كتّاب ومؤلفون

خطر الأتمتة
محسوب
49%
مستوى المخاطرة
التصويت
37%
بناءً على 1,225 صوت
طلب العمل
النمو
4.1%
بحلول العام 2032
أجور
73,150 $
أو 35.17 $ في الساعة
الحجم
54,010
اعتبارا من 2022
ملخص
نقاط الوظيفة
5.3/10

هل تريد هذا الملخص على موقعك؟ الرمز المضمن:

خطر الأتمتة

49% (مخاطر معتدلة)

مخاطر متوسطة (41-60%): المهن التي تتضمن مخاطر متوسطة للأتمتة تتضمن عادة المهام الروتينية ولكنها ما زالت تتطلب بعض الحكم البشري والتفاعل.

مزيد من المعلومات حول ما هذه النتيجة، وكيف يتم حسابها متوفرة هنا.

بعض الصفات المهمة جداً للوظيفة صعبة التحويل إلى أتمتة:

  • الأصالة

  • إقناع

  • الإدراك الاجتماعي

Impact of Chat GPT on this occupation

We've received many comments and emails about Chat GPT and it's impact on this occupation. It's very impressive software, so people are understandably worried and/or excited.

However, something important to note with regards to the score we've calculated here, is that this occupation is comprised of many different types of job roles. Some examples of these include Advertising Writer, Blurb Writer, Copywriter and Screenwriter.

Some roles/tasks are more susceptible than other's to being automated by Chat GPT, but the score we've calculated is one that's an amalgamation of all of them.

Unfortunately, the source for our data (o*net) doesn't split this category up to the individual roles, so we can't calculate a score for each of them. If they do at some point in the future, we'll do the same, and generate scores accordingly.

Writing occupations aren't dead, but they are changing, so the best advice we can offer is to keep up to date with the latest developments, and use the tools available to your advantage.

استطلاع رأي المستخدمين

فرصة 37% للأتمتة الكاملة خلال العقدين القادمين

أصوات زوارنا تشير إلى أن هناك فرصة ضئيلة لأن يتم تحويل هذا المهنة إلى الأتمتة. يدعم هذا التقييم أيضًا بواسطة مستوى خطر الأتمتة المحسوب، الذي يقدر بـ 49% فرصة للأتمتة.

ما هو رأيك في مخاطر الأتمتة؟

ما هي احتمالية أن يتم استبدال كتّاب ومؤلفون بالروبوتات أو الذكاء الاصطناعي في غضون العشرين سنة المقبلة؟






المشاعر

يتم تضمين الرسم البياني (الرسوم البيانية) التالي في أي مكان يوجد فيه عدد كبير من الأصوات لتقديم بيانات ذات مغزى. تعرض هذه التمثيلات المرئية نتائج استطلاعات الرأي للمستخدمين على مر الزمن، مما يوفر دليلاً هاماً على اتجاهات الشعور.

المشاعر على مر الزمن (ربع سنوي)

المشاعر على مر الزمن (سنوياً)

النمو

نمو معتدل بالنسبة للمهن الأخرى

من المتوقع أن يزداد 4.1% عدد فرص العمل المتاحة لـ 'Writers and Authors' بحلول 2032

التوظيف الكلي، وفتحات الوظائف المقدرة

* بيانات من مكتب إحصاءات العمل للفترة ما بين 2021 و 2031
من المتوقع تحديث التوقعات في 09-2023.

أجور

ذو أجر عالي بالمقارنة مع المهن الأخرى

في 2022، بلغ الأجر السنوي الوسيط لـ 'Writers and Authors' 73,150 $، أو 35 $ في الساعة

تم دفع "Writers and Authors" بمقدار 58.0% أعلى من الأجر الوسيط الوطني، الذي بلغ 46,310 $

الأجور على مر الزمن

* بيانات من مكتب إحصاءات العمل

الحجم

مجموعة متوسطة من فرص العمل مقارنة بالمهن الأخرى

بحلول 2022 كان هناك 54,010 شخص يعملون كـ 'Writers and Authors' داخل الولايات المتحدة.

هذا يمثل حوالي < 0.001% من القوى العاملة الموظفة في جميع أنحاء البلاد

بتعبير آخر، حوالي 1 من كل 2 ألف أشخاص يعملون كـ 'Writers and Authors'.

وصف الوظيفة

صياغة وتجهيز المواد المكتوبة، مثل السيناريوهات، القصص، الإعلانات، وغيرها من المواد.

SOC Code: 27-3043.00

موارد

Will Chat GPT spell the end of blogging?

Here's a very informative video from Ricky Kesler from Income School about Chat GPT as it relates to blogging (and SEO). We think it contains great advice, and can be applied to all sorts of writing job roles, not just bloggers.

إذا كنت تفكر في بدء مهنة جديدة، أو تبحث عن تغيير وظائفك، فقد قمنا بإنشاء أداة بحث عملية قد تساعدك في الحصول على الدور الجديد المثالي.

ابحث عن وظائف في منطقتك المحلية

تعليقات

اترك تعليق

يقول Dom (منخفض)
Creativity, novelty, capturing the social, invention.
Apr 29, 2024 at 05:53 م
يقول Rebecca (منخفض)
Because robots tend to be predictable and writers need imagination and I don't see robots having that
Apr 22, 2024 at 04:20 م
يقول Philip Whittebane (من المحتمل جدا)
At least many blurb and screenwriting jobs could be automated. Although there would still be the requirement for some level of creativity
Apr 19, 2024 at 10:07 م
يقول Tomoko Julius (لا فرصة)
i doubt that any time soon the originality of the human touch will fade away with the coming in of AI. It simply cannot. PERIOD!!!
Apr 11, 2024 at 09:29 ص
يقول Mike (من المحتمل جدا)
Highly only because ChatGPT is used for writing, and it can be used in story making
Apr 09, 2024 at 08:13 ص
يقول copper (لا فرصة)
the robots simply lack the creativity of a good author like J.K.Rowling or Suzanne Collins.
Mar 21, 2024 at 10:49 م
يقول Penguin (لا فرصة)
Robots cannot have experiences. They just spit out a cacophony of random words with no care as to a message or logic or ethics.
Mar 15, 2024 at 01:21 ص
يقول M (منخفض)
In the United States, creative material developed by AI cannot be trademarked and therefore unprofitable.
Jan 18, 2024 at 04:55 ص
يقول Dakshay (معتدل)
If AI keeps improving, certainly studios will start using AI generated scripts to make movies/tv shows/ books. They will be garbage generic stuff in the beginning but at one point AI will certainly be able to write as well as a human. So writers working for studios will be in danger. But I think big established authors like Brandon Sanderson, have planned projects for decades later. And people will still buy their books because they love the stories. I think if you can cultivate a community of dedicated fans, you can definitely make a killing (or at least a livable income.)
Personally, I would hate to see the art of storytelling to be turned over to machines.
Jan 07, 2024 at 09:23 ص
يقول Tom P (منخفض)
The creativity of a human cannot be replicated by robots, at least for many decades. It is so complex that we don't even understand it. However, I believe robots could potentially take over short-form content without many underlying creative choices.
Sep 01, 2023 at 05:17 ص
يقول d (لا فرصة)
If you believe that people engage with writers purely because it's "content", I must inform you that this job would have already been eliminated a long, long time ago simply by SEO.

ChatGPT is not going to write things that people care about. This isn't because chatgpt is a bad writer - it's because people primarily consume written content because of the person behind it. Since the dawn of the internet, and even before, there have been an infinite number of takes, a vast supply of content. Yet, somehow, people still pay for newspapers, and substacks, and books, and all sorts of things that are seemingly available for free with just a Google search. It's because of the particulars of that person's perspective, not just "story good" or "take good."

There are already far more failed writers than successful ones, and far more failed "in the style of" works than actual successful works. What AI will do is simply raise the stakes for what it takes to be a successful writer or author, since it establishes a baseline commodity. However, that baseline is already very, very high.
Aug 23, 2023 at 08:13 ص
يقول maushri deb (لا فرصة)
Being a writer human touch is very important.
Aug 08, 2023 at 06:22 م
يقول Monty O’Brien (لا فرصة)
Good novels are novel.
May 08, 2023 at 09:09 م
يقول yokoso (من المحتمل جدا)
it's already done for web writing, copywriting with chat gtp, bard and many other. AI can generate more and more accurate and imaginative stories, facts and a style of writing proper to an author. it's possible to train AI to seems more and more human without inconsistencies in the stories.
it's not gonna replace real writers yet but it is coming like winter.
Mar 06, 2023 at 09:25 ص
يقول Jay. (من المحتمل جدا)
AI wil only get better here on out. With the push a button or voice command it will generate content that is not only factual but fitting in style and emotions for the target audience. Humans will merely check over the work. But the brunt of the work will be produced by AI.
Feb 20, 2023 at 05:12 ص
يقول Blue Balled Media (معتدل)
ChatGPT and services like it are rising, I don't think writers will be completely replaced by automation. It depends on the type of writing, I think the Human element will still be vital for storytelling, and wisdom.
Humans are still the best storytellers.
Jan 25, 2023 at 04:45 م
يقول Andrei (من المحتمل جدا)
Chatgpt is better than most authours on the planet right now.
Jan 20, 2023 at 09:01 م
يقول Writer (معتدل)
It's difficult to say. As an author myself I deeply hope that human writers continue to flourish. It is clear that through AI the number of stories on the market will rise. The market will become saturated with average stories and the need to differentiate ourselves through our writing quality and our human brand will become ever more important.

Personally I went into this field because I absolutely thought I could write better than the average book, and that the "cream will rise to the top". I still believe this is true.

Where I get worried is if AI can learn to write fiction really well. Can an AI in 10 years learn beyond what it is taught (fed average books) and create amazing stories? That's what really scares me.

Will people want to read a story written by an AI or will people want to read stories written by humans? There's an element of detachment when reading AI writing and the uncanny valley effect might take hold when we read an AI trying to present human emotions through character. We will know - whoever put those words down did not understand them and they will have less meaning. Or will they? If they make sense they make sense. If it has emotional impact it has emotional impact - even if that was replicated through pulp learning and mastered through engagement scores.

Scary times to be a writer - to have any job. But this was always my dream and so I know deep down there's no chance I'll give up on it. Even if I can only build two thousand loyal readers, that is enough to make a living, and I'll do that through being very very human and marketing myself face first.
Jan 16, 2023 at 05:13 ص
يقول Lola (Likely) (معتدل)
Chat bots are getting crafty. Obviously they can’t replicate an original human’s true emotional journey, but for most things, such as instructional packets, robots may be preferred since they’re cheaper, less prone to mistakes, and won’t quit suddenly.
Jan 05, 2023 at 01:37 ص
يقول Nil (من المحتمل جدا)
Copy.ai website already writes blog posts in seconds. This field is already lost.
Dec 12, 2022 at 12:58 م
يقول Ariel
Not really I believe authors are still out there writing for us.
Aug 08, 2023 at 01:01 ص

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