Elektrycy

Minimalne Ryzyko
11%
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RYZYKO AUTOMATYZACJI
OBLICZONY
7%
(Minimalne Ryzyko)
ANKIETOWANIE
15,2%
(Minimalne Ryzyko)
Average: 11%
POPYT NA PRACĘ
WZROST
10,8%
do roku 2033
PŁACE
61 590 $
lub 29,61 $ za godzinę
Objętość
712 580
od 2023
STRESZCZENIE
WYNIK PRACY
8,3/10

Ludzie również oglądali

Obliczone ryzyko automatyzacji

7% (Minimalne Ryzyko)

Minimalne ryzyko (0-20%): Zawody w tej kategorii mają niskie prawdopodobieństwo automatyzacji, ponieważ zazwyczaj wymagają one skomplikowanego rozwiązywania problemów, kreatywności, silnych umiejętności interpersonalnych oraz wysokiej sprawności manualnej. Te prace często wiążą się z złożonymi ruchami rąk i precyzyjną koordynacją, co utrudnia maszynom naśladowanie wymaganych zadań.

Więcej informacji na temat tego, czym jest ten wynik i jak jest obliczany, jest dostępne tutaj.

Niektóre bardzo ważne cechy pracy są trudne do zautomatyzowania:

  • Ciasna Przestrzeń Pracy, Niezręczne Pozycje

Niektóre dość ważne cechy pracy są trudne do zautomatyzowania:

  • Zręczność palców

  • Zręczność manualna

  • Perswazja

Ankieta użytkownika

15,2% szansa na pełną automatyzację w ciągu najbliższych dwóch dekad

Nasi goście głosowali, że jest minimalne ryzyko, że ten zawód zostanie zautomatyzowany. To ocena jest dodatkowo wspierana przez obliczony poziom ryzyka automatyzacji, który szacuje 7% szansę na automatyzację.

Jakie są Twoje zdanie na temat ryzyka automatyzacji?

Jakie jest prawdopodobieństwo, że Elektrycy zostanie zastąpione przez roboty lub sztuczną inteligencję w ciągu najbliższych 20 lat?






Nastroje

Poniższy wykres jest zamieszczany wszędzie tam, gdzie istnieje znaczna liczba głosów, aby przedstawić istotne dane. Te wizualne reprezentacje pokazują wyniki ankiet użytkowników w czasie, dostarczając istotnych wskazówek dotyczących trendów nastrojów.

Nastroje w czasie (rocznie)

Wzrost

Bardzo szybki wzrost względem innych profesji

Liczba ofert pracy na stanowisku 'Electricians' ma wzrosnąć 10,8% do 2033

Całkowite zatrudnienie oraz szacowane oferty pracy

* Dane z Biura Statystyki Pracy za okres pomiędzy 2021 a 2031
Zaktualizowane prognozy mają być dostępne 09-2024.

Płace

Umiarkowanie opłacany w porównaniu do innych zawodów

W 2023, mediana rocznej pensji dla 'Electricians' wynosiła 61 590 $, czyli 29 $ za godzinę.

'Electricians' otrzymali wynagrodzenie wyższe o 28,2% od średniej krajowej, która wynosiła 48 060 $

Płace z biegiem czasu

* Dane z Biura Statystyki Pracy

Objętość

Znacznie większy zakres możliwości pracy w porównaniu do innych zawodów

Od 2023 roku zatrudnionych było 712 580 osób na stanowisku 'Electricians' w Stanach Zjednoczonych.

To oznacza około 0,47% zatrudnionej siły roboczej w całym kraju.

Inaczej mówiąc, około 1 na 213 osób jest zatrudnionych jako 'Electricians'.

Opis stanowiska pracy

Instaluj, utrzymuj i naprawiaj instalacje elektryczne, sprzęt i elementy wyposażenia. Upewnij się, że praca jest zgodna z odpowiednimi przepisami. Możliwe jest instalowanie lub serwisowanie lamp ulicznych, systemów interkomowych lub systemów sterowania elektrycznego.

SOC Code: 47-2111.00

Zasoby

Jeśli myślisz o rozpoczęciu nowej kariery lub szukasz zmiany pracy, stworzyliśmy przydatne narzędzie do wyszukiwania pracy, które może Ci pomóc zdobyć tę idealną nową rolę.

Szukaj pracy w swojej lokalnej okolicy

Komentarze

Leave a comment

Fareed 2 months ago
The only thing that replace trades at this point is illegal immigrants but then there is the language barrier.
0 0 Reply
Matt 5 months ago
Absolutely zero chance of ‘taking’ the job, but definitely more machines will enhance the job. Think more and better of power tools, longer battery lives, etc.
0 0 Reply
John (Nie ma szans) 7 months ago
Totally laughable. If AI is running the trades, which requires a huge amount of creativity and coordination to solve problems as well as dexterity, then jobs will only exist where AI doesn't.
3 0 Reply
Cindy 12 months ago
I believe the intricate details in the wiring of the actual building would be too difficult for a machine. Electricians have refined skills that are very difficult to master by just anyone! They go to school for a 5 year apprenticeship. These people are specialized professionals and we need to respect them and their profession!!
0 0 Reply
Nathan (Nie ma szans) 1 year ago
I'm a young Electrician. for doing this job, you need to work in any kind of environment. sometimes you need to identify the problem so in order to do so, you will use your hands, body, creativity and of course, knowledge. A.I. will might stand a chance on replacing us if they probably come in a humanoid form xD
1 0 Reply
hoj (Umiarkowany) 1 year ago
Humanoid Robots Cleaning Your House, Serving Your Food and Running Factories

https://www.yahoo.com/lifestyle/humanoid-robots-cleaning-house-serving-204050583.html

This will happen shortly.
0 4 Reply
Jason (Nie ma szans) 1 year ago
If you could automate trade work, then the world is pretty much all automated at that point. Think about how complicated this work is. Even though AI could feasibley figure out how to do this type of work, it's still pretty complicated and you would need crazy good robots to perform it. Then let's say you have the complex ai and robotics to do the job. When will that technology become affordable?

Buildings are constructed in a way that are not standardized. Sure some facilities could be engineered in such a way that would make robotics possible to work in, but I think this is a long way off. By the time Electricians are automated most jobs will be automated. I mean robots/Ai could do basic level clerical work before electrical construction/maintenance. I think some parts of this industry will be automated. Maybe running 500 mile lines can be done by some machines, but even so there will still need to be some kind of human supervision.

We're just not there yet. We won't be there for a while. As dumb as most construction jobs seem, they will probably be automated so far out from now that entry level lawyers have more to worry about since chatgbt can probably do basic level legal research. No machine is capable of doing much aside from maybe doing some basic prep work, which that is hardly going to replace an electrician as of now.

If anything it will just speed up jobs and potentially lower the industry, but I really don't see it making a big difference anytime soon.
1 0 Reply
Ben (Umiarkowany) 1 year ago
particularly in the new installation space, I think they will be able to run cables, fit off etc... it will probably be harder in the maintenance area for a machine to make repairs.
0 1 Reply
SAY NO TO PROGRAMMING (Niski) 1 year ago
Electricians are essentially a perfect blend of physical & mental work that just isn't easily replaceable as say programming is.
1 0 Reply
Kb 1 year ago
It seems that although certain technologies for robot dexterity are being developed, it will take a while for it to created and then theres the question of adoption speed. Don't get me wrong, if the technology is developed it WILL be adopted, probably just not immediantly.

So I wouldn't worry just yet in regards to the immediate future.

The next 2 decades though, im not sure.
0 0 Reply
Benoit (Nie ma szans) 1 year ago
I think the 19% who said electricians could be replaced in the near future have very low knowledge of the complex tasks electricians have to perform. It requires a lot of thinking and makeshift problem solving along with various physical tasks that require dexterity, precision, balance and the ability to position your body in various positions only a human is capable of.
1 0 Reply
andy (Umiarkowany) 2 years ago
As an electrician's apprentice, I can see how pre-fabrication AI could easily steal away the standard rough-in methods during construction. Residential housing can be streamlined easily since big developers are making the same design for 200,000 homes they build. If a standard was set that pre-fab components were to be used and shipped to the location, you wouldn't need people to wire it up.
0 0 Reply
Dave (Nie ma szans) 3 years ago
Maybe to assist with pulling wire and conduit bending perhaps. Don't think AI will replace electricians
1 0 Reply
Thomas Bach (Nie ma szans) 3 years ago
Not a chance. I’m an industrial electrician working in the automotive industry. I’m taking care of about 100 robots ( I’m responsible for my 3 manufacturing lines ) and there’s no way any robot today can do what we do. Line operators are being replaced by robots but at the same time, there’s a need for more trades. Let’s be honest, somebody has to fix them. I think I’ll be able to retire safely. It will be a major jump in technology before robots can fix other robots in industrial applications.
0 0 Reply
Kenneth 1 year ago
What about AI, and its rapid advancements?
0 0 Reply
allgone 1 year ago
Really not how AI progress works.

Reading comprehension went from not possible to human-level in a few years.

https://ourworldindata.org/uploads/2022/12/AI-performance_Dynabench-paper-2048x921.png
0 1 Reply
yo lads (Nie ma szans) 3 years ago
too hard to put a robot on a roof and not fall thru it, not happening anytime soon
0 0 Reply
Jake D (Nie ma szans) 3 years ago
Understanding electrical theory and the intricacies associated with it when you’re working in physical environments is way beyond what machines can do. Static electricity accumulates, grounds are needed, and a whole lot of work is put into just insulating and making electricity safe to interact with. As a lineman apprentice, I can’t imagine there’ll be a machine that can process all of that, let alone be physically capable of performing all the tasks associated with electrical work. It’s a pretty interdisciplinary field that requires a lot of critical thinking, a lot of consideration of your environment, and is incredibly dangerous.

Personally, I don’t think you can really assess the ability of this field to be automated unless you understand the actions we take to avoid getting shocked, to avoid breaking things, and the volume of equipment we use. It takes two years in trade school and four years in an apprenticeship to create a qualified electrician and even then, they are always learning. Expecting machines to pick up this work within even forty years, assuming technology keeps progressing linearly, is pretty unlikely.

I hope I’m not jinxing myself here but this does seem pretty stupid. I’m a smart guy and I routinely feel like an idiot on the job because there’s just so much to grasp and handle. Expecting a machine to be able to understand, let alone contextualize, and further implement this information is completely fantastical.
0 0 Reply
Kenneth 1 year ago
Ai and robots are already as of this time starting to replace surgeons. Surgeons go through on average 12-15 years of schooling after highschool. The ai can already diagnose and preform surgeries better...
0 0 Reply
Kade (Nie ma szans) 3 years ago
When electricians, plumbers, and HVAC mechanics are automated, no one will have a job.
0 0 Reply
Anthony Hallam (Niski) 3 years ago
theirs no way a robot has the dexterity to wire, and it doesn't even have the brain to spot a problem
0 0 Reply
Kenneth 1 year ago
Yet Ai has the dexterity to perform heart and brain surgeries better than human surgeons and the brain to diagnose better than human doctors....
0 0 Reply
1 (Niski) 3 years ago
In my opinion, the electrician is too complicated a job for robots, and in addition, the tasks of an electrician sometimes involve repairing robots, motors, or other types of machines. :)
0 0 Reply
Sam (Nie ma szans) 3 years ago
Highly dextrous job involving customer interaction, this will not be fully automated for some time.
0 0 Reply

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