Översikt
Automationsrisk
2. Användarundersökning
3. Tillväxt
4. Löner
5. Volym
Beskrivning
Resurser
Kommentarer

Datorprogrammerare

RISK FÖR AUTOMATISERING
BERÄKNAD
52%
risknivå
UNDERSÖKNING
47%
Baserat på 9 017 röster
ARBETSMARKNADSBEHOV
TILLVÄXT
-10,2 %
från år 2032
LÖNER
97.800 $
eller 47,02 $ per timme
Volym
132 740
från och med 2022
SAMMANFATTNING
JOBBPOÄNG
4,7/10

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Rösta
Kommentarer (181)

Risk för automatisering

52% (Måttlig Risk)

Måttlig risk (41-60%): Yrken med måttlig risk för automatisering involverar oftast rutinmässiga uppgifter men kräver fortfarande en viss mänsklig bedömning och interaktion.

Mer information om vad detta betyg är, och hur det beräknas finns tillgängligt här.

Vissa ganska viktiga egenskaper hos jobbet är svåra att automatisera:

  • Social Perceptiveness - Social Förståelse

  • Originalitet

Användarundersökning

47% procent chans för full automatisering inom de närmaste två decennierna

Våra besökare har röstat att de är osäkra på om detta yrke kommer att automatiseras. Detta bedömning stöds ytterligare av den beräknade automationsrisknivån, som uppskattar 52% chans för automation.

Vad tror du är risken med automatisering?

Vad är sannolikheten att Datorprogrammerare kommer att ersättas av robotar eller artificiell intelligens inom de närmaste 20 åren?






Känsla

Följande diagram inkluderas överallt där det finns ett betydande antal röster för att ge meningsfull data. Dessa visuella representationer visar användarundersökningars resultat över tid, vilket ger en betydande indikation på sentimenttrender.

Känsla över tid (kvartalsvis)

Känslor över tid (årligen)

Tillväxt

Mycket långsam tillväxt jämfört med andra yrken.

Antalet 'Computer Programmers' jobböppningar förväntas att minska med 10,2% fram till 2032

Total sysselsättning och uppskattade jobböppningar

* Data från Bureau of Labor Statistics för perioden mellan 2021 och 2031
Uppdaterade prognoser beräknas 09-2023.

Löner

Mycket högt betald jämfört med andra yrken

I 2022 var den medianårliga lönen för 'Computer Programmers' 97.800 $, eller 47 $ per timme.

'Computer Programmers' betalades 111,2% högre än den nationella medianlönen, som låg på 46.310 $

Löner över tid

* Data från Byrån för arbetsstatistik

Volym

Större utbud av jobbmöjligheter jämfört med andra yrken

Från och med 2022 var det 132 740 personer anställda som 'Computer Programmers' inom USA.

Detta representerar cirka 0,09% av den anställda arbetskraften i hela landet

Sagt på ett annat sätt, runt 1 av 1 tusen personer är anställda som 'Computer Programmers'.

Arbetsbeskrivning

Skapa, ändra och testa koden och skripten som gör att datorprogram kan köras. Arbeta utifrån specifikationer som tagits fram av mjukvaru- och webbutvecklare eller andra individer. Kan utveckla och skriva datorprogram för att lagra, lokalisera och hämta specifika dokument, data och information.

SOC Code: 15-1251.00

Resurser

Om du funderar på att starta en ny karriär, eller vill byta jobb, har vi skapat ett praktiskt jobbsökverktyg som kanske kan hjälpa dig att hitta den perfekta nya rollen.

Sök jobb i ditt lokala område

Kommentarer

Lämna en kommentar

MR säger
Hi! From which year do you use data from and when was the calculations performed?
Apr 18, 2024 at 09:54
Admin säger
The calculations were last performed in January 2023, the data was the most recent data available at the time from O*NET

See more info here:
https://willrobotstakemyjob.com/about-our-calculations
Apr 18, 2024 at 10:14
Darin Beaudreau (Måttlig) säger
20 years is a reasonable timeline for a large portion of software engineering to be able to be automated, but the problem in replacing programmers isn't AI's ability to reason, but in the customers themselves. To be able to fully replace engineers, a customer needs to be able to accurately describe their requirements, and anyone who works in that field will tell you that customers are idiots.

I think web development will be the first variation of software development that is automated because the majority of all web development is the same and very basic. Things like embedded, robotics, and applications programming will take much longer and require AI to be able to see the whole of an application in a single context to avoid a plateau effect where you get increasingly more errors due to loss of information regarding the program's architecture.
Apr 02, 2024 at 04:16
user (Måttlig) säger
I've been a software engineer for over 10 years. This is really only the beginning. The pace of innovation in AI will only increase. We are already using Github Copilot at work and AI gives amazing code reviews. Outsourcing is now much more effective. Less engineers are needed already because of AI. With "Devin", we are seeing a tiny glimpse of what is to come in the next 20 years. I'm going back to school and transitioning out of the industry over the next 2-3 years.
Mar 27, 2024 at 02:00
maikelos272@gmail.com (Mycket troligt) säger
Although AI is a tool for programmers, the better it gets the more of our job it can perfrom. It is unfathomable to me that AI will not be able to do a programmers job really well within the next 20 years. I reckon it will happen in 10. The only hope I have is that rather than the job market deminishing, its output will grow exponentially and programmers will grow to be supervrisors of AI. Nontheless at some point AI will be able to write apps and programs based purely on Natural language input. Albeit the code might be far from perfect at the beggining it will only get better.
Mar 20, 2024 at 08:54
Stechkin säger
Check out Devin. It solved 13% of the Git Hub problems. Its scary good.
Mar 24, 2024 at 11:03
ezkha (Osäker) säger
So I've heard about this AI "Devin", which is apparently capable of programming and distributing an entire application from scratch to release; but it is absolutely terrible at managing issues and fixing bugs. If my source is credible, it's 20% efficient compared to 80% with a human.

I think it'll probably improve and replace programming. Though maybe issues and solving bugs, in particular, will take a while to replace.
Mar 14, 2024 at 04:38
user (Mycket troligt) säger
AI has been on the rise in the past several years, and is likely to continue growing rapidly. Within the past years what has been possible has greatly increased many magnitudes, and several AI tools that can accomplish coding means have been created, and are being greatly invested on and improved. With the release of "Dave" and companies like "Magic.dev" I can foresee this being a greatly human reduced job in the next 2-6 years.
Mar 14, 2024 at 11:47
S (Mycket troligt) säger
ChatGPT is already proficient. It will at the very least heavily reduce the amount of software engineers required
Mar 04, 2024 at 05:05
Johnifer (Ingen chans) säger
Those who say that AI will completely take over CS don't know CS.
Feb 28, 2024 at 12:55
Hot Take säger
Finally, someone with a brain! CS is developing AI and we will always be necessary to supervise it and align with human goals.
Mar 27, 2024 at 12:06
Jon (Osäker) säger
I see that most people voting with certainty on this topic don't understand how this job works, or they are just average or bellow average professionals.

GPT really gives you solutions for complex tasks but on minor details it's going to invent some buggy solution ultimately creating more bugs than helping you.

That's why you really need to understand the tool/system that you're working with.

Feb 26, 2024 at 06:40
kir (Låg) säger
AI has a difficult time with complex use cases, architecture, and requirements from clients.
Feb 12, 2024 at 02:35
Michal säger
That is true but, even if it only does programming really well and never gets around to understanding requirements and architecture well, which I think it will, then it will still take a lot of jobs.
Mar 20, 2024 at 08:56
Rin (Mycket troligt) säger
For being beings based on technology, programs, and algorithms, computer programming will be able to replicate itself and take over its own recreation processes.
Feb 06, 2024 at 04:25
Ryan (Måttlig) säger
Basic functionality in software is easily automated. Building entirely new systems might be more difficult. If we develop AGI, then any job done at a keyboard is gone, but if that proves more difficult than expected then high level system design and development jobs might last a bit longer.
Jan 22, 2024 at 07:29
Bryan Schmidt (Måttlig) säger
So much of what we do as computer programmers can be automated.

My job is to interpret what the product owners want, and convert that into code. Currently, I have transitioned into using AI to help me with most of the code, while I'm still guiding the architecture, code style, and overall codebase.

It won't be long until AI could handle most of if not all of that as well.
Jan 20, 2024 at 10:06
John (Mycket troligt) säger
Because chatgpt can already make script, sure its a wrong sometimes. but just imagine but it will be like in 20 years.
Dec 23, 2023 at 12:17
Auditormadness9 (Mycket troligt) säger
It already wrote like 20 scripts for me that completely worked as expected.
Dec 11, 2023 at 10:23
Sequenze5517 (Låg) säger
Because Computer Programmers made and update AI. Logically, the AI will not update himself.
Nov 29, 2023 at 01:20
me (Ingen chans) säger
coding requires a lot of skill and thinking which cannot be replaced by ai
Nov 28, 2023 at 03:08
matin (Låg) säger
robots make robots?
Nov 13, 2023 at 10:04
Leo (Mycket troligt) säger
so clearly they already have stuff like Chat GPT that tells you code,
Nov 06, 2023 at 02:45
Anonymous (Osäker) säger
As it stands, an AI gets its information from the internet. That means that much of the code it acquires at this point when you ask for sample code or something similar will likely be from GitHub or some similar website. It doesn't have to understand the workings of the code, it just needs to know what to look for and dispense it to you. Sometimes the code may not even work. AI could eventually understand programming and then it'll be a different story, but AI doesn't really KNOW much of what it says, it just give a definition from the huge databases it has access to.
Nov 01, 2023 at 08:57

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