Elektriciens

RISICO VAN AUTOMATISERING
BEREKEND
5%
risiconiveau
PEILING
21%
Gebaseerd op 993 stemmen
VRAAG NAAR ARBEID
GROEI
7,1%
tegen het jaar 2032
LONEN
$ 60.240
of $ 28,96 per uur
Volume
690.050
vanaf 2022
SAMENVATTING
BAANSCORE
7,7/10

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Risico van automatisering

5% (Minimaal Risico)

Minimaal Risico (0-20%): Beroepen in deze categorie hebben een lage kans op automatisering, omdat ze doorgaans complexe probleemoplossing, creativiteit, sterke interpersoonlijke vaardigheden en een hoge mate van handvaardigheid vereisen. Deze banen omvatten vaak ingewikkelde handbewegingen en precieze coördinatie, waardoor het moeilijk is voor machines om de vereiste taken te repliceren.

Meer informatie over wat deze score is en hoe deze wordt berekend, is beschikbaar hier.

Enkele zeer belangrijke kwaliteiten van de baan zijn moeilijk te automatiseren:

  • Krappe Werkruimte, Ongemakkelijke Posities

Enkele vrij belangrijke kwaliteiten van de baan zijn moeilijk te automatiseren:

  • Vingerbehendigheid

  • Handvaardigheid

  • Overtuiging

Gebruikerspeiling

21% kans op volledige automatisering binnen de komende twee decennia

Onze bezoekers hebben gestemd dat er een kleine kans is dat dit beroep zal worden geautomatiseerd. Deze beoordeling wordt verder ondersteund door het berekende automatiseringsrisiconiveau, dat een schatting geeft van 5% kans op automatisering.

Wat denk je dat het risico van automatisering is?

Wat is de kans dat Elektriciens binnen de komende 20 jaar vervangen zal worden door robots of kunstmatige intelligentie?






Gevoel

De volgende grafiek(en) zijn opgenomen waar er een aanzienlijke hoeveelheid stemmen is om betekenisvolle gegevens te leveren. Deze visuele weergaven tonen de resultaten van gebruikerspolls in de loop van de tijd, en geven een belangrijke indicatie van sentimenttrends.

Gevoel over tijd (jaarlijks)

Groei

Snelle groei vergeleken met andere beroepen

Het aantal 'Electricians' vacatures zal naar verwachting stijgen met 7,1% tegen 2032

Totale werkgelegenheid en geschatte vacatures

* Gegevens van het Bureau of Labor Statistics voor de periode tussen 2021 en 2031
Bijgewerkte prognoses zijn verschuldigd 09-2023.

Lonen

Gemiddeld betaald in vergelijking met andere beroepen

In 2022 was het mediane jaarloon voor 'Electricians' $ 60.240, of $ 28 per uur

'Electricians' werden 30,1% hoger betaald dan het nationale mediane loon, dat op $ 46.310 stond.

Lonen in de loop van de tijd

* Gegevens van het Bureau voor Arbeidsstatistieken

Volume

Aanzienlijk groter aanbod van werkgelegenheden vergeleken met andere beroepen

Vanaf 2022 waren er 690.050 mensen in dienst als 'Electricians' binnen de Verenigde Staten.

Dit vertegenwoordigt ongeveer 0,47% van de werkende bevolking in het hele land.

Anders gezegd, ongeveer 1 op de 214 mensen is werkzaam als 'Electricians'.

Functieomschrijving

Installeer, onderhoud en repareer elektrische bedrading, apparatuur en armaturen. Zorg ervoor dat het werk in overeenstemming is met relevante codes. Mogelijk installeren of onderhouden van straatverlichting, intercomsystemen of elektrische besturingssystemen.

SOC Code: 47-2111.00

Middelen

Als u overweegt een nieuwe carrière te beginnen, of van baan wilt veranderen, hebben we een handige zoektool voor banen gemaakt die u mogelijk helpt bij het vinden van die perfecte nieuwe functie.

Zoek naar banen in uw lokale omgeving

Opmerkingen

Laat een reactie achter

Cindy zegt
I believe the intricate details in the wiring of the actual building would be too difficult for a machine. Electricians have refined skills that are very difficult to master by just anyone! They go to school for a 5 year apprenticeship. These people are specialized professionals and we need to respect them and their profession!!
Dec 31, 2023 at 10:00
Nathan (Geen kans) zegt
I'm a young Electrician. for doing this job, you need to work in any kind of environment. sometimes you need to identify the problem so in order to do so, you will use your hands, body, creativity and of course, knowledge. A.I. will might stand a chance on replacing us if they probably come in a humanoid form xD
Aug 19, 2023 at 03:50
hoj (Matig) zegt
Humanoid Robots Cleaning Your House, Serving Your Food and Running Factories

https://www.yahoo.com/lifestyle/humanoid-robots-cleaning-house-serving-204050583.html

This will happen shortly.
Jun 26, 2023 at 10:16
Jason (Geen kans) zegt
If you could automate trade work, then the world is pretty much all automated at that point. Think about how complicated this work is. Even though AI could feasibley figure out how to do this type of work, it's still pretty complicated and you would need crazy good robots to perform it. Then let's say you have the complex ai and robotics to do the job. When will that technology become affordable?

Buildings are constructed in a way that are not standardized. Sure some facilities could be engineered in such a way that would make robotics possible to work in, but I think this is a long way off. By the time Electricians are automated most jobs will be automated. I mean robots/Ai could do basic level clerical work before electrical construction/maintenance. I think some parts of this industry will be automated. Maybe running 500 mile lines can be done by some machines, but even so there will still need to be some kind of human supervision.

We're just not there yet. We won't be there for a while. As dumb as most construction jobs seem, they will probably be automated so far out from now that entry level lawyers have more to worry about since chatgbt can probably do basic level legal research. No machine is capable of doing much aside from maybe doing some basic prep work, which that is hardly going to replace an electrician as of now.

If anything it will just speed up jobs and potentially lower the industry, but I really don't see it making a big difference anytime soon.
Jun 20, 2023 at 10:16
Ben (Matig) zegt
particularly in the new installation space, I think they will be able to run cables, fit off etc... it will probably be harder in the maintenance area for a machine to make repairs.
Mar 07, 2023 at 12:19
SAY NO TO PROGRAMMING (Laag) zegt
Electricians are essentially a perfect blend of physical & mental work that just isn't easily replaceable as say programming is.
Feb 28, 2023 at 10:32
Kb zegt
It seems that although certain technologies for robot dexterity are being developed, it will take a while for it to created and then theres the question of adoption speed. Don't get me wrong, if the technology is developed it WILL be adopted, probably just not immediantly.

So I wouldn't worry just yet in regards to the immediate future.

The next 2 decades though, im not sure.
Feb 20, 2023 at 02:23
Benoit (Geen kans) zegt
I think the 19% who said electricians could be replaced in the near future have very low knowledge of the complex tasks electricians have to perform. It requires a lot of thinking and makeshift problem solving along with various physical tasks that require dexterity, precision, balance and the ability to position your body in various positions only a human is capable of.
Jan 24, 2023 at 10:55
andy (Matig) zegt
As an electrician's apprentice, I can see how pre-fabrication AI could easily steal away the standard rough-in methods during construction. Residential housing can be streamlined easily since big developers are making the same design for 200,000 homes they build. If a standard was set that pre-fab components were to be used and shipped to the location, you wouldn't need people to wire it up.
Mar 21, 2022 at 01:51
Dave (Geen kans) zegt
Maybe to assist with pulling wire and conduit bending perhaps. Don't think AI will replace electricians
Oct 05, 2021 at 02:14
Thomas Bach (Geen kans) zegt
Not a chance. I’m an industrial electrician working in the automotive industry. I’m taking care of about 100 robots ( I’m responsible for my 3 manufacturing lines ) and there’s no way any robot today can do what we do. Line operators are being replaced by robots but at the same time, there’s a need for more trades. Let’s be honest, somebody has to fix them. I think I’ll be able to retire safely. It will be a major jump in technology before robots can fix other robots in industrial applications.
Sep 19, 2021 at 02:35
allgone zegt
Really not how AI progress works.

Reading comprehension went from not possible to human-level in a few years.

https://ourworldindata.org/uploads/2022/12/AI-performance_Dynabench-paper-2048x921.png
Jun 26, 2023 at 10:17
Kenneth zegt
What about AI, and its rapid advancements?
Aug 07, 2023 at 11:00
yo lads (Geen kans) zegt
too hard to put a robot on a roof and not fall thru it, not happening anytime soon
Sep 19, 2021 at 05:50
Jake D (Geen kans) zegt
Understanding electrical theory and the intricacies associated with it when you’re working in physical environments is way beyond what machines can do. Static electricity accumulates, grounds are needed, and a whole lot of work is put into just insulating and making electricity safe to interact with. As a lineman apprentice, I can’t imagine there’ll be a machine that can process all of that, let alone be physically capable of performing all the tasks associated with electrical work. It’s a pretty interdisciplinary field that requires a lot of critical thinking, a lot of consideration of your environment, and is incredibly dangerous.

Personally, I don’t think you can really assess the ability of this field to be automated unless you understand the actions we take to avoid getting shocked, to avoid breaking things, and the volume of equipment we use. It takes two years in trade school and four years in an apprenticeship to create a qualified electrician and even then, they are always learning. Expecting machines to pick up this work within even forty years, assuming technology keeps progressing linearly, is pretty unlikely.

I hope I’m not jinxing myself here but this does seem pretty stupid. I’m a smart guy and I routinely feel like an idiot on the job because there’s just so much to grasp and handle. Expecting a machine to be able to understand, let alone contextualize, and further implement this information is completely fantastical.
Sep 06, 2021 at 03:57
Kenneth zegt
Ai and robots are already as of this time starting to replace surgeons. Surgeons go through on average 12-15 years of schooling after highschool. The ai can already diagnose and preform surgeries better...
Aug 07, 2023 at 11:04
Kade (Geen kans) zegt
When electricians, plumbers, and HVAC mechanics are automated, no one will have a job.
Aug 16, 2021 at 04:47
Anthony Hallam (Laag) zegt
theirs no way a robot has the dexterity to wire, and it doesn't even have the brain to spot a problem
Jun 04, 2021 at 04:53
Kenneth zegt
Yet Ai has the dexterity to perform heart and brain surgeries better than human surgeons and the brain to diagnose better than human doctors....
Aug 07, 2023 at 11:06
1 (Laag) zegt
In my opinion, the electrician is too complicated a job for robots, and in addition, the tasks of an electrician sometimes involve repairing robots, motors, or other types of machines. :)
Jan 09, 2021 at 03:09
Sam (Geen kans) zegt
Highly dextrous job involving customer interaction, this will not be fully automated for some time.
Jan 02, 2021 at 02:31
frank (Geen kans) zegt
nope, no chance its a trade
Aug 09, 2020 at 09:41
anonymous (Geen kans) zegt
Electricians make complex decisions unique to individual situations and perform complex motor tasks which would be impossible to practically replicate with a robot. Truly no need to worry about this occupation becoming obsolete.
Jun 08, 2020 at 02:44
Joe (Geen kans) zegt
If they can manufacture robots to do complex work and have the mobility to do an electricians work then no one will have a job.
May 14, 2020 at 04:32

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