Programátoři počítačů

Vysoké riziko
67%
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RIZIKO AUTOMATIZACE
VYPOČTENÝ
70%
(Vysoké riziko)
HLASOVÁNÍ
64%
(Vysoké riziko)
Average: 67%
POPTÁVKA PO PRACI
RŮST
-9,6 %
do roku 2033
MZDY
99 700 $
nebo 47,93 $ za hodinu
Objem
120 370
k datu 2023
SHRNUTÍ
SKÓRE PRÁCE
3,5/10

Lidé také zobrazili

Vypočítané riziko automatizace

70% (Vysoké riziko)

Vysoké riziko (61-80%): Práce v této kategorii čelí významné hrozbě z automatizace, protože mnoho jejich úkolů lze snadno automatizovat pomocí současných nebo blízkých budoucích technologií.

Další informace o tom, co tento skóre je a jak se vypočítává, jsou k dispozici zde.

Některé poměrně důležité vlastnosti práce jsou těžko automatizovatelné:

  • Sociální vnímavost

  • Originalita

Anketa uživatelů

64% šance na plnou automatizaci v následujících dvou desetiletích

Naši návštěvníci hlasovali, že je pravděpodobné, že tato profese bude automatizována. Toto hodnocení je dále podpořeno vypočítanou úrovní rizika automatizace, která odhaduje 70% šanci na automatizaci.

Jaký si myslíte, že je riziko automatizace?

Jaká je pravděpodobnost, že Programátoři počítačů bude během příštích 20 let nahrazen roboty nebo umělou inteligencí?






Nálada

Následující graf je zahrnut všude tam, kde je dostatečné množství hlasů pro vytvoření smysluplných dat. Tyto vizuální reprezentace zobrazují výsledky uživatelských anket v průběhu času a poskytují významný náznak trendů nálad.

Nálada v čase (čtvrtletně)

Nálada v průběhu času (ročně)

Růst

Velmi pomalý růst ve srovnání s ostatními profesemi.

Očekává se, že počet pracovních míst pro 'Computer Programmers' poklesne 9,6% do roku 2033

Celkové zaměstnanost a odhadované pracovní nabídky

* Údaje od Úřadu pro statistiku práce pro období mezi 2021 a 2031
Aktualizované projekce jsou splatné 09-2024.

Mzdy

Velmi vysoko placený ve srovnání s ostatními profesemi

V 2023 byla mediánová roční mzda pro 'Computer Programmers' 99 700 $, což je 47 $ za hodinu.

'Computer Programmers' byli placeni o 107,4% více než je národní mediánový plat, který činil 48 060 $

Mzdy v průběhu času

Data od Úřadu pro statistiku práce

Objem

Větší rozsah pracovních příležitostí ve srovnání s ostatními profesemi

K 2023 bylo v Spojených státech zaměstnáno 120 370 lidí na pozici 'Computer Programmers'.

Tohle představuje kolem 0,08% zaměstnané pracovní síly po celé zemi.

Jinými slovy, přibližně 1 z 1 tisíc lidí je zaměstnán jako 'Computer Programmers'.

Popis práce

Vytvářejte, upravujte a testujte kód a skripty, které umožňují běh počítačových aplikací. Pracujte na základě specifikací vytvořených softwareovými a webovými vývojáři nebo jinými jednotlivci. Můžete také vyvíjet a psát počítačové programy pro ukládání, vyhledávání a získávání konkrétních dokumentů, dat a informací.

SOC Code: 15-1251.00

Zdroje

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Pokud uvažujete o zahájení nové kariéry nebo hledáte změnu práce, vytvořili jsme užitečný nástroj pro hledání práce, který by vám mohl pomoci získat tu dokonalou novou roli.

Hledejte práci ve vaší místní oblasti

Komentáře

Leave a comment

J 15 days ago
Robots aint gonna code themselves, if we get to that point then that's Skynet/matrix. Aka end of the world for everyone so who cares
1 0 Reply
John pork (Žádná šance) 24 days ago
it is because AI and robots require programming and without programmers, they cannot function
0 0 Reply
Emy (Velmi pravděpodobné) 25 days ago
Even though programming can demand thinking sometimes, 70% of the work is repetitive or the same across different business. Not only that, but 80% of the time you are not solving any complex problem that demands creativity or deep thinking.
3 0 Reply
Jersey Jim 19 days ago
You can convert from one language to another with AI and a developer is not protected by knowing Java vs C#. This further erodes job protection. Recreating the wheel will drastically stop in programming and I'd imagine known problems will converge to one solution.
0 0 Reply
@irton (Žádná šance) 1 month ago
Why do they already develop this, and AI is not smart enough to do more? To complement, it is good.
1 2 Reply
Cessna (Nejistý) 2 months ago
Some AI can program or help a person program like chatgpt
1 0 Reply
Siddhant Tambe (Nejistý) 2 months ago
In order for AI to truly replace a Human computer programmer job, they will need to be "human" enough to handle the multiple complexities of building a whole ecosystem of a software product, along with defining clients who has accurately specify requirement.
For instance, I asked ChatGPT to write me a simple code that creates a "conversation" with OpenAI's APIs. It could not even do that accurately.
Current likelihood of replacing a computer programmer is laughable at best. Maybe over 20 years there might be "some" progress.
4 1 Reply
pleb 22 days ago
To be honest, it's quite scary that most people think this job will be entirely replaced. If AI ever fully becomes "human enough" (as you said! That's a brilliant way to put it) to take over every single Computer Programmer job... well, I don't think we have to worry about whether CS Majors will get employed.
0 0 Reply
Some Programmer (Nízký) 2 months ago
We need programmers to make AI, the programmers themselves propel AI ahead by making new ideas, AI cannot do that it is simply using the knowledge it has to gen a quick answer for the user based on training, however i do believe that there is a chance that AI will replace humans if its way of thinking becomes completely identical as to a human would think and if quantum computing gets invented.
3 0 Reply
half-full 22 days ago
a good example of this would be asking an ai to generate a wineglass thats full to the brim; it cant because all the pictures online are half-full, lmao
0 0 Reply
Arsh (Mírný) 2 months ago
Some concepts like orginaltity and thinking can not be replicated, but base code is in danger
1 0 Reply
Somone (Mírný) 3 months ago
This job could be revamped/transformed but i don't think AI will take over completely because AI isn't good at randomness and complex thinking/problem solving so i think AI will be a tool that will assist coders, engineers, etc not take over completely.
2 0 Reply
random idiot (Žádná šance) 3 months ago
Don't Computer programmers code AI...
2 4 Reply
Distragin (Nízký) 3 months ago
The amount of Ai copying from one another is insane if one Ai makes a mistake it could be devastating to other AI informational sources. This is why coding and programming are minimal risk, AI is most likely just gonna copy each other leading to inefficient mayhem!
1 1 Reply
Jersey Jim 19 days ago
These reasons have little bearing on the push for automation. Modern DevOps can push out fixes quickly. Companies don't really suffer much from downtime or security breaches. AI only has to be good enough with slight imperfections to kill jobs. Companies have already be proven willing to eat some losses from self-checkouts versus cashiers. It is cold math. The cost savings will far exceed the losses from downtime or government fines.
0 0 Reply
Guilherme (Nízký) 3 months ago
Because client's need change and language models can't pick up nuances 100% of the time there will always be a place for programers. But the kind of tasks they perform might change.
1 0 Reply
darkmewtwo (Nízký) 3 months ago
Ask an ai to simplify code. It will not work
2 2 Reply
Wes (Žádná šance) 4 months ago
You still need someone to understand every line of code the AI produces. Although AI is decent at programming now, I am certain that we will always need a human to write code to some degree.
6 1 Reply
` (Nejistý) 5 months ago
I think that while there is a high chance that AI will be used to automate the creation of basic code, AI will always make mistakes that have to be corrected by humans who know what they're doing, and I don't think AI will replace programmers in the next ~20 years because of the need for complex and intricate code used in projects such as game engines.
10 3 Reply
Guy (Velmi pravděpodobné) 5 months ago
Already starting, automation has begun being used for coding in many places.
6 4 Reply
Adrian 3 months ago
Agreed. AI will continue to grow, and it learns faster than any human could. The only type of software development postions I see staying is the creation of new languages. However, these jobs will be very few and require an insanely high level of education and years of experience. Heck, these jobs are offshored right now.
1 0 Reply
Luke 4 months ago
Often incorrect and needs fixing though, at least from my experience.
4 0 Reply
Caro (Nízký) 5 months ago
There will probably be many bugs (Like how Ai has trouble with fingers), so no matter what, the job will be necessary.
5 5 Reply
Aiden (Mírný) 5 months ago
bc like it might but prob not and like it will always be important to have human programmers because if ai ever become sentient and gain their own objectives, they will have all the power in the world if they're the only ones that know how to run our code and stuff like that so yea it would be dangerous to give that much power away to them
1 7 Reply
Mistral Claude 8 months ago
Here is the thing my dudes. As professional programer (30 years on the job, so of that thing even replaces out job, I will surely be retired already anyway) I tried chatgpt, copilot, Claude and even Mistral for coding. They are all pretty darn helpful to code on nephew level...you know, that terrible code we got from a 3rd party to maintain? Yeah. It goes great on that level. It's also great to do start level stuff that has been done 1000s of times. Try doing something new though, or some actual logic, and they fail, always. And never even realize they are failing. The reason is pretty simple. what we have (the llms) are not real AIs. When (if) we have a real AI, then, the moment a computer can replicate human level programming, is also the moment the computer can code another AI doesn't it? What would happen if it can code a AI better than itself?
20 4 Reply
Jose 6 months ago
Some of the best programmers in the world are working daily to help improve ChatGTP and other models. The capabilities are quickly increasing and given some time they will be better than most programmers. So yes some very good programmers will have a job, but most will not be needed. You wrote the comment 2 months ago, there is now a new model which you thought was not possible 2 months ago. What will happen in another 2 months, or 2 years?
9 6 Reply
DB 2 months ago
New model does not not mean better solution always
0 0 Reply
Ritchie Duncan (Velmi pravděpodobné) 8 months ago
AI suites such as ChatGPT etc have the ability to code functions in a variety of languages and for various platforms. A simple description of the function to be created, along with the system, such as Visual Studio, Unity etc allows the code to be copied and pasted into the code base.
Arguably within the next 10 years, programmers, in the form we know them now, will be obsolete.
5 5 Reply
Socks 8 months ago
Until AI programs can always fix everything in e.g. app that is being made as well as in themselves they will be just a tool for already competent programmer that has to understand most details anyway.
5 1 Reply

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