Schriftsteller und Autoren

AUTOMATISIERUNGSRISIKO
BERECHNET
49%
Risikostufe
UMFRAGE
37%
Basierend auf 1.225 Stimmen
ARBEITSNACHFRAGE
WACHSTUM
4,1%
bis zum Jahr 2032
LÖHNE
73.150 $
oder 35,17 $ pro Stunde
Volumen
54.010
ab dem 2022
ZUSAMMENFASSUNG
ARBEITSPUNKTZAHL
5,3/10

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Automatisierungsrisiko

49% (Mäßiges Risiko)

Mäßiges Risiko (41-60%): Berufe mit einem mäßigen Automatisierungsrisiko beinhalten in der Regel Routineaufgaben, erfordern jedoch immer noch ein gewisses menschliches Urteilsvermögen und Interaktion.

Weitere Informationen darüber, was dieser Wert ist und wie er berechnet wird, sind verfügbar hier.

Einige ziemlich wichtige Eigenschaften des Jobs sind schwer zu automatisieren:

  • Originalität

  • Überzeugung

  • Soziale Wahrnehmungsfähigkeit

Impact of Chat GPT on this occupation

We've received many comments and emails about Chat GPT and it's impact on this occupation. It's very impressive software, so people are understandably worried and/or excited.

However, something important to note with regards to the score we've calculated here, is that this occupation is comprised of many different types of job roles. Some examples of these include Advertising Writer, Blurb Writer, Copywriter and Screenwriter.

Some roles/tasks are more susceptible than other's to being automated by Chat GPT, but the score we've calculated is one that's an amalgamation of all of them.

Unfortunately, the source for our data (o*net) doesn't split this category up to the individual roles, so we can't calculate a score for each of them. If they do at some point in the future, we'll do the same, and generate scores accordingly.

Writing occupations aren't dead, but they are changing, so the best advice we can offer is to keep up to date with the latest developments, and use the tools available to your advantage.

Benutzerumfrage

37% Chance auf vollständige Automatisierung in den nächsten zwei Jahrzehnten

Unsere Besucher haben abgestimmt, dass es eine geringe Chance gibt, dass dieser Beruf automatisiert wird. Diese Einschätzung wird weiterhin durch das berechnete Automatisierungsrisiko unterstützt, welches eine 49% Chance der Automatisierung schätzt.

Was denken Sie, ist das Risiko der Automatisierung?

Wie hoch ist die Wahrscheinlichkeit, dass Schriftsteller und Autoren in den nächsten 20 Jahren durch Roboter oder künstliche Intelligenz ersetzt wird?






Gefühl

Die folgenden Grafik(en) werden überall dort eingefügt, wo es eine erhebliche Anzahl von Stimmen gibt, um aussagekräftige Daten zu liefern. Diese visuellen Darstellungen zeigen die Ergebnisse von Nutzerumfragen über die Zeit und liefern einen bedeutenden Hinweis auf Stimmungstrends.

Gefühlslage über die Zeit (vierteljährlich)

Gefühlslage über die Zeit (jährlich)

Wachstum

Mäßiges Wachstum im Vergleich zu anderen Berufen

Die Anzahl der 'Writers and Authors' Stellenangebote wird voraussichtlich um 4,1% bis 2032 steigen.

Gesamtbeschäftigung und geschätzte Stellenangebote

* Daten des Bureau of Labor Statistics für den Zeitraum zwischen 2021 und 2031
Aktualisierte Prognosen sind fällig 09-2023.

Löhne

Hoch bezahlt im Vergleich zu anderen Berufen

Im Jahr 2022 betrug das mittlere Jahresgehalt für 'Writers and Authors' 73.150 $, oder 35 $ pro Stunde.

'Writers and Authors' wurden 58,0% höher bezahlt als der nationale Medianlohn, der bei 46.310 $ lag.

Löhne über die Zeit

* Daten vom Bureau of Labor Statistics

Volumen

Mäßiges Spektrum an Arbeitsmöglichkeiten im Vergleich zu anderen Berufen

Ab dem 2022 waren 54.010 Personen als 'Writers and Authors' in den Vereinigten Staaten beschäftigt.

Dies entspricht etwa < 0,001% der erwerbstätigen Bevölkerung im ganzen Land.

Anders ausgedrückt, ist etwa 1 von 2 Tausend Personen als 'Writers and Authors' beschäftigt.

Stellenbeschreibung

Erstellen und bereiten Sie schriftliches Material vor, wie zum Beispiel Drehbücher, Geschichten, Werbung und anderes Material.

SOC Code: 27-3043.00

Ressourcen

Will Chat GPT spell the end of blogging?

Here's a very informative video from Ricky Kesler from Income School about Chat GPT as it relates to blogging (and SEO). We think it contains great advice, and can be applied to all sorts of writing job roles, not just bloggers.

Wenn Sie darüber nachdenken, eine neue Karriere zu beginnen oder den Job zu wechseln, haben wir ein praktisches Tool für die Jobsuche erstellt, das Ihnen möglicherweise dabei hilft, die perfekte neue Rolle zu finden.

Suchen Sie Jobs in Ihrer lokalen Umgebung

Kommentare

Hinterlassen Sie einen Kommentar

Dom (Niedrig) sagt
Creativity, novelty, capturing the social, invention.
Apr 29, 2024 at 05:53
Rebecca (Niedrig) sagt
Because robots tend to be predictable and writers need imagination and I don't see robots having that
Apr 22, 2024 at 04:20
Philip Whittebane (Höchstwahrscheinlich) sagt
At least many blurb and screenwriting jobs could be automated. Although there would still be the requirement for some level of creativity
Apr 19, 2024 at 10:07
Tomoko Julius (Keine Chance) sagt
i doubt that any time soon the originality of the human touch will fade away with the coming in of AI. It simply cannot. PERIOD!!!
Apr 11, 2024 at 09:29
Mike (Höchstwahrscheinlich) sagt
Highly only because ChatGPT is used for writing, and it can be used in story making
Apr 09, 2024 at 08:13
copper (Keine Chance) sagt
the robots simply lack the creativity of a good author like J.K.Rowling or Suzanne Collins.
Mar 21, 2024 at 10:49
Penguin (Keine Chance) sagt
Robots cannot have experiences. They just spit out a cacophony of random words with no care as to a message or logic or ethics.
Mar 15, 2024 at 01:21
M (Niedrig) sagt
In the United States, creative material developed by AI cannot be trademarked and therefore unprofitable.
Jan 18, 2024 at 04:55
Dakshay (Mäßig) sagt
If AI keeps improving, certainly studios will start using AI generated scripts to make movies/tv shows/ books. They will be garbage generic stuff in the beginning but at one point AI will certainly be able to write as well as a human. So writers working for studios will be in danger. But I think big established authors like Brandon Sanderson, have planned projects for decades later. And people will still buy their books because they love the stories. I think if you can cultivate a community of dedicated fans, you can definitely make a killing (or at least a livable income.)
Personally, I would hate to see the art of storytelling to be turned over to machines.
Jan 07, 2024 at 09:23
Tom P (Niedrig) sagt
The creativity of a human cannot be replicated by robots, at least for many decades. It is so complex that we don't even understand it. However, I believe robots could potentially take over short-form content without many underlying creative choices.
Sep 01, 2023 at 05:17
d (Keine Chance) sagt
If you believe that people engage with writers purely because it's "content", I must inform you that this job would have already been eliminated a long, long time ago simply by SEO.

ChatGPT is not going to write things that people care about. This isn't because chatgpt is a bad writer - it's because people primarily consume written content because of the person behind it. Since the dawn of the internet, and even before, there have been an infinite number of takes, a vast supply of content. Yet, somehow, people still pay for newspapers, and substacks, and books, and all sorts of things that are seemingly available for free with just a Google search. It's because of the particulars of that person's perspective, not just "story good" or "take good."

There are already far more failed writers than successful ones, and far more failed "in the style of" works than actual successful works. What AI will do is simply raise the stakes for what it takes to be a successful writer or author, since it establishes a baseline commodity. However, that baseline is already very, very high.
Aug 23, 2023 at 08:13
maushri deb (Keine Chance) sagt
Being a writer human touch is very important.
Aug 08, 2023 at 06:22
Monty O’Brien (Keine Chance) sagt
Good novels are novel.
May 08, 2023 at 09:09
yokoso (Höchstwahrscheinlich) sagt
it's already done for web writing, copywriting with chat gtp, bard and many other. AI can generate more and more accurate and imaginative stories, facts and a style of writing proper to an author. it's possible to train AI to seems more and more human without inconsistencies in the stories.
it's not gonna replace real writers yet but it is coming like winter.
Mar 06, 2023 at 09:25
Jay. (Höchstwahrscheinlich) sagt
AI wil only get better here on out. With the push a button or voice command it will generate content that is not only factual but fitting in style and emotions for the target audience. Humans will merely check over the work. But the brunt of the work will be produced by AI.
Feb 20, 2023 at 05:12
Blue Balled Media (Mäßig) sagt
ChatGPT and services like it are rising, I don't think writers will be completely replaced by automation. It depends on the type of writing, I think the Human element will still be vital for storytelling, and wisdom.
Humans are still the best storytellers.
Jan 25, 2023 at 04:45
Andrei (Höchstwahrscheinlich) sagt
Chatgpt is better than most authours on the planet right now.
Jan 20, 2023 at 09:01
Writer (Mäßig) sagt
It's difficult to say. As an author myself I deeply hope that human writers continue to flourish. It is clear that through AI the number of stories on the market will rise. The market will become saturated with average stories and the need to differentiate ourselves through our writing quality and our human brand will become ever more important.

Personally I went into this field because I absolutely thought I could write better than the average book, and that the "cream will rise to the top". I still believe this is true.

Where I get worried is if AI can learn to write fiction really well. Can an AI in 10 years learn beyond what it is taught (fed average books) and create amazing stories? That's what really scares me.

Will people want to read a story written by an AI or will people want to read stories written by humans? There's an element of detachment when reading AI writing and the uncanny valley effect might take hold when we read an AI trying to present human emotions through character. We will know - whoever put those words down did not understand them and they will have less meaning. Or will they? If they make sense they make sense. If it has emotional impact it has emotional impact - even if that was replicated through pulp learning and mastered through engagement scores.

Scary times to be a writer - to have any job. But this was always my dream and so I know deep down there's no chance I'll give up on it. Even if I can only build two thousand loyal readers, that is enough to make a living, and I'll do that through being very very human and marketing myself face first.
Jan 16, 2023 at 05:13
Lola (Likely) (Mäßig) sagt
Chat bots are getting crafty. Obviously they can’t replicate an original human’s true emotional journey, but for most things, such as instructional packets, robots may be preferred since they’re cheaper, less prone to mistakes, and won’t quit suddenly.
Jan 05, 2023 at 01:37
Nil (Höchstwahrscheinlich) sagt
Copy.ai website already writes blog posts in seconds. This field is already lost.
Dec 12, 2022 at 12:58
Ariel sagt
Not really I believe authors are still out there writing for us.
Aug 08, 2023 at 01:01

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