Écrivains et Auteurs

RISQUE D'AUTOMATISATION
CALCULÉ
49%
niveau de risque
SONDAGE
37%
Basé sur 1 225 votes
DEMANDE DE TRAVAIL
CROISSANCE
4,1%
par l'année 2032
SALAIRES
73 150 $
ou 35,17 $ par heure
Volume
54 010
à partir du 2022
RÉSUMÉ
SCORE DE TRAVAIL
5,3/10

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Risque d'automatisation

49% (Risque Modéré)

Risque Modéré (41-60%) : Les professions présentant un risque modéré d'automatisation impliquent généralement des tâches routinières mais nécessitent toujours un certain jugement et interaction humains.

Plus d'informations sur ce que représente ce score et comment il est calculé sont disponibles ici.

Certaines qualités assez importantes du travail sont difficiles à automatiser :

  • Originalité

  • Persuasion

  • Perceptivité Sociale

Impact of Chat GPT on this occupation

We've received many comments and emails about Chat GPT and it's impact on this occupation. It's very impressive software, so people are understandably worried and/or excited.

However, something important to note with regards to the score we've calculated here, is that this occupation is comprised of many different types of job roles. Some examples of these include Advertising Writer, Blurb Writer, Copywriter and Screenwriter.

Some roles/tasks are more susceptible than other's to being automated by Chat GPT, but the score we've calculated is one that's an amalgamation of all of them.

Unfortunately, the source for our data (o*net) doesn't split this category up to the individual roles, so we can't calculate a score for each of them. If they do at some point in the future, we'll do the same, and generate scores accordingly.

Writing occupations aren't dead, but they are changing, so the best advice we can offer is to keep up to date with the latest developments, and use the tools available to your advantage.

Sondage utilisateur

37% chance de pleine automatisation au cours des deux prochaines décennies

Nos visiteurs ont voté qu'il y a peu de chances que cette profession soit automatisée. Cette évaluation est davantage soutenue par le niveau de risque d'automatisation calculé, qui estime 49% de chances d'automatisation.

Que pensez-vous du risque de l'automatisation?

Quelle est la probabilité que Écrivains et Auteurs soit remplacé par des robots ou l'intelligence artificielle dans les 20 prochaines années ?






Sentiment

Le(s) graphique(s) suivant(s) sont inclus là où il y a un nombre substantiel de votes pour fournir des données significatives. Ces représentations visuelles affichent les résultats des sondages des utilisateurs au fil du temps, fournissant une indication significative des tendances de sentiment.

Sentiment au fil du temps (trimestriel)

Sentiment au fil du temps (annuellement)

Croissance

Une croissance modérée par rapport à d'autres professions

On s'attend à ce que le nombre de postes vacants pour 'Writers and Authors' augmente 4,1% d'ici 2032

Emploi total, et estimations des offres d'emploi

* Données de la Bureau of Labor Statistics pour la période entre 2021 et 2031
Les prévisions mises à jour sont attendues 09-2023.

Salaires

Hautement rémunéré par rapport à d'autres professions

En 2022, le salaire annuel médian pour 'Writers and Authors' était de 73 150 $, soit 35 $ par heure.

'Writers and Authors' ont été payés 58,0% de plus que le salaire médian national, qui était de 46 310 $

Salaires au fil du temps

* Données provenant du Bureau des Statistiques du Travail

Volume

Gamme modérée d'opportunités d'emploi par rapport à d'autres professions

À partir de 2022, il y avait 54 010 personnes employées en tant que 'Writers and Authors' aux États-Unis.

Cela représente environ < 0,001% de la main-d'œuvre employée à travers le pays

Autrement dit, environ 1 personne sur 2 mille est employée en tant que 'Writers and Authors'.

Description du poste

Produire et préparer du matériel écrit, tels que des scripts, des histoires, des publicités et d'autres matériaux.

SOC Code: 27-3043.00

Ressources

Will Chat GPT spell the end of blogging?

Here's a very informative video from Ricky Kesler from Income School about Chat GPT as it relates to blogging (and SEO). We think it contains great advice, and can be applied to all sorts of writing job roles, not just bloggers.

Si vous envisagez de commencer une nouvelle carrière ou de changer de travail, nous avons créé un outil de recherche d'emploi pratique qui pourrait vous aider à décrocher ce nouveau poste parfait.

Recherchez des emplois dans votre région locale

Commentaires

Laissez un commentaire

Dom (Faible) dit
Creativity, novelty, capturing the social, invention.
Apr 29, 2024 at 05:53
Rebecca (Faible) dit
Because robots tend to be predictable and writers need imagination and I don't see robots having that
Apr 22, 2024 at 04:20
Philip Whittebane (Très probable) dit
At least many blurb and screenwriting jobs could be automated. Although there would still be the requirement for some level of creativity
Apr 19, 2024 at 10:07
Tomoko Julius (Aucune chance) dit
i doubt that any time soon the originality of the human touch will fade away with the coming in of AI. It simply cannot. PERIOD!!!
Apr 11, 2024 at 09:29
Mike (Très probable) dit
Highly only because ChatGPT is used for writing, and it can be used in story making
Apr 09, 2024 at 08:13
copper (Aucune chance) dit
the robots simply lack the creativity of a good author like J.K.Rowling or Suzanne Collins.
Mar 21, 2024 at 10:49
Penguin (Aucune chance) dit
Robots cannot have experiences. They just spit out a cacophony of random words with no care as to a message or logic or ethics.
Mar 15, 2024 at 01:21
M (Faible) dit
In the United States, creative material developed by AI cannot be trademarked and therefore unprofitable.
Jan 18, 2024 at 04:55
Dakshay (Modéré) dit
If AI keeps improving, certainly studios will start using AI generated scripts to make movies/tv shows/ books. They will be garbage generic stuff in the beginning but at one point AI will certainly be able to write as well as a human. So writers working for studios will be in danger. But I think big established authors like Brandon Sanderson, have planned projects for decades later. And people will still buy their books because they love the stories. I think if you can cultivate a community of dedicated fans, you can definitely make a killing (or at least a livable income.)
Personally, I would hate to see the art of storytelling to be turned over to machines.
Jan 07, 2024 at 09:23
Tom P (Faible) dit
The creativity of a human cannot be replicated by robots, at least for many decades. It is so complex that we don't even understand it. However, I believe robots could potentially take over short-form content without many underlying creative choices.
Sep 01, 2023 at 05:17
d (Aucune chance) dit
If you believe that people engage with writers purely because it's "content", I must inform you that this job would have already been eliminated a long, long time ago simply by SEO.

ChatGPT is not going to write things that people care about. This isn't because chatgpt is a bad writer - it's because people primarily consume written content because of the person behind it. Since the dawn of the internet, and even before, there have been an infinite number of takes, a vast supply of content. Yet, somehow, people still pay for newspapers, and substacks, and books, and all sorts of things that are seemingly available for free with just a Google search. It's because of the particulars of that person's perspective, not just "story good" or "take good."

There are already far more failed writers than successful ones, and far more failed "in the style of" works than actual successful works. What AI will do is simply raise the stakes for what it takes to be a successful writer or author, since it establishes a baseline commodity. However, that baseline is already very, very high.
Aug 23, 2023 at 08:13
maushri deb (Aucune chance) dit
Being a writer human touch is very important.
Aug 08, 2023 at 06:22
Monty O’Brien (Aucune chance) dit
Good novels are novel.
May 08, 2023 at 09:09
yokoso (Très probable) dit
it's already done for web writing, copywriting with chat gtp, bard and many other. AI can generate more and more accurate and imaginative stories, facts and a style of writing proper to an author. it's possible to train AI to seems more and more human without inconsistencies in the stories.
it's not gonna replace real writers yet but it is coming like winter.
Mar 06, 2023 at 09:25
Jay. (Très probable) dit
AI wil only get better here on out. With the push a button or voice command it will generate content that is not only factual but fitting in style and emotions for the target audience. Humans will merely check over the work. But the brunt of the work will be produced by AI.
Feb 20, 2023 at 05:12
Blue Balled Media (Modéré) dit
ChatGPT and services like it are rising, I don't think writers will be completely replaced by automation. It depends on the type of writing, I think the Human element will still be vital for storytelling, and wisdom.
Humans are still the best storytellers.
Jan 25, 2023 at 04:45
Andrei (Très probable) dit
Chatgpt is better than most authours on the planet right now.
Jan 20, 2023 at 09:01
Writer (Modéré) dit
It's difficult to say. As an author myself I deeply hope that human writers continue to flourish. It is clear that through AI the number of stories on the market will rise. The market will become saturated with average stories and the need to differentiate ourselves through our writing quality and our human brand will become ever more important.

Personally I went into this field because I absolutely thought I could write better than the average book, and that the "cream will rise to the top". I still believe this is true.

Where I get worried is if AI can learn to write fiction really well. Can an AI in 10 years learn beyond what it is taught (fed average books) and create amazing stories? That's what really scares me.

Will people want to read a story written by an AI or will people want to read stories written by humans? There's an element of detachment when reading AI writing and the uncanny valley effect might take hold when we read an AI trying to present human emotions through character. We will know - whoever put those words down did not understand them and they will have less meaning. Or will they? If they make sense they make sense. If it has emotional impact it has emotional impact - even if that was replicated through pulp learning and mastered through engagement scores.

Scary times to be a writer - to have any job. But this was always my dream and so I know deep down there's no chance I'll give up on it. Even if I can only build two thousand loyal readers, that is enough to make a living, and I'll do that through being very very human and marketing myself face first.
Jan 16, 2023 at 05:13
Lola (Likely) (Modéré) dit
Chat bots are getting crafty. Obviously they can’t replicate an original human’s true emotional journey, but for most things, such as instructional packets, robots may be preferred since they’re cheaper, less prone to mistakes, and won’t quit suddenly.
Jan 05, 2023 at 01:37
Nil (Très probable) dit
Copy.ai website already writes blog posts in seconds. This field is already lost.
Dec 12, 2022 at 12:58
Ariel dit
Not really I believe authors are still out there writing for us.
Aug 08, 2023 at 01:01

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