Computerprogrammeurs

Hoog Risico
70%
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RISICO VAN AUTOMATISERING
BEREKEND
70%
(Hoog Risico)
PEILING
70%
(Hoog Risico)
Average: 70%
VRAAG NAAR ARBEID
GROEI
-9,6%
tegen het jaar 2033
LONEN
$ 99.700
of $ 47,93 per uur
Volume
120.370
vanaf 2023
SAMENVATTING
BAANSCORE
3,5/10

Mensen bekeken ook

Berekend automatiseringsrisico

70% (Hoog Risico)

Hoge Risico (61-80%): Banen in deze categorie lopen een aanzienlijk risico door automatisering, aangezien veel van hun taken gemakkelijk kunnen worden geautomatiseerd met behulp van huidige of nabije toekomstige technologieën.

Meer informatie over wat deze score is en hoe deze wordt berekend, is beschikbaar hier.

Enkele vrij belangrijke kwaliteiten van de baan zijn moeilijk te automatiseren:

  • Sociale Waarneming

  • Originaliteit

Gebruikerspeiling

70% kans op volledige automatisering binnen de komende twee decennia

Onze bezoekers hebben gestemd dat het waarschijnlijk is dat dit beroep geautomatiseerd zal worden. Deze beoordeling wordt verder ondersteund door het berekende automatiseringsrisiconiveau, dat een schatting geeft van 70% kans op automatisering.

Wat denk je dat het risico van automatisering is?

Wat is de kans dat Computerprogrammeurs binnen de komende 20 jaar vervangen zal worden door robots of kunstmatige intelligentie?






Gevoel

De volgende grafiek wordt opgenomen waar er een aanzienlijke hoeveelheid stemmen is om zinvolle gegevens weer te geven. Deze visuele weergaven tonen de resultaten van gebruikerspeilingen in de loop van de tijd en bieden een belangrijke indicatie van sentimenttrends.

Sentiment over tijd (per kwartaal)

Gevoel over tijd (jaarlijks)

Groei

Zeer trage groei in vergelijking met andere beroepen.

Het aantal 'Computer Programmers' vacatures zal naar verwachting afnemen met 9,6% tegen 2033

Totale werkgelegenheid en geschatte vacatures

* Gegevens van het Bureau of Labor Statistics voor de periode tussen 2023 en 2033
Bijgewerkte prognoses zijn verschuldigd 09-2025.

Lonen

Zeer hoog betaald vergeleken met andere beroepen

In 2023 was het mediane jaarloon voor 'Computer Programmers' $ 99.700, of $ 47 per uur

'Computer Programmers' werden 107,4% hoger betaald dan het nationale mediane loon, dat op $ 48.060 stond.

Lonen in de loop van de tijd

* Gegevens van het Bureau voor Arbeidsstatistieken

Volume

Groter bereik van werkgelegenheidskansen in vergelijking met andere beroepen

Vanaf 2023 waren er 120.370 mensen in dienst als 'Computer Programmers' binnen de Verenigde Staten.

Dit vertegenwoordigt ongeveer 0,08% van de werkende bevolking in het hele land.

Anders gezegd, ongeveer 1 op de 1 duizend mensen is werkzaam als 'Computer Programmers'.

Functieomschrijving

Maak, wijzig en test de code en scripts waarmee computerapplicaties kunnen draaien. Werk vanuit specificaties opgesteld door software- en webontwikkelaars of andere individuen. Mogelijk ontwikkelen en schrijven van computerprogramma's om specifieke documenten, gegevens en informatie op te slaan, te lokaliseren en op te halen.

SOC Code: 15-1251.00

Opmerkingen

Leave a comment

Mark Orsted (Laag) 1 day ago
I think that we cannot trust software to understand the human experience. I use agentic and non-agentic AI to help code now, after 30 years doing this, and it's primary benefit is saving me from typing a lot of code that I know how to write, and can confirm is written properly, or correct as needed. The "correct as needed" factor is VERY high still.
0 0 Reply
Dev (Matig) 3 days ago
AI adds another attack surface to software development companies
1 0 Reply
Titus (Zeer waarschijnlijk) 4 days ago
Once A.I. overtakes human intelligence it will write billions of lines of code error free with simple prompts from any person wanting a digital product. Why would any company need overpaid, error prone people at that point. Learn a trade quickly programmers!
0 0 Reply
Swayam Bhowmick (Zeer waarschijnlijk) 9 days ago
Everyone who's commenting and judging is basing their judgment on the current state of things. But, the current state is rapidly evolving, and most people are failing to account for the trajectory that the progress of AI is taking. 2 years ago, we were laughing at AI-generated videos of Will Smith eating spaghetti; today, the realism sends shivers down our spines. 2 years ago, AI generated broken code, now, it's capabale of somewhat functional code, replacing junior devs entirely.

Please take into account the trajectory of progress rather than the current state of things.
2 0 Reply
Ab (Zeer waarschijnlijk) 12 days ago
It does not require any physical interaction with the real world
1 3 Reply
Habs (Onzeker) 20 days ago
Software development includes understanding requirements and talking to customers (who do not know what they want). My job will be heavily automated but not yet to be fully replaced by AI.
2 2 Reply
Name (Laag) 1 month ago
AIs kind of suck at programming and logic they always add more bugs into my code
8 4 Reply
A 22 days ago
Currently. What about in 10 years though
6 0 Reply
John 1 month ago
Just as a few other professions, I’d say it would simply be limited to reducing unspecialized, entry-level positions. Those who find a niche would find that programming with chatbots are like lugging a junior dev that doesn’t learn around.
1 0 Reply
Everyone’s in denial 2 months ago
I am not saying I support the automation of everything, it’s just that in reality no one is safe as it accelerates. This is not just an assistant, nor just a displacement of humans, it is the complete replacement of the human mind. Pandora’s box was opened, now we have no idea if we will enter dystopia or utopia...
8 6 Reply
Jordan 22 days ago
No it is not. LLM's don't replicate how human brains work at all.
2 2 Reply
Tony B (Laag) 2 months ago
AI has so far been good for created standard well known solutions. It is not good at all at understanding large amounts of existing code.
7 3 Reply
Jersey Jim 1 month ago
Getting better every week. MCP. Augment Code. LLM rules.
2 1 Reply
Mu (Laag) 2 months ago
They will be reduced but not entirely replaced. This can be in ai research to improve the programming or new novel types of Research
1 2 Reply
Jacob (Laag) 2 months ago
It will change a sofware engineer is still going to be required to check the code. You aren't going to want this to automated that's crazy.
5 0 Reply
Timothy (Matig) 3 months ago
"For example, tasks or task components that appeal to capacities in which AI systems excel, will have to be less (or less fully) mastered by people, so that less training will probably be required. AI systems are already much better than people at logically and arithmetically correct gathering (selecting) and processing (weighing, prioritizing, analyzing, combining) large amounts of data. They do this quickly, accurately and reliably. They are also more stable (consistent) than humans, have no stress and emotions and have a great perseverance and a much better retention of knowledge and skills than people. As a machine, they serve people completely and without any “self-interest” or “own hidden agenda.”"
0 0 Reply
Michał (Zeer waarschijnlijk) 3 months ago
Without knowing programming at this point you can easily write a good program with the help of AI. I completely agree that this work can be automated.
0 7 Reply
Jordan 22 days ago
There's a serious difference between it works and it works correctly. Without understanding the code and testing it, all you've done is make a polished turd.
0 0 Reply
TAmzid2872 (Onzeker) 4 months ago
Programming isnt just about writing code, its about problem solving
10 0 Reply
Sven H. (Zeer waarschijnlijk) 4 months ago
AI can already code extremely well; there will be no need for human programmers in the future.
1 6 Reply
Doubtful (Laag) 4 months ago
AI is horrible at following instructions, and bad at understanding architecture. Also, as context grows it tends to forget instructions.
7 1 Reply
Jersey Jim 3 months ago
Model Context Protocol helps give AI better context. AI can work across many files now (way better IDE integration has happened in the past 6 months). The limits of AI have dwindled and will continue to dwindle as time goes on. Vibe coding is now a thing and AI can follow directions to build complete mvp's in under an hour.
0 1 Reply
Jordan 22 days ago
MVPs are not working reliable software that solves a real problem.
0 0 Reply
Michael Bohn (Onzeker) 5 months ago
For the AI to work properly, you need people who know how to write the prompts and how to evaluate the written code.
5 2 Reply
Pavel 4 months ago
But if AI becomes as good as humans then why programmers would be ever needed if not those who work on AI itself? Maybe for some complex and big programms people would still be needed.
0 0 Reply
... 4 months ago
How does this relate to programmers? Programmers program not write prompts. Evaluation to code is already possible
0 0 Reply
J 5 months ago
Robots aint gonna code themselves, if we get to that point then that's Skynet/matrix. Aka end of the world for everyone so who cares
8 2 Reply
PossiblyUnemployed 4 months ago
My worry is if future code-generating models can modify itself or the programs it works on towards a specific goal, sort of like an intelligent self-modifying quine.
0 0 Reply
John pork (Geen kans) 6 months ago
it is because AI and robots require programming and without programmers, they cannot function
1 2 Reply
PotentiallyJobless 4 months ago
It is true that programmers were necessary to create and train the models, but at this point what may be more necessary is just making sure the systems and hardware that keep the AI running don't malfunction. As it is, modern AI is finding ways to modify itself and its environment.
0 0 Reply

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