كتّاب ومؤلفون

مخاطر معتدلة
54٪؜
إلى أين ترغب في الذهاب بعد ذلك؟
شارك نتائجك مع الأصدقاء والعائلة.
أو، استكشف هذه المهنة بمزيد من التفصيل...
خطر الأتمتة
محسوب
60٪؜
(مخاطرة عالية)
التصويت
47٪؜
(مخاطر معتدلة)
Average: 54٪؜
طلب العمل
النمو
5٫1٪؜
بحلول العام 2033
أجور
73٬690 $
أو 35٫42 $ في الساعة
الحجم
49٬450
اعتبارا من 2023
ملخص
نقاط الوظيفة
4٫9/10

الأشخاص قاموا أيضاً بالمشاهدة

مخاطر الأتمتة المحسوبة

60٪؜ (مخاطرة عالية)

مخاطرة عالية (61-80%): الوظائف في هذه الفئة تواجه تهديدًا كبيرًا من التحول الى الأتمتة، حيث يمكن أتمتة العديد من مهامها بسهولة باستخدام التكنولوجيا الحالية أو التكنولوجيا المستقبلية القريبة.

مزيد من المعلومات حول ما هذه النتيجة، وكيف يتم حسابها متوفرة هنا.

بعض الصفات المهمة جداً للوظيفة صعبة التحويل إلى أتمتة:

  • الأصالة

  • إقناع

  • الإدراك الاجتماعي

Impact of Chat GPT on this occupation

We've received many comments and emails about Chat GPT and it's impact on this occupation. It's very impressive software, so people are understandably worried and/or excited.

However, something important to note with regards to the score we've calculated here, is that this occupation is comprised of many different types of job roles. Some examples of these include Advertising Writer, Blurb Writer, Copywriter and Screenwriter.

Some roles/tasks are more susceptible than other's to being automated by Chat GPT, but the score we've calculated is one that's an amalgamation of all of them.

Unfortunately, the source for our data (o*net) doesn't split this category up to the individual roles, so we can't calculate a score for each of them. If they do at some point in the future, we'll do the same, and generate scores accordingly.

Writing occupations aren't dead, but they are changing, so the best advice we can offer is to keep up to date with the latest developments, and use the tools available to your advantage.

استطلاع رأي المستخدمين

فرصة 47٪؜ للأتمتة الكاملة خلال العقدين القادمين

صوت زوارنا بأنهم غير متأكدين إذا كان سيتم أتمتة هذه المهنة. ومع ذلك، يشير مستوى خطر الأتمتة الذي أنشأناه إلى فرصة أعلى بكثير للأتمتة: 60٪؜ فرصة للأتمتة.

ما هو رأيك في مخاطر الأتمتة؟

ما هي احتمالية أن يتم استبدال كتّاب ومؤلفون بالروبوتات أو الذكاء الاصطناعي في غضون العشرين سنة المقبلة؟






المشاعر

يتم تضمين الرسم البياني التالي في أي مكان يوجد فيه عدد كبير من الأصوات لتقديم بيانات ذات مغزى. تعرض هذه التمثيلات المرئية نتائج استطلاعات المستخدمين على مر الزمن، مما يوفر دلالة مهمة على اتجاهات المشاعر.

المشاعر على مر الزمن (ربع سنوي)

المشاعر على مر الزمن (سنوياً)

النمو

نمو معتدل بالنسبة للمهن الأخرى

من المتوقع أن يزداد 5٫1٪؜ عدد فرص العمل المتاحة لـ 'Writers and Authors' بحلول 2033

التوظيف الكلي، وفتحات الوظائف المقدرة

* بيانات من مكتب إحصاءات العمل للفترة ما بين 2021 و 2031
من المتوقع تحديث التوقعات في 09-2024.

أجور

ذو أجر عالي بالمقارنة مع المهن الأخرى

في 2023، بلغ الأجر السنوي الوسيط لـ 'Writers and Authors' 73٬690 $، أو 35 $ في الساعة

تم دفع "Writers and Authors" بمقدار 53٫3٪؜ أعلى من الأجر الوسيط الوطني، الذي بلغ 48٬060 $

الأجور على مر الزمن

* بيانات من مكتب إحصاءات العمل

الحجم

مجموعة متوسطة من فرص العمل مقارنة بالمهن الأخرى

بحلول 2023 كان هناك 49٬450 شخص يعملون كـ 'Writers and Authors' داخل الولايات المتحدة.

هذا يمثل حوالي < 0٫001٪؜ من القوى العاملة الموظفة في جميع أنحاء البلاد

بتعبير آخر، حوالي 1 من كل 3 ألف أشخاص يعملون كـ 'Writers and Authors'.

وصف الوظيفة

صياغة وتجهيز المواد المكتوبة، مثل السيناريوهات، القصص، الإعلانات، وغيرها من المواد.

SOC Code: 27-3043.00

موارد

Will Chat GPT spell the end of blogging?

Here's a very informative video from Ricky Kesler from Income School about Chat GPT as it relates to blogging (and SEO). We think it contains great advice, and can be applied to all sorts of writing job roles, not just bloggers.

إذا كنت تفكر في بدء مهنة جديدة، أو تبحث عن تغيير وظائفك، فقد قمنا بإنشاء أداة بحث عملية قد تساعدك في الحصول على الدور الجديد المثالي.

ابحث عن وظائف في منطقتك المحلية

تعليقات

Leave a comment

Hope (منخفض) 8 days ago
GPT and other AI generators may be able to write stories, but they don't come anywhere near human-written stories. Whenever asked to write a story, they always write it in a certain form, with similar plots. Nothing new or exciting. Plus, all humans think differently, so it would be impossible to model and AI that can think like every human. As a young author, I try to write stories outside the box that would be difficult for an AI to try replicating.
0 0 Reply
Sophie (غير مؤكد) 2 months ago
LLM or Large Language Models like ChatGPT only outputs the material humans write. It also has no creativity, all outputs are based on our interactions, prompts and the existing data. Who creates that data? We do. We write our hearts, emotions out on a piece of writing, causing it to influence people, and we shape the way a person's bias works. What GPT outputs is something emotionless and cannot sway people. How much times have you been through sorrow from reading a book? How much times have you felt sorrow from a piece of text? Probably none.
0 2 Reply
Laurel 3 months ago
I'm an author, and I just thought I'd share my take on this. While it's true that AI can't replicate human emotions and experiences, it has proven to be capable of writing average stories. Too many people consume media without a critical eye. As long as people as a whole start to care more about quality media, we should be fine.
0 0 Reply
Adria Donohue (منخفض) 3 months ago
Because at the current moment AI does not have to opacity to write a full length story without it being very repetitive and forgetting itself, and will only get worse as time goes on. Furthermore, an AI lacks the very human and unique emotion that a person can write into the story. I have tampered with the world of Artificial Intelligence before, and all the characters it portrays seem to be the same personality, like they've been copy and pasted. This is a problem AI struggles with that even humans suffer with, but humans are more able to fix this fatal error that can ruin a story.
0 0 Reply
Ele (Low) 4 months ago
As a writer myself, AI doesn't scare me because it lacks what writing and stories originally entail: experience. You can have a fantasy dystopia story written by ChatGPT, but it can never hold up to the bar human-made fantasy dystopian stories have set. Why? These stories contain human experiences, they contain a message that authors wish to convey, experiences authors wish to convey. It's the humanity that stories hold that make them loved by people. Any text-based AI can write a story, but will it ever hold the same impact to a story an actual person wrote? No, because AI hasn't experienced anything actual people have experienced. It only "sees" what people witness and puts it into its generation without second thought. The reason people consume stories is because they can relate to it, they learn something from it. I know AI helps breakdown and teach things we can't understand by piecing together information from the internet faster than we can, but for it to write a story? Fat chance. Writing is more than just fast money content (that, sadly, already is in today's times) it is a form of art that records experiences and messages that cannot be conveyed with straightforwardness. It is something that holds bits and pieces of humanity, of someone's memories, of messages that are so big that it can never fit in a simple sentence. No matter how many years it will take, AI can never catch up with how high the bar has been set when it comes to writing.
2 0 Reply
try (غير مؤكد) 4 months ago
the originality of writing would be the most difficult to program a bot to do.
0 0 Reply
Ray (منخفض) 4 months ago
Robots will never be able to copy real writers' creativity, although they could help you write a short essay for school, AI cannot do original and creative writing.
2 0 Reply
Human # 7,522,997,653 (منخفض) 4 months ago
I don't really think AI will take over writing. In my eyes, AI will never capture the thrilling, magical, real experience that humans can create.

Although they have a chance, AI can never reach the same level of imagination that we humans have when it comes to stories and fiction.

Though I have very little hope for humanity in the future, I still believe humans can change for the better.
3 0 Reply
R H DARNELL (منخفض) 5 months ago
Real writing uses creativity. AI is not creative, AI can only use what you input. It can rhyme, and write grammatically correct sentences, but it cannot convey emotion or elicit a response on a human level. I believe it could write a "good" outline, but not a good screenplay, much less a great book.
2 0 Reply
Pasi (لا فرصة) 5 months ago
It depends on the author, but currently the AI simply can not write a good book.
1 0 Reply
Chris Ochs (معتدل) 7 months ago
News and nonfiction are high. Fantasy, sci-fi, horror novels far less so.
2 0 Reply
Dom (منخفض) 7 months ago
Creativity, novelty, capturing the social, invention.
2 0 Reply
Rebecca (منخفض) 7 months ago
Because robots tend to be predictable and writers need imagination and I don't see robots having that
2 0 Reply
Philip Whittebane (من المحتمل جدا) 7 months ago
At least many blurb and screenwriting jobs could be automated. Although there would still be the requirement for some level of creativity
2 0 Reply
Tomoko Julius (لا فرصة) 7 months ago
i doubt that any time soon the originality of the human touch will fade away with the coming in of AI. It simply cannot. PERIOD!!!
0 0 Reply
Mike (من المحتمل جدا) 8 months ago
Highly only because ChatGPT is used for writing, and it can be used in story making
0 0 Reply
copper (لا فرصة) 8 months ago
the robots simply lack the creativity of a good author like J.K.Rowling or Suzanne Collins.
0 0 Reply
Penguin (لا فرصة) 8 months ago
Robots cannot have experiences. They just spit out a cacophony of random words with no care as to a message or logic or ethics.
0 0 Reply
M (منخفض) 10 months ago
In the United States, creative material developed by AI cannot be trademarked and therefore unprofitable.
0 0 Reply
David 5 months ago
To be fair, it's difficult to tell whether or not a text was written by AI, especially if the person who generated the prompt refactored the text.
0 0 Reply
Dakshay (معتدل) 11 months ago
If AI keeps improving, certainly studios will start using AI generated scripts to make movies/tv shows/ books. They will be garbage generic stuff in the beginning but at one point AI will certainly be able to write as well as a human. So writers working for studios will be in danger. But I think big established authors like Brandon Sanderson, have planned projects for decades later. And people will still buy their books because they love the stories. I think if you can cultivate a community of dedicated fans, you can definitely make a killing (or at least a livable income.)
Personally, I would hate to see the art of storytelling to be turned over to machines.
0 0 Reply

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