Overzicht
Automatiseringsrisico
2. Gebruikerspeiling
3. Groei
4. Loon
5. Volume
Beschrijving
Middelen
Opmerkingen

Zware en Tractor-Trailer Vrachtwagenchauffeurs

RISICO VAN AUTOMATISERING
BEREKEND
88%
risiconiveau
PEILING
64%
Gebaseerd op 537 stemmen
VRAAG NAAR ARBEID
GROEI
4,3%
tegen het jaar 2032
LONEN
$ 49.920
of $ 24,00 per uur
Volume
1.984.180
vanaf 2022
SAMENVATTING
BAANSCORE
3,8/10

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Stem
Opmerkingen (33)

Risico van automatisering

88% (Onmiddellijk Risico)

Imminent Risico (81-100%): Beroepen op dit niveau hebben een extreem hoge kans om in de nabije toekomst geautomatiseerd te worden. Deze banen bestaan voornamelijk uit repetitieve, voorspelbare taken waarbij weinig behoefte is aan menselijk oordeel.

Meer informatie over wat deze score is en hoe deze wordt berekend, is beschikbaar hier.

Enkele vrij belangrijke kwaliteiten van de baan zijn moeilijk te automatiseren:

  • Handvaardigheid

Gebruikerspeiling

64% kans op volledige automatisering binnen de komende twee decennia

Onze bezoekers hebben gestemd dat het waarschijnlijk is dat dit beroep geautomatiseerd zal worden. Deze beoordeling wordt verder ondersteund door het berekende automatiseringsrisiconiveau, dat een schatting geeft van 88% kans op automatisering.

Wat denk je dat het risico van automatisering is?

Wat is de kans dat Zware en Tractor-Trailer Vrachtwagenchauffeurs binnen de komende 20 jaar vervangen zal worden door robots of kunstmatige intelligentie?






Gevoel

De volgende grafiek(en) zijn opgenomen waar er een aanzienlijke hoeveelheid stemmen is om betekenisvolle gegevens te leveren. Deze visuele weergaven tonen de resultaten van gebruikerspolls in de loop van de tijd, en geven een belangrijke indicatie van sentimenttrends.

Gevoel over tijd (jaarlijks)

Groei

Matige groei ten opzichte van andere beroepen

Het aantal 'Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers' vacatures zal naar verwachting stijgen met 4,3% tegen 2032

Totale werkgelegenheid en geschatte vacatures

* Gegevens van het Bureau of Labor Statistics voor de periode tussen 2021 en 2031
Bijgewerkte prognoses zijn verschuldigd 09-2023.

Lonen

Gemiddeld betaald in vergelijking met andere beroepen

In 2022 was het mediane jaarloon voor 'Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers' $ 49.920, of $ 23 per uur

'Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers' werden 7,8% hoger betaald dan het nationale mediane loon, dat op $ 46.310 stond.

Lonen in de loop van de tijd

* Gegevens van het Bureau voor Arbeidsstatistieken

Volume

Aanzienlijk groter aanbod van werkgelegenheden vergeleken met andere beroepen

Vanaf 2022 waren er 1.984.180 mensen in dienst als 'Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers' binnen de Verenigde Staten.

Dit vertegenwoordigt ongeveer 1,3% van de werkende bevolking in het hele land.

Anders gezegd, ongeveer 1 op de 74 mensen is werkzaam als 'Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers'.

Functieomschrijving

Bestuur een combinatie van tractor-aanhanger of een vrachtwagen met een capaciteit van minstens 26.001 pond bruto voertuiggewicht (GVW). Het kan nodig zijn om de vrachtwagen te lossen. Vereist een commercieel rijbewijs. Inclusief sleepwagenchauffeurs.

SOC Code: 53-3032.00

Middelen

Als u overweegt een nieuwe carrière te beginnen, of van baan wilt veranderen, hebben we een handige zoektool voor banen gemaakt die u mogelijk helpt bij het vinden van die perfecte nieuwe functie.

Zoek naar banen in uw lokale omgeving

Opmerkingen

Laat een reactie achter

Shayne Thomas (Laag) zegt
I just don't believe autonomous trucking could become a thing unless people were to give up their ability to drive themselves. If no one drove and it was just robots then it is a very plausible scenario. It would probably be safer and more efficient than if humans were driving the same trucks. The counter to that, I would say, is that it would only be that way if only robots were driving. This is because of human error, being impatient, not being a good driver, and driving under the influence. There are many factors to include when putting human drivers into the equation that cannot be calculated by a machine. Personally, I don't want to give up my own freedom to drive so companies could be slightly more efficient and I'm sure there are a lot of others who would feel similar.
Mar 25, 2024 at 08:24
Josh (Onzeker) zegt
Seems no one has visited this section in awhile. I think it's safe to say all previous comments and this assessment itself was based off over-hyped technology that has proven to be much more complicated than initially thought. The eventual automation of commercial drivers is probably high but still decades away with the current challenges.
Nov 01, 2023 at 02:18
Anonymous (Onzeker) zegt
It's going to be automated; it's not debatable. The question is, "How soon will it happen?" My guess is that it's going to take another 20 to 50 years before the technology is sophisticated enough to displace human beings. At that point, it'd no longer be an attractive or plausible occupation for most.

If you're in your 30s, you can likely still make an income from trucking, and you may even be able to ride it out until retirement. However, if you're the next generation of kids, probably not.
Jan 30, 2023 at 02:01
Jeremy zegt
It's truly the case that Tesla is leading with the new Cyber Trucks and future models. How much profit can be made by just selling 1,000 trucks? There is a huge market.

All they need is a new law with dedicated trucker lanes, similar to bike or bus lanes.
Aug 15, 2022 at 11:31
2nd rule of the pirate code: Curfew by 10 PM zegt
"All they need is a new law with dedicated trucker lanes, similar to bike or bus lanes."
So, you want a dedicated lane for a Heavy vehicle to drive through, which the heavy vehicle in question is dedicated solely to transporting materials and goods.

You are describing a Train.
But specifically a train that moves on streets and highways. If there are two things the U.S loves (assuming we are talking specifically about the U.S), it's Guns and Cars. I doubt people would be too happy letting a big portion of driveable area get used up nor would they be happy to have it drive next to them, because the fear of it malfunctioning would be heightened. That's also not to mention how primitive the ai is for self driving, and the potential ethical concerns.

I do think that Ai will replace delivery jobs like this, but It'll most likely be in a form that would have the least potential to cause damage, like a drone or a train out in the middle of nowhere.
Oct 27, 2023 at 09:01
Mr. Nobody (Laag) zegt
Certain cities have a very tight shipping/receiving docks, not to mention the streets.. who’s going to chain up the tires in the snow?
Jul 12, 2022 at 08:03
Nathan (Matig) zegt
Even though working on trucks will become safer, it will still be unsafe and there is a likelihood of getting hurt.
May 22, 2022 at 11:16
Mark (Laag) zegt
Parts of the trucking industry are likely to be automated in the next 20 years. For instance, long-distance convoys. But truckers do more than just drive. They also do maintenance, load balancing, inspections, and sometimes loading and unloading at destinations.

As such, for short-haul routes, the "driving" part is a relatively minor part of the job. Even if it's automated, the trucker is still needed. For long-haul routes, robotic convoys will indeed eliminate the need for some drivers. But each convoy will still need a shepherd for the other duties that can't be substantially eliminated in that period of time.
Apr 19, 2022 at 01:05
Matt (Zeer waarschijnlijk) zegt
As a truck driver, I have mixed views on automated driving. I don't see any evidence that a truck could be 100% autonomous in my lifetime. There is so much more to trucking than just driving, a lot more.
Jan 25, 2022 at 05:22
Ry zegt
Lol, if you've ever been a local city truck driver, this will never happen. Maybe interstate driving could be automated for the mega-corporations, but local driving in a major city? Probably never. The fact that this has such a high likelihood of getting votes proves that you shouldn't blindly believe anyone on the internet who tells you anything. Most of the votes are clearly not from anyone in the industry.
Dec 31, 2021 at 01:03
RB Hopson (Laag) zegt
Although the tech will be here soon, I think the infrastructure required to fully automate this sector will take much longer to implement.
Oct 08, 2021 at 02:20
Nico Cione (Zeer waarschijnlijk) zegt
I think that there will be driverless electric-powered trucks in the future.
Sep 09, 2021 at 03:15
Mr. T (Zeer waarschijnlijk) zegt
Especially long haul transport will be vulnerable because these routes are less complex to automize. Short-haul transport will stay relevant a little longer. Although there will be massive competition, due to the low entry barriers of starting at this job.
Sep 07, 2021 at 10:29
Steve (Zeer waarschijnlijk) zegt
Based on the current processes, and the vast evolution of self driving cars
Aug 28, 2021 at 04:08
Andrea (Geen kans) zegt
A robot cannot replace the instincts of human driving knowledge, especially during extreme weather conditions. I haven’t even begun to discuss pre trip inspections or backing and parking a trailer in a dock. This takes many years to master. This is not like driving a car. Robots will NEVER replace a human driver.
Jun 13, 2021 at 09:09
Ryan R zegt
Likely sooner. There are already semi trucks with AI learn cameras installed on them going around. Won't be shocked if it's sooner than a decade.
Jun 03, 2021 at 11:42
Steve W. zegt
Bad news: Search for "This Year, Autonomous Trucks Will Take to the Road With No One on Board"
Autonomous trucks are here! Expect to find a new career as early as 2024.
May 12, 2021 at 04:31
William Sturges (Laag) zegt
Still will need a person in truck. Robots will not fuel truck or complete a UsDot inspection. It also can not get and sign paperwork or know what loading/unloading door or dock is required.
Apr 14, 2021 at 12:59
R.D. (Laag) zegt
Interfacing with the customer...a robot? The tractor's today are overweight with computer help and, create more of a problem. Just ask any truckdriver.
Mar 13, 2021 at 07:48
Daniel Churchley (Zeer waarschijnlijk) zegt
As a hgv driver I see how vehicles are evolving and I am also aware of how much money is being invested in automation with companies like Tesla
Jan 24, 2021 at 01:25
Pat D zegt
Companies will have to have a person in every tractor trailer to oversee fueling if it's long haul. Unless they have automated fuel stops all over the country. I say 50 years min for total automated trucking. I'll send my kids though IT school by then
Jan 10, 2021 at 03:28

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