Techniciens et mécaniciens de service automobile

Risque Modéré
47%
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RISQUE D'AUTOMATISATION
CALCULÉ
58%
(Risque Modéré)
SONDAGE
36%
(Risque Faible)
Average: 47%
DEMANDE DE TRAVAIL
CROISSANCE
2,7%
par l'année 2033
SALAIRES
47 770 $
ou 22,96 $ par heure
Volume
676 570
à partir du 2023
RÉSUMÉ
SCORE DE TRAVAIL
4,7/10

Les gens ont également vu

Risque d'automatisation calculé

58% (Risque Modéré)

Risque Modéré (41-60%) : Les professions présentant un risque modéré d'automatisation impliquent généralement des tâches routinières mais nécessitent toujours un certain jugement et interaction humains.

Plus d'informations sur ce que représente ce score et comment il est calculé sont disponibles ici.

Certaines qualités très importantes du travail sont difficiles à automatiser :

  • Espace de travail exigu, positions inconfortables

Certaines qualités assez importantes du travail sont difficiles à automatiser :

  • Dextérité manuelle

  • Dextérité des Doigts

  • Perceptivité Sociale

Sondage utilisateur

36% chance de pleine automatisation au cours des deux prochaines décennies

Nos visiteurs ont voté qu'il y a peu de chances que cette profession soit automatisée. Cependant, le niveau de risque d'automatisation que nous avons généré suggère une probabilité plus élevée d'automatisation : 58% de chances d'automatisation.

Que pensez-vous du risque de l'automatisation?

Quelle est la probabilité que Techniciens et mécaniciens de service automobile soit remplacé par des robots ou l'intelligence artificielle dans les 20 prochaines années ?






Sentiment

Le graphique suivant est inclus chaque fois qu'il y a un nombre substantiel de votes pour rendre les données significatives. Ces représentations visuelles affichent les résultats des sondages utilisateurs au fil du temps, fournissant une indication significative des tendances de sentiment.

Sentiment au fil du temps (annuellement)

Croissance

Une croissance lente par rapport à d'autres professions.

On s'attend à ce que le nombre de postes vacants pour 'Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics' augmente 2,7% d'ici 2033

Emploi total, et estimations des offres d'emploi

* Données de la Bureau of Labor Statistics pour la période entre 2021 et 2031
Les prévisions mises à jour sont attendues 09-2024.

Salaires

Faiblement rémunéré par rapport à d'autres professions

En 2023, le salaire annuel médian pour 'Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics' était de 47 770 $, soit 22 $ par heure.

'Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics' ont été payés 0,6% de moins que le salaire médian national, qui s'élevait à 48 060 $

Salaires au fil du temps

* Données provenant du Bureau des Statistiques du Travail

Volume

Gamme de possibilités d'emploi nettement plus grande comparée à d'autres professions

À partir de 2023, il y avait 676 570 personnes employées en tant que 'Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics' aux États-Unis.

Cela représente environ 0,45% de la main-d'œuvre employée à travers le pays

Autrement dit, environ 1 personne sur 224 est employée en tant que 'Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics'.

Description du poste

Diagnostiquer, ajuster, réparer ou réviser des véhicules automobiles.

SOC Code: 49-3023.00

Ressources

Si vous envisagez de commencer une nouvelle carrière ou de changer de travail, nous avons créé un outil de recherche d'emploi pratique qui pourrait vous aider à décrocher ce nouveau poste parfait.

Recherchez des emplois dans votre région locale

Commentaires

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Joshua (Faible) 1 month ago
Because vehicles are all different eachother and require a lot of human judgement and quick thought to process and diagnose faults and services
0 0 Reply
Not today (Aucune chance) 6 months ago
Stripped bolts, damaged/worn parts, there is no way a computer can find a leak that only shows a small drip from the cooling system or remove a dash to replace a part.
1 0 Reply
LeRoy (Aucune chance) 6 months ago
The infinite probability of small and insignificant things that can go wrong to set EVEN ONE DTC off cannot be computed by a machine, tested by a machine (if the fault Is in the wiring harness, or other wiring diagram), or fixed by a machine without that EXACT issue being programmed for IF it is even programmed for, and had the ability to fix said issue. Mechanics and technicians like myself are a dying breed.
1 0 Reply
Timmy Martin (Aucune chance) 1 year ago
The pathway to automating the role of a technician I see would first require modular vehicle construction. Once vehicles have easily replaced and accessible modules i.e. a "front right drive motor assembly". an automated system could isolate the concern to a general module and with the removal of a handful of accessible fasteners could remove the whole module and replace it. With one large fastener at the top of the strut tower two large fasteners on the lower control arm and one large electrical connector, the entire module is swapped and sent for rebuild.
0 0 Reply
Tom B 1 year ago
Somewhere, right now a car company engineering group is working on a vehicle design that is centered around supporting service by robotics, and also developing the compatible robots. In about 5 years you will see basic service robots deployed, and within 10 years at least 50% of the work can be delegated to robots. (for new car dealerships) AI and big data will handle the majority of failure diagnosis, with diagnostics over the air and onboard computer software updates over the air. If surgeons are already being displaced by robotics for some types of surgeries, when the cost of robotics comes down almost any skilled manual labor can be displaced.
0 2 Reply
Mestica 1 year ago
There are simply too many variables, people interactions, and different levels of abuse and care that each vehicle receives.
0 0 Reply
Scott (Aucune chance) 1 year ago
I've been an auto technician for about 37 years now. When I started working on cars computers didn't exist in cars yet. Now some cars have upwards of 15 computers that do everything from working a convertible top to driving a vehicle autonomously. That's a big leap in 37 years but I just don't think that robots could replace the parts we replace or diagnose a problem that humans can. I just don't think its possible. Not now. Not in 50 years. Yes cars will become smarter and have more computers but I still think there will always be a need for a human mechanic to work on them.

Also in my opinion cars haven't gotten any better than they were in the 70s or 80s just different problems and different ways to diagnose and repair them. I've forgotten more than a lot of guys in their 30s and even 40s have learned. I think I was blessed to have become a Mechanic when I did. I've seen and learned a lot more in 37 years than I think most techs will learn in the next 35 or 40 years. I became a mechanic in a time when computers didn't exist in cars I remember how may shops went out of business when Antilock brakes came out.

I'm a multiple times A.S.E. Master Technician. Still learning today still wrenching and I will to the end. I actually enjoyed it more 25 or 30 years ago but I love some of the challenges techs face today. I'm always waiting for that problem no one can figure out and I figure it out.

All the Techs my age know exactly what I'm saying we've all been there and been that guy to fix it. I doubt any robot could do all the things we have to do. It just doesn't seem possible.
0 0 Reply
Alec (Faible) 1 year ago
As cars get more advanced it will be harder to work on them and at the rate technology is progressing it seems unlikely that 20 years from now computers will be doing all the work on cars, humans are a lot more likely to be needed but will have technological aid
0 0 Reply
Siprico (Très probable) 1 year ago
Corporations will always look for the most cost effective way to increase the bottom line, corporations are not concerned with humanity or culture unless it makes them money.
0 0 Reply
Gael Gay Gaylord (Faible) 2 years ago
Robots working on cars would be bad, they do already create cars but I think its better if we people fix the cars and not have them create and fix them too (I'm gonna be an automotive mechanic sooner or later)
0 0 Reply
John 2 years ago
For maintenance, sure, but not every car is exactly the same. This would be one of the last to go. Anyone with a computer job or repetitive task will go first. Look at nursing, they said like 1.5%, and this is 55%... what? You check the temperature of a patient, then play on Facebook and complain about work for 3 hours. Lol. Definitely going to replace most of the basic ones.
0 0 Reply
Nicholas D'Amico (Faible) 2 years ago
Assembly and manufacturing will be automated. Minor service jobs, like fluid changes, will undoubtedly be automated away.

However, troubleshooting and repairing vehicles with problems that aren't related to recurring service will not be automated away.

With this in mind, I think that the market for mechanics will actually increase due to the automation of vehicles on the road. More vehicles mean more mechanics - more jiffy lube robot techs and more certified mechanics in the future.
0 0 Reply
Alex 3 years ago
Not robots but 'electric cars will reduce maintenance by 90 per cent' - Sandy Munro
0 0 Reply
Dean (Aucune chance) 3 years ago
There simply is to many variables/people interactions that have to happen/every vehicle is different in the amount of abuse and care towards that vehicle
0 0 Reply
Troy (Aucune chance) 3 years ago
They won't be able to diagnose little problems.
0 0 Reply
Jarno 3 years ago
Totally agree with the comments here. You’d need a super AI just to recognize the wear and/or damage. Then it also needs to think of a way to actually do it... and then you’d need a super-robot to be actually able to do the very diverse physical stuff. (Arms? Tools?)

It wouldn’t be cost effective to design and build such a robot anytime soon.

This job is super under-appreciated in my opinion.
0 0 Reply
Siprico 1 year ago
What is "super" AI? Seeing as every point I've read so far only takes into account the current(2023) state of the industry with out implementing the advances in the industry that would naturally happen with the passing of time. Once You apply this logical progression of the industry you must also take into account that advancements in the computer/robotics world are much more impactful and happen at an increasingly increased rate. "Robots will never be able to build a car." This used to be the motto; but as we all know that industry was quickly taken over by automation, and tech has only gotten exponentially more advanced since that time.
0 0 Reply
Rick (Faible) 4 years ago
Besides diagnostics there are to many variables for a robot to make the actual repairs.
0 0 Reply
Sorry robots will take your jobs 3 years ago
They do have arms fingers and A.I. would allow them to access info from any related and applicable book, manual, or source...
0 0 Reply
Mike 1 year ago
God bless you
First time robot skins his knuckle
Who’s going to fix that
0 0 Reply
Maybe 50 years. (Aucune chance) 4 years ago
Unless we get self thinking robots that can mimic and access repair books and find problems very unlikely.

They would need arms for one.
1 0 Reply
jim beam (Faible) 5 years ago
Its WAYYYYYYY more complicated then you think
0 0 Reply
john (Aucune chance) 5 years ago
robots can not detect the slightest repair
0 0 Reply

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