Automonteurs en Technici voor Automobielonderhoud

Matig Risico
43%

Waar Wilt U Hierna Heen Gaan?

Of, verken dit beroep in meer detail...

RISICO VAN AUTOMATISERING
BEREKEND
58%
(Matig Risico)
PEILING
28%
(Laag Risico, Gebaseerd op 574 stemmen)
Average: 43%
VRAAG NAAR ARBEID
GROEI
2,7%
tegen het jaar 2033
LONEN
$ 47.770
of $ 22,96 per uur
Volume
676.570
vanaf 2023
SAMENVATTING
Wat laat deze sneeuwvlok zien?
De Sneeuwvlok is een visuele samenvatting van de vijf badges: Automatiseringsrisico (berekend), Risico (gepeild), Groei, Salarissen en Volume. Het geeft je een directe momentopname van een beroepsprofiel. De kleur van de Sneeuwvlok hangt samen met de grootte ervan. Hoe beter het beroep scoort in vergelijking met anderen, hoe groter en groener de Sneeuwvlok wordt.
BAANSCORE
5,2/10
Wat is dit?
Functiebeoordeling (hoe hoger, hoe beter):

We beoordelen banen op basis van vier factoren. Deze zijn:

- Kans op automatisering
- Banengroei
- Salarissen
- Aantal beschikbare posities

Dit zijn enkele belangrijke zaken om over na te denken bij het zoeken naar een baan.

Mensen bekeken ook

Elektriciens Computerprogrammeurs Advocaten Commerciële Piloten Werktuigbouwkundig Ingenieurs

Berekend automatiseringsrisico

58% (Matig Risico)

Gemiddeld Risico (41-60%): Beroepen met een gemiddeld risico op automatisering omvatten meestal routinetaken, maar vereisen nog steeds enige menselijke beoordeling en interactie.

Meer informatie over wat deze score is en hoe deze wordt berekend, is beschikbaar hier.

Enkele zeer belangrijke kwaliteiten van de baan zijn moeilijk te automatiseren:

  • Krappe Werkruimte, Ongemakkelijke Posities

Enkele vrij belangrijke kwaliteiten van de baan zijn moeilijk te automatiseren:

  • Handvaardigheid

  • Vingerbehendigheid

  • Sociale Waarneming

Gebruikerspeiling

28% kans op volledige automatisering binnen de komende twee decennia

Onze bezoekers hebben gestemd dat er een kleine kans is dat dit beroep zal worden geautomatiseerd. Echter, het door ons gegenereerde automatiseringsrisiconiveau suggereert een hogere kans op automatisering: 58% kans op automatisering.

Wat denk je dat het risico van automatisering is?

Wat is de kans dat Automonteurs en Technici voor Automobielonderhoud binnen de komende 20 jaar vervangen zal worden door robots of kunstmatige intelligentie?

Gevoel

De volgende grafiek wordt weergegeven waar er voldoende stemmen zijn om betekenisvolle gegevens te produceren. Het toont de resultaten van gebruikerspeilingen in de loop van de tijd en biedt een duidelijk beeld van sentimenttrends.

Gevoel over tijd (jaarlijks)

Groei

Langzame groei in vergelijking met andere beroepen.

Het aantal 'Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics' vacatures zal naar verwachting stijgen met 2,7% tegen 2033

Totale werkgelegenheid en geschatte vacatures

* Gegevens van het Bureau of Labor Statistics voor de periode tussen 2023 en 2033
Bijgewerkte prognoses zijn verschuldigd 09-2025.

Lonen

Laag betaald in vergelijking met andere beroepen

In 2023 was het mediane jaarloon voor 'Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics' $ 47.770, of $ 23 per uur

'Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics' werden 0,6% lager betaald dan het nationale mediane loon, dat op $ 48.060 stond.

Lonen in de loop van de tijd

* Gegevens van het Bureau voor Arbeidsstatistieken

Volume

Aanzienlijk groter aanbod van werkgelegenheden vergeleken met andere beroepen

Vanaf 2023 waren er 676.570 mensen in dienst als 'Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics' binnen de Verenigde Staten.

Dit vertegenwoordigt ongeveer 0,45% van de werkende bevolking in het hele land.

Anders gezegd, ongeveer 1 op de 224 mensen is werkzaam als 'Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics'.

Functieomschrijving

Diagnose stellen, afstellen, repareren of reviseren van auto's.

SOC Code: 49-3023.00

Opmerkingen (31)

Laat een reactie achter
Joshua (Laag)
10 nov. 2024 13:27
Because vehicles are all different eachother and require a lot of human judgement and quick thought to process and diagnose faults and services
Not today (Geen kans)
03 jul. 2024 11:55
Stripped bolts, damaged/worn parts, there is no way a computer can find a leak that only shows a small drip from the cooling system or remove a dash to replace a part.
Jim
01 jul. 2025 14:51
Tesla / electric cars (way less moving parts) need less repair (unless in an accident -> then the cars are basically trash -> buy a new one and don't repair). I agree mechanics can't be replaced, but DIY fixes with AI assistance and better engineered cars from AI likely will decrease demand for mechanics. Leading to either a smaller pool of mechanics (who'll make more money) or just reduced incomes across the whole field.
A.S
31 jul. 2025 17:16
Tesla is actually a good example why AI will struggle performing diagnostics. Teslas in house mechanics have plenty of work due to environmental factors. For example a rat pissed on a ground connection thats on a terminating module for a specific private network. The robot can’t communicate with that module same as the person cant. However the human can smell the presence of rats even if its not visible and use that input to realize what to start checking.
LeRoy (Geen kans)
02 jul. 2024 00:23
The infinite probability of small and insignificant things that can go wrong to set EVEN ONE DTC off cannot be computed by a machine, tested by a machine (if the fault Is in the wiring harness, or other wiring diagram), or fixed by a machine without that EXACT issue being programmed for IF it is even programmed for, and had the ability to fix said issue. Mechanics and technicians like myself are a dying breed.
Scott (Geen kans)
04 mei 2023 02:45
I've been an auto technician for about 37 years now. When I started working on cars computers didn't exist in cars yet. Now some cars have upwards of 15 computers that do everything from working a convertible top to driving a vehicle autonomously. That's a big leap in 37 years but I just don't think that robots could replace the parts we replace or diagnose a problem that humans can. I just don't think its possible. Not now. Not in 50 years. Yes cars will become smarter and have more computers but I still think there will always be a need for a human mechanic to work on them.

Also in my opinion cars haven't gotten any better than they were in the 70s or 80s just different problems and different ways to diagnose and repair them. I've forgotten more than a lot of guys in their 30s and even 40s have learned. I think I was blessed to have become a Mechanic when I did. I've seen and learned a lot more in 37 years than I think most techs will learn in the next 35 or 40 years. I became a mechanic in a time when computers didn't exist in cars I remember how may shops went out of business when Antilock brakes came out.

I'm a multiple times A.S.E. Master Technician. Still learning today still wrenching and I will to the end. I actually enjoyed it more 25 or 30 years ago but I love some of the challenges techs face today. I'm always waiting for that problem no one can figure out and I figure it out.

All the Techs my age know exactly what I'm saying we've all been there and been that guy to fix it. I doubt any robot could do all the things we have to do. It just doesn't seem possible.
A.S (Laag)
31 jul. 2025 17:12
Illogical diagnostics from non specific failures thats are undocumented. Micro dexterity in extremely cramped areas ie repairing a single wire on the back side of a harness under a dash.
Klaus (Laag)
11 aug. 2025 00:14
many parts are just to difficult to reach, building a robot for all of that would require investments that are probably higher than lifespan ammortization
Scott (Laag)
03 jul. 2025 18:48
Manual dexterity
Difficult access to components
Mestica
22 mei 2023 22:29
There are simply too many variables, people interactions, and different levels of abuse and care that each vehicle receives.
Alec (Laag)
14 apr. 2023 14:48
As cars get more advanced it will be harder to work on them and at the rate technology is progressing it seems unlikely that 20 years from now computers will be doing all the work on cars, humans are a lot more likely to be needed but will have technological aid
Siprico (Zeer waarschijnlijk)
28 mrt. 2023 17:52
Corporations will always look for the most cost effective way to increase the bottom line, corporations are not concerned with humanity or culture unless it makes them money.
Alex
30 aug. 2021 00:03
Not robots but 'electric cars will reduce maintenance by 90 per cent' - Sandy Munro
Troy (Geen kans)
14 mei 2021 12:09
They won't be able to diagnose little problems.
Maybe 50 years. (Geen kans)
05 mei 2020 11:05
Unless we get self thinking robots that can mimic and access repair books and find problems very unlikely. They would need arms for one.
jim beam (Laag)
12 nov. 2019 13:17
Its WAYYYYYYY more complicated then you think
aaa
30 mrt. 2019 23:05
Eventually yes, but just don't see it happening in the next 20 years.
jason
01 okt. 2019 15:40
right there with u brother F**k robots
Timmy Martin (Geen kans)
27 okt. 2023 14:50
The pathway to automating the role of a technician I see would first require modular vehicle construction. Once vehicles have easily replaced and accessible modules i.e. a "front right drive motor assembly". an automated system could isolate the concern to a general module and with the removal of a handful of accessible fasteners could remove the whole module and replace it. With one large fastener at the top of the strut tower two large fasteners on the lower control arm and one large electrical connector, the entire module is swapped and sent for rebuild.
John
14 feb. 2022 04:51
For maintenance, sure, but not every car is exactly the same. This would be one of the last to go. Anyone with a computer job or repetitive task will go first. Look at nursing, they said like 1.5%, and this is 55%... what? You check the temperature of a patient, then play on Facebook and complain about work for 3 hours. Lol. Definitely going to replace most of the basic ones.
Nicholas D'Amico (Laag)
06 jan. 2022 19:21
Assembly and manufacturing will be automated. Minor service jobs, like fluid changes, will undoubtedly be automated away.

However, troubleshooting and repairing vehicles with problems that aren't related to recurring service will not be automated away.

With this in mind, I think that the market for mechanics will actually increase due to the automation of vehicles on the road. More vehicles mean more mechanics - more jiffy lube robot techs and more certified mechanics in the future.
Dean (Geen kans)
27 mei 2021 03:19
There simply is to many variables/people interactions that have to happen/every vehicle is different in the amount of abuse and care towards that vehicle
Jarno
09 jan. 2021 11:08
Totally agree with the comments here. You’d need a super AI just to recognize the wear and/or damage. Then it also needs to think of a way to actually do it... and then you’d need a super-robot to be actually able to do the very diverse physical stuff. (Arms? Tools?) It wouldn’t be cost effective to design and build such a robot anytime soon. This job is super under-appreciated in my opinion.
Siprico
28 mrt. 2023 18:02
What is "super" AI? Seeing as every point I've read so far only takes into account the current(2023) state of the industry with out implementing the advances in the industry that would naturally happen with the passing of time. Once You apply this logical progression of the industry you must also take into account that advancements in the computer/robotics world are much more impactful and happen at an increasingly increased rate. "Robots will never be able to build a car." This used to be the motto; but as we all know that industry was quickly taken over by automation, and tech has only gotten exponentially more advanced since that time.

Laat een reactie achter over dit beroep
0/8000