Overzicht
Automatiseringsrisico
2. Gebruikerspeiling
3. Groei
4. Loon
5. Volume
Beschrijving
Middelen
Opmerkingen

Computerprogrammeurs

Hoog Risico
70%
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RISICO VAN AUTOMATISERING
BEREKEND
70%
(Hoog Risico)
PEILING
69%
(Hoog Risico)
Average: 70%
VRAAG NAAR ARBEID
GROEI
-9,6%
tegen het jaar 2033
LONEN
$ 99.700
of $ 47,93 per uur
Volume
120.370
vanaf 2023
SAMENVATTING
BAANSCORE
3,5/10

Mensen bekeken ook

Advocaten
Webontwikkelaars
Grafisch Ontwerpers
Acteurs
Werktuigbouwkundig Ingenieurs

Berekend automatiseringsrisico

70% (Hoog Risico)

Hoge Risico (61-80%): Banen in deze categorie lopen een aanzienlijk risico door automatisering, aangezien veel van hun taken gemakkelijk kunnen worden geautomatiseerd met behulp van huidige of nabije toekomstige technologieën.

Meer informatie over wat deze score is en hoe deze wordt berekend, is beschikbaar hier.

Enkele vrij belangrijke kwaliteiten van de baan zijn moeilijk te automatiseren:

  • Sociale Waarneming

  • Originaliteit

Gebruikerspeiling

69% kans op volledige automatisering binnen de komende twee decennia

Onze bezoekers hebben gestemd dat het waarschijnlijk is dat dit beroep geautomatiseerd zal worden. Deze beoordeling wordt verder ondersteund door het berekende automatiseringsrisiconiveau, dat een schatting geeft van 70% kans op automatisering.

Wat denk je dat het risico van automatisering is?

Wat is de kans dat Computerprogrammeurs binnen de komende 20 jaar vervangen zal worden door robots of kunstmatige intelligentie?






Gevoel

De volgende grafiek wordt opgenomen waar er een aanzienlijke hoeveelheid stemmen is om zinvolle gegevens weer te geven. Deze visuele weergaven tonen de resultaten van gebruikerspeilingen in de loop van de tijd en bieden een belangrijke indicatie van sentimenttrends.

Sentiment over tijd (per kwartaal)

Gevoel over tijd (jaarlijks)

Groei

Zeer trage groei in vergelijking met andere beroepen.

Het aantal 'Computer Programmers' vacatures zal naar verwachting afnemen met 9,6% tegen 2033

Totale werkgelegenheid en geschatte vacatures

* Gegevens van het Bureau of Labor Statistics voor de periode tussen 2023 en 2033
Bijgewerkte prognoses zijn verschuldigd 09-2025.

Lonen

Zeer hoog betaald vergeleken met andere beroepen

In 2023 was het mediane jaarloon voor 'Computer Programmers' $ 99.700, of $ 47 per uur

'Computer Programmers' werden 107,4% hoger betaald dan het nationale mediane loon, dat op $ 48.060 stond.

Lonen in de loop van de tijd

* Gegevens van het Bureau voor Arbeidsstatistieken

Volume

Groter bereik van werkgelegenheidskansen in vergelijking met andere beroepen

Vanaf 2023 waren er 120.370 mensen in dienst als 'Computer Programmers' binnen de Verenigde Staten.

Dit vertegenwoordigt ongeveer 0,08% van de werkende bevolking in het hele land.

Anders gezegd, ongeveer 1 op de 1 duizend mensen is werkzaam als 'Computer Programmers'.

Functieomschrijving

Maak, wijzig en test de code en scripts waarmee computerapplicaties kunnen draaien. Werk vanuit specificaties opgesteld door software- en webontwikkelaars of andere individuen. Mogelijk ontwikkelen en schrijven van computerprogramma's om specifieke documenten, gegevens en informatie op te slaan, te lokaliseren en op te halen.

SOC Code: 15-1251.00

Opmerkingen

Leave a comment

Name (Laag) 17 days ago
AIs kind of suck at programming and logic they always add more bugs into my code
5 0 Reply
A 2 days ago
Currently. What about in 10 years though
0 0 Reply
John 19 days ago
Just as a few other professions, I’d say it would simply be limited to reducing unspecialized, entry-level positions. Those who find a niche would find that programming with chatbots are like lugging a junior dev that doesn’t learn around.
1 0 Reply
Everyone’s in denial 1 month ago
I am not saying I support the automation of everything, it’s just that in reality no one is safe as it accelerates. This is not just an assistant, nor just a displacement of humans, it is the complete replacement of the human mind. Pandora’s box was opened, now we have no idea if we will enter dystopia or utopia...
5 4 Reply
Jordan 2 days ago
No it is not. LLM's don't replicate how human brains work at all.
0 0 Reply
Tony B (Laag) 1 month ago
AI has so far been good for created standard well known solutions. It is not good at all at understanding large amounts of existing code.
7 1 Reply
Jersey Jim 21 days ago
Getting better every week. MCP. Augment Code. LLM rules.
0 1 Reply
Mu (Laag) 2 months ago
They will be reduced but not entirely replaced. This can be in ai research to improve the programming or new novel types of Research
1 1 Reply
Jacob (Laag) 2 months ago
It will change a sofware engineer is still going to be required to check the code. You aren't going to want this to automated that's crazy.
4 0 Reply
Timothy (Matig) 2 months ago
"For example, tasks or task components that appeal to capacities in which AI systems excel, will have to be less (or less fully) mastered by people, so that less training will probably be required. AI systems are already much better than people at logically and arithmetically correct gathering (selecting) and processing (weighing, prioritizing, analyzing, combining) large amounts of data. They do this quickly, accurately and reliably. They are also more stable (consistent) than humans, have no stress and emotions and have a great perseverance and a much better retention of knowledge and skills than people. As a machine, they serve people completely and without any “self-interest” or “own hidden agenda.”"
0 0 Reply
Michał (Zeer waarschijnlijk) 3 months ago
Without knowing programming at this point you can easily write a good program with the help of AI. I completely agree that this work can be automated.
0 6 Reply
Jordan 2 days ago
There's a serious difference between it works and it works correctly. Without understanding the code and testing it, all you've done is make a polished turd.
0 0 Reply
TAmzid2872 (Onzeker) 3 months ago
Programming isnt just about writing code, its about problem solving
8 0 Reply
Sven H. (Zeer waarschijnlijk) 3 months ago
AI can already code extremely well; there will be no need for human programmers in the future.
1 6 Reply
Doubtful (Laag) 4 months ago
AI is horrible at following instructions, and bad at understanding architecture. Also, as context grows it tends to forget instructions.
7 1 Reply
Jersey Jim 3 months ago
Model Context Protocol helps give AI better context. AI can work across many files now (way better IDE integration has happened in the past 6 months). The limits of AI have dwindled and will continue to dwindle as time goes on. Vibe coding is now a thing and AI can follow directions to build complete mvp's in under an hour.
0 1 Reply
Jordan 2 days ago
MVPs are not working reliable software that solves a real problem.
0 0 Reply
Michael Bohn (Onzeker) 4 months ago
For the AI to work properly, you need people who know how to write the prompts and how to evaluate the written code.
5 2 Reply
Pavel 3 months ago
But if AI becomes as good as humans then why programmers would be ever needed if not those who work on AI itself? Maybe for some complex and big programms people would still be needed.
0 0 Reply
... 4 months ago
How does this relate to programmers? Programmers program not write prompts. Evaluation to code is already possible
0 0 Reply
J 5 months ago
Robots aint gonna code themselves, if we get to that point then that's Skynet/matrix. Aka end of the world for everyone so who cares
8 2 Reply
PossiblyUnemployed 3 months ago
My worry is if future code-generating models can modify itself or the programs it works on towards a specific goal, sort of like an intelligent self-modifying quine.
0 0 Reply
John pork (Geen kans) 5 months ago
it is because AI and robots require programming and without programmers, they cannot function
1 2 Reply
PotentiallyJobless 3 months ago
It is true that programmers were necessary to create and train the models, but at this point what may be more necessary is just making sure the systems and hardware that keep the AI running don't malfunction. As it is, modern AI is finding ways to modify itself and its environment.
0 0 Reply
Emy (Zeer waarschijnlijk) 5 months ago
Even though programming can demand thinking sometimes, 70% of the work is repetitive or the same across different business. Not only that, but 80% of the time you are not solving any complex problem that demands creativity or deep thinking.
7 3 Reply
Jersey Jim 5 months ago
You can convert from one language to another with AI and a developer is not protected by knowing Java vs C#. This further erodes job protection. Recreating the wheel will drastically stop in programming and I'd imagine known problems will converge to one solution.
0 3 Reply
rick 3 months ago
programming is problem resolution. there is not a single solution. lol.
0 0 Reply
@irton (Geen kans) 6 months ago
Why do they already develop this, and AI is not smart enough to do more? To complement, it is good.
1 5 Reply
Cessna (Onzeker) 6 months ago
Some AI can program or help a person program like chatgpt
3 2 Reply
Siddhant Tambe (Onzeker) 6 months ago
In order for AI to truly replace a Human computer programmer job, they will need to be "human" enough to handle the multiple complexities of building a whole ecosystem of a software product, along with defining clients who has accurately specify requirement.
For instance, I asked ChatGPT to write me a simple code that creates a "conversation" with OpenAI's APIs. It could not even do that accurately.
Current likelihood of replacing a computer programmer is laughable at best. Maybe over 20 years there might be "some" progress.
8 3 Reply
pleb 5 months ago
To be honest, it's quite scary that most people think this job will be entirely replaced. If AI ever fully becomes "human enough" (as you said! That's a brilliant way to put it) to take over every single Computer Programmer job... well, I don't think we have to worry about whether CS Majors will get employed.
3 2 Reply
Some Programmer (Laag) 6 months ago
We need programmers to make AI, the programmers themselves propel AI ahead by making new ideas, AI cannot do that it is simply using the knowledge it has to gen a quick answer for the user based on training, however i do believe that there is a chance that AI will replace humans if its way of thinking becomes completely identical as to a human would think and if quantum computing gets invented.
4 2 Reply
half-full 5 months ago
a good example of this would be asking an ai to generate a wineglass thats full to the brim; it cant because all the pictures online are half-full, lmao
2 2 Reply
Arsh (Matig) 6 months ago
Some concepts like orginaltity and thinking can not be replicated, but base code is in danger
1 2 Reply

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