech will be here soon, I think the infrastructure required to fully automate this sector will take much longer to implement.
Oct 08, 2021 at 02:20
Nico Cione (Mycket troligt) säger
I think that there will be driverless electric-powered trucks in the future.
Sep 09, 2021 at 03:15
Mr. T (Mycket troligt) säger
Especially long haul transport will be vulnerable because these routes are less complex to automize. Short-haul transport will stay relevant a little longer. Although there will be massive competition, due to the low entry barriers of starting at this job.
Sep 07, 2021 at 10:29
Steve (Mycket troligt) säger
Based on the current processes, and the vast evolution of self driving cars
Aug 28, 2021 at 04:08
Andrea (Ingen chans) säger
A robot cannot replace the instincts of human driving knowledge, especially during extreme weather conditions. I haven’t even begun to discuss pre trip inspections or backing and parking a trailer in a dock. This takes many years to master. This is not like driving a car. Robots will NEVER replace a human driver.
Jun 13, 2021 at 09:09
Ryan R säger
Likely sooner. There are already semi trucks with AI learn cameras installed on them going around. Won't be shocked if it's sooner than a decade.
Jun 03, 2021 at 11:42
Steve W. säger
Bad news: Search for "This Year, Autonomous Trucks Will Take to the Road With No One on Board"
Autonomous trucks are here! Expect to find a new career as early as 2024.
May 12, 2021 at 04:31
William Sturges (Låg) säger
Still will need a person in truck. Robots will not fuel truck or complete a UsDot inspection. It also can not get and sign paperwork or know what loading/unloading door or dock is required.
Apr 14, 2021 at 12:59
R.D. (Låg) säger
Interfacing with the customer...a robot? The tractor's today are overweight with computer help and, create more of a problem. Just ask any truckdriver.
Mar 13, 2021 at 07:48
Daniel Churchley (Mycket troligt) säger
As a hgv driver I see how vehicles are evolving and I am also aware of how much money is being invested in automation with companies like Tesla
Jan 24, 2021 at 01:25
Pat D säger
Companies will have to have a person in every tractor trailer to oversee fueling if it's long haul. Unless they have automated fuel stops all over the country. I say 50 years min for total automated trucking. I'll send my kids though IT school by then
Jan 10, 2021 at 03:28

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