Électriciens

RISQUE D'AUTOMATISATION
CALCULÉ
5%
niveau de risque
SONDAGE
21%
Basé sur 993 votes
DEMANDE DE TRAVAIL
CROISSANCE
7,1%
par l'année 2032
SALAIRES
60 240 $
ou 28,96 $ par heure
Volume
690 050
à partir du 2022
RÉSUMÉ
SCORE DE TRAVAIL
7,7/10

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Risque d'automatisation

5% (Risque Minimal)

Risque Minimal (0-20%) : Les professions dans cette catégorie ont une faible probabilité d'être automatisées, car elles exigent généralement une résolution complexe de problèmes, de la créativité, de solides compétences interpersonnelles et un haut degré de dextérité manuelle. Ces emplois impliquent souvent des mouvements de main complexes et une coordination précise, rendant difficile pour les machines de reproduire les tâches requises.

Plus d'informations sur ce que représente ce score et comment il est calculé sont disponibles ici.

Certaines qualités très importantes du travail sont difficiles à automatiser :

  • Espace de travail exigu, positions inconfortables

Certaines qualités assez importantes du travail sont difficiles à automatiser :

  • Dextérité des Doigts

  • Dextérité manuelle

  • Persuasion

Sondage utilisateur

21% chance de pleine automatisation au cours des deux prochaines décennies

Nos visiteurs ont voté qu'il y a peu de chances que cette profession soit automatisée. Cette évaluation est davantage soutenue par le niveau de risque d'automatisation calculé, qui estime 5% de chances d'automatisation.

Que pensez-vous du risque de l'automatisation?

Quelle est la probabilité que Électriciens soit remplacé par des robots ou l'intelligence artificielle dans les 20 prochaines années ?






Sentiment

Le(s) graphique(s) suivant(s) sont inclus là où il y a un nombre substantiel de votes pour fournir des données significatives. Ces représentations visuelles affichent les résultats des sondages des utilisateurs au fil du temps, fournissant une indication significative des tendances de sentiment.

Sentiment au fil du temps (annuellement)

Croissance

Une croissance rapide par rapport à d'autres professions

On s'attend à ce que le nombre de postes vacants pour 'Electricians' augmente 7,1% d'ici 2032

Emploi total, et estimations des offres d'emploi

* Données de la Bureau of Labor Statistics pour la période entre 2021 et 2031
Les prévisions mises à jour sont attendues 09-2023.

Salaires

Rémunéré de manière modérée par rapport à d'autres professions

En 2022, le salaire annuel médian pour 'Electricians' était de 60 240 $, soit 28 $ par heure.

'Electricians' ont été payés 30,1% de plus que le salaire médian national, qui était de 46 310 $

Salaires au fil du temps

* Données provenant du Bureau des Statistiques du Travail

Volume

Gamme de possibilités d'emploi nettement plus grande comparée à d'autres professions

À partir de 2022, il y avait 690 050 personnes employées en tant que 'Electricians' aux États-Unis.

Cela représente environ 0,47% de la main-d'œuvre employée à travers le pays

Autrement dit, environ 1 personne sur 214 est employée en tant que 'Electricians'.

Description du poste

Installez, entretenez et réparez le câblage électrique, les équipements et les installations. Assurez-vous que le travail est conforme aux codes pertinents. Vous pourriez installer ou entretenir des lampadaires, des systèmes d'interphone ou des systèmes de contrôle électrique.

SOC Code: 47-2111.00

Ressources

Si vous envisagez de commencer une nouvelle carrière ou de changer de travail, nous avons créé un outil de recherche d'emploi pratique qui pourrait vous aider à décrocher ce nouveau poste parfait.

Recherchez des emplois dans votre région locale

Commentaires

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Cindy dit
I believe the intricate details in the wiring of the actual building would be too difficult for a machine. Electricians have refined skills that are very difficult to master by just anyone! They go to school for a 5 year apprenticeship. These people are specialized professionals and we need to respect them and their profession!!
Dec 31, 2023 at 10:00
Nathan (Aucune chance) dit
I'm a young Electrician. for doing this job, you need to work in any kind of environment. sometimes you need to identify the problem so in order to do so, you will use your hands, body, creativity and of course, knowledge. A.I. will might stand a chance on replacing us if they probably come in a humanoid form xD
Aug 19, 2023 at 03:50
hoj (Modéré) dit
Humanoid Robots Cleaning Your House, Serving Your Food and Running Factories

https://www.yahoo.com/lifestyle/humanoid-robots-cleaning-house-serving-204050583.html

This will happen shortly.
Jun 26, 2023 at 10:16
Jason (Aucune chance) dit
If you could automate trade work, then the world is pretty much all automated at that point. Think about how complicated this work is. Even though AI could feasibley figure out how to do this type of work, it's still pretty complicated and you would need crazy good robots to perform it. Then let's say you have the complex ai and robotics to do the job. When will that technology become affordable?

Buildings are constructed in a way that are not standardized. Sure some facilities could be engineered in such a way that would make robotics possible to work in, but I think this is a long way off. By the time Electricians are automated most jobs will be automated. I mean robots/Ai could do basic level clerical work before electrical construction/maintenance. I think some parts of this industry will be automated. Maybe running 500 mile lines can be done by some machines, but even so there will still need to be some kind of human supervision.

We're just not there yet. We won't be there for a while. As dumb as most construction jobs seem, they will probably be automated so far out from now that entry level lawyers have more to worry about since chatgbt can probably do basic level legal research. No machine is capable of doing much aside from maybe doing some basic prep work, which that is hardly going to replace an electrician as of now.

If anything it will just speed up jobs and potentially lower the industry, but I really don't see it making a big difference anytime soon.
Jun 20, 2023 at 10:16
Ben (Modéré) dit
particularly in the new installation space, I think they will be able to run cables, fit off etc... it will probably be harder in the maintenance area for a machine to make repairs.
Mar 07, 2023 at 12:19
SAY NO TO PROGRAMMING (Faible) dit
Electricians are essentially a perfect blend of physical & mental work that just isn't easily replaceable as say programming is.
Feb 28, 2023 at 10:32
Kb dit
It seems that although certain technologies for robot dexterity are being developed, it will take a while for it to created and then theres the question of adoption speed. Don't get me wrong, if the technology is developed it WILL be adopted, probably just not immediantly.

So I wouldn't worry just yet in regards to the immediate future.

The next 2 decades though, im not sure.
Feb 20, 2023 at 02:23
Benoit (Aucune chance) dit
I think the 19% who said electricians could be replaced in the near future have very low knowledge of the complex tasks electricians have to perform. It requires a lot of thinking and makeshift problem solving along with various physical tasks that require dexterity, precision, balance and the ability to position your body in various positions only a human is capable of.
Jan 24, 2023 at 10:55
andy (Modéré) dit
As an electrician's apprentice, I can see how pre-fabrication AI could easily steal away the standard rough-in methods during construction. Residential housing can be streamlined easily since big developers are making the same design for 200,000 homes they build. If a standard was set that pre-fab components were to be used and shipped to the location, you wouldn't need people to wire it up.
Mar 21, 2022 at 01:51
Dave (Aucune chance) dit
Maybe to assist with pulling wire and conduit bending perhaps. Don't think AI will replace electricians
Oct 05, 2021 at 02:14
Thomas Bach (Aucune chance) dit
Not a chance. I’m an industrial electrician working in the automotive industry. I’m taking care of about 100 robots ( I’m responsible for my 3 manufacturing lines ) and there’s no way any robot today can do what we do. Line operators are being replaced by robots but at the same time, there’s a need for more trades. Let’s be honest, somebody has to fix them. I think I’ll be able to retire safely. It will be a major jump in technology before robots can fix other robots in industrial applications.
Sep 19, 2021 at 02:35
allgone dit
Really not how AI progress works.

Reading comprehension went from not possible to human-level in a few years.

https://ourworldindata.org/uploads/2022/12/AI-performance_Dynabench-paper-2048x921.png
Jun 26, 2023 at 10:17
Kenneth dit
What about AI, and its rapid advancements?
Aug 07, 2023 at 11:00
yo lads (Aucune chance) dit
too hard to put a robot on a roof and not fall thru it, not happening anytime soon
Sep 19, 2021 at 05:50
Jake D (Aucune chance) dit
Understanding electrical theory and the intricacies associated with it when you’re working in physical environments is way beyond what machines can do. Static electricity accumulates, grounds are needed, and a whole lot of work is put into just insulating and making electricity safe to interact with. As a lineman apprentice, I can’t imagine there’ll be a machine that can process all of that, let alone be physically capable of performing all the tasks associated with electrical work. It’s a pretty interdisciplinary field that requires a lot of critical thinking, a lot of consideration of your environment, and is incredibly dangerous.

Personally, I don’t think you can really assess the ability of this field to be automated unless you understand the actions we take to avoid getting shocked, to avoid breaking things, and the volume of equipment we use. It takes two years in trade school and four years in an apprenticeship to create a qualified electrician and even then, they are always learning. Expecting machines to pick up this work within even forty years, assuming technology keeps progressing linearly, is pretty unlikely.

I hope I’m not jinxing myself here but this does seem pretty stupid. I’m a smart guy and I routinely feel like an idiot on the job because there’s just so much to grasp and handle. Expecting a machine to be able to understand, let alone contextualize, and further implement this information is completely fantastical.
Sep 06, 2021 at 03:57
Kenneth dit
Ai and robots are already as of this time starting to replace surgeons. Surgeons go through on average 12-15 years of schooling after highschool. The ai can already diagnose and preform surgeries better...
Aug 07, 2023 at 11:04
Kade (Aucune chance) dit
When electricians, plumbers, and HVAC mechanics are automated, no one will have a job.
Aug 16, 2021 at 04:47
Anthony Hallam (Faible) dit
theirs no way a robot has the dexterity to wire, and it doesn't even have the brain to spot a problem
Jun 04, 2021 at 04:53
Kenneth dit
Yet Ai has the dexterity to perform heart and brain surgeries better than human surgeons and the brain to diagnose better than human doctors....
Aug 07, 2023 at 11:06
1 (Faible) dit
In my opinion, the electrician is too complicated a job for robots, and in addition, the tasks of an electrician sometimes involve repairing robots, motors, or other types of machines. :)
Jan 09, 2021 at 03:09
Sam (Aucune chance) dit
Highly dextrous job involving customer interaction, this will not be fully automated for some time.
Jan 02, 2021 at 02:31
frank (Aucune chance) dit
nope, no chance its a trade
Aug 09, 2020 at 09:41
anonymous (Aucune chance) dit
Electricians make complex decisions unique to individual situations and perform complex motor tasks which would be impossible to practically replicate with a robot. Truly no need to worry about this occupation becoming obsolete.
Jun 08, 2020 at 02:44
Joe (Aucune chance) dit
If they can manufacture robots to do complex work and have the mobility to do an electricians work then no one will have a job.
May 14, 2020 at 04:32

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