Schrijvers en Auteurs
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Risico van automatisering
Gemiddeld Risico (41-60%): Beroepen met een gemiddeld risico op automatisering omvatten meestal routinetaken, maar vereisen nog steeds enige menselijke beoordeling en interactie.
Meer informatie over wat deze score is en hoe deze wordt berekend, is beschikbaar hier.
Impact of Chat GPT on this occupation
We've received many comments and emails about Chat GPT and it's impact on this occupation. It's very impressive software, so people are understandably worried and/or excited.
However, something important to note with regards to the score we've calculated here, is that this occupation is comprised of many different types of job roles. Some examples of these include Advertising Writer, Blurb Writer, Copywriter and Screenwriter.
Some roles/tasks are more susceptible than other's to being automated by Chat GPT, but the score we've calculated is one that's an amalgamation of all of them.
Unfortunately, the source for our data (o*net) doesn't split this category up to the individual roles, so we can't calculate a score for each of them. If they do at some point in the future, we'll do the same, and generate scores accordingly.
Writing occupations aren't dead, but they are changing, so the best advice we can offer is to keep up to date with the latest developments, and use the tools available to your advantage.
Gebruikerspeiling
Onze bezoekers hebben gestemd dat er een kleine kans is dat dit beroep zal worden geautomatiseerd. Deze beoordeling wordt verder ondersteund door het berekende automatiseringsrisiconiveau, dat een schatting geeft van 49% kans op automatisering.
Wat denk je dat het risico van automatisering is?
Wat is de kans dat Schrijvers en Auteurs binnen de komende 20 jaar vervangen zal worden door robots of kunstmatige intelligentie?
Gevoel
De volgende grafiek(en) zijn opgenomen waar er een aanzienlijke hoeveelheid stemmen is om betekenisvolle gegevens te leveren. Deze visuele weergaven tonen de resultaten van gebruikerspolls in de loop van de tijd, en geven een belangrijke indicatie van sentimenttrends.
Sentiment over tijd (per kwartaal)
Gevoel over tijd (jaarlijks)
Groei
Het aantal 'Writers and Authors' vacatures zal naar verwachting stijgen met 4,1% tegen 2032
Totale werkgelegenheid en geschatte vacatures
Bijgewerkte prognoses zijn verschuldigd 09-2023.
Lonen
In 2022 was het mediane jaarloon voor 'Writers and Authors' $ 73.150, of $ 35 per uur
'Writers and Authors' werden 58,0% hoger betaald dan het nationale mediane loon, dat op $ 46.310 stond.
Lonen in de loop van de tijd
Volume
Vanaf 2022 waren er 54.010 mensen in dienst als 'Writers and Authors' binnen de Verenigde Staten.
Dit vertegenwoordigt ongeveer < 0,001% van de werkende bevolking in het hele land.
Anders gezegd, ongeveer 1 op de 2 duizend mensen is werkzaam als 'Writers and Authors'.
Functieomschrijving
Creëer en bereid schriftelijk materiaal voor, zoals scripts, verhalen, advertenties en ander materiaal.
SOC Code: 27-3043.00
Middelen
Will Chat GPT spell the end of blogging?
Here's a very informative video from Ricky Kesler from Income School about Chat GPT as it relates to blogging (and SEO). We think it contains great advice, and can be applied to all sorts of writing job roles, not just bloggers.
Als u overweegt een nieuwe carrière te beginnen, of van baan wilt veranderen, hebben we een handige zoektool voor banen gemaakt die u mogelijk helpt bij het vinden van die perfecte nieuwe functie.
Opmerkingen
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Personally, I would hate to see the art of storytelling to be turned over to machines.
ChatGPT is not going to write things that people care about. This isn't because chatgpt is a bad writer - it's because people primarily consume written content because of the person behind it. Since the dawn of the internet, and even before, there have been an infinite number of takes, a vast supply of content. Yet, somehow, people still pay for newspapers, and substacks, and books, and all sorts of things that are seemingly available for free with just a Google search. It's because of the particulars of that person's perspective, not just "story good" or "take good."
There are already far more failed writers than successful ones, and far more failed "in the style of" works than actual successful works. What AI will do is simply raise the stakes for what it takes to be a successful writer or author, since it establishes a baseline commodity. However, that baseline is already very, very high.
it's not gonna replace real writers yet but it is coming like winter.
Humans are still the best storytellers.
Personally I went into this field because I absolutely thought I could write better than the average book, and that the "cream will rise to the top". I still believe this is true.
Where I get worried is if AI can learn to write fiction really well. Can an AI in 10 years learn beyond what it is taught (fed average books) and create amazing stories? That's what really scares me.
Will people want to read a story written by an AI or will people want to read stories written by humans? There's an element of detachment when reading AI writing and the uncanny valley effect might take hold when we read an AI trying to present human emotions through character. We will know - whoever put those words down did not understand them and they will have less meaning. Or will they? If they make sense they make sense. If it has emotional impact it has emotional impact - even if that was replicated through pulp learning and mastered through engagement scores.
Scary times to be a writer - to have any job. But this was always my dream and so I know deep down there's no chance I'll give up on it. Even if I can only build two thousand loyal readers, that is enough to make a living, and I'll do that through being very very human and marketing myself face first.
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