Écrivains et Auteurs

Risque Modéré
56%

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RISQUE D'AUTOMATISATION
CALCULÉ
60%
(Haut Risque)
SONDAGE
52%
(Risque Modéré, Basé sur 1 422 votes)
Average: 56%
DEMANDE DE TRAVAIL
CROISSANCE
5,1%
par l'année 2033
SALAIRES
73 690 $
ou 35,42 $ par heure
Volume
49 450
à partir du 2023
RÉSUMÉ
Que montre ce flocon de neige ?
Le Flocon de neige est un résumé visuel des cinq badges: Risque d'automatisation (calculé), Risque (sondé), Croissance, Salaires et Volume. Il vous donne un aperçu instantané du profil d'un métier. La couleur du Flocon de neige est liée à sa taille. Plus le métier obtient de bons scores par rapport aux autres, plus le Flocon de neige devient grand et vert.
SCORE DE TRAVAIL
4,7/10
Qu'est-ce que c'est ?
Score de l'emploi (plus c'est élevé, mieux c'est) :

Nous évaluons les emplois en utilisant quatre facteurs. Ceux-ci sont :

- Risque d'automatisation
- Croissance de l'emploi
- Salaires
- Volume de postes disponibles

Ce sont quelques points clés à prendre en compte lors de la recherche d'un emploi.

Les gens ont également vu

Acteurs Avocats Programmeurs Informatiques Concepteurs graphiques Développeurs Web

Risque d'automatisation calculé

60% (Haut Risque)

Risque Élevé (61-80%) : Les emplois dans cette catégorie font face à une menace significative de l'automatisation, car beaucoup de leurs tâches peuvent être facilement automatisées en utilisant les technologies actuelles ou proches du futur.

Plus d'informations sur ce que représente ce score et comment il est calculé sont disponibles ici.

Certaines qualités assez importantes du travail sont difficiles à automatiser :

  • Originalité

  • Perceptivité Sociale

  • Persuasion

Sondage utilisateur

52% chance de pleine automatisation au cours des deux prochaines décennies

Nos visiteurs ont voté qu'ils ne sont pas sûrs si cette profession sera automatisée. Cependant, le niveau de risque d'automatisation que nous avons généré suggère une probabilité beaucoup plus élevée d'automatisation : 60% de chances d'automatisation.

Que pensez-vous du risque de l'automatisation?

Quelle est la probabilité que Écrivains et Auteurs soit remplacé par des robots ou l'intelligence artificielle dans les 20 prochaines années ?

Sentiment

Le graphique suivant est affiché là où il y a suffisamment de votes pour produire des données significatives. Il présente les résultats des sondages utilisateurs au fil du temps, offrant une indication claire des tendances de sentiment.

Sentiment au fil du temps (trimestriel)

Sentiment au fil du temps (annuellement)

Croissance

Une croissance modérée par rapport à d'autres professions

On s'attend à ce que le nombre de postes vacants pour 'Writers and Authors' augmente 5,1% d'ici 2033

Emploi total, et estimations des offres d'emploi

* Données de la Bureau of Labor Statistics pour la période entre 2023 et 2033
Les prévisions mises à jour sont attendues 09-2025.

Salaires

Hautement rémunéré par rapport à d'autres professions

En 2023, le salaire annuel médian pour 'Writers and Authors' était de 73 690 $, soit 35 $ par heure.

'Writers and Authors' ont été payés 53,3% de plus que le salaire médian national, qui était de 48 060 $

Salaires au fil du temps

* Données provenant du Bureau des Statistiques du Travail

Volume

Gamme modérée d'opportunités d'emploi par rapport à d'autres professions

À partir de 2023, il y avait 49 450 personnes employées en tant que 'Writers and Authors' aux États-Unis.

Cela représente environ < 0,001% de la main-d'œuvre employée à travers le pays

Autrement dit, environ 1 personne sur 3 mille est employée en tant que 'Writers and Authors'.

Description du poste

Produire et préparer du matériel écrit, tels que des scripts, des histoires, des publicités et d'autres matériaux.

SOC Code: 27-3043.00

Ressources

Will Chat GPT spell the end of blogging?

Here's a very informative video from Ricky Kesler from Income School about Chat GPT as it relates to blogging (and SEO). We think it contains great advice, and can be applied to all sorts of writing job roles, not just bloggers.

Commentaires (104)

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Adolfo Pereira (Faible)
16 mars 2025 19:16
AI might replace the more boring categories among the written word careers, but i don't see it replacing novelists, essayists, etc
Nicole (Faible)
27 nov. 2024 03:29
Because AI can not replace the writers's feelings,thinkings,and personal experiences. Also, the sills of creativity etc.
RedBoxia
13 janv. 2025 18:10
It sure can mimic them, though. If ai continues growing, it won’t need emotions. It will eventually be able to fabricate them.
EE (Modéré)
15 déc. 2024 19:37
While AI and other tools can write, I don't think they're advanced enough YET to write on the same caliber as a human
Hope (Faible)
13 nov. 2024 04:18
GPT and other AI generators may be able to write stories, but they don't come anywhere near human-written stories. Whenever asked to write a story, they always write it in a certain form, with similar plots. Nothing new or exciting. Plus, all humans think differently, so it would be impossible to model and AI that can think like every human. As a young author, I try to write stories outside the box that would be difficult for an AI to try replicating.
Ele (Low)
21 juil. 2024 16:55
As a writer myself, AI doesn't scare me because it lacks what writing and stories originally entail: experience. You can have a fantasy dystopia story written by ChatGPT, but it can never hold up to the bar human-made fantasy dystopian stories have set. Why? These stories contain human experiences, they contain a message that authors wish to convey, experiences authors wish to convey. It's the humanity that stories hold that make them loved by people. Any text-based AI can write a story, but will it ever hold the same impact to a story an actual person wrote? No, because AI hasn't experienced anything actual people have experienced. It only "sees" what people witness and puts it into its generation without second thought. The reason people consume stories is because they can relate to it, they learn something from it. I know AI helps breakdown and teach things we can't understand by piecing together information from the internet faster than we can, but for it to write a story? Fat chance. Writing is more than just fast money content (that, sadly, already is in today's times) it is a form of art that records experiences and messages that cannot be conveyed with straightforwardness. It is something that holds bits and pieces of humanity, of someone's memories, of messages that are so big that it can never fit in a simple sentence. No matter how many years it will take, AI can never catch up with how high the bar has been set when it comes to writing.
Human # 7,522,997,653 (Faible)
10 juil. 2024 08:58
I don't really think AI will take over writing. In my eyes, AI will never capture the thrilling, magical, real experience that humans can create.

Although they have a chance, AI can never reach the same level of imagination that we humans have when it comes to stories and fiction.

Though I have very little hope for humanity in the future, I still believe humans can change for the better.
d (Aucune chance)
23 août 2023 08:13
If you believe that people engage with writers purely because it's "content", I must inform you that this job would have already been eliminated a long, long time ago simply by SEO.

ChatGPT is not going to write things that people care about. This isn't because chatgpt is a bad writer - it's because people primarily consume written content because of the person behind it. Since the dawn of the internet, and even before, there have been an infinite number of takes, a vast supply of content. Yet, somehow, people still pay for newspapers, and substacks, and books, and all sorts of things that are seemingly available for free with just a Google search. It's because of the particulars of that person's perspective, not just "story good" or "take good."

There are already far more failed writers than successful ones, and far more failed "in the style of" works than actual successful works. What AI will do is simply raise the stakes for what it takes to be a successful writer or author, since it establishes a baseline commodity. However, that baseline is already very, very high.
Laurel
20 août 2024 16:00
I'm an author, and I just thought I'd share my take on this. While it's true that AI can't replicate human emotions and experiences, it has proven to be capable of writing average stories. Too many people consume media without a critical eye. As long as people as a whole start to care more about quality media, we should be fine.
Philip Whittebane (Très probable)
19 avr. 2024 22:07
At least many blurb and screenwriting jobs could be automated. Although there would still be the requirement for some level of creativity
Ray (Faible)
12 juil. 2024 23:40
Robots will never be able to copy real writers' creativity, although they could help you write a short essay for school, AI cannot do original and creative writing.
R H DARNELL (Faible)
07 juil. 2024 20:26
Real writing uses creativity. AI is not creative, AI can only use what you input. It can rhyme, and write grammatically correct sentences, but it cannot convey emotion or elicit a response on a human level. I believe it could write a "good" outline, but not a good screenplay, much less a great book.
Chris Ochs (Modéré)
06 mai 2024 13:00
News and nonfiction are high. Fantasy, sci-fi, horror novels far less so.
Dom (Faible)
29 avr. 2024 17:53
Creativity, novelty, capturing the social, invention.
Rebecca (Faible)
22 avr. 2024 16:20
Because robots tend to be predictable and writers need imagination and I don't see robots having that
Eden (Aucune chance)
03 oct. 2022 19:58
I wouldn't read a book written by AI. Replacing authors would promote illiteracy.
Mark (Très probable)
29 mars 2023 08:46
The problem is if in the future you will be able to tell the difference
Justus (Faible)
03 févr. 2026 18:05
Being a writer or an author requires levels of creativity based on individual experience that I believe AI could never truly imitate.
GM
03 nov. 2025 22:04
Seeing how high of a risk percentage there is makes me pretty concerned for my future outlook. Although I truly believe that AI is incapable of replicating human originality or emotion for that matter, it is clear that companies and other external entities don’t care for human creation. I do think there would be a lot of pushback from creators, and the writer’s strike in 2023 was a clear example of that, but I think there is an unavoidable sense of harm that will impact this industry directly.
Pasi (Aucune chance)
03 juil. 2024 14:13
It depends on the author, but currently the AI simply can not write a good book.
Saria Gibb (Incertain)
05 févr. 2026 00:08
Cos we need to be creative, ya know?? AI can only write so well. As long as we don't ask ChatGPT to edit our books for us, they can't steal our ideas.
ali (Aucune chance)
08 juil. 2021 07:12
if robots replace writing then they probably will replace everything

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