Programadores de Computadoras

Alto Riesgo
70%
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RIESGO DE AUTOMATIZACIÓN
CALCULADO
70%
(Alto Riesgo)
ENCUESTANDO
70%
(Alto Riesgo)
Average: 70%
DEMANDA DE TRABAJO
CRECIMIENTO
-9,6 %
para el año 2033
SALARIOS
99.700 $
o 47,93 $ por hora
Volumen
120.370
a partir de 2023
RESUMEN
PUNTUACIÓN DE EMPLEO
3,5/10

Las personas también vieron

Riesgo de automatización calculado

70% (Alto Riesgo)

Alto Riesgo (61-80%): Los trabajos en esta categoría enfrentan una amenaza significativa por la automatización, ya que muchas de sus tareas pueden ser fácilmente automatizadas utilizando tecnologías actuales o de un futuro cercano.

Más información sobre qué es esta puntuación y cómo se calcula está disponible aquí.

Algunas cualidades bastante importantes del trabajo son difíciles de automatizar:

  • Percepción Social

  • Originalidad

Encuesta de usuarios

70% posibilidad de automatización completa en las próximas dos décadas

Nuestros visitantes han votado que es probable que esta ocupación se automatice. Esta evaluación se ve respaldada por el nivel de riesgo de automatización calculado, que estima una posibilidad del 70% de automatización.

¿Cuál crees que es el riesgo de la automatización?

¿Cuál es la probabilidad de que Programadores de Computadoras sea reemplazado por robots o inteligencia artificial en los próximos 20 años?






Sentimiento

El siguiente gráfico se incluye siempre que haya una cantidad sustancial de votos para generar datos significativos. Estas representaciones visuales muestran los resultados de las encuestas de usuarios a lo largo del tiempo, proporcionando una indicación importante de las tendencias de sentimiento.

Sentimiento a lo largo del tiempo (trimestralmente)

Sentimiento a lo largo del tiempo (anualmente)

Crecimiento

Crecimiento muy lento en comparación con otras profesiones.

Se espera que el número de ofertas de trabajo para 'Computer Programmers' disminuya 9,6% para 2033

Empleo total y estimaciones de vacantes laborales

* Datos de la Oficina de Estadísticas Laborales para el período entre 2023 y 2033
Las proyecciones actualizadas se deben 09-2025.

Salarios

Muy bien remunerado en comparación con otras profesiones

En 2023, el salario anual mediano para 'Computer Programmers' fue de 99.700 $, o 47 $ por hora.

'Computer Programmers' recibieron un salario 107,4% más alto que el salario medio nacional, que se situó en 48.060 $

Salarios a lo largo del tiempo

* Datos de la Oficina de Estadísticas Laborales

Volumen

Mayor rango de oportunidades laborales en comparación con otras profesiones

A partir de 2023, había 120.370 personas empleadas como 'Computer Programmers' dentro de los Estados Unidos.

Esto representa alrededor del 0,08% de la fuerza laboral empleada en todo el país.

Dicho de otra manera, alrededor de 1 de cada 1 mil personas están empleadas como 'Computer Programmers'.

Descripción del trabajo

Cree, modifique y pruebe el código y los scripts que permiten que las aplicaciones informáticas se ejecuten. Trabaje a partir de especificaciones elaboradas por desarrolladores de software y web u otras personas. Puede desarrollar y escribir programas informáticos para almacenar, localizar y recuperar documentos, datos e información específicos.

SOC Code: 15-1251.00

Comentarios

Leave a comment

Mark Orsted (Bajo) 1 day ago
I think that we cannot trust software to understand the human experience. I use agentic and non-agentic AI to help code now, after 30 years doing this, and it's primary benefit is saving me from typing a lot of code that I know how to write, and can confirm is written properly, or correct as needed. The "correct as needed" factor is VERY high still.
0 0 Reply
Dev (Moderado) 3 days ago
AI adds another attack surface to software development companies
1 0 Reply
Titus (Muy probablemente) 4 days ago
Once A.I. overtakes human intelligence it will write billions of lines of code error free with simple prompts from any person wanting a digital product. Why would any company need overpaid, error prone people at that point. Learn a trade quickly programmers!
0 0 Reply
Swayam Bhowmick (Muy probablemente) 9 days ago
Everyone who's commenting and judging is basing their judgment on the current state of things. But, the current state is rapidly evolving, and most people are failing to account for the trajectory that the progress of AI is taking. 2 years ago, we were laughing at AI-generated videos of Will Smith eating spaghetti; today, the realism sends shivers down our spines. 2 years ago, AI generated broken code, now, it's capabale of somewhat functional code, replacing junior devs entirely.

Please take into account the trajectory of progress rather than the current state of things.
2 0 Reply
Ab (Muy probablemente) 12 days ago
It does not require any physical interaction with the real world
1 3 Reply
Habs (Incierto) 19 days ago
Software development includes understanding requirements and talking to customers (who do not know what they want). My job will be heavily automated but not yet to be fully replaced by AI.
2 2 Reply
Name (Bajo) 1 month ago
AIs kind of suck at programming and logic they always add more bugs into my code
8 4 Reply
A 22 days ago
Currently. What about in 10 years though
6 0 Reply
John 1 month ago
Just as a few other professions, I’d say it would simply be limited to reducing unspecialized, entry-level positions. Those who find a niche would find that programming with chatbots are like lugging a junior dev that doesn’t learn around.
1 0 Reply
Everyone’s in denial 2 months ago
I am not saying I support the automation of everything, it’s just that in reality no one is safe as it accelerates. This is not just an assistant, nor just a displacement of humans, it is the complete replacement of the human mind. Pandora’s box was opened, now we have no idea if we will enter dystopia or utopia...
8 6 Reply
Jordan 21 days ago
No it is not. LLM's don't replicate how human brains work at all.
2 2 Reply
Tony B (Bajo) 2 months ago
AI has so far been good for created standard well known solutions. It is not good at all at understanding large amounts of existing code.
7 3 Reply
Jersey Jim 1 month ago
Getting better every week. MCP. Augment Code. LLM rules.
2 1 Reply
Mu (Bajo) 2 months ago
They will be reduced but not entirely replaced. This can be in ai research to improve the programming or new novel types of Research
1 2 Reply
Jacob (Bajo) 2 months ago
It will change a sofware engineer is still going to be required to check the code. You aren't going to want this to automated that's crazy.
5 0 Reply
Timothy (Moderado) 3 months ago
"For example, tasks or task components that appeal to capacities in which AI systems excel, will have to be less (or less fully) mastered by people, so that less training will probably be required. AI systems are already much better than people at logically and arithmetically correct gathering (selecting) and processing (weighing, prioritizing, analyzing, combining) large amounts of data. They do this quickly, accurately and reliably. They are also more stable (consistent) than humans, have no stress and emotions and have a great perseverance and a much better retention of knowledge and skills than people. As a machine, they serve people completely and without any “self-interest” or “own hidden agenda.”"
0 0 Reply
Michał (Muy probablemente) 3 months ago
Without knowing programming at this point you can easily write a good program with the help of AI. I completely agree that this work can be automated.
0 7 Reply
Jordan 21 days ago
There's a serious difference between it works and it works correctly. Without understanding the code and testing it, all you've done is make a polished turd.
0 0 Reply
TAmzid2872 (Incierto) 4 months ago
Programming isnt just about writing code, its about problem solving
10 0 Reply
Sven H. (Muy probablemente) 4 months ago
AI can already code extremely well; there will be no need for human programmers in the future.
1 6 Reply
Doubtful (Bajo) 4 months ago
AI is horrible at following instructions, and bad at understanding architecture. Also, as context grows it tends to forget instructions.
7 1 Reply
Jersey Jim 3 months ago
Model Context Protocol helps give AI better context. AI can work across many files now (way better IDE integration has happened in the past 6 months). The limits of AI have dwindled and will continue to dwindle as time goes on. Vibe coding is now a thing and AI can follow directions to build complete mvp's in under an hour.
0 1 Reply
Jordan 21 days ago
MVPs are not working reliable software that solves a real problem.
0 0 Reply
Michael Bohn (Incierto) 5 months ago
For the AI to work properly, you need people who know how to write the prompts and how to evaluate the written code.
5 2 Reply
Pavel 4 months ago
But if AI becomes as good as humans then why programmers would be ever needed if not those who work on AI itself? Maybe for some complex and big programms people would still be needed.
0 0 Reply
... 4 months ago
How does this relate to programmers? Programmers program not write prompts. Evaluation to code is already possible
0 0 Reply
J 5 months ago
Robots aint gonna code themselves, if we get to that point then that's Skynet/matrix. Aka end of the world for everyone so who cares
8 2 Reply
PossiblyUnemployed 4 months ago
My worry is if future code-generating models can modify itself or the programs it works on towards a specific goal, sort of like an intelligent self-modifying quine.
0 0 Reply
John pork (Sin posibilidad) 6 months ago
it is because AI and robots require programming and without programmers, they cannot function
1 2 Reply
PotentiallyJobless 4 months ago
It is true that programmers were necessary to create and train the models, but at this point what may be more necessary is just making sure the systems and hardware that keep the AI running don't malfunction. As it is, modern AI is finding ways to modify itself and its environment.
0 0 Reply

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