Visão Geral
Risco de Automação
2. Enquete do Usuário
3. Crescimento
4. Salários
5. Volume
Descrição
Recursos
Comentários

Motoristas de Caminhões Pesados e Reboques de Trator

RISCO DE AUTOMAÇÃO
CALCULADO
88%
nível de risco
VOTAÇÃO
64%
Com base em 537 votos
DEMANDA DE TRABALHO
CRESCIMENTO
4,3%
pelo ano 2032
SALÁRIOS
$49.920
ou $24,00 por hora
Volume
1.984.180
a partir de 2022
RESUMO
PONTUAÇÃO DO TRABALHO
3,8/10

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Comentários (33)

Risco de automação

88% (Risco Iminente)

Risco Iminente (81-100%): Ocupações neste nível têm uma probabilidade extremamente alta de serem automatizadas num futuro próximo. Esses trabalhos consistem principalmente em tarefas repetitivas e previsíveis, com pouca necessidade de julgamento humano.

Mais informações sobre o que é essa pontuação e como ela é calculada estão disponíveis aqui.

Algumas qualidades bastante importantes do trabalho são difíceis de automatizar:

  • Destreza Manual

Enquete do usuário

64% chance de automação completa nas próximas duas décadas

Nossos visitantes votaram que é provável que esta ocupação seja automatizada. Esta avaliação é ainda mais apoiada pelo nível de risco de automação calculado, que estima 88% de chance de automação.

O que você acha que é o risco da automação?

Qual é a probabilidade de que Motoristas de Caminhões Pesados e Reboques de Trator seja substituído por robôs ou inteligência artificial nos próximos 20 anos?






Sentimento

Os seguintes gráficos são incluídos sempre que há uma quantidade substancial de votos para fornecer dados significativos. Essas representações visuais exibem os resultados das pesquisas de usuários ao longo do tempo, fornecendo uma indicação significativa das tendências de sentimentos.

Sentimento ao longo do tempo (anualmente)

Crescimento

"Crescimento moderado" em relação a outras profissões

Espera-se que o número de vagas de emprego para 'Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers' aumente 4,3% até 2032

Emprego total e estimativa de vagas de emprego

* Dados do Bureau de Estatísticas do Trabalho para o período entre 2021 e 2031
As projeções atualizadas são devidas 09-2023.

Salários

Moderadamente remunerado em relação a outras profissões

Em 2022, o salário anual mediano para 'Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers' foi de $49.920, ou $23 por hora

'Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers' receberam 7,8% a mais do que o salário médio nacional, que era de $46.310

Salários ao longo do tempo

* Dados do Bureau de Estatísticas do Trabalho

Volume

Alcance significativamente maior de oportunidades de emprego em comparação com outras profissões

A partir de 2022 havia 1.984.180 pessoas empregadas como 'Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers' dentro dos Estados Unidos.

Isso representa cerca de 1,3% da força de trabalho empregada em todo o país

Dito de outra maneira, cerca de 1 em 74 pessoas são empregadas como 'Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers'.

Descrição do trabalho

Conduza uma combinação de trator-reboque ou um caminhão com capacidade de pelo menos 26.001 libras de Peso Bruto do Veículo (PBV). Pode ser necessário descarregar o caminhão. Requer carteira de motorista comercial. Inclui motoristas de caminhão de reboque.

SOC Code: 53-3032.00

Recursos

Se você está pensando em começar uma nova carreira ou procurando mudar de emprego, criamos uma ferramenta de busca de empregos útil que pode ajudá-lo a conseguir aquele novo papel perfeito.

Pesquise empregos na sua área local

Comentários

Deixe um comentário

Shayne Thomas (Baixo) diz
I just don't believe autonomous trucking could become a thing unless people were to give up their ability to drive themselves. If no one drove and it was just robots then it is a very plausible scenario. It would probably be safer and more efficient than if humans were driving the same trucks. The counter to that, I would say, is that it would only be that way if only robots were driving. This is because of human error, being impatient, not being a good driver, and driving under the influence. There are many factors to include when putting human drivers into the equation that cannot be calculated by a machine. Personally, I don't want to give up my own freedom to drive so companies could be slightly more efficient and I'm sure there are a lot of others who would feel similar.
Mar 25, 2024 at 08:24
Josh (Incerto) diz
Seems no one has visited this section in awhile. I think it's safe to say all previous comments and this assessment itself was based off over-hyped technology that has proven to be much more complicated than initially thought. The eventual automation of commercial drivers is probably high but still decades away with the current challenges.
Nov 01, 2023 at 02:18
Anonymous (Incerto) diz
It's going to be automated; it's not debatable. The question is, "How soon will it happen?" My guess is that it's going to take another 20 to 50 years before the technology is sophisticated enough to displace human beings. At that point, it'd no longer be an attractive or plausible occupation for most.

If you're in your 30s, you can likely still make an income from trucking, and you may even be able to ride it out until retirement. However, if you're the next generation of kids, probably not.
Jan 30, 2023 at 02:01
Jeremy diz
It's truly the case that Tesla is leading with the new Cyber Trucks and future models. How much profit can be made by just selling 1,000 trucks? There is a huge market.

All they need is a new law with dedicated trucker lanes, similar to bike or bus lanes.
Aug 15, 2022 at 11:31
2nd rule of the pirate code: Curfew by 10 PM diz
"All they need is a new law with dedicated trucker lanes, similar to bike or bus lanes."
So, you want a dedicated lane for a Heavy vehicle to drive through, which the heavy vehicle in question is dedicated solely to transporting materials and goods.

You are describing a Train.
But specifically a train that moves on streets and highways. If there are two things the U.S loves (assuming we are talking specifically about the U.S), it's Guns and Cars. I doubt people would be too happy letting a big portion of driveable area get used up nor would they be happy to have it drive next to them, because the fear of it malfunctioning would be heightened. That's also not to mention how primitive the ai is for self driving, and the potential ethical concerns.

I do think that Ai will replace delivery jobs like this, but It'll most likely be in a form that would have the least potential to cause damage, like a drone or a train out in the middle of nowhere.
Oct 27, 2023 at 09:01
Mr. Nobody (Baixo) diz
Certain cities have a very tight shipping/receiving docks, not to mention the streets.. who’s going to chain up the tires in the snow?
Jul 12, 2022 at 08:03
Nathan (Moderado) diz
Even though working on trucks will become safer, it will still be unsafe and there is a likelihood of getting hurt.
May 22, 2022 at 11:16
Mark (Baixo) diz
Parts of the trucking industry are likely to be automated in the next 20 years. For instance, long-distance convoys. But truckers do more than just drive. They also do maintenance, load balancing, inspections, and sometimes loading and unloading at destinations.

As such, for short-haul routes, the "driving" part is a relatively minor part of the job. Even if it's automated, the trucker is still needed. For long-haul routes, robotic convoys will indeed eliminate the need for some drivers. But each convoy will still need a shepherd for the other duties that can't be substantially eliminated in that period of time.
Apr 19, 2022 at 01:05
Matt (Altamente provável) diz
As a truck driver, I have mixed views on automated driving. I don't see any evidence that a truck could be 100% autonomous in my lifetime. There is so much more to trucking than just driving, a lot more.
Jan 25, 2022 at 05:22
Ry diz
Lol, if you've ever been a local city truck driver, this will never happen. Maybe interstate driving could be automated for the mega-corporations, but local driving in a major city? Probably never. The fact that this has such a high likelihood of getting votes proves that you shouldn't blindly believe anyone on the internet who tells you anything. Most of the votes are clearly not from anyone in the industry.
Dec 31, 2021 at 01:03
RB Hopson (Baixo) diz
Although the tech will be here soon, I think the infrastructure required to fully automate this sector will take much longer to implement.
Oct 08, 2021 at 02:20
Nico Cione (Altamente provável) diz
I think that there will be driverless electric-powered trucks in the future.
Sep 09, 2021 at 03:15
Mr. T (Altamente provável) diz
Especially long haul transport will be vulnerable because these routes are less complex to automize. Short-haul transport will stay relevant a little longer. Although there will be massive competition, due to the low entry barriers of starting at this job.
Sep 07, 2021 at 10:29
Steve (Altamente provável) diz
Based on the current processes, and the vast evolution of self driving cars
Aug 28, 2021 at 04:08
Andrea (Sem chance) diz
A robot cannot replace the instincts of human driving knowledge, especially during extreme weather conditions. I haven’t even begun to discuss pre trip inspections or backing and parking a trailer in a dock. This takes many years to master. This is not like driving a car. Robots will NEVER replace a human driver.
Jun 13, 2021 at 09:09
Ryan R diz
Likely sooner. There are already semi trucks with AI learn cameras installed on them going around. Won't be shocked if it's sooner than a decade.
Jun 03, 2021 at 11:42
Steve W. diz
Bad news: Search for "This Year, Autonomous Trucks Will Take to the Road With No One on Board"
Autonomous trucks are here! Expect to find a new career as early as 2024.
May 12, 2021 at 04:31
William Sturges (Baixo) diz
Still will need a person in truck. Robots will not fuel truck or complete a UsDot inspection. It also can not get and sign paperwork or know what loading/unloading door or dock is required.
Apr 14, 2021 at 12:59
R.D. (Baixo) diz
Interfacing with the customer...a robot? The tractor's today are overweight with computer help and, create more of a problem. Just ask any truckdriver.
Mar 13, 2021 at 07:48
Daniel Churchley (Altamente provável) diz
As a hgv driver I see how vehicles are evolving and I am also aware of how much money is being invested in automation with companies like Tesla
Jan 24, 2021 at 01:25
Pat D diz
Companies will have to have a person in every tractor trailer to oversee fueling if it's long haul. Unless they have automated fuel stops all over the country. I say 50 years min for total automated trucking. I'll send my kids though IT school by then
Jan 10, 2021 at 03:28

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