Přehled
1. Riziko automatizace
2. Uživatelská anketa
3. Růst
Mzdy
5. Objem
Popis
Zdroje
Komentáře

Programátoři počítačů

Vysoké riziko
69%
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Nebo prozkoumejte tuto profesi podrobněji...
RIZIKO AUTOMATIZACE
VYPOČTENÝ
70%
(Vysoké riziko)
HLASOVÁNÍ
68%
(Vysoké riziko)
Average: 69%
POPTÁVKA PO PRACI
RŮST
-9,6 %
do roku 2033
MZDY
99 700 $
nebo 47,93 $ za hodinu
Objem
120 370
k datu 2023
SHRNUTÍ
SKÓRE PRÁCE
3,5/10

Lidé také zobrazili

Právníci
Vývojáři webových stránek
Grafický designéři
Herci
Strojní inženýři

Vypočítané riziko automatizace

70% (Vysoké riziko)

Vysoké riziko (61-80%): Práce v této kategorii čelí významné hrozbě z automatizace, protože mnoho jejich úkolů lze snadno automatizovat pomocí současných nebo blízkých budoucích technologií.

Další informace o tom, co tento skóre je a jak se vypočítává, jsou k dispozici zde.

Některé poměrně důležité vlastnosti práce jsou těžko automatizovatelné:

  • Sociální vnímavost

  • Originalita

Anketa uživatelů

68% šance na plnou automatizaci v následujících dvou desetiletích

Naši návštěvníci hlasovali, že je pravděpodobné, že tato profese bude automatizována. Toto hodnocení je dále podpořeno vypočítanou úrovní rizika automatizace, která odhaduje 70% šanci na automatizaci.

Jaký si myslíte, že je riziko automatizace?

Jaká je pravděpodobnost, že Programátoři počítačů bude během příštích 20 let nahrazen roboty nebo umělou inteligencí?






Nálada

Následující graf je zahrnut všude tam, kde je dostatečné množství hlasů pro vytvoření smysluplných dat. Tyto vizuální reprezentace zobrazují výsledky uživatelských anket v průběhu času a poskytují významný náznak trendů nálad.

Nálada v čase (čtvrtletně)

Nálada v průběhu času (ročně)

Růst

Velmi pomalý růst ve srovnání s ostatními profesemi.

Očekává se, že počet pracovních míst pro 'Computer Programmers' poklesne 9,6% do roku 2033

Celkové zaměstnanost a odhadované pracovní nabídky

* Údaje od Úřadu pro statistiku práce pro období mezi 2023 a 2033
Aktualizované projekce jsou splatné 09-2025.

Mzdy

Velmi vysoko placený ve srovnání s ostatními profesemi

V 2023 byla mediánová roční mzda pro 'Computer Programmers' 99 700 $, což je 47 $ za hodinu.

'Computer Programmers' byli placeni o 107,4% více než je národní mediánový plat, který činil 48 060 $

Mzdy v průběhu času

Data od Úřadu pro statistiku práce

Objem

Větší rozsah pracovních příležitostí ve srovnání s ostatními profesemi

K 2023 bylo v Spojených státech zaměstnáno 120 370 lidí na pozici 'Computer Programmers'.

Tohle představuje kolem 0,08% zaměstnané pracovní síly po celé zemi.

Jinými slovy, přibližně 1 z 1 tisíc lidí je zaměstnán jako 'Computer Programmers'.

Popis práce

Vytvářejte, upravujte a testujte kód a skripty, které umožňují běh počítačových aplikací. Pracujte na základě specifikací vytvořených softwareovými a webovými vývojáři nebo jinými jednotlivci. Můžete také vyvíjet a psát počítačové programy pro ukládání, vyhledávání a získávání konkrétních dokumentů, dat a informací.

SOC Code: 15-1251.00

Komentáře

Leave a comment

Jacob (Nízký) 1 day ago
It will change a sofware engineer is still going to be required to check the code. You aren't going to want this to automated that's crazy.
0 0 Reply
Timothy (Mírný) 16 days ago
"For example, tasks or task components that appeal to capacities in which AI systems excel, will have to be less (or less fully) mastered by people, so that less training will probably be required. AI systems are already much better than people at logically and arithmetically correct gathering (selecting) and processing (weighing, prioritizing, analyzing, combining) large amounts of data. They do this quickly, accurately and reliably. They are also more stable (consistent) than humans, have no stress and emotions and have a great perseverance and a much better retention of knowledge and skills than people. As a machine, they serve people completely and without any “self-interest” or “own hidden agenda.”"
0 0 Reply
Michał (Velmi pravděpodobné) 26 days ago
Without knowing programming at this point you can easily write a good program with the help of AI. I completely agree that this work can be automated.
0 0 Reply
TAmzid2872 (Nejistý) 2 months ago
Programming isnt just about writing code, its about problem solving
1 0 Reply
Sven H. (Velmi pravděpodobné) 2 months ago
AI can already code extremely well; there will be no need for human programmers in the future.
1 0 Reply
Doubtful (Nízký) 2 months ago
AI is horrible at following instructions, and bad at understanding architecture. Also, as context grows it tends to forget instructions.
0 1 Reply
Jersey Jim 22 days ago
Model Context Protocol helps give AI better context. AI can work across many files now (way better IDE integration has happened in the past 6 months). The limits of AI have dwindled and will continue to dwindle as time goes on. Vibe coding is now a thing and AI can follow directions to build complete mvp's in under an hour.
0 0 Reply
Michael Bohn (Nejistý) 2 months ago
For the AI to work properly, you need people who know how to write the prompts and how to evaluate the written code.
3 2 Reply
Pavel 2 months ago
But if AI becomes as good as humans then why programmers would be ever needed if not those who work on AI itself? Maybe for some complex and big programms people would still be needed.
0 0 Reply
... 2 months ago
How does this relate to programmers? Programmers program not write prompts. Evaluation to code is already possible
0 0 Reply
J 3 months ago
Robots aint gonna code themselves, if we get to that point then that's Skynet/matrix. Aka end of the world for everyone so who cares
6 2 Reply
PossiblyUnemployed 1 month ago
My worry is if future code-generating models can modify itself or the programs it works on towards a specific goal, sort of like an intelligent self-modifying quine.
0 0 Reply
John pork (Žádná šance) 3 months ago
it is because AI and robots require programming and without programmers, they cannot function
0 2 Reply
PotentiallyJobless 1 month ago
It is true that programmers were necessary to create and train the models, but at this point what may be more necessary is just making sure the systems and hardware that keep the AI running don't malfunction. As it is, modern AI is finding ways to modify itself and its environment.
0 0 Reply
Emy (Velmi pravděpodobné) 3 months ago
Even though programming can demand thinking sometimes, 70% of the work is repetitive or the same across different business. Not only that, but 80% of the time you are not solving any complex problem that demands creativity or deep thinking.
6 2 Reply
Jersey Jim 3 months ago
You can convert from one language to another with AI and a developer is not protected by knowing Java vs C#. This further erodes job protection. Recreating the wheel will drastically stop in programming and I'd imagine known problems will converge to one solution.
0 3 Reply
rick 1 month ago
programming is problem resolution. there is not a single solution. lol.
0 0 Reply
@irton (Žádná šance) 4 months ago
Why do they already develop this, and AI is not smart enough to do more? To complement, it is good.
1 5 Reply
Cessna (Nejistý) 4 months ago
Some AI can program or help a person program like chatgpt
3 2 Reply
Siddhant Tambe (Nejistý) 4 months ago
In order for AI to truly replace a Human computer programmer job, they will need to be "human" enough to handle the multiple complexities of building a whole ecosystem of a software product, along with defining clients who has accurately specify requirement.
For instance, I asked ChatGPT to write me a simple code that creates a "conversation" with OpenAI's APIs. It could not even do that accurately.
Current likelihood of replacing a computer programmer is laughable at best. Maybe over 20 years there might be "some" progress.
8 3 Reply
pleb 3 months ago
To be honest, it's quite scary that most people think this job will be entirely replaced. If AI ever fully becomes "human enough" (as you said! That's a brilliant way to put it) to take over every single Computer Programmer job... well, I don't think we have to worry about whether CS Majors will get employed.
3 2 Reply
Some Programmer (Nízký) 5 months ago
We need programmers to make AI, the programmers themselves propel AI ahead by making new ideas, AI cannot do that it is simply using the knowledge it has to gen a quick answer for the user based on training, however i do believe that there is a chance that AI will replace humans if its way of thinking becomes completely identical as to a human would think and if quantum computing gets invented.
3 2 Reply
half-full 3 months ago
a good example of this would be asking an ai to generate a wineglass thats full to the brim; it cant because all the pictures online are half-full, lmao
1 2 Reply
Arsh (Mírný) 5 months ago
Some concepts like orginaltity and thinking can not be replicated, but base code is in danger
1 2 Reply
Somone (Mírný) 5 months ago
This job could be revamped/transformed but i don't think AI will take over completely because AI isn't good at randomness and complex thinking/problem solving so i think AI will be a tool that will assist coders, engineers, etc not take over completely.
2 2 Reply
random idiot (Žádná šance) 5 months ago
Don't Computer programmers code AI...
2 8 Reply
Jamal 2 months ago
I think they do honestly, wait nvm i think its chatgpt giving us our jobs
0 0 Reply
Distragin (Nízký) 5 months ago
The amount of Ai copying from one another is insane if one Ai makes a mistake it could be devastating to other AI informational sources. This is why coding and programming are minimal risk, AI is most likely just gonna copy each other leading to inefficient mayhem!
1 2 Reply
Jersey Jim 3 months ago
These reasons have little bearing on the push for automation. Modern DevOps can push out fixes quickly. Companies don't really suffer much from downtime or security breaches. AI only has to be good enough with slight imperfections to kill jobs. Companies have already be proven willing to eat some losses from self-checkouts versus cashiers. It is cold math. The cost savings will far exceed the losses from downtime or government fines.
0 2 Reply
Guilherme (Nízký) 5 months ago
Because client's need change and language models can't pick up nuances 100% of the time there will always be a place for programers. But the kind of tasks they perform might change.
1 2 Reply
darkmewtwo (Nízký) 6 months ago
Ask an ai to simplify code. It will not work
2 4 Reply

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