Resumen
Riesgo de Automatización
2. Encuesta de Usuario
3. Crecimiento
4. Salarios
5. Volumen
Descripción
Recursos
Comentarios

Conductores de Camiones Pesados y Tractocamiones

RIESGO DE AUTOMATIZACIÓN
CALCULADO
88%
nivel de riesgo
ENCUESTANDO
64%
Basado en 537 votos
DEMANDA DE TRABAJO
CRECIMIENTO
4,3%
para el año 2032
SALARIOS
49.920 $
o 24,00 $ por hora
Volumen
1.984.180
a partir de 2022
RESUMEN
PUNTUACIÓN DE EMPLEO
3,8/10

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Comentarios (33)

Riesgo de automatización

88% (Riesgo Inminente)

Riesgo Inminente (81-100%): Las ocupaciones en este nivel tienen una probabilidad extremadamente alta de ser automatizadas en un futuro cercano. Estos trabajos consisten principalmente en tareas repetitivas y predecibles con poca necesidad de juicio humano.

Más información sobre qué es esta puntuación y cómo se calcula está disponible aquí.

Algunas cualidades bastante importantes del trabajo son difíciles de automatizar:

  • Destreza Manual

Encuesta de usuarios

64% posibilidad de automatización completa en las próximas dos décadas

Nuestros visitantes han votado que es probable que esta ocupación se automatice. Esta evaluación se ve respaldada por el nivel de riesgo de automatización calculado, que estima una posibilidad del 88% de automatización.

¿Cuál crees que es el riesgo de la automatización?

¿Cuál es la probabilidad de que Conductores de Camiones Pesados y Tractocamiones sea reemplazado por robots o inteligencia artificial en los próximos 20 años?






Sentimiento

El/los siguiente(s) gráfico(s) se incluyen siempre que haya una cantidad sustancial de votos para proporcionar datos significativos. Estas representaciones visuales muestran los resultados de las encuestas de los usuarios a lo largo del tiempo, proporcionando una indicación significativa de las tendencias de opinión.

Sentimiento a lo largo del tiempo (anualmente)

Crecimiento

Crecimiento moderado en relación con otras profesiones

Se espera que el número de ofertas de trabajo para 'Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers' aumente 4,3% para 2032

Empleo total y estimaciones de vacantes laborales

* Datos de la Oficina de Estadísticas Laborales para el período entre 2021 y 2031
Las proyecciones actualizadas se deben 09-2023.

Salarios

Moderadamente remunerado en relación con otras profesiones

En 2022, el salario anual mediano para 'Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers' fue de 49.920 $, o 23 $ por hora.

'Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers' recibieron un salario 7,8% más alto que el salario medio nacional, que se situó en 46.310 $

Salarios a lo largo del tiempo

* Datos de la Oficina de Estadísticas Laborales

Volumen

Rango significativamente mayor de oportunidades laborales en comparación con otras profesiones

A partir de 2022, había 1.984.180 personas empleadas como 'Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers' dentro de los Estados Unidos.

Esto representa alrededor del 1,3% de la fuerza laboral empleada en todo el país.

Dicho de otra manera, alrededor de 1 de cada 74 personas están empleadas como 'Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers'.

Descripción del trabajo

Conduzca una combinación de tractor-remolque o un camión con una capacidad de al menos 26,001 libras de Peso Bruto del Vehículo (GVW). Puede ser necesario descargar el camión. Se requiere licencia de conducir comercial. Incluye a los conductores de grúas.

SOC Code: 53-3032.00

Recursos

Si estás pensando en comenzar una nueva carrera, o buscando cambiar de trabajo, hemos creado una útil herramienta de búsqueda de empleo que podría ayudarte a conseguir ese nuevo rol perfecto.

Busca empleos en tu área local

Comentarios

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dice Shayne Thomas (Bajo)
I just don't believe autonomous trucking could become a thing unless people were to give up their ability to drive themselves. If no one drove and it was just robots then it is a very plausible scenario. It would probably be safer and more efficient than if humans were driving the same trucks. The counter to that, I would say, is that it would only be that way if only robots were driving. This is because of human error, being impatient, not being a good driver, and driving under the influence. There are many factors to include when putting human drivers into the equation that cannot be calculated by a machine. Personally, I don't want to give up my own freedom to drive so companies could be slightly more efficient and I'm sure there are a lot of others who would feel similar.
Mar 25, 2024 at 08:24
dice Josh (Incierto)
Seems no one has visited this section in awhile. I think it's safe to say all previous comments and this assessment itself was based off over-hyped technology that has proven to be much more complicated than initially thought. The eventual automation of commercial drivers is probably high but still decades away with the current challenges.
Nov 01, 2023 at 02:18
dice Anonymous (Incierto)
It's going to be automated; it's not debatable. The question is, "How soon will it happen?" My guess is that it's going to take another 20 to 50 years before the technology is sophisticated enough to displace human beings. At that point, it'd no longer be an attractive or plausible occupation for most.

If you're in your 30s, you can likely still make an income from trucking, and you may even be able to ride it out until retirement. However, if you're the next generation of kids, probably not.
Jan 30, 2023 at 02:01
dice Jeremy
It's truly the case that Tesla is leading with the new Cyber Trucks and future models. How much profit can be made by just selling 1,000 trucks? There is a huge market.

All they need is a new law with dedicated trucker lanes, similar to bike or bus lanes.
Aug 15, 2022 at 11:31
dice 2nd rule of the pirate code: Curfew by 10 PM
"All they need is a new law with dedicated trucker lanes, similar to bike or bus lanes."
So, you want a dedicated lane for a Heavy vehicle to drive through, which the heavy vehicle in question is dedicated solely to transporting materials and goods.

You are describing a Train.
But specifically a train that moves on streets and highways. If there are two things the U.S loves (assuming we are talking specifically about the U.S), it's Guns and Cars. I doubt people would be too happy letting a big portion of driveable area get used up nor would they be happy to have it drive next to them, because the fear of it malfunctioning would be heightened. That's also not to mention how primitive the ai is for self driving, and the potential ethical concerns.

I do think that Ai will replace delivery jobs like this, but It'll most likely be in a form that would have the least potential to cause damage, like a drone or a train out in the middle of nowhere.
Oct 27, 2023 at 09:01
dice Mr. Nobody (Bajo)
Certain cities have a very tight shipping/receiving docks, not to mention the streets.. who’s going to chain up the tires in the snow?
Jul 12, 2022 at 08:03
dice Nathan (Moderado)
Even though working on trucks will become safer, it will still be unsafe and there is a likelihood of getting hurt.
May 22, 2022 at 11:16
dice Mark (Bajo)
Parts of the trucking industry are likely to be automated in the next 20 years. For instance, long-distance convoys. But truckers do more than just drive. They also do maintenance, load balancing, inspections, and sometimes loading and unloading at destinations.

As such, for short-haul routes, the "driving" part is a relatively minor part of the job. Even if it's automated, the trucker is still needed. For long-haul routes, robotic convoys will indeed eliminate the need for some drivers. But each convoy will still need a shepherd for the other duties that can't be substantially eliminated in that period of time.
Apr 19, 2022 at 01:05
dice Matt (Muy probablemente)
As a truck driver, I have mixed views on automated driving. I don't see any evidence that a truck could be 100% autonomous in my lifetime. There is so much more to trucking than just driving, a lot more.
Jan 25, 2022 at 05:22
dice Ry
Lol, if you've ever been a local city truck driver, this will never happen. Maybe interstate driving could be automated for the mega-corporations, but local driving in a major city? Probably never. The fact that this has such a high likelihood of getting votes proves that you shouldn't blindly believe anyone on the internet who tells you anything. Most of the votes are clearly not from anyone in the industry.
Dec 31, 2021 at 01:03
dice RB Hopson (Bajo)
Although the tech will be here soon, I think the infrastructure required to fully automate this sector will take much longer to implement.
Oct 08, 2021 at 02:20
dice Nico Cione (Muy probablemente)
I think that there will be driverless electric-powered trucks in the future.
Sep 09, 2021 at 03:15
dice Mr. T (Muy probablemente)
Especially long haul transport will be vulnerable because these routes are less complex to automize. Short-haul transport will stay relevant a little longer. Although there will be massive competition, due to the low entry barriers of starting at this job.
Sep 07, 2021 at 10:29
dice Steve (Muy probablemente)
Based on the current processes, and the vast evolution of self driving cars
Aug 28, 2021 at 04:08
dice Andrea (Sin posibilidad)
A robot cannot replace the instincts of human driving knowledge, especially during extreme weather conditions. I haven’t even begun to discuss pre trip inspections or backing and parking a trailer in a dock. This takes many years to master. This is not like driving a car. Robots will NEVER replace a human driver.
Jun 13, 2021 at 09:09
dice Ryan R
Likely sooner. There are already semi trucks with AI learn cameras installed on them going around. Won't be shocked if it's sooner than a decade.
Jun 03, 2021 at 11:42
dice Steve W.
Bad news: Search for "This Year, Autonomous Trucks Will Take to the Road With No One on Board"
Autonomous trucks are here! Expect to find a new career as early as 2024.
May 12, 2021 at 04:31
dice William Sturges (Bajo)
Still will need a person in truck. Robots will not fuel truck or complete a UsDot inspection. It also can not get and sign paperwork or know what loading/unloading door or dock is required.
Apr 14, 2021 at 12:59
dice R.D. (Bajo)
Interfacing with the customer...a robot? The tractor's today are overweight with computer help and, create more of a problem. Just ask any truckdriver.
Mar 13, 2021 at 07:48
dice Daniel Churchley (Muy probablemente)
As a hgv driver I see how vehicles are evolving and I am also aware of how much money is being invested in automation with companies like Tesla
Jan 24, 2021 at 01:25
dice Pat D
Companies will have to have a person in every tractor trailer to oversee fueling if it's long haul. Unless they have automated fuel stops all over the country. I say 50 years min for total automated trucking. I'll send my kids though IT school by then
Jan 10, 2021 at 03:28

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