Automonteurs en Technici voor Automobielonderhoud

Matig Risico
44%
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RISICO VAN AUTOMATISERING
BEREKEND
58%
(Matig Risico)
PEILING
30%
(Laag Risico)
Average: 44%
VRAAG NAAR ARBEID
GROEI
2,7%
tegen het jaar 2033
LONEN
$ 47.770
of $ 22,96 per uur
Volume
676.570
vanaf 2023
SAMENVATTING
BAANSCORE
4,9/10

Mensen bekeken ook

Berekend automatiseringsrisico

58% (Matig Risico)

Gemiddeld Risico (41-60%): Beroepen met een gemiddeld risico op automatisering omvatten meestal routinetaken, maar vereisen nog steeds enige menselijke beoordeling en interactie.

Meer informatie over wat deze score is en hoe deze wordt berekend, is beschikbaar hier.

Enkele zeer belangrijke kwaliteiten van de baan zijn moeilijk te automatiseren:

  • Krappe Werkruimte, Ongemakkelijke Posities

Enkele vrij belangrijke kwaliteiten van de baan zijn moeilijk te automatiseren:

  • Handvaardigheid

  • Vingerbehendigheid

  • Sociale Waarneming

Gebruikerspeiling

30% kans op volledige automatisering binnen de komende twee decennia

Onze bezoekers hebben gestemd dat er een kleine kans is dat dit beroep zal worden geautomatiseerd. Echter, het door ons gegenereerde automatiseringsrisiconiveau suggereert een hogere kans op automatisering: 58% kans op automatisering.

Wat denk je dat het risico van automatisering is?

Wat is de kans dat Automonteurs en Technici voor Automobielonderhoud binnen de komende 20 jaar vervangen zal worden door robots of kunstmatige intelligentie?






Gevoel

De volgende grafiek wordt opgenomen waar er een aanzienlijke hoeveelheid stemmen is om zinvolle gegevens weer te geven. Deze visuele weergaven tonen de resultaten van gebruikerspeilingen in de loop van de tijd en bieden een belangrijke indicatie van sentimenttrends.

Gevoel over tijd (jaarlijks)

Groei

Langzame groei in vergelijking met andere beroepen.

Het aantal 'Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics' vacatures zal naar verwachting stijgen met 2,7% tegen 2033

Totale werkgelegenheid en geschatte vacatures

* Gegevens van het Bureau of Labor Statistics voor de periode tussen 2021 en 2031
Bijgewerkte prognoses zijn verschuldigd 09-2024.

Lonen

Laag betaald in vergelijking met andere beroepen

In 2023 was het mediane jaarloon voor 'Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics' $ 47.770, of $ 22 per uur

'Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics' werden 0,6% lager betaald dan het nationale mediane loon, dat op $ 48.060 stond.

Lonen in de loop van de tijd

* Gegevens van het Bureau voor Arbeidsstatistieken

Volume

Aanzienlijk groter aanbod van werkgelegenheden vergeleken met andere beroepen

Vanaf 2023 waren er 676.570 mensen in dienst als 'Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics' binnen de Verenigde Staten.

Dit vertegenwoordigt ongeveer 0,45% van de werkende bevolking in het hele land.

Anders gezegd, ongeveer 1 op de 224 mensen is werkzaam als 'Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics'.

Functieomschrijving

Diagnose stellen, afstellen, repareren of reviseren van auto's.

SOC Code: 49-3023.00

Middelen

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Opmerkingen

Leave a comment

Not today (Geen kans) 5 months ago
Stripped bolts, damaged/worn parts, there is no way a computer can find a leak that only shows a small drip from the cooling system or remove a dash to replace a part.
1 0 Reply
LeRoy (Geen kans) 5 months ago
The infinite probability of small and insignificant things that can go wrong to set EVEN ONE DTC off cannot be computed by a machine, tested by a machine (if the fault Is in the wiring harness, or other wiring diagram), or fixed by a machine without that EXACT issue being programmed for IF it is even programmed for, and had the ability to fix said issue. Mechanics and technicians like myself are a dying breed.
1 0 Reply
Timmy Martin (Geen kans) 1 year ago
The pathway to automating the role of a technician I see would first require modular vehicle construction. Once vehicles have easily replaced and accessible modules i.e. a "front right drive motor assembly". an automated system could isolate the concern to a general module and with the removal of a handful of accessible fasteners could remove the whole module and replace it. With one large fastener at the top of the strut tower two large fasteners on the lower control arm and one large electrical connector, the entire module is swapped and sent for rebuild.
0 0 Reply
Tom B 1 year ago
Somewhere, right now a car company engineering group is working on a vehicle design that is centered around supporting service by robotics, and also developing the compatible robots. In about 5 years you will see basic service robots deployed, and within 10 years at least 50% of the work can be delegated to robots. (for new car dealerships) AI and big data will handle the majority of failure diagnosis, with diagnostics over the air and onboard computer software updates over the air. If surgeons are already being displaced by robotics for some types of surgeries, when the cost of robotics comes down almost any skilled manual labor can be displaced.
0 2 Reply
Mestica 1 year ago
There are simply too many variables, people interactions, and different levels of abuse and care that each vehicle receives.
0 0 Reply
Scott (Geen kans) 1 year ago
I've been an auto technician for about 37 years now. When I started working on cars computers didn't exist in cars yet. Now some cars have upwards of 15 computers that do everything from working a convertible top to driving a vehicle autonomously. That's a big leap in 37 years but I just don't think that robots could replace the parts we replace or diagnose a problem that humans can. I just don't think its possible. Not now. Not in 50 years. Yes cars will become smarter and have more computers but I still think there will always be a need for a human mechanic to work on them.

Also in my opinion cars haven't gotten any better than they were in the 70s or 80s just different problems and different ways to diagnose and repair them. I've forgotten more than a lot of guys in their 30s and even 40s have learned. I think I was blessed to have become a Mechanic when I did. I've seen and learned a lot more in 37 years than I think most techs will learn in the next 35 or 40 years. I became a mechanic in a time when computers didn't exist in cars I remember how may shops went out of business when Antilock brakes came out.

I'm a multiple times A.S.E. Master Technician. Still learning today still wrenching and I will to the end. I actually enjoyed it more 25 or 30 years ago but I love some of the challenges techs face today. I'm always waiting for that problem no one can figure out and I figure it out.

All the Techs my age know exactly what I'm saying we've all been there and been that guy to fix it. I doubt any robot could do all the things we have to do. It just doesn't seem possible.
0 0 Reply
Alec (Laag) 1 year ago
As cars get more advanced it will be harder to work on them and at the rate technology is progressing it seems unlikely that 20 years from now computers will be doing all the work on cars, humans are a lot more likely to be needed but will have technological aid
0 0 Reply
Siprico (Zeer waarschijnlijk) 1 year ago
Corporations will always look for the most cost effective way to increase the bottom line, corporations are not concerned with humanity or culture unless it makes them money.
0 0 Reply
Gael Gay Gaylord (Laag) 1 year ago
Robots working on cars would be bad, they do already create cars but I think its better if we people fix the cars and not have them create and fix them too (I'm gonna be an automotive mechanic sooner or later)
0 0 Reply
John 2 years ago
For maintenance, sure, but not every car is exactly the same. This would be one of the last to go. Anyone with a computer job or repetitive task will go first. Look at nursing, they said like 1.5%, and this is 55%... what? You check the temperature of a patient, then play on Facebook and complain about work for 3 hours. Lol. Definitely going to replace most of the basic ones.
0 0 Reply
Nicholas D'Amico (Laag) 2 years ago
Assembly and manufacturing will be automated. Minor service jobs, like fluid changes, will undoubtedly be automated away.

However, troubleshooting and repairing vehicles with problems that aren't related to recurring service will not be automated away.

With this in mind, I think that the market for mechanics will actually increase due to the automation of vehicles on the road. More vehicles mean more mechanics - more jiffy lube robot techs and more certified mechanics in the future.
0 0 Reply
Alex 3 years ago
Not robots but 'electric cars will reduce maintenance by 90 per cent' - Sandy Munro
0 0 Reply
Dean (Geen kans) 3 years ago
There simply is to many variables/people interactions that have to happen/every vehicle is different in the amount of abuse and care towards that vehicle
0 0 Reply
Troy (Geen kans) 3 years ago
They won't be able to diagnose little problems.
0 0 Reply
Jarno 3 years ago
Totally agree with the comments here. You’d need a super AI just to recognize the wear and/or damage. Then it also needs to think of a way to actually do it... and then you’d need a super-robot to be actually able to do the very diverse physical stuff. (Arms? Tools?)

It wouldn’t be cost effective to design and build such a robot anytime soon.

This job is super under-appreciated in my opinion.
0 0 Reply
Siprico 1 year ago
What is "super" AI? Seeing as every point I've read so far only takes into account the current(2023) state of the industry with out implementing the advances in the industry that would naturally happen with the passing of time. Once You apply this logical progression of the industry you must also take into account that advancements in the computer/robotics world are much more impactful and happen at an increasingly increased rate. "Robots will never be able to build a car." This used to be the motto; but as we all know that industry was quickly taken over by automation, and tech has only gotten exponentially more advanced since that time.
0 0 Reply
Rick (Laag) 4 years ago
Besides diagnostics there are to many variables for a robot to make the actual repairs.
0 0 Reply
Sorry robots will take your jobs 3 years ago
They do have arms fingers and A.I. would allow them to access info from any related and applicable book, manual, or source...
0 0 Reply
Mike 1 year ago
God bless you
First time robot skins his knuckle
Who’s going to fix that
0 0 Reply
Maybe 50 years. (Geen kans) 4 years ago
Unless we get self thinking robots that can mimic and access repair books and find problems very unlikely.

They would need arms for one.
1 0 Reply
jim beam (Laag) 5 years ago
Its WAYYYYYYY more complicated then you think
0 0 Reply
john (Geen kans) 5 years ago
robots can not detect the slightest repair
0 0 Reply
aaa 5 years ago
Eventually yes, but just don't see it happening in the next 20 years.
1 0 Reply
jason 5 years ago
right there with u brother
F**k robots
1 0 Reply

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