Pisarze i Autorzy

Umiarkowane Ryzyko
54%
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RYZYKO AUTOMATYZACJI
OBLICZONY
60%
(Wysokie ryzyko)
ANKIETOWANIE
47%
(Umiarkowane Ryzyko)
Average: 54%
POPYT NA PRACĘ
WZROST
5,1%
do roku 2033
PŁACE
73 690 $
lub 35,42 $ za godzinę
Objętość
49 450
od 2023
STRESZCZENIE
WYNIK PRACY
4,9/10

Ludzie również oglądali

Obliczone ryzyko automatyzacji

60% (Wysokie ryzyko)

Wysokie ryzyko (61-80%): Zawody w tej kategorii stoją przed znaczącym zagrożeniem ze strony automatyzacji, ponieważ wiele z ich zadań może być łatwo zautomatyzowanych przy użyciu obecnych lub bliskich przyszłości technologii.

Więcej informacji na temat tego, czym jest ten wynik i jak jest obliczany, jest dostępne tutaj.

Niektóre dość ważne cechy pracy są trudne do zautomatyzowania:

  • Oryginalność

  • Perswazja

  • Spostrzegawczość Społeczna

Impact of Chat GPT on this occupation

We've received many comments and emails about Chat GPT and it's impact on this occupation. It's very impressive software, so people are understandably worried and/or excited.

However, something important to note with regards to the score we've calculated here, is that this occupation is comprised of many different types of job roles. Some examples of these include Advertising Writer, Blurb Writer, Copywriter and Screenwriter.

Some roles/tasks are more susceptible than other's to being automated by Chat GPT, but the score we've calculated is one that's an amalgamation of all of them.

Unfortunately, the source for our data (o*net) doesn't split this category up to the individual roles, so we can't calculate a score for each of them. If they do at some point in the future, we'll do the same, and generate scores accordingly.

Writing occupations aren't dead, but they are changing, so the best advice we can offer is to keep up to date with the latest developments, and use the tools available to your advantage.

Ankieta użytkownika

47% szansa na pełną automatyzację w ciągu najbliższych dwóch dekad

Nasi goście głosowali, że nie są pewni, czy to zawód zostanie zautomatyzowany. Jednakże, poziom ryzyka automatyzacji, który wygenerowaliśmy, sugeruje znacznie większą szansę na automatyzację: 60% szans na automatyzację.

Jakie są Twoje zdanie na temat ryzyka automatyzacji?

Jakie jest prawdopodobieństwo, że Pisarze i Autorzy zostanie zastąpione przez roboty lub sztuczną inteligencję w ciągu najbliższych 20 lat?






Nastroje

Poniższy wykres jest zamieszczany wszędzie tam, gdzie istnieje znaczna liczba głosów, aby przedstawić istotne dane. Te wizualne reprezentacje pokazują wyniki ankiet użytkowników w czasie, dostarczając istotnych wskazówek dotyczących trendów nastrojów.

Nastroje w czasie (kwartalnie)

Nastroje w czasie (rocznie)

Wzrost

Umiarkowany wzrost w porównaniu do innych profesji

Liczba ofert pracy na stanowisku 'Writers and Authors' ma wzrosnąć 5,1% do 2033

Całkowite zatrudnienie oraz szacowane oferty pracy

* Dane z Biura Statystyki Pracy za okres pomiędzy 2021 a 2031
Zaktualizowane prognozy mają być dostępne 09-2024.

Płace

Wysoko opłacany w porównaniu do innych profesji

W 2023, mediana rocznej pensji dla 'Writers and Authors' wynosiła 73 690 $, czyli 35 $ za godzinę.

'Writers and Authors' otrzymali wynagrodzenie wyższe o 53,3% od średniej krajowej, która wynosiła 48 060 $

Płace z biegiem czasu

* Dane z Biura Statystyki Pracy

Objętość

Umiarkowany zakres możliwości pracy w porównaniu do innych zawodów

Od 2023 roku zatrudnionych było 49 450 osób na stanowisku 'Writers and Authors' w Stanach Zjednoczonych.

To oznacza około < 0,001% zatrudnionej siły roboczej w całym kraju.

Inaczej mówiąc, około 1 na 3 tysiąc osób jest zatrudnionych jako 'Writers and Authors'.

Opis stanowiska pracy

Tworzyć i przygotowywać materiały pisemne, takie jak scenariusze, opowieści, reklamy i inne materiały.

SOC Code: 27-3043.00

Zasoby

Will Chat GPT spell the end of blogging?

Here's a very informative video from Ricky Kesler from Income School about Chat GPT as it relates to blogging (and SEO). We think it contains great advice, and can be applied to all sorts of writing job roles, not just bloggers.

Jeśli myślisz o rozpoczęciu nowej kariery lub szukasz zmiany pracy, stworzyliśmy przydatne narzędzie do wyszukiwania pracy, które może Ci pomóc zdobyć tę idealną nową rolę.

Szukaj pracy w swojej lokalnej okolicy

Komentarze

Leave a comment

Hope (Niski) 8 days ago
GPT and other AI generators may be able to write stories, but they don't come anywhere near human-written stories. Whenever asked to write a story, they always write it in a certain form, with similar plots. Nothing new or exciting. Plus, all humans think differently, so it would be impossible to model and AI that can think like every human. As a young author, I try to write stories outside the box that would be difficult for an AI to try replicating.
0 0 Reply
Sophie (Niepewny) 2 months ago
LLM or Large Language Models like ChatGPT only outputs the material humans write. It also has no creativity, all outputs are based on our interactions, prompts and the existing data. Who creates that data? We do. We write our hearts, emotions out on a piece of writing, causing it to influence people, and we shape the way a person's bias works. What GPT outputs is something emotionless and cannot sway people. How much times have you been through sorrow from reading a book? How much times have you felt sorrow from a piece of text? Probably none.
0 2 Reply
Laurel 3 months ago
I'm an author, and I just thought I'd share my take on this. While it's true that AI can't replicate human emotions and experiences, it has proven to be capable of writing average stories. Too many people consume media without a critical eye. As long as people as a whole start to care more about quality media, we should be fine.
0 0 Reply
Adria Donohue (Niski) 3 months ago
Because at the current moment AI does not have to opacity to write a full length story without it being very repetitive and forgetting itself, and will only get worse as time goes on. Furthermore, an AI lacks the very human and unique emotion that a person can write into the story. I have tampered with the world of Artificial Intelligence before, and all the characters it portrays seem to be the same personality, like they've been copy and pasted. This is a problem AI struggles with that even humans suffer with, but humans are more able to fix this fatal error that can ruin a story.
0 0 Reply
Ele (Low) 4 months ago
As a writer myself, AI doesn't scare me because it lacks what writing and stories originally entail: experience. You can have a fantasy dystopia story written by ChatGPT, but it can never hold up to the bar human-made fantasy dystopian stories have set. Why? These stories contain human experiences, they contain a message that authors wish to convey, experiences authors wish to convey. It's the humanity that stories hold that make them loved by people. Any text-based AI can write a story, but will it ever hold the same impact to a story an actual person wrote? No, because AI hasn't experienced anything actual people have experienced. It only "sees" what people witness and puts it into its generation without second thought. The reason people consume stories is because they can relate to it, they learn something from it. I know AI helps breakdown and teach things we can't understand by piecing together information from the internet faster than we can, but for it to write a story? Fat chance. Writing is more than just fast money content (that, sadly, already is in today's times) it is a form of art that records experiences and messages that cannot be conveyed with straightforwardness. It is something that holds bits and pieces of humanity, of someone's memories, of messages that are so big that it can never fit in a simple sentence. No matter how many years it will take, AI can never catch up with how high the bar has been set when it comes to writing.
2 0 Reply
try (Niepewny) 4 months ago
the originality of writing would be the most difficult to program a bot to do.
0 0 Reply
Ray (Niski) 4 months ago
Robots will never be able to copy real writers' creativity, although they could help you write a short essay for school, AI cannot do original and creative writing.
2 0 Reply
Human # 7,522,997,653 (Niski) 4 months ago
I don't really think AI will take over writing. In my eyes, AI will never capture the thrilling, magical, real experience that humans can create.

Although they have a chance, AI can never reach the same level of imagination that we humans have when it comes to stories and fiction.

Though I have very little hope for humanity in the future, I still believe humans can change for the better.
3 0 Reply
R H DARNELL (Niski) 5 months ago
Real writing uses creativity. AI is not creative, AI can only use what you input. It can rhyme, and write grammatically correct sentences, but it cannot convey emotion or elicit a response on a human level. I believe it could write a "good" outline, but not a good screenplay, much less a great book.
2 0 Reply
Pasi (Nie ma szans) 5 months ago
It depends on the author, but currently the AI simply can not write a good book.
1 0 Reply
Chris Ochs (Umiarkowany) 7 months ago
News and nonfiction are high. Fantasy, sci-fi, horror novels far less so.
2 0 Reply
Dom (Niski) 7 months ago
Creativity, novelty, capturing the social, invention.
2 0 Reply
Rebecca (Niski) 7 months ago
Because robots tend to be predictable and writers need imagination and I don't see robots having that
2 0 Reply
Philip Whittebane (Bardzo prawdopodobne) 7 months ago
At least many blurb and screenwriting jobs could be automated. Although there would still be the requirement for some level of creativity
2 0 Reply
Tomoko Julius (Nie ma szans) 7 months ago
i doubt that any time soon the originality of the human touch will fade away with the coming in of AI. It simply cannot. PERIOD!!!
0 0 Reply
Mike (Bardzo prawdopodobne) 8 months ago
Highly only because ChatGPT is used for writing, and it can be used in story making
0 0 Reply
copper (Nie ma szans) 8 months ago
the robots simply lack the creativity of a good author like J.K.Rowling or Suzanne Collins.
0 0 Reply
Penguin (Nie ma szans) 8 months ago
Robots cannot have experiences. They just spit out a cacophony of random words with no care as to a message or logic or ethics.
0 0 Reply
M (Niski) 10 months ago
In the United States, creative material developed by AI cannot be trademarked and therefore unprofitable.
0 0 Reply
David 5 months ago
To be fair, it's difficult to tell whether or not a text was written by AI, especially if the person who generated the prompt refactored the text.
0 0 Reply
Dakshay (Umiarkowany) 11 months ago
If AI keeps improving, certainly studios will start using AI generated scripts to make movies/tv shows/ books. They will be garbage generic stuff in the beginning but at one point AI will certainly be able to write as well as a human. So writers working for studios will be in danger. But I think big established authors like Brandon Sanderson, have planned projects for decades later. And people will still buy their books because they love the stories. I think if you can cultivate a community of dedicated fans, you can definitely make a killing (or at least a livable income.)
Personally, I would hate to see the art of storytelling to be turned over to machines.
0 0 Reply

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