Aperçu
Risque d'Automatisation
2. Sondage Utilisateur
3. Croissance
4. Salaires
5. Volume
Description
Ressources
Commentaires

Économistes

RISQUE D'AUTOMATISATION
CALCULÉ
51%
niveau de risque
SONDAGE
37%
Basé sur 1 128 votes
DEMANDE DE TRAVAIL
CROISSANCE
5,7%
par l'année 2032
SALAIRES
113 940 $
ou 54,77 $ par heure
Volume
16 370
à partir du 2022
RÉSUMÉ
SCORE DE TRAVAIL
6,0/10

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Commentaires (18)

Risque d'automatisation

51% (Risque Modéré)

Risque Modéré (41-60%) : Les professions présentant un risque modéré d'automatisation impliquent généralement des tâches routinières mais nécessitent toujours un certain jugement et interaction humains.

Plus d'informations sur ce que représente ce score et comment il est calculé sont disponibles ici.

Certaines qualités assez importantes du travail sont difficiles à automatiser :

  • Originalité

  • Persuasion

Sondage utilisateur

37% chance de pleine automatisation au cours des deux prochaines décennies

Nos visiteurs ont voté qu'il y a peu de chances que cette profession soit automatisée. Cependant, le niveau de risque d'automatisation que nous avons généré suggère une probabilité plus élevée d'automatisation : 51% de chances d'automatisation.

Que pensez-vous du risque de l'automatisation?

Quelle est la probabilité que Économistes soit remplacé par des robots ou l'intelligence artificielle dans les 20 prochaines années ?






Sentiment

Le(s) graphique(s) suivant(s) sont inclus là où il y a un nombre substantiel de votes pour fournir des données significatives. Ces représentations visuelles affichent les résultats des sondages des utilisateurs au fil du temps, fournissant une indication significative des tendances de sentiment.

Sentiment au fil du temps (trimestriel)

Sentiment au fil du temps (annuellement)

Croissance

Une croissance modérée par rapport à d'autres professions

On s'attend à ce que le nombre de postes vacants pour 'Economists' augmente 5,7% d'ici 2032

Emploi total, et estimations des offres d'emploi

* Données de la Bureau of Labor Statistics pour la période entre 2021 et 2031
Les prévisions mises à jour sont attendues 09-2023.

Salaires

Très bien rémunéré par rapport à d'autres professions

En 2022, le salaire annuel médian pour 'Economists' était de 113 940 $, soit 54 $ par heure.

'Economists' ont été payés 146,0% de plus que le salaire médian national, qui était de 46 310 $

Salaires au fil du temps

* Données provenant du Bureau des Statistiques du Travail

Volume

Gamme inférieure d'opportunités d'emploi par rapport à d'autres professions

À partir de 2022, il y avait 16 370 personnes employées en tant que 'Economists' aux États-Unis.

Cela représente environ < 0,001% de la main-d'œuvre employée à travers le pays

Autrement dit, environ 1 personne sur 9 mille est employée en tant que 'Economists'.

Description du poste

Effectuer des recherches, préparer des rapports ou formuler des plans pour résoudre les problèmes économiques liés à la production et à la distribution de biens et services ou à la politique monétaire et fiscale. Peut collecter et traiter des données économiques et statistiques en utilisant des techniques d'échantillonnage et des méthodes économétriques.

SOC Code: 19-3011.00

Ressources

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Commentaires

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Jesus told me to own a gun (Très probable) dit
economics is renowned for it's extremely poor level of accuracy due to economists ideological cognitive dissonance. AI will easily replace the industry with higher levels of accuracy and improved reaction time to problematic variables.
Dec 03, 2023 at 03:25
the truth (Très probable) dit
economists are inherently flawed in their predictions and prescriptions as they lack insight in sciences such as sociology, social policy etc.

they consistantly display an inability to model any form of human behaviour and the lack of these variables in their data have lead to perpetual disaterous global economic crashes.

AI will doubtless surpass human economists in the very short term and as a result, large, medium and even small business will dispence with the need for any form of human based economic processes which offer very little financial return for the cost incurred.
Nov 09, 2023 at 09:07
Carlos Plácido Teixeira (Modéré) dit
The profession is full of routines in its analytical processes. Already today, recommendations for the best investments in bonds and stocks are starting to be made by artificial intelligence systems. If professionals insist on exclusively using econometric tools, then the probability tends to be even greater.
Aug 14, 2021 at 01:10
Miguel Villavicencio (Faible) dit
As long as human interests define human decisions, economists will have an organic field.
May 25, 2021 at 04:14
Faisal Ali Al Zahrani dit
There is no chance for Economists to run outta of jobs?!!

Cause economists are indeed in demand in "High Demand" and economists are aware of automations and risk of losing jobs.

So how the heck you would want a machine to take over the job?? Without human economists our economy will be unstable and not accurate at all.

We need human economists not "machines". Economists are highly important it's our society our life we couldn't live without it.

We don't expect businesses to fail we need to accommodate that.
Feb 24, 2021 at 01:07
Teg (Très probable) dit
Society will reach a steady state where economic policy will be easily automated
Jan 25, 2021 at 02:40
Chris (Aucune chance) dit
Requires outside the box thinking that can't be programmed into a robot
Jan 17, 2021 at 08:46
Yehuda Porath (Faible) dit
I'm an economist. Our "science" is made up of many things. Some of it, like the statistical work and data collection and processing, seems fairly roboticizable.

Much of the rest - The interpretations, the use of theory to explain results, figuring out why the theory often doesn't carry over to the real world, understanding the human behavior behind complex systems of humans messing things up together, figuring out why This Time Is (or isn't) Different - all this requires a great deal of intuition, persuasion, creativity, and intuitive leaps, in addition to the knowledge, information, data, and models we learn.

It doesn't at this time appear that we'll get AI that good within 2 decades. I suppose it's possible, we could hit the Singularity, but I doubt it in that time frame
Oct 12, 2020 at 06:58
Phillip Tussing dit
Ha ha ha! OF COURSE economists will not be replaced! As Ludwig von Mises might say, it is impossible to "do economics" without humans. Ah, but teaching undergraduate economics can be done by pre-recorded videos, with grading done simply and automatically, and supervised by a few economists. And of course all the number-crunching required for corporate economics can be done by algorithms, supervised by a few human economists. And almost all the number-crunching in research work can be done by programs overseen by a few research economists. So... there will still be a few economics jobs...
Aug 10, 2020 at 03:00
rle (Très probable) dit
If economist continue to create use regression analysis only looking at prior data then yes, there is no need to pay an analyst 100K to click a button anyone can do in excel. I've worked to automate these roles & actuarial positions.
Aug 08, 2020 at 02:53
Lol (No chance) dit
The automation of analysis and modeling is a great and useful tool for economists (and actuaries). However, as time goes on, there is exponentially more "prior data" you were using with your automation. As new data is generated every day, we are constantly analyzing it to improve both the assumptions on which we base our models and our modeling techniques themselves.

I agree with you that the field will become automated, but not in the way that you mean it: as a one-time formula where you click a button and "the answer" is computed. Because economics (and actuarial science) are far from being fully understood. Likewise, their models are far from perfect at generating an ideal solution. To achieve a perfect model, all relevant pieces of information regarding how every individual human will make every future decision must be known (which is impossible), but because we have more data and analysis tools every day, the practice of studying economics will continue to be a valuable and profitable area of expertise.
Automation does not mean extinction!!!!
Oct 28, 2020 at 05:44
Tom dit
It doesn't sound like you know what actuaries (and possibly economists) do. The spreadsheets full of calculations are a tool, not the product. The work you're describing is mostly done by uncredentialed junior "actuarial analysts" or even by interns.
Nov 09, 2021 at 06:27
Niko (Aucune chance) dit
The insights change as macro fundamentals change... a computer cannot understand the macro indicators, political influence, sentiment or expectations.. We still do not understand inflation
Jun 25, 2020 at 07:44
Anukul Bodile (Aucune chance) dit
I would have said that AI would replace economists if all humans were this mythical being called Homo economicus, someone who has no social affinities, no lapses of judgement or hang-ups, no capacity even for thinking about anyone besides him or herself.
May 12, 2020 at 09:04
Nerd sry dit
Ahh yes, the assumption that humans are "rational decision-makers" in neoclassical models of economics. These optimization patterns not even close to the way our (non-robot) brains make decisions... Completely agree
Oct 28, 2020 at 05:06
Isaac Lemmen (Aucune chance) dit
It is mostly politics and rhetoric
Mar 06, 2020 at 09:10
Gino (Aucune chance) dit
La economia es la accion humana como diria ludwig von mises es imposible hacer economia sin humanos.

Economics is human action, as Ludwig von Mises would say, it is impossible to do economics without humans.
Jan 07, 2020 at 03:04
levi eleazar de oliveira bezerra (Faible) dit
The economics sector studies human behaviour and is not a matter of exact since it requires creativity and study of society to be able to apply the changes and for this to happen and necessary the accompaniment to the effective result.
Jun 07, 2019 at 12:01

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