Escritores e Autores
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Risco de automação
Risco Moderado (41-60%): Ocupações com risco moderado de automação geralmente envolvem tarefas rotineiras, mas ainda requerem algum julgamento e interação humanos.
Mais informações sobre o que é essa pontuação e como ela é calculada estão disponíveis aqui.
Impact of Chat GPT on this occupation
We've received many comments and emails about Chat GPT and it's impact on this occupation. It's very impressive software, so people are understandably worried and/or excited.
However, something important to note with regards to the score we've calculated here, is that this occupation is comprised of many different types of job roles. Some examples of these include Advertising Writer, Blurb Writer, Copywriter and Screenwriter.
Some roles/tasks are more susceptible than other's to being automated by Chat GPT, but the score we've calculated is one that's an amalgamation of all of them.
Unfortunately, the source for our data (o*net) doesn't split this category up to the individual roles, so we can't calculate a score for each of them. If they do at some point in the future, we'll do the same, and generate scores accordingly.
Writing occupations aren't dead, but they are changing, so the best advice we can offer is to keep up to date with the latest developments, and use the tools available to your advantage.
Enquete do usuário
Nossos visitantes votaram que há uma baixa chance de esta ocupação ser automatizada. Esta avaliação é ainda mais apoiada pelo nível de risco de automação calculado, que estima 49% de chance de automação.
O que você acha que é o risco da automação?
Qual é a probabilidade de que Escritores e Autores seja substituído por robôs ou inteligência artificial nos próximos 20 anos?
Sentimento
Os seguintes gráficos são incluídos sempre que há uma quantidade substancial de votos para fornecer dados significativos. Essas representações visuais exibem os resultados das pesquisas de usuários ao longo do tempo, fornecendo uma indicação significativa das tendências de sentimentos.
Sentimento ao longo do tempo (trimestralmente)
Sentimento ao longo do tempo (anualmente)
Crescimento
Espera-se que o número de vagas de emprego para 'Writers and Authors' aumente 4,1% até 2032
Emprego total e estimativa de vagas de emprego
As projeções atualizadas são devidas 09-2023.
Salários
Em 2022, o salário anual mediano para 'Writers and Authors' foi de $73.150, ou $35 por hora
'Writers and Authors' receberam 58,0% a mais do que o salário médio nacional, que era de $46.310
Salários ao longo do tempo
Volume
A partir de 2022 havia 54.010 pessoas empregadas como 'Writers and Authors' dentro dos Estados Unidos.
Isso representa cerca de < 0,001% da força de trabalho empregada em todo o país
Dito de outra maneira, cerca de 1 em 2 mil pessoas são empregadas como 'Writers and Authors'.
Descrição do trabalho
Originar e preparar material escrito, como roteiros, histórias, anúncios e outros materiais.
SOC Code: 27-3043.00
Recursos
Will Chat GPT spell the end of blogging?
Here's a very informative video from Ricky Kesler from Income School about Chat GPT as it relates to blogging (and SEO). We think it contains great advice, and can be applied to all sorts of writing job roles, not just bloggers.
Se você está pensando em começar uma nova carreira ou procurando mudar de emprego, criamos uma ferramenta de busca de empregos útil que pode ajudá-lo a conseguir aquele novo papel perfeito.
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Comentários
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Personally, I would hate to see the art of storytelling to be turned over to machines.
ChatGPT is not going to write things that people care about. This isn't because chatgpt is a bad writer - it's because people primarily consume written content because of the person behind it. Since the dawn of the internet, and even before, there have been an infinite number of takes, a vast supply of content. Yet, somehow, people still pay for newspapers, and substacks, and books, and all sorts of things that are seemingly available for free with just a Google search. It's because of the particulars of that person's perspective, not just "story good" or "take good."
There are already far more failed writers than successful ones, and far more failed "in the style of" works than actual successful works. What AI will do is simply raise the stakes for what it takes to be a successful writer or author, since it establishes a baseline commodity. However, that baseline is already very, very high.
it's not gonna replace real writers yet but it is coming like winter.
Humans are still the best storytellers.
Personally I went into this field because I absolutely thought I could write better than the average book, and that the "cream will rise to the top". I still believe this is true.
Where I get worried is if AI can learn to write fiction really well. Can an AI in 10 years learn beyond what it is taught (fed average books) and create amazing stories? That's what really scares me.
Will people want to read a story written by an AI or will people want to read stories written by humans? There's an element of detachment when reading AI writing and the uncanny valley effect might take hold when we read an AI trying to present human emotions through character. We will know - whoever put those words down did not understand them and they will have less meaning. Or will they? If they make sense they make sense. If it has emotional impact it has emotional impact - even if that was replicated through pulp learning and mastered through engagement scores.
Scary times to be a writer - to have any job. But this was always my dream and so I know deep down there's no chance I'll give up on it. Even if I can only build two thousand loyal readers, that is enough to make a living, and I'll do that through being very very human and marketing myself face first.
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