Visão Geral
Risco de Automação
2. Enquete do Usuário
3. Crescimento
4. Salários
5. Volume
Descrição
Recursos
Comentários

Programadores de Computador

RISCO DE AUTOMAÇÃO
CALCULADO
52%
nível de risco
VOTAÇÃO
47%
Com base em 9.017 votos
DEMANDA DE TRABALHO
CRESCIMENTO
-10,2%
pelo ano 2032
SALÁRIOS
$97.800
ou $47,02 por hora
Volume
132.740
a partir de 2022
RESUMO
PONTUAÇÃO DO TRABALHO
4,7/10

Deseja este resumo em seu site? Código de incorporação:

Vote
Comentários (181)

Risco de automação

52% (Risco Moderado)

Risco Moderado (41-60%): Ocupações com risco moderado de automação geralmente envolvem tarefas rotineiras, mas ainda requerem algum julgamento e interação humanos.

Mais informações sobre o que é essa pontuação e como ela é calculada estão disponíveis aqui.

Algumas qualidades bastante importantes do trabalho são difíceis de automatizar:

  • Percepção Social

  • Originalidade

Enquete do usuário

47% chance de automação completa nas próximas duas décadas

Nossos visitantes votaram que estão incertos se esta ocupação será automatizada. Esta avaliação é ainda mais apoiada pelo nível de risco de automação calculado, que estima 52% de chance de automação.

O que você acha que é o risco da automação?

Qual é a probabilidade de que Programadores de Computador seja substituído por robôs ou inteligência artificial nos próximos 20 anos?






Sentimento

Os seguintes gráficos são incluídos sempre que há uma quantidade substancial de votos para fornecer dados significativos. Essas representações visuais exibem os resultados das pesquisas de usuários ao longo do tempo, fornecendo uma indicação significativa das tendências de sentimentos.

Sentimento ao longo do tempo (trimestralmente)

Sentimento ao longo do tempo (anualmente)

Crescimento

Crescimento muito lento em relação a outras profissões.

Espera-se que o número de vagas de emprego para 'Computer Programmers' diminua 10,2% até 2032

Emprego total e estimativa de vagas de emprego

* Dados do Bureau de Estatísticas do Trabalho para o período entre 2021 e 2031
As projeções atualizadas são devidas 09-2023.

Salários

Muito bem remunerado em relação a outras profissões

Em 2022, o salário anual mediano para 'Computer Programmers' foi de $97.800, ou $47 por hora

'Computer Programmers' receberam 111,2% a mais do que o salário médio nacional, que era de $46.310

Salários ao longo do tempo

* Dados do Bureau de Estatísticas do Trabalho

Volume

Maior gama de oportunidades de emprego comparado a outras profissões

A partir de 2022 havia 132.740 pessoas empregadas como 'Computer Programmers' dentro dos Estados Unidos.

Isso representa cerca de 0,09% da força de trabalho empregada em todo o país

Dito de outra maneira, cerca de 1 em 1 mil pessoas são empregadas como 'Computer Programmers'.

Descrição do trabalho

Crie, modifique e teste o código e os scripts que permitem que os aplicativos de computador sejam executados. Trabalhe a partir de especificações elaboradas por desenvolvedores de software e web ou outros indivíduos. Pode desenvolver e escrever programas de computador para armazenar, localizar e recuperar documentos, dados e informações específicas.

SOC Code: 15-1251.00

Recursos

Se você está pensando em começar uma nova carreira ou procurando mudar de emprego, criamos uma ferramenta de busca de empregos útil que pode ajudá-lo a conseguir aquele novo papel perfeito.

Pesquise empregos na sua área local

Comentários

Deixe um comentário

MR diz
Hi! From which year do you use data from and when was the calculations performed?
Apr 18, 2024 at 09:54
Admin diz
The calculations were last performed in January 2023, the data was the most recent data available at the time from O*NET

See more info here:
https://willrobotstakemyjob.com/about-our-calculations
Apr 18, 2024 at 10:14
Darin Beaudreau (Moderado) diz
20 years is a reasonable timeline for a large portion of software engineering to be able to be automated, but the problem in replacing programmers isn't AI's ability to reason, but in the customers themselves. To be able to fully replace engineers, a customer needs to be able to accurately describe their requirements, and anyone who works in that field will tell you that customers are idiots.

I think web development will be the first variation of software development that is automated because the majority of all web development is the same and very basic. Things like embedded, robotics, and applications programming will take much longer and require AI to be able to see the whole of an application in a single context to avoid a plateau effect where you get increasingly more errors due to loss of information regarding the program's architecture.
Apr 02, 2024 at 04:16
user (Moderado) diz
I've been a software engineer for over 10 years. This is really only the beginning. The pace of innovation in AI will only increase. We are already using Github Copilot at work and AI gives amazing code reviews. Outsourcing is now much more effective. Less engineers are needed already because of AI. With "Devin", we are seeing a tiny glimpse of what is to come in the next 20 years. I'm going back to school and transitioning out of the industry over the next 2-3 years.
Mar 27, 2024 at 02:00
maikelos272@gmail.com (Altamente provável) diz
Although AI is a tool for programmers, the better it gets the more of our job it can perfrom. It is unfathomable to me that AI will not be able to do a programmers job really well within the next 20 years. I reckon it will happen in 10. The only hope I have is that rather than the job market deminishing, its output will grow exponentially and programmers will grow to be supervrisors of AI. Nontheless at some point AI will be able to write apps and programs based purely on Natural language input. Albeit the code might be far from perfect at the beggining it will only get better.
Mar 20, 2024 at 08:54
Stechkin diz
Check out Devin. It solved 13% of the Git Hub problems. Its scary good.
Mar 24, 2024 at 11:03
ezkha (Incerto) diz
So I've heard about this AI "Devin", which is apparently capable of programming and distributing an entire application from scratch to release; but it is absolutely terrible at managing issues and fixing bugs. If my source is credible, it's 20% efficient compared to 80% with a human.

I think it'll probably improve and replace programming. Though maybe issues and solving bugs, in particular, will take a while to replace.
Mar 14, 2024 at 04:38
user (Altamente provável) diz
AI has been on the rise in the past several years, and is likely to continue growing rapidly. Within the past years what has been possible has greatly increased many magnitudes, and several AI tools that can accomplish coding means have been created, and are being greatly invested on and improved. With the release of "Dave" and companies like "Magic.dev" I can foresee this being a greatly human reduced job in the next 2-6 years.
Mar 14, 2024 at 11:47
S (Altamente provável) diz
ChatGPT is already proficient. It will at the very least heavily reduce the amount of software engineers required
Mar 04, 2024 at 05:05
Johnifer (Sem chance) diz
Those who say that AI will completely take over CS don't know CS.
Feb 28, 2024 at 12:55
Hot Take diz
Finally, someone with a brain! CS is developing AI and we will always be necessary to supervise it and align with human goals.
Mar 27, 2024 at 12:06
Jon (Incerto) diz
I see that most people voting with certainty on this topic don't understand how this job works, or they are just average or bellow average professionals.

GPT really gives you solutions for complex tasks but on minor details it's going to invent some buggy solution ultimately creating more bugs than helping you.

That's why you really need to understand the tool/system that you're working with.

Feb 26, 2024 at 06:40
kir (Baixo) diz
AI has a difficult time with complex use cases, architecture, and requirements from clients.
Feb 12, 2024 at 02:35
Michal diz
That is true but, even if it only does programming really well and never gets around to understanding requirements and architecture well, which I think it will, then it will still take a lot of jobs.
Mar 20, 2024 at 08:56
Rin (Altamente provável) diz
For being beings based on technology, programs, and algorithms, computer programming will be able to replicate itself and take over its own recreation processes.
Feb 06, 2024 at 04:25
Ryan (Moderado) diz
Basic functionality in software is easily automated. Building entirely new systems might be more difficult. If we develop AGI, then any job done at a keyboard is gone, but if that proves more difficult than expected then high level system design and development jobs might last a bit longer.
Jan 22, 2024 at 07:29
Bryan Schmidt (Moderado) diz
So much of what we do as computer programmers can be automated.

My job is to interpret what the product owners want, and convert that into code. Currently, I have transitioned into using AI to help me with most of the code, while I'm still guiding the architecture, code style, and overall codebase.

It won't be long until AI could handle most of if not all of that as well.
Jan 20, 2024 at 10:06
John (Altamente provável) diz
Because chatgpt can already make script, sure its a wrong sometimes. but just imagine but it will be like in 20 years.
Dec 23, 2023 at 12:17
Auditormadness9 (Altamente provável) diz
It already wrote like 20 scripts for me that completely worked as expected.
Dec 11, 2023 at 10:23
Sequenze5517 (Baixo) diz
Because Computer Programmers made and update AI. Logically, the AI will not update himself.
Nov 29, 2023 at 01:20
me (Sem chance) diz
coding requires a lot of skill and thinking which cannot be replaced by ai
Nov 28, 2023 at 03:08
matin (Baixo) diz
robots make robots?
Nov 13, 2023 at 10:04
Leo (Altamente provável) diz
so clearly they already have stuff like Chat GPT that tells you code,
Nov 06, 2023 at 02:45
Anonymous (Incerto) diz
As it stands, an AI gets its information from the internet. That means that much of the code it acquires at this point when you ask for sample code or something similar will likely be from GitHub or some similar website. It doesn't have to understand the workings of the code, it just needs to know what to look for and dispense it to you. Sometimes the code may not even work. AI could eventually understand programming and then it'll be a different story, but AI doesn't really KNOW much of what it says, it just give a definition from the huge databases it has access to.
Nov 01, 2023 at 08:57

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