Autisti di Camion Pesanti e Trattori-Rimorchi

RISCHIO DI AUTOMAZIONE
CALCOLATO
88%
livello di rischio
SONDAGGI
64%
Basato su 537 voti
DOMANDA DI LAVORO
CRESCITA
4,3%
entro l'anno 2032
SALARI
49.920 $
o 24,00 $ all'ora
Volume
1.984.180
a partire da 2022
SOMMARIO
PUNTEGGIO LAVORO
3,8/10

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Rischio di automazione

88% (Rischio Imminente)

Rischio Imminente (81-100%): Le professioni in questo livello hanno un'altissima probabilità di essere automatizzate nel prossimo futuro. Questi lavori consistono principalmente in compiti ripetitivi e prevedibili con scarsa necessità di giudizio umano.

Ulteriori informazioni su cosa sia questo punteggio e su come viene calcolato sono disponibili qui.

Alcune qualità piuttosto importanti del lavoro sono difficili da automatizzare:

  • Destrezza Manuale

Sondaggio degli utenti

64% possibilità di completa automazione nel prossimo ventennio

I nostri visitatori hanno votato che è probabile che questa professione sarà automatizzata. Questa valutazione è ulteriormente supportata dal livello di rischio di automazione calcolato, che stima una possibilità di automazione del 88%.

Cosa pensi sia il rischio dell'automazione?

Qual è la probabilità che Autisti di Camion Pesanti e Trattori-Rimorchi venga sostituito da robot o intelligenza artificiale nei prossimi 20 anni?






Sentimento

Il/i seguente/i grafico/i sono inclusi ovunque ci sia un numero sostanziale di voti per fornire dati significativi. Queste rappresentazioni visive mostrano i risultati dei sondaggi degli utenti nel tempo, fornendo un'indicazione significativa delle tendenze del sentimento.

Sentimento nel tempo (annuale)

Crescita

Crescita moderata rispetto ad altre professioni

Il numero di offerte di lavoro per 'Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers' dovrebbe aumentare 4,3% entro il 2032

Occupazione totale e stime delle offerte di lavoro

* Dati provenienti dal Bureau of Labor Statistics per il periodo tra 2021 e 2031
Le previsioni aggiornate sono previste per 09-2023.

Salari

Retribuito moderatamente rispetto ad altre professioni

Nel 2022, il salario annuo mediano per 'Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers' era di 49.920 $, o 23 $ all'ora.

'Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers' hanno ricevuto un salario 7,8% superiore al salario mediano nazionale, che si attestava a 46.310 $

Salari nel tempo

* Dati provenienti dal Bureau of Labor Statistics

Volume

Gamma di opportunità lavorative notevolmente maggiore rispetto ad altre professioni

A partire dal 2022 c'erano 1.984.180 persone impiegate come 'Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers' negli Stati Uniti.

Questo rappresenta circa il 1,3% della forza lavoro impiegata in tutto il paese

In altre parole, circa 1 su 74 persone sono impiegate come 'Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers'.

Descrizione del lavoro

Guida un combinato trattore-rimorchio o un camion con una capacità di almeno 26.001 libbre di peso lordo del veicolo (GVW). Potrebbe essere richiesto di scaricare il camion. Richiede la patente di guida commerciale. Include i conducenti di camion di soccorso.

SOC Code: 53-3032.00

Risorse

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Commenti

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Shayne Thomas (Basso) dice
I just don't believe autonomous trucking could become a thing unless people were to give up their ability to drive themselves. If no one drove and it was just robots then it is a very plausible scenario. It would probably be safer and more efficient than if humans were driving the same trucks. The counter to that, I would say, is that it would only be that way if only robots were driving. This is because of human error, being impatient, not being a good driver, and driving under the influence. There are many factors to include when putting human drivers into the equation that cannot be calculated by a machine. Personally, I don't want to give up my own freedom to drive so companies could be slightly more efficient and I'm sure there are a lot of others who would feel similar.
Mar 25, 2024 at 08:24
Josh (Incerto) dice
Seems no one has visited this section in awhile. I think it's safe to say all previous comments and this assessment itself was based off over-hyped technology that has proven to be much more complicated than initially thought. The eventual automation of commercial drivers is probably high but still decades away with the current challenges.
Nov 01, 2023 at 02:18
Anonymous (Incerto) dice
It's going to be automated; it's not debatable. The question is, "How soon will it happen?" My guess is that it's going to take another 20 to 50 years before the technology is sophisticated enough to displace human beings. At that point, it'd no longer be an attractive or plausible occupation for most.

If you're in your 30s, you can likely still make an income from trucking, and you may even be able to ride it out until retirement. However, if you're the next generation of kids, probably not.
Jan 30, 2023 at 02:01
Jeremy dice
It's truly the case that Tesla is leading with the new Cyber Trucks and future models. How much profit can be made by just selling 1,000 trucks? There is a huge market.

All they need is a new law with dedicated trucker lanes, similar to bike or bus lanes.
Aug 15, 2022 at 11:31
2nd rule of the pirate code: Curfew by 10 PM dice
"All they need is a new law with dedicated trucker lanes, similar to bike or bus lanes."
So, you want a dedicated lane for a Heavy vehicle to drive through, which the heavy vehicle in question is dedicated solely to transporting materials and goods.

You are describing a Train.
But specifically a train that moves on streets and highways. If there are two things the U.S loves (assuming we are talking specifically about the U.S), it's Guns and Cars. I doubt people would be too happy letting a big portion of driveable area get used up nor would they be happy to have it drive next to them, because the fear of it malfunctioning would be heightened. That's also not to mention how primitive the ai is for self driving, and the potential ethical concerns.

I do think that Ai will replace delivery jobs like this, but It'll most likely be in a form that would have the least potential to cause damage, like a drone or a train out in the middle of nowhere.
Oct 27, 2023 at 09:01
Mr. Nobody (Basso) dice
Certain cities have a very tight shipping/receiving docks, not to mention the streets.. who’s going to chain up the tires in the snow?
Jul 12, 2022 at 08:03
Nathan (Moderato) dice
Even though working on trucks will become safer, it will still be unsafe and there is a likelihood of getting hurt.
May 22, 2022 at 11:16
Mark (Basso) dice
Parts of the trucking industry are likely to be automated in the next 20 years. For instance, long-distance convoys. But truckers do more than just drive. They also do maintenance, load balancing, inspections, and sometimes loading and unloading at destinations.

As such, for short-haul routes, the "driving" part is a relatively minor part of the job. Even if it's automated, the trucker is still needed. For long-haul routes, robotic convoys will indeed eliminate the need for some drivers. But each convoy will still need a shepherd for the other duties that can't be substantially eliminated in that period of time.
Apr 19, 2022 at 01:05
Matt (Molto probabile) dice
As a truck driver, I have mixed views on automated driving. I don't see any evidence that a truck could be 100% autonomous in my lifetime. There is so much more to trucking than just driving, a lot more.
Jan 25, 2022 at 05:22
Ry dice
Lol, if you've ever been a local city truck driver, this will never happen. Maybe interstate driving could be automated for the mega-corporations, but local driving in a major city? Probably never. The fact that this has such a high likelihood of getting votes proves that you shouldn't blindly believe anyone on the internet who tells you anything. Most of the votes are clearly not from anyone in the industry.
Dec 31, 2021 at 01:03
RB Hopson (Basso) dice
Although the tech will be here soon, I think the infrastructure required to fully automate this sector will take much longer to implement.
Oct 08, 2021 at 02:20
Nico Cione (Molto probabile) dice
I think that there will be driverless electric-powered trucks in the future.
Sep 09, 2021 at 03:15
Mr. T (Molto probabile) dice
Especially long haul transport will be vulnerable because these routes are less complex to automize. Short-haul transport will stay relevant a little longer. Although there will be massive competition, due to the low entry barriers of starting at this job.
Sep 07, 2021 at 10:29
Steve (Molto probabile) dice
Based on the current processes, and the vast evolution of self driving cars
Aug 28, 2021 at 04:08
Andrea (Nessuna possibilità) dice
A robot cannot replace the instincts of human driving knowledge, especially during extreme weather conditions. I haven’t even begun to discuss pre trip inspections or backing and parking a trailer in a dock. This takes many years to master. This is not like driving a car. Robots will NEVER replace a human driver.
Jun 13, 2021 at 09:09
Ryan R dice
Likely sooner. There are already semi trucks with AI learn cameras installed on them going around. Won't be shocked if it's sooner than a decade.
Jun 03, 2021 at 11:42
Steve W. dice
Bad news: Search for "This Year, Autonomous Trucks Will Take to the Road With No One on Board"
Autonomous trucks are here! Expect to find a new career as early as 2024.
May 12, 2021 at 04:31
William Sturges (Basso) dice
Still will need a person in truck. Robots will not fuel truck or complete a UsDot inspection. It also can not get and sign paperwork or know what loading/unloading door or dock is required.
Apr 14, 2021 at 12:59
R.D. (Basso) dice
Interfacing with the customer...a robot? The tractor's today are overweight with computer help and, create more of a problem. Just ask any truckdriver.
Mar 13, 2021 at 07:48
Daniel Churchley (Molto probabile) dice
As a hgv driver I see how vehicles are evolving and I am also aware of how much money is being invested in automation with companies like Tesla
Jan 24, 2021 at 01:25
Pat D dice
Companies will have to have a person in every tractor trailer to oversee fueling if it's long haul. Unless they have automated fuel stops all over the country. I say 50 years min for total automated trucking. I'll send my kids though IT school by then
Jan 10, 2021 at 03:28

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