Nehéz- és traktor-pótkocsi kamionsofőrök

Magas kockázat
68%
Hová szeretne legközelebb menni?
Oszd meg eredményeidet barátaiddal és családoddal.
Vagy fedezze fel ezt a szakmát részletesebben...
AUTOMATIZÁLÁSI KOCKÁZAT
KISZÁMÍTOTT
86%
(Közelgő kockázat)
SZAVAZÁS
51%
(Mérsékelt Kockázat)
Average: 68%
MUNKAERŐ-IGÉNY
NÖVEKEDÉS
4,6%
2033 évben
BÉREK
54 320 $
vagy 26,11 $ óránként
Térfogat
2 044 400
2023 óta
ÖSSZEFOGLALÓ
MUNKAPONTSZÁM
4,3/10

Az emberek ezt is megtekintették

Számított automatizálási kockázat

86% (Közelgő kockázat)

Közvetlen veszély (81-100%): Az ezen a szinten lévő foglalkozások rendkívül nagy valószínűséggel automatizálásra kerülnek a közeljövőben. Ezek a munkák elsősorban ismétlődő, kiszámítható feladatokból állnak, amelyekhez kevés emberi ítélőképességre van szükség.

További információ arról, hogy mi ez a pontszám, és hogyan számítják ki, elérhető itt.

A munka néhány igen fontos tulajdonsága nehezen automatizálható:

  • Manuális Ügyesség

Felhasználói szavazás

51% százalék esély van a teljes automatizációra a következő két évtizeden belül

Látogatóink szavaztak, és nem biztosak abban, hogy ez a foglalkozás automatizálásra kerül-e. Azonban az általunk generált automatizálási kockázati szint sokkal magasabb esélyt sugall az automatizálásra: 86% esély van az automatizálásra.

Mit gondol, milyen kockázatai vannak az automatizációnak?

Milyen valószínűséggel fogják Nehéz- és traktor-pótkocsi kamionsofőrök robotok vagy mesterséges intelligencia helyettesíteni a következő 20 évben?






Érzelem

A következő grafikon mindenhol szerepel, ahol jelentős mennyiségű szavazat áll rendelkezésre, hogy értelmes adatokat lehessen megjeleníteni. Ezek a vizuális ábrázolások az időbeli felhasználói szavazási eredményeket mutatják, jelentős jelzést adva a hangulat trendjeiről.

Érzelem az időben (évente)

Növekedés

Mérsékelt növekedés más szakmákhoz képest

A(z) 'Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers' munkahelyi nyitások száma várhatóan 4,6%-kal nő 2033-ra.

Teljes foglalkoztatottság és becsült állásnyitások

* Az Amerikai Munkaügyi Statisztikai Hivatal adatai a 2021 és 2031 közötti időszakra vonatkozóan.
A frissített előrejelzések 09-2024 időpontban esedékesek..

Bérek

Mérsékelten fizetett más szakmákhoz képest

A(z) 2023-ban a 'Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers' éves középfizetése 54 320 $ volt, vagyis 26 $ óránként.

'Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers' magasabb összeget kaptak, mint az országos mediánbér, ami 48 060 $-n állt.

Bérek az idők folyamán

Adatok a Munkaügyi Statisztikai Hivataltól

Térfogat

Jelentősen nagyobb munkalehetőségek köre más szakmákkal összehasonlítva

2023 időpontjában 2 044 400 ember dolgozott 'Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers' munkakörben az Egyesült Államokban.

Ez körülbelül a 1,3% -át képviseli az országban foglalkoztatott munkaerőnek.

Másképp fogalmazva, körülbelül minden 74. ember 'Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers'-ként dolgozik.

Munkaköri leírás

Vezessen traktor-pótkocsi kombinációt vagy olyan teherautót, amelynek kapacitása legalább 26 001 font Össz Járműsúly (GVW). Lehet, hogy szükség van a teherautó kirakodására. Kereskedelmi járművezetői engedély szükséges. Ez magában foglalja a vontatóautó-vezetőket is.

SOC Code: 53-3032.00

Erőforrások

Ha új karriert tervez indítani, vagy munkahelyet szeretne váltani, létrehoztunk egy hasznos álláskereső eszközt, amely éppen segíthet abban, hogy megtalálja azt az új tökéletes pozíciót.

Keresse meg a helyi területén elérhető állásokat

Megjegyzések

Leave a comment

Stan (Eszélytelen) 2 months ago
The roads are not well maintained and smooth causing weather to be a high judgment factor.
0 0 Reply
Kevin (Alacsony) 3 months ago
AI cannot adapt to road conditions, it also can not chain tires, drop trailers or easily re route in a big truck. It's very unlikely that big class A trucks will be replaced by an AI, unless trillions are spent on inferstucre. Also thefts would be much more of a problem along with safety features.

Imagine thieves braking in front of a big truck and it stops as to not hit them and they look the trailer or disconnect it.

There's too much liability, along with small tasks and decisions that need to be made on the fly.

It's much more likely doctors and lawyers will be replaced first because AI could diagnose you and do surgical procedures. 1 doctor or lawyer could open up a practice and manage hundreds of clients with a powerful enough AI before class A trucks could be safely implemented and insured.
0 0 Reply
Evan (Bizonytalan) 7 months ago
because i think that we could make self driving trucks, but the driver itself has to problem solve like first off what if the truck is about to run over a car but the sencors are broken in that area. but if we had a human driver then they could problem solve and quick swerve away
0 0 Reply
Lars 7 months ago
I don't think automation will be possible within 50 years for this type of work. Just think of the train that in the maximum line could also be automated immediately, but if you always try to have a train driver on board. Artificial intelligence is still too immature to be used in such a dangerous job. In conclusion, the truck driver is a job that is still too specialized and varied, to be robotic.
1 0 Reply
Shayne Thomas (Alacsony) 8 months ago
I just don't believe autonomous trucking could become a thing unless people were to give up their ability to drive themselves. If no one drove and it was just robots then it is a very plausible scenario. It would probably be safer and more efficient than if humans were driving the same trucks. The counter to that, I would say, is that it would only be that way if only robots were driving. This is because of human error, being impatient, not being a good driver, and driving under the influence. There are many factors to include when putting human drivers into the equation that cannot be calculated by a machine. Personally, I don't want to give up my own freedom to drive so companies could be slightly more efficient and I'm sure there are a lot of others who would feel similar.
1 0 Reply
Josh (Bizonytalan) 1 year ago
Seems no one has visited this section in awhile. I think it's safe to say all previous comments and this assessment itself was based off over-hyped technology that has proven to be much more complicated than initially thought. The eventual automation of commercial drivers is probably high but still decades away with the current challenges.
1 0 Reply
Anonymous (Bizonytalan) 1 year ago
It's going to be automated; it's not debatable. The question is, "How soon will it happen?" My guess is that it's going to take another 20 to 50 years before the technology is sophisticated enough to displace human beings. At that point, it'd no longer be an attractive or plausible occupation for most.

If you're in your 30s, you can likely still make an income from trucking, and you may even be able to ride it out until retirement. However, if you're the next generation of kids, probably not.
0 0 Reply
Jeremy 2 years ago
It's truly the case that Tesla is leading with the new Cyber Trucks and future models. How much profit can be made by just selling 1,000 trucks? There is a huge market.

All they need is a new law with dedicated trucker lanes, similar to bike or bus lanes.
0 0 Reply
2nd rule of the pirate code: Curfew by 10 PM 1 year ago
"All they need is a new law with dedicated trucker lanes, similar to bike or bus lanes."
So, you want a dedicated lane for a Heavy vehicle to drive through, which the heavy vehicle in question is dedicated solely to transporting materials and goods.

You are describing a Train.
But specifically a train that moves on streets and highways. If there are two things the U.S loves (assuming we are talking specifically about the U.S), it's Guns and Cars. I doubt people would be too happy letting a big portion of driveable area get used up nor would they be happy to have it drive next to them, because the fear of it malfunctioning would be heightened. That's also not to mention how primitive the ai is for self driving, and the potential ethical concerns.

I do think that Ai will replace delivery jobs like this, but It'll most likely be in a form that would have the least potential to cause damage, like a drone or a train out in the middle of nowhere.
1 0 Reply
Mr. Nobody (Alacsony) 2 years ago
Certain cities have a very tight shipping/receiving docks, not to mention the streets.. who’s going to chain up the tires in the snow?
0 0 Reply
Nathan (Mérsékelt) 2 years ago
Even though working on trucks will become safer, it will still be unsafe and there is a likelihood of getting hurt.
0 0 Reply
Mark (Alacsony) 2 years ago
Parts of the trucking industry are likely to be automated in the next 20 years. For instance, long-distance convoys. But truckers do more than just drive. They also do maintenance, load balancing, inspections, and sometimes loading and unloading at destinations.

As such, for short-haul routes, the "driving" part is a relatively minor part of the job. Even if it's automated, the trucker is still needed. For long-haul routes, robotic convoys will indeed eliminate the need for some drivers. But each convoy will still need a shepherd for the other duties that can't be substantially eliminated in that period of time.
0 0 Reply
Matt (Nagyon valószínű) 2 years ago
As a truck driver, I have mixed views on automated driving. I don't see any evidence that a truck could be 100% autonomous in my lifetime. There is so much more to trucking than just driving, a lot more.
1 0 Reply
Ry 2 years ago
Lol, if you've ever been a local city truck driver, this will never happen. Maybe interstate driving could be automated for the mega-corporations, but local driving in a major city? Probably never. The fact that this has such a high likelihood of getting votes proves that you shouldn't blindly believe anyone on the internet who tells you anything. Most of the votes are clearly not from anyone in the industry.
0 0 Reply
RB Hopson (Alacsony) 3 years ago
Although the tech will be here soon, I think the infrastructure required to fully automate this sector will take much longer to implement.
0 0 Reply
Nico Cione (Nagyon valószínű) 3 years ago
I think that there will be driverless electric-powered trucks in the future.
0 0 Reply
Mr. T (Nagyon valószínű) 3 years ago
Especially long haul transport will be vulnerable because these routes are less complex to automize. Short-haul transport will stay relevant a little longer. Although there will be massive competition, due to the low entry barriers of starting at this job.
0 0 Reply
Steve (Nagyon valószínű) 3 years ago
Based on the current processes, and the vast evolution of self driving cars
0 0 Reply
Andrea (Eszélytelen) 3 years ago
A robot cannot replace the instincts of human driving knowledge, especially during extreme weather conditions. I haven’t even begun to discuss pre trip inspections or backing and parking a trailer in a dock. This takes many years to master. This is not like driving a car. Robots will NEVER replace a human driver.
0 0 Reply
Ryan R 3 years ago
Likely sooner. There are already semi trucks with AI learn cameras installed on them going around. Won't be shocked if it's sooner than a decade.
0 0 Reply
Steve W. 3 years ago
Bad news: Search for "This Year, Autonomous Trucks Will Take to the Road With No One on Board"
Autonomous trucks are here! Expect to find a new career as early as 2024.
0 0 Reply
Kevin 3 months ago
Here we are and nope no where to be found. Doctors and lawyers will have to find new jobs before truck drivers.
0 0 Reply

Hagyjon egy választ erről a foglalkozásról

Ez az oldal a reCAPTCHA és a Google Adatvédelmi Szabályzat valamint Szolgáltatási Feltételek védelme alatt áll.