Technici a mechanici pro servis automobilů

Mírné riziko
43%

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RIZIKO AUTOMATIZACE
VYPOČTENÝ
58%
(Mírné riziko)
HLASOVÁNÍ
28%
(Nízké riziko, Na základě 574 hlasů)
Average: 43%
POPTÁVKA PO PRACI
RŮST
2,7%
do roku 2033
MZDY
47 770 $
nebo 22,96 $ za hodinu
Objem
676 570
k datu 2023
SHRNUTÍ
Co tato sněhová vločka ukazuje?
Sněhová vločka je vizuální shrnutí pěti odznaků: Riziko automatizace (vypočítané), Riziko (zjišťované), Růst, Mzdy a Objem. Poskytuje vám okamžitý přehled o profilu povolání. Barva Sněhové vločky souvisí s její velikostí. Čím lépe povolání skóruje ve vztahu k ostatním, tím větší a zelenější Sněhová vločka se stává.
SKÓRE PRÁCE
5,2/10
Co je to?
Hodnocení práce (vyšší je lepší):

Práce hodnotíme podle čtyř faktorů. Jsou to:

- Pravděpodobnost automatizace
- Růst pracovních míst
- Mzdy
- Počet dostupných pozic

To jsou některé klíčové věci, o kterých byste měli přemýšlet při hledání práce.

Lidé také zobrazili

Elektrikáři Programátoři počítačů Právníci Obchodní piloti Strojní inženýři

Vypočítané riziko automatizace

58% (Mírné riziko)

Střední riziko (41-60%): Profese se středním rizikem automatizace obvykle zahrnují rutinní úkoly, ale stále vyžadují určité lidské úsudky a interakci.

Další informace o tom, co tento skóre je a jak se vypočítává, jsou k dispozici zde.

Některé velmi důležité vlastnosti práce jsou obtížně automatizovatelné:

  • Těsný pracovní prostor, nepohodlné pozice

Některé poměrně důležité vlastnosti práce jsou těžko automatizovatelné:

  • Manuální zručnost

  • Obratnost prstů

  • Sociální vnímavost

Anketa uživatelů

28% šance na plnou automatizaci v následujících dvou desetiletích

Naši návštěvníci hlasovali, že je malá šance, že tato profese bude automatizována. Nicméně, úroveň rizika automatizace, kterou jsme vytvořili, naznačuje vyšší pravděpodobnost automatizace: 58% pravděpodobnost automatizace.

Jaký si myslíte, že je riziko automatizace?

Jaká je pravděpodobnost, že Technici a mechanici pro servis automobilů bude během příštích 20 let nahrazen roboty nebo umělou inteligencí?

Nálada

Následující graf je zobrazen tam, kde je dostatek hlasů k vytvoření smysluplných dat. Zobrazuje výsledky uživatelských anket v průběhu času a poskytuje jasný přehled o trendech nálad.

Nálada v průběhu času (ročně)

Růst

Pomalý růst ve srovnání s ostatními profesemi.

Počet pracovních míst pro 'Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics' se očekává, že se zvýší o 2,7% do roku 2033

Celkové zaměstnanost a odhadované pracovní nabídky

* Údaje od Úřadu pro statistiku práce pro období mezi 2023 a 2033
Aktualizované projekce jsou splatné 09-2025.

Mzdy

Nízko placený v porovnání s ostatními profesemi

V 2023 byla mediánová roční mzda pro 'Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics' 47 770 $, což je 23 $ za hodinu.

"Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics" byli placeni o 0,6% méně než národní mediánový plat, který činil 48 060 $

Mzdy v průběhu času

Data od Úřadu pro statistiku práce

Objem

Výrazně širší škála pracovních příležitostí ve srovnání s ostatními profesemi

K 2023 bylo v Spojených státech zaměstnáno 676 570 lidí na pozici 'Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics'.

Tohle představuje kolem 0,45% zaměstnané pracovní síly po celé zemi.

Jinými slovy, přibližně 1 z 224 lidí je zaměstnán jako 'Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics'.

Popis práce

Diagnostika, nastavení, opravy nebo generální opravy automobilových vozidel.

SOC Code: 49-3023.00

Komentáře (31)

Zanechte komentář
Joshua (Nízký)
10 lis 2024 13:27
Because vehicles are all different eachother and require a lot of human judgement and quick thought to process and diagnose faults and services
Not today (Žádná šance)
03 čvc 2024 11:55
Stripped bolts, damaged/worn parts, there is no way a computer can find a leak that only shows a small drip from the cooling system or remove a dash to replace a part.
Jim
01 čvc 2025 14:51
Tesla / electric cars (way less moving parts) need less repair (unless in an accident -> then the cars are basically trash -> buy a new one and don't repair). I agree mechanics can't be replaced, but DIY fixes with AI assistance and better engineered cars from AI likely will decrease demand for mechanics. Leading to either a smaller pool of mechanics (who'll make more money) or just reduced incomes across the whole field.
A.S
31 čvc 2025 17:16
Tesla is actually a good example why AI will struggle performing diagnostics. Teslas in house mechanics have plenty of work due to environmental factors. For example a rat pissed on a ground connection thats on a terminating module for a specific private network. The robot can’t communicate with that module same as the person cant. However the human can smell the presence of rats even if its not visible and use that input to realize what to start checking.
LeRoy (Žádná šance)
02 čvc 2024 00:23
The infinite probability of small and insignificant things that can go wrong to set EVEN ONE DTC off cannot be computed by a machine, tested by a machine (if the fault Is in the wiring harness, or other wiring diagram), or fixed by a machine without that EXACT issue being programmed for IF it is even programmed for, and had the ability to fix said issue. Mechanics and technicians like myself are a dying breed.
Scott (Žádná šance)
04 kvě 2023 02:45
I've been an auto technician for about 37 years now. When I started working on cars computers didn't exist in cars yet. Now some cars have upwards of 15 computers that do everything from working a convertible top to driving a vehicle autonomously. That's a big leap in 37 years but I just don't think that robots could replace the parts we replace or diagnose a problem that humans can. I just don't think its possible. Not now. Not in 50 years. Yes cars will become smarter and have more computers but I still think there will always be a need for a human mechanic to work on them.

Also in my opinion cars haven't gotten any better than they were in the 70s or 80s just different problems and different ways to diagnose and repair them. I've forgotten more than a lot of guys in their 30s and even 40s have learned. I think I was blessed to have become a Mechanic when I did. I've seen and learned a lot more in 37 years than I think most techs will learn in the next 35 or 40 years. I became a mechanic in a time when computers didn't exist in cars I remember how may shops went out of business when Antilock brakes came out.

I'm a multiple times A.S.E. Master Technician. Still learning today still wrenching and I will to the end. I actually enjoyed it more 25 or 30 years ago but I love some of the challenges techs face today. I'm always waiting for that problem no one can figure out and I figure it out.

All the Techs my age know exactly what I'm saying we've all been there and been that guy to fix it. I doubt any robot could do all the things we have to do. It just doesn't seem possible.
A.S (Nízký)
31 čvc 2025 17:12
Illogical diagnostics from non specific failures thats are undocumented. Micro dexterity in extremely cramped areas ie repairing a single wire on the back side of a harness under a dash.
Klaus (Nízký)
11 srp 2025 00:14
many parts are just to difficult to reach, building a robot for all of that would require investments that are probably higher than lifespan ammortization
Scott (Nízký)
03 čvc 2025 18:48
Manual dexterity
Difficult access to components
Mestica
22 kvě 2023 22:29
There are simply too many variables, people interactions, and different levels of abuse and care that each vehicle receives.
Alec (Nízký)
14 dub 2023 14:48
As cars get more advanced it will be harder to work on them and at the rate technology is progressing it seems unlikely that 20 years from now computers will be doing all the work on cars, humans are a lot more likely to be needed but will have technological aid
Siprico (Velmi pravděpodobné)
28 bře 2023 17:52
Corporations will always look for the most cost effective way to increase the bottom line, corporations are not concerned with humanity or culture unless it makes them money.
Alex
30 srp 2021 00:03
Not robots but 'electric cars will reduce maintenance by 90 per cent' - Sandy Munro
Troy (Žádná šance)
14 kvě 2021 12:09
They won't be able to diagnose little problems.
Maybe 50 years. (Žádná šance)
05 kvě 2020 11:05
Unless we get self thinking robots that can mimic and access repair books and find problems very unlikely. They would need arms for one.
jim beam (Nízký)
12 lis 2019 13:17
Its WAYYYYYYY more complicated then you think
aaa
30 bře 2019 23:05
Eventually yes, but just don't see it happening in the next 20 years.
jason
01 říj 2019 15:40
right there with u brother F**k robots
Timmy Martin (Žádná šance)
27 říj 2023 14:50
The pathway to automating the role of a technician I see would first require modular vehicle construction. Once vehicles have easily replaced and accessible modules i.e. a "front right drive motor assembly". an automated system could isolate the concern to a general module and with the removal of a handful of accessible fasteners could remove the whole module and replace it. With one large fastener at the top of the strut tower two large fasteners on the lower control arm and one large electrical connector, the entire module is swapped and sent for rebuild.
John
14 úno 2022 04:51
For maintenance, sure, but not every car is exactly the same. This would be one of the last to go. Anyone with a computer job or repetitive task will go first. Look at nursing, they said like 1.5%, and this is 55%... what? You check the temperature of a patient, then play on Facebook and complain about work for 3 hours. Lol. Definitely going to replace most of the basic ones.
Nicholas D'Amico (Nízký)
06 led 2022 19:21
Assembly and manufacturing will be automated. Minor service jobs, like fluid changes, will undoubtedly be automated away.

However, troubleshooting and repairing vehicles with problems that aren't related to recurring service will not be automated away.

With this in mind, I think that the market for mechanics will actually increase due to the automation of vehicles on the road. More vehicles mean more mechanics - more jiffy lube robot techs and more certified mechanics in the future.
Dean (Žádná šance)
27 kvě 2021 03:19
There simply is to many variables/people interactions that have to happen/every vehicle is different in the amount of abuse and care towards that vehicle
Jarno
09 led 2021 11:08
Totally agree with the comments here. You’d need a super AI just to recognize the wear and/or damage. Then it also needs to think of a way to actually do it... and then you’d need a super-robot to be actually able to do the very diverse physical stuff. (Arms? Tools?) It wouldn’t be cost effective to design and build such a robot anytime soon. This job is super under-appreciated in my opinion.
Siprico
28 bře 2023 18:02
What is "super" AI? Seeing as every point I've read so far only takes into account the current(2023) state of the industry with out implementing the advances in the industry that would naturally happen with the passing of time. Once You apply this logical progression of the industry you must also take into account that advancements in the computer/robotics world are much more impactful and happen at an increasingly increased rate. "Robots will never be able to build a car." This used to be the motto; but as we all know that industry was quickly taken over by automation, and tech has only gotten exponentially more advanced since that time.

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