Resumen
Riesgo de Automatización
2. Encuesta de Usuario
3. Crecimiento
4. Salarios
5. Volumen
Descripción
Recursos
Comentarios

Programadores de Computadoras

RIESGO DE AUTOMATIZACIÓN
CALCULADO
52%
nivel de riesgo
ENCUESTANDO
47%
Basado en 9.017 votos
DEMANDA DE TRABAJO
CRECIMIENTO
-10,2 %
para el año 2032
SALARIOS
97.800 $
o 47,02 $ por hora
Volumen
132.740
a partir de 2022
RESUMEN
PUNTUACIÓN DE EMPLEO
4,7/10

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Comentarios (181)

Riesgo de automatización

52% (Riesgo Moderado)

Riesgo Moderado (41-60%): Las ocupaciones con un riesgo moderado de automatización generalmente implican tareas rutinarias pero aún requieren cierto juicio e interacción humanos.

Más información sobre qué es esta puntuación y cómo se calcula está disponible aquí.

Algunas cualidades bastante importantes del trabajo son difíciles de automatizar:

  • Percepción Social

  • Originalidad

Encuesta de usuarios

47% posibilidad de automatización completa en las próximas dos décadas

Nuestros visitantes han votado que no están seguros si esta ocupación será automatizada. Esta evaluación se ve respaldada por el nivel de riesgo de automatización calculado, que estima una posibilidad del 52% de automatización.

¿Cuál crees que es el riesgo de la automatización?

¿Cuál es la probabilidad de que Programadores de Computadoras sea reemplazado por robots o inteligencia artificial en los próximos 20 años?






Sentimiento

El/los siguiente(s) gráfico(s) se incluyen siempre que haya una cantidad sustancial de votos para proporcionar datos significativos. Estas representaciones visuales muestran los resultados de las encuestas de los usuarios a lo largo del tiempo, proporcionando una indicación significativa de las tendencias de opinión.

Sentimiento a lo largo del tiempo (trimestralmente)

Sentimiento a lo largo del tiempo (anualmente)

Crecimiento

Crecimiento muy lento en comparación con otras profesiones.

Se espera que el número de ofertas de trabajo para 'Computer Programmers' disminuya 10,2% para 2032

Empleo total y estimaciones de vacantes laborales

* Datos de la Oficina de Estadísticas Laborales para el período entre 2021 y 2031
Las proyecciones actualizadas se deben 09-2023.

Salarios

Muy bien remunerado en comparación con otras profesiones

En 2022, el salario anual mediano para 'Computer Programmers' fue de 97.800 $, o 47 $ por hora.

'Computer Programmers' recibieron un salario 111,2% más alto que el salario medio nacional, que se situó en 46.310 $

Salarios a lo largo del tiempo

* Datos de la Oficina de Estadísticas Laborales

Volumen

Mayor rango de oportunidades laborales en comparación con otras profesiones

A partir de 2022, había 132.740 personas empleadas como 'Computer Programmers' dentro de los Estados Unidos.

Esto representa alrededor del 0,09% de la fuerza laboral empleada en todo el país.

Dicho de otra manera, alrededor de 1 de cada 1 mil personas están empleadas como 'Computer Programmers'.

Descripción del trabajo

Cree, modifique y pruebe el código y los scripts que permiten que las aplicaciones informáticas se ejecuten. Trabaje a partir de especificaciones elaboradas por desarrolladores de software y web u otras personas. Puede desarrollar y escribir programas informáticos para almacenar, localizar y recuperar documentos, datos e información específicos.

SOC Code: 15-1251.00

Recursos

Si estás pensando en comenzar una nueva carrera, o buscando cambiar de trabajo, hemos creado una útil herramienta de búsqueda de empleo que podría ayudarte a conseguir ese nuevo rol perfecto.

Busca empleos en tu área local

Comentarios

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dice MR
Hi! From which year do you use data from and when was the calculations performed?
Apr 18, 2024 at 09:54
dice Admin
The calculations were last performed in January 2023, the data was the most recent data available at the time from O*NET

See more info here:
https://willrobotstakemyjob.com/about-our-calculations
Apr 18, 2024 at 10:14
dice Darin Beaudreau (Moderado)
20 years is a reasonable timeline for a large portion of software engineering to be able to be automated, but the problem in replacing programmers isn't AI's ability to reason, but in the customers themselves. To be able to fully replace engineers, a customer needs to be able to accurately describe their requirements, and anyone who works in that field will tell you that customers are idiots.

I think web development will be the first variation of software development that is automated because the majority of all web development is the same and very basic. Things like embedded, robotics, and applications programming will take much longer and require AI to be able to see the whole of an application in a single context to avoid a plateau effect where you get increasingly more errors due to loss of information regarding the program's architecture.
Apr 02, 2024 at 04:16
dice user (Moderado)
I've been a software engineer for over 10 years. This is really only the beginning. The pace of innovation in AI will only increase. We are already using Github Copilot at work and AI gives amazing code reviews. Outsourcing is now much more effective. Less engineers are needed already because of AI. With "Devin", we are seeing a tiny glimpse of what is to come in the next 20 years. I'm going back to school and transitioning out of the industry over the next 2-3 years.
Mar 27, 2024 at 02:00
dice maikelos272@gmail.com (Muy probablemente)
Although AI is a tool for programmers, the better it gets the more of our job it can perfrom. It is unfathomable to me that AI will not be able to do a programmers job really well within the next 20 years. I reckon it will happen in 10. The only hope I have is that rather than the job market deminishing, its output will grow exponentially and programmers will grow to be supervrisors of AI. Nontheless at some point AI will be able to write apps and programs based purely on Natural language input. Albeit the code might be far from perfect at the beggining it will only get better.
Mar 20, 2024 at 08:54
dice Stechkin
Check out Devin. It solved 13% of the Git Hub problems. Its scary good.
Mar 24, 2024 at 11:03
dice ezkha (Incierto)
So I've heard about this AI "Devin", which is apparently capable of programming and distributing an entire application from scratch to release; but it is absolutely terrible at managing issues and fixing bugs. If my source is credible, it's 20% efficient compared to 80% with a human.

I think it'll probably improve and replace programming. Though maybe issues and solving bugs, in particular, will take a while to replace.
Mar 14, 2024 at 04:38
dice user (Muy probablemente)
AI has been on the rise in the past several years, and is likely to continue growing rapidly. Within the past years what has been possible has greatly increased many magnitudes, and several AI tools that can accomplish coding means have been created, and are being greatly invested on and improved. With the release of "Dave" and companies like "Magic.dev" I can foresee this being a greatly human reduced job in the next 2-6 years.
Mar 14, 2024 at 11:47
dice S (Muy probablemente)
ChatGPT is already proficient. It will at the very least heavily reduce the amount of software engineers required
Mar 04, 2024 at 05:05
dice Johnifer (Sin posibilidad)
Those who say that AI will completely take over CS don't know CS.
Feb 28, 2024 at 12:55
dice Hot Take
Finally, someone with a brain! CS is developing AI and we will always be necessary to supervise it and align with human goals.
Mar 27, 2024 at 12:06
dice Jon (Incierto)
I see that most people voting with certainty on this topic don't understand how this job works, or they are just average or bellow average professionals.

GPT really gives you solutions for complex tasks but on minor details it's going to invent some buggy solution ultimately creating more bugs than helping you.

That's why you really need to understand the tool/system that you're working with.

Feb 26, 2024 at 06:40
dice kir (Bajo)
AI has a difficult time with complex use cases, architecture, and requirements from clients.
Feb 12, 2024 at 02:35
dice Michal
That is true but, even if it only does programming really well and never gets around to understanding requirements and architecture well, which I think it will, then it will still take a lot of jobs.
Mar 20, 2024 at 08:56
dice Rin (Muy probablemente)
For being beings based on technology, programs, and algorithms, computer programming will be able to replicate itself and take over its own recreation processes.
Feb 06, 2024 at 04:25
dice Ryan (Moderado)
Basic functionality in software is easily automated. Building entirely new systems might be more difficult. If we develop AGI, then any job done at a keyboard is gone, but if that proves more difficult than expected then high level system design and development jobs might last a bit longer.
Jan 22, 2024 at 07:29
dice Bryan Schmidt (Moderado)
So much of what we do as computer programmers can be automated.

My job is to interpret what the product owners want, and convert that into code. Currently, I have transitioned into using AI to help me with most of the code, while I'm still guiding the architecture, code style, and overall codebase.

It won't be long until AI could handle most of if not all of that as well.
Jan 20, 2024 at 10:06
dice John (Muy probablemente)
Because chatgpt can already make script, sure its a wrong sometimes. but just imagine but it will be like in 20 years.
Dec 23, 2023 at 12:17
dice Auditormadness9 (Muy probablemente)
It already wrote like 20 scripts for me that completely worked as expected.
Dec 11, 2023 at 10:23
dice Sequenze5517 (Bajo)
Because Computer Programmers made and update AI. Logically, the AI will not update himself.
Nov 29, 2023 at 01:20
dice me (Sin posibilidad)
coding requires a lot of skill and thinking which cannot be replaced by ai
Nov 28, 2023 at 03:08
dice matin (Bajo)
robots make robots?
Nov 13, 2023 at 10:04
dice Leo (Muy probablemente)
so clearly they already have stuff like Chat GPT that tells you code,
Nov 06, 2023 at 02:45
dice Anonymous (Incierto)
As it stands, an AI gets its information from the internet. That means that much of the code it acquires at this point when you ask for sample code or something similar will likely be from GitHub or some similar website. It doesn't have to understand the workings of the code, it just needs to know what to look for and dispense it to you. Sometimes the code may not even work. AI could eventually understand programming and then it'll be a different story, but AI doesn't really KNOW much of what it says, it just give a definition from the huge databases it has access to.
Nov 01, 2023 at 08:57

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