Kfz-Service-Techniker und Mechaniker

Mäßiges Risiko
44%
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AUTOMATISIERUNGSRISIKO
BERECHNET
58%
(Mäßiges Risiko)
UMFRAGE
30%
(Geringes Risiko)
Average: 44%
ARBEITSNACHFRAGE
WACHSTUM
2,7%
bis zum Jahr 2033
LÖHNE
47.770 $
oder 22,96 $ pro Stunde
Volumen
676.570
ab dem 2023
ZUSAMMENFASSUNG
ARBEITSPUNKTZAHL
4,9/10

Personen haben sich auch angesehen

Berechnetes Automatisierungsrisiko

58% (Mäßiges Risiko)

Mäßiges Risiko (41-60%): Berufe mit einem mäßigen Automatisierungsrisiko beinhalten in der Regel Routineaufgaben, erfordern jedoch immer noch ein gewisses menschliches Urteilsvermögen und Interaktion.

Weitere Informationen darüber, was dieser Wert ist und wie er berechnet wird, sind verfügbar hier.

Einige sehr wichtige Eigenschaften des Jobs sind schwer zu automatisieren:

  • Enge Arbeitsfläche, Unbequeme Positionen

Einige ziemlich wichtige Eigenschaften des Jobs sind schwer zu automatisieren:

  • Manuelle Geschicklichkeit

  • Fingerfertigkeit

  • Soziale Wahrnehmungsfähigkeit

Benutzerumfrage

30% Chance auf vollständige Automatisierung in den nächsten zwei Jahrzehnten

Unsere Besucher haben abgestimmt, dass es eine geringe Chance gibt, dass dieser Beruf automatisiert wird. Allerdings deutet das von uns erzeugte Automatisierungsrisikoniveau auf eine höhere Chance der Automatisierung hin: 58% Chance auf Automatisierung.

Was denken Sie, ist das Risiko der Automatisierung?

Wie hoch ist die Wahrscheinlichkeit, dass Kfz-Service-Techniker und Mechaniker in den nächsten 20 Jahren durch Roboter oder künstliche Intelligenz ersetzt wird?






Gefühl

Das folgende Diagramm wird überall dort eingefügt, wo eine beträchtliche Anzahl von Stimmen vorliegt, um aussagekräftige Daten darzustellen. Diese visuellen Darstellungen zeigen die Ergebnisse von Nutzerumfragen im Laufe der Zeit und geben einen wichtigen Hinweis auf Stimmungstrends.

Gefühlslage über die Zeit (jährlich)

Wachstum

Langsames Wachstum im Vergleich zu anderen Berufen.

Die Anzahl der 'Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics' Stellenangebote wird voraussichtlich um 2,7% bis 2033 steigen.

Gesamtbeschäftigung und geschätzte Stellenangebote

* Daten des Bureau of Labor Statistics für den Zeitraum zwischen 2021 und 2031
Aktualisierte Prognosen sind fällig 09-2024.

Löhne

Niedrig bezahlt im Vergleich zu anderen Berufen

Im Jahr 2023 betrug das mittlere Jahresgehalt für 'Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics' 47.770 $, oder 22 $ pro Stunde.

'Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics' wurden 0,6% niedriger bezahlt als der nationale Medianlohn, der bei 48.060 $ lag.

Löhne über die Zeit

* Daten vom Bureau of Labor Statistics

Volumen

Deutlich größerer Bereich an Arbeitsmöglichkeiten im Vergleich zu anderen Berufen

Ab dem 2023 waren 676.570 Personen als 'Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics' in den Vereinigten Staaten beschäftigt.

Dies entspricht etwa 0,45% der erwerbstätigen Bevölkerung im ganzen Land.

Anders ausgedrückt, ist etwa 1 von 224 Personen als 'Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics' beschäftigt.

Stellenbeschreibung

Diagnose stellen, einstellen, reparieren oder überholen von Kraftfahrzeugen.

SOC Code: 49-3023.00

Ressourcen

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Kommentare

Leave a comment

Not today (Keine Chance) 5 months ago
Stripped bolts, damaged/worn parts, there is no way a computer can find a leak that only shows a small drip from the cooling system or remove a dash to replace a part.
1 0 Reply
LeRoy (Keine Chance) 5 months ago
The infinite probability of small and insignificant things that can go wrong to set EVEN ONE DTC off cannot be computed by a machine, tested by a machine (if the fault Is in the wiring harness, or other wiring diagram), or fixed by a machine without that EXACT issue being programmed for IF it is even programmed for, and had the ability to fix said issue. Mechanics and technicians like myself are a dying breed.
1 0 Reply
Timmy Martin (Keine Chance) 1 year ago
The pathway to automating the role of a technician I see would first require modular vehicle construction. Once vehicles have easily replaced and accessible modules i.e. a "front right drive motor assembly". an automated system could isolate the concern to a general module and with the removal of a handful of accessible fasteners could remove the whole module and replace it. With one large fastener at the top of the strut tower two large fasteners on the lower control arm and one large electrical connector, the entire module is swapped and sent for rebuild.
0 0 Reply
Tom B 1 year ago
Somewhere, right now a car company engineering group is working on a vehicle design that is centered around supporting service by robotics, and also developing the compatible robots. In about 5 years you will see basic service robots deployed, and within 10 years at least 50% of the work can be delegated to robots. (for new car dealerships) AI and big data will handle the majority of failure diagnosis, with diagnostics over the air and onboard computer software updates over the air. If surgeons are already being displaced by robotics for some types of surgeries, when the cost of robotics comes down almost any skilled manual labor can be displaced.
0 2 Reply
Mestica 1 year ago
There are simply too many variables, people interactions, and different levels of abuse and care that each vehicle receives.
0 0 Reply
Scott (Keine Chance) 1 year ago
I've been an auto technician for about 37 years now. When I started working on cars computers didn't exist in cars yet. Now some cars have upwards of 15 computers that do everything from working a convertible top to driving a vehicle autonomously. That's a big leap in 37 years but I just don't think that robots could replace the parts we replace or diagnose a problem that humans can. I just don't think its possible. Not now. Not in 50 years. Yes cars will become smarter and have more computers but I still think there will always be a need for a human mechanic to work on them.

Also in my opinion cars haven't gotten any better than they were in the 70s or 80s just different problems and different ways to diagnose and repair them. I've forgotten more than a lot of guys in their 30s and even 40s have learned. I think I was blessed to have become a Mechanic when I did. I've seen and learned a lot more in 37 years than I think most techs will learn in the next 35 or 40 years. I became a mechanic in a time when computers didn't exist in cars I remember how may shops went out of business when Antilock brakes came out.

I'm a multiple times A.S.E. Master Technician. Still learning today still wrenching and I will to the end. I actually enjoyed it more 25 or 30 years ago but I love some of the challenges techs face today. I'm always waiting for that problem no one can figure out and I figure it out.

All the Techs my age know exactly what I'm saying we've all been there and been that guy to fix it. I doubt any robot could do all the things we have to do. It just doesn't seem possible.
0 0 Reply
Alec (Niedrig) 1 year ago
As cars get more advanced it will be harder to work on them and at the rate technology is progressing it seems unlikely that 20 years from now computers will be doing all the work on cars, humans are a lot more likely to be needed but will have technological aid
0 0 Reply
Siprico (Höchstwahrscheinlich) 1 year ago
Corporations will always look for the most cost effective way to increase the bottom line, corporations are not concerned with humanity or culture unless it makes them money.
0 0 Reply
Gael Gay Gaylord (Niedrig) 1 year ago
Robots working on cars would be bad, they do already create cars but I think its better if we people fix the cars and not have them create and fix them too (I'm gonna be an automotive mechanic sooner or later)
0 0 Reply
John 2 years ago
For maintenance, sure, but not every car is exactly the same. This would be one of the last to go. Anyone with a computer job or repetitive task will go first. Look at nursing, they said like 1.5%, and this is 55%... what? You check the temperature of a patient, then play on Facebook and complain about work for 3 hours. Lol. Definitely going to replace most of the basic ones.
0 0 Reply
Nicholas D'Amico (Niedrig) 2 years ago
Assembly and manufacturing will be automated. Minor service jobs, like fluid changes, will undoubtedly be automated away.

However, troubleshooting and repairing vehicles with problems that aren't related to recurring service will not be automated away.

With this in mind, I think that the market for mechanics will actually increase due to the automation of vehicles on the road. More vehicles mean more mechanics - more jiffy lube robot techs and more certified mechanics in the future.
0 0 Reply
Alex 3 years ago
Not robots but 'electric cars will reduce maintenance by 90 per cent' - Sandy Munro
0 0 Reply
Dean (Keine Chance) 3 years ago
There simply is to many variables/people interactions that have to happen/every vehicle is different in the amount of abuse and care towards that vehicle
0 0 Reply
Troy (Keine Chance) 3 years ago
They won't be able to diagnose little problems.
0 0 Reply
Jarno 3 years ago
Totally agree with the comments here. You’d need a super AI just to recognize the wear and/or damage. Then it also needs to think of a way to actually do it... and then you’d need a super-robot to be actually able to do the very diverse physical stuff. (Arms? Tools?)

It wouldn’t be cost effective to design and build such a robot anytime soon.

This job is super under-appreciated in my opinion.
0 0 Reply
Siprico 1 year ago
What is "super" AI? Seeing as every point I've read so far only takes into account the current(2023) state of the industry with out implementing the advances in the industry that would naturally happen with the passing of time. Once You apply this logical progression of the industry you must also take into account that advancements in the computer/robotics world are much more impactful and happen at an increasingly increased rate. "Robots will never be able to build a car." This used to be the motto; but as we all know that industry was quickly taken over by automation, and tech has only gotten exponentially more advanced since that time.
0 0 Reply
Rick (Niedrig) 4 years ago
Besides diagnostics there are to many variables for a robot to make the actual repairs.
0 0 Reply
Sorry robots will take your jobs 3 years ago
They do have arms fingers and A.I. would allow them to access info from any related and applicable book, manual, or source...
0 0 Reply
Mike 1 year ago
God bless you
First time robot skins his knuckle
Who’s going to fix that
0 0 Reply
Maybe 50 years. (Keine Chance) 4 years ago
Unless we get self thinking robots that can mimic and access repair books and find problems very unlikely.

They would need arms for one.
1 0 Reply
jim beam (Niedrig) 5 years ago
Its WAYYYYYYY more complicated then you think
0 0 Reply
john (Keine Chance) 5 years ago
robots can not detect the slightest repair
0 0 Reply
aaa 5 years ago
Eventually yes, but just don't see it happening in the next 20 years.
1 0 Reply
jason 5 years ago
right there with u brother
F**k robots
1 0 Reply

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