Kierowcy ciężarówek i ciągników siodłowych

Wysokie ryzyko
71%

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RYZYKO AUTOMATYZACJI
OBLICZONY
86%
(Bezpośrednie Zagrożenie)
ANKIETOWANIE
56%
(Umiarkowane Ryzyko, Na podstawie 650 głosów)
Average: 71%
POPYT NA PRACĘ
WZROST
4,6%
do roku 2033
PŁACE
54 320 $
lub 26,11 $ za godzinę
Objętość
2 044 400
od 2023
STRESZCZENIE
Co przedstawia ten płatek śniegu?
Płatek Śniegu to graficzne podsumowanie pięciu odznak: Ryzyko Automatyzacji (obliczane), Ryzyko (sondażowe), Wzrost, Płace i Wolumen. Daje Ci natychmiastowy obraz profilu zawodu. Kolor Płatka Śniegu odnosi się do jego rozmiaru. Im lepiej zawód wypada w porównaniu do innych, tym Płatek Śniegu staje się większy i bardziej zielony.
WYNIK PRACY
4,1/10
Co to jest?
Wynik pracy (im wyższy, tym lepszy):

Oceniamy prace, biorąc pod uwagę cztery czynniki. Są to:

- Szansa na automatyzację
- Wzrost zatrudnienia
- Wynagrodzenie
- Liczba dostępnych stanowisk

Są to kluczowe rzeczy, o których warto pomyśleć podczas poszukiwania pracy.

Ludzie również oglądali

Adwokaci Programiści komputerowi Elektrycy Księgowi i Audytorzy Deweloperzy stron internetowych

Obliczone ryzyko automatyzacji

86% (Bezpośrednie Zagrożenie)

Nadchodzące ryzyko (81-100%): Zawody na tym poziomie mają niezwykle wysokie prawdopodobieństwo automatyzacji w najbliższej przyszłości. Te prace polegają głównie na powtarzalnych, przewidywalnych zadaniach, które nie wymagają dużej ilości ludzkiego osądu.

Więcej informacji na temat tego, czym jest ten wynik i jak jest obliczany, jest dostępne tutaj.

Niektóre dość ważne cechy pracy są trudne do zautomatyzowania:

  • Zręczność manualna

Ankieta użytkownika

56% szansa na pełną automatyzację w ciągu najbliższych dwóch dekad

Nasi goście głosowali, że nie są pewni, czy to zawód zostanie zautomatyzowany. Jednakże, poziom ryzyka automatyzacji, który wygenerowaliśmy, sugeruje znacznie większą szansę na automatyzację: 86% szans na automatyzację.

Jakie są Twoje zdanie na temat ryzyka automatyzacji?

Jakie jest prawdopodobieństwo, że Kierowcy ciężarówek i ciągników siodłowych zostanie zastąpione przez roboty lub sztuczną inteligencję w ciągu najbliższych 20 lat?

Nastroje

Poniższy wykres jest wyświetlany tam, gdzie jest wystarczająca liczba głosów, aby uzyskać znaczące dane. Przedstawia wyniki ankiet użytkowników w czasie, dając wyraźny obraz trendów nastrojów.

Nastroje w czasie (rocznie)

Wzrost

Umiarkowany wzrost w porównaniu do innych profesji

Liczba ofert pracy na stanowisku 'Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers' ma wzrosnąć 4,6% do 2033

Całkowite zatrudnienie oraz szacowane oferty pracy

* Dane z Biura Statystyki Pracy za okres pomiędzy 2023 a 2033
Zaktualizowane prognozy mają być dostępne 09-2025.

Płace

Umiarkowanie opłacany w porównaniu do innych zawodów

W 2023, mediana rocznej pensji dla 'Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers' wynosiła 54 320 $, czyli 26 $ za godzinę.

'Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers' otrzymali wynagrodzenie wyższe o 13,0% od średniej krajowej, która wynosiła 48 060 $

Płace z biegiem czasu

* Dane z Biura Statystyki Pracy

Objętość

Znacznie większy zakres możliwości pracy w porównaniu do innych zawodów

Od 2023 roku zatrudnionych było 2 044 400 osób na stanowisku 'Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers' w Stanach Zjednoczonych.

To oznacza około 1,3% zatrudnionej siły roboczej w całym kraju.

Inaczej mówiąc, około 1 na 74 osób jest zatrudnionych jako 'Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers'.

Opis stanowiska pracy

Kieruj zestawem ciągnik-przyczepa lub samochodem ciężarowym o pojemności co najmniej 26 001 funtów brutto (GVW). Może być wymagane rozładowanie samochodu. Wymagane jest prawo jazdy kategorii C. Dotyczy to również kierowców lawet.

SOC Code: 53-3032.00

Komentarze (42)

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Truck Jim (Bardzo prawdopodobne)
05 lis 2025 12:23
Already notice many self driving cars.
Many flat straight roads dont require turns will be first routes becoming ai driven. Pay rates are a lot for what we do already.
AJ (Niski)
26 wrz 2025 02:55
Autonomous driving is coming, however, there is sometime before error free driving will exist for normal cars. For big rigs, who have many variables which need to be looked after whilst in the road, whilst parking, whilst loading and unloading, routes, what your load is. It is the kind of job which will always require human supervision because you’re literally driving a tank down the road which also at times has hazardous material. Cars is one things, a semi is a whole different ball game
ang (Niski)
04 sie 2025 16:55
A lot of the job is about more than just driving. It's about a human being there to handle all the unexpected stuff, from inspecting the truck to dealing with a flat tire on a back road.
Al
12 mar 2025 02:47
I will never feel comfortable driving around an autonomous 18 wheeler, think about the road & severe weather conditions, someone hijacking into the technology, or stealing cargo from the trailers, specialized trucking like flatbed, hazmat tanker, oversized, touch frieght, and who's going to do the pre trip & connect the air/electrical lines? And god forbid accidentally killing someone who will catch the manslaughter charge?
Stan (Nie ma szans)
09 wrz 2024 17:45
The roads are not well maintained and smooth causing weather to be a high judgment factor.
Kevin (Niski)
07 wrz 2024 12:54
AI cannot adapt to road conditions, it also can not chain tires, drop trailers or easily re route in a big truck. It's very unlikely that big class A trucks will be replaced by an AI, unless trillions are spent on inferstucre. Also thefts would be much more of a problem along with safety features.

Imagine thieves braking in front of a big truck and it stops as to not hit them and they look the trailer or disconnect it.

There's too much liability, along with small tasks and decisions that need to be made on the fly.

It's much more likely doctors and lawyers will be replaced first because AI could diagnose you and do surgical procedures. 1 doctor or lawyer could open up a practice and manage hundreds of clients with a powerful enough AI before class A trucks could be safely implemented and insured.
Evan (Niepewny)
29 kwi 2024 14:28
because i think that we could make self driving trucks, but the driver itself has to problem solve like first off what if the truck is about to run over a car but the sencors are broken in that area. but if we had a human driver then they could problem solve and quick swerve away
Lars
28 kwi 2024 20:55
I don't think automation will be possible within 50 years for this type of work. Just think of the train that in the maximum line could also be automated immediately, but if you always try to have a train driver on board. Artificial intelligence is still too immature to be used in such a dangerous job. In conclusion, the truck driver is a job that is still too specialized and varied, to be robotic.
Shayne Thomas (Niski)
25 mar 2024 20:24
I just don't believe autonomous trucking could become a thing unless people were to give up their ability to drive themselves. If no one drove and it was just robots then it is a very plausible scenario. It would probably be safer and more efficient than if humans were driving the same trucks. The counter to that, I would say, is that it would only be that way if only robots were driving. This is because of human error, being impatient, not being a good driver, and driving under the influence. There are many factors to include when putting human drivers into the equation that cannot be calculated by a machine. Personally, I don't want to give up my own freedom to drive so companies could be slightly more efficient and I'm sure there are a lot of others who would feel similar.
Josh (Niepewny)
01 lis 2023 14:18
Seems no one has visited this section in awhile. I think it's safe to say all previous comments and this assessment itself was based off over-hyped technology that has proven to be much more complicated than initially thought. The eventual automation of commercial drivers is probably high but still decades away with the current challenges.
Anonymous (Niepewny)
30 sty 2023 14:01
It's going to be automated; it's not debatable. The question is, "How soon will it happen?" My guess is that it's going to take another 20 to 50 years before the technology is sophisticated enough to displace human beings. At that point, it'd no longer be an attractive or plausible occupation for most.

If you're in your 30s, you can likely still make an income from trucking, and you may even be able to ride it out until retirement. However, if you're the next generation of kids, probably not.
Jeremy
15 sie 2022 23:31
It's truly the case that Tesla is leading with the new Cyber Trucks and future models. How much profit can be made by just selling 1,000 trucks? There is a huge market.

All they need is a new law with dedicated trucker lanes, similar to bike or bus lanes.
2nd rule of the pirate code: Curfew by 10 PM
27 paź 2023 21:01
"All they need is a new law with dedicated trucker lanes, similar to bike or bus lanes."
So, you want a dedicated lane for a Heavy vehicle to drive through, which the heavy vehicle in question is dedicated solely to transporting materials and goods.

You are describing a Train.
But specifically a train that moves on streets and highways. If there are two things the U.S loves (assuming we are talking specifically about the U.S), it's Guns and Cars. I doubt people would be too happy letting a big portion of driveable area get used up nor would they be happy to have it drive next to them, because the fear of it malfunctioning would be heightened. That's also not to mention how primitive the ai is for self driving, and the potential ethical concerns.

I do think that Ai will replace delivery jobs like this, but It'll most likely be in a form that would have the least potential to cause damage, like a drone or a train out in the middle of nowhere.
Mr. Nobody (Niski)
12 lip 2022 20:03
Certain cities have a very tight shipping/receiving docks, not to mention the streets.. who’s going to chain up the tires in the snow?
Nathan (Umiarkowany)
22 maj 2022 23:16
Even though working on trucks will become safer, it will still be unsafe and there is a likelihood of getting hurt.
Mark (Niski)
19 kwi 2022 13:05
Parts of the trucking industry are likely to be automated in the next 20 years. For instance, long-distance convoys. But truckers do more than just drive. They also do maintenance, load balancing, inspections, and sometimes loading and unloading at destinations.

As such, for short-haul routes, the "driving" part is a relatively minor part of the job. Even if it's automated, the trucker is still needed. For long-haul routes, robotic convoys will indeed eliminate the need for some drivers. But each convoy will still need a shepherd for the other duties that can't be substantially eliminated in that period of time.
Matt (Bardzo prawdopodobne)
25 sty 2022 17:22
As a truck driver, I have mixed views on automated driving. I don't see any evidence that a truck could be 100% autonomous in my lifetime. There is so much more to trucking than just driving, a lot more.
Ry
31 gru 2021 01:03
Lol, if you've ever been a local city truck driver, this will never happen. Maybe interstate driving could be automated for the mega-corporations, but local driving in a major city? Probably never. The fact that this has such a high likelihood of getting votes proves that you shouldn't blindly believe anyone on the internet who tells you anything. Most of the votes are clearly not from anyone in the industry.
RB Hopson (Niski)
08 paź 2021 14:20
Although the tech will be here soon, I think the infrastructure required to fully automate this sector will take much longer to implement.
Nico Cione (Bardzo prawdopodobne)
09 wrz 2021 15:15
I think that there will be driverless electric-powered trucks in the future.
Mr. T (Bardzo prawdopodobne)
07 wrz 2021 10:29
Especially long haul transport will be vulnerable because these routes are less complex to automize. Short-haul transport will stay relevant a little longer. Although there will be massive competition, due to the low entry barriers of starting at this job.
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