סופרים ומחברים

סיכון בינוני
54%
לאן תרצה ללכת עכשיו?
שתף את התוצאות שלך עם חברים ובני משפחה.
או, חקור מקצוע זה בפירוט רב יותר...
סיכון אוטומציה
מחושב
60%
(סיכון גבוה)
מִדְגֵּם
47%
(סיכון בינוני)
Average: 54%
ביקוש עבודה
צמיחה
5.1%
עד השנה 2033
שכר
73,690 $
או 35.42 $ לשעה
נפח
49,450
נכון ל- 2023
סיכום
ניקוד משרה
4.9/10

אנשים צפו גם

סיכון אוטומציה מחושב

60% (סיכון גבוה)

סיכון גבוה (61-80%): משרות בקטגוריה זו נמצאות תחת איום משמעותי מאוטומציה, שכן רבים מהמשימות שלהם ניתנות לאוטומציה קלה באמצעות טכנולוגיות נוכחיות או קרובות לעתיד.

מידע נוסף על מהו הניקוד הזה, ואיך מחשבים אותו זמין כאן.

חלק מהתכונות החשובות מאוד של העבודה קשות לאוטומציה:

  • ייחודיות

  • שכנוע

  • תפיסה חברתית

Impact of Chat GPT on this occupation

We've received many comments and emails about Chat GPT and it's impact on this occupation. It's very impressive software, so people are understandably worried and/or excited.

However, something important to note with regards to the score we've calculated here, is that this occupation is comprised of many different types of job roles. Some examples of these include Advertising Writer, Blurb Writer, Copywriter and Screenwriter.

Some roles/tasks are more susceptible than other's to being automated by Chat GPT, but the score we've calculated is one that's an amalgamation of all of them.

Unfortunately, the source for our data (o*net) doesn't split this category up to the individual roles, so we can't calculate a score for each of them. If they do at some point in the future, we'll do the same, and generate scores accordingly.

Writing occupations aren't dead, but they are changing, so the best advice we can offer is to keep up to date with the latest developments, and use the tools available to your advantage.

סקר משתמשים

יש 47% אחוזי סיכוי לאוטומציה מלאה במהלך השניים העשורים הבאים

המבקרים שלנו הצביעו שהם לא בטוחים אם מקצוע זה ימוטב.
אך, רמת הסיכון של אוטומציה שיצרנו מציינת סיכוי הרבה גבוה יותר לאוטומציה: 60% סיכוי לאוטומציה.

מה לדעתך הסיכון של אוטומציה?

מה הסיכוי שסופרים ומחברים יוחלף על ידי רובוטים או אינטיליגנציה מלאכותית במהלך ה-20 השנים הבאות?






רגש

הגרף הבא כלול בכל מקום שבו יש כמות משמעותית של הצבעות כדי להציג נתונים משמעותיים. ייצוגים חזותיים אלה מציגים את תוצאות הסקרים של המשתמשים לאורך זמן, ומספקים אינדיקציה משמעותית למגמות הרגש.

רגשות לאורך זמן (רבעוני)

רגשות לאורך זמן (שנתי)

צמיחה

צמיחה מתונה לעומת מקצועות אחרים

מספר המשרות הפנויות בתחום 'Writers and Authors' צפוי לעלות 5.1% עד 2033

תעסוקה כוללת, ומשרות פנויות משוערות

* נתונים מלשכת הסטטיסטיקה לעבודה לתקופה בין 2021 ל-2031
עדכונים לתחזיות משוערות צפויים להתבצע 09-2024.

שכר

משולם היטב ביחס למקצועות אחרים

ב-2023, השכר השנתי החציוני עבור 'Writers and Authors' היה 73,690 $, או 35 $ לשעה

'Writers and Authors' קיבלו שכר שהיה גבוה 53.3% מאשר השכר החציוני הלאומי, שעמד על 48,060 $

שכר לאורך זמן

* נתונים מלשכת הסטטיסטיקה של העבודה

נפח

טווח בינוני של הזדמנויות עבודה בהשוואה למקצועות אחרים

נכון ל-2023 היו 49,450 אנשים שעסקו כ'Writers and Authors' בארצות הברית.

זה מייצג בערך < 0.001% מהכוח העובד ברחבי המדינה

במילים אחרות, כאחד מ-3 אלף אנשים מועסקים כ'Writers and Authors'.

תיאור המשרה

יצירה והכנה של חומרים מוכתבים, כמו תסריטים, סיפורים, פרסומות וחומרים אחרים.

SOC Code: 27-3043.00

משאבים

Will Chat GPT spell the end of blogging?

Here's a very informative video from Ricky Kesler from Income School about Chat GPT as it relates to blogging (and SEO). We think it contains great advice, and can be applied to all sorts of writing job roles, not just bloggers.

אם אתה חושב להתחיל קריירה חדשה, או מחפש לשנות משרות, יצרנו כלי חיפוש עבודה נוח שיכול לעזור לך למצוא את התפקיד החדש המושלם.

חפש משרות באזור המקומי שלך

תגובות

Leave a comment

Hope (נמוך) 8 days ago
GPT and other AI generators may be able to write stories, but they don't come anywhere near human-written stories. Whenever asked to write a story, they always write it in a certain form, with similar plots. Nothing new or exciting. Plus, all humans think differently, so it would be impossible to model and AI that can think like every human. As a young author, I try to write stories outside the box that would be difficult for an AI to try replicating.
0 0 Reply
Sophie (בלתי ברור) 2 months ago
LLM or Large Language Models like ChatGPT only outputs the material humans write. It also has no creativity, all outputs are based on our interactions, prompts and the existing data. Who creates that data? We do. We write our hearts, emotions out on a piece of writing, causing it to influence people, and we shape the way a person's bias works. What GPT outputs is something emotionless and cannot sway people. How much times have you been through sorrow from reading a book? How much times have you felt sorrow from a piece of text? Probably none.
0 2 Reply
Laurel 3 months ago
I'm an author, and I just thought I'd share my take on this. While it's true that AI can't replicate human emotions and experiences, it has proven to be capable of writing average stories. Too many people consume media without a critical eye. As long as people as a whole start to care more about quality media, we should be fine.
0 0 Reply
Adria Donohue (נמוך) 3 months ago
Because at the current moment AI does not have to opacity to write a full length story without it being very repetitive and forgetting itself, and will only get worse as time goes on. Furthermore, an AI lacks the very human and unique emotion that a person can write into the story. I have tampered with the world of Artificial Intelligence before, and all the characters it portrays seem to be the same personality, like they've been copy and pasted. This is a problem AI struggles with that even humans suffer with, but humans are more able to fix this fatal error that can ruin a story.
0 0 Reply
Ele (Low) 4 months ago
As a writer myself, AI doesn't scare me because it lacks what writing and stories originally entail: experience. You can have a fantasy dystopia story written by ChatGPT, but it can never hold up to the bar human-made fantasy dystopian stories have set. Why? These stories contain human experiences, they contain a message that authors wish to convey, experiences authors wish to convey. It's the humanity that stories hold that make them loved by people. Any text-based AI can write a story, but will it ever hold the same impact to a story an actual person wrote? No, because AI hasn't experienced anything actual people have experienced. It only "sees" what people witness and puts it into its generation without second thought. The reason people consume stories is because they can relate to it, they learn something from it. I know AI helps breakdown and teach things we can't understand by piecing together information from the internet faster than we can, but for it to write a story? Fat chance. Writing is more than just fast money content (that, sadly, already is in today's times) it is a form of art that records experiences and messages that cannot be conveyed with straightforwardness. It is something that holds bits and pieces of humanity, of someone's memories, of messages that are so big that it can never fit in a simple sentence. No matter how many years it will take, AI can never catch up with how high the bar has been set when it comes to writing.
2 0 Reply
try (בלתי ברור) 4 months ago
the originality of writing would be the most difficult to program a bot to do.
0 0 Reply
Ray (נמוך) 4 months ago
Robots will never be able to copy real writers' creativity, although they could help you write a short essay for school, AI cannot do original and creative writing.
2 0 Reply
Human # 7,522,997,653 (נמוך) 4 months ago
I don't really think AI will take over writing. In my eyes, AI will never capture the thrilling, magical, real experience that humans can create.

Although they have a chance, AI can never reach the same level of imagination that we humans have when it comes to stories and fiction.

Though I have very little hope for humanity in the future, I still believe humans can change for the better.
3 0 Reply
R H DARNELL (נמוך) 5 months ago
Real writing uses creativity. AI is not creative, AI can only use what you input. It can rhyme, and write grammatically correct sentences, but it cannot convey emotion or elicit a response on a human level. I believe it could write a "good" outline, but not a good screenplay, much less a great book.
2 0 Reply
Pasi (אין סיכוי) 5 months ago
It depends on the author, but currently the AI simply can not write a good book.
1 0 Reply
Chris Ochs (מתונה) 7 months ago
News and nonfiction are high. Fantasy, sci-fi, horror novels far less so.
2 0 Reply
Dom (נמוך) 7 months ago
Creativity, novelty, capturing the social, invention.
2 0 Reply
Rebecca (נמוך) 7 months ago
Because robots tend to be predictable and writers need imagination and I don't see robots having that
2 0 Reply
Philip Whittebane (סביר להניח מאוד) 7 months ago
At least many blurb and screenwriting jobs could be automated. Although there would still be the requirement for some level of creativity
2 0 Reply
Tomoko Julius (אין סיכוי) 7 months ago
i doubt that any time soon the originality of the human touch will fade away with the coming in of AI. It simply cannot. PERIOD!!!
0 0 Reply
Mike (סביר להניח מאוד) 8 months ago
Highly only because ChatGPT is used for writing, and it can be used in story making
0 0 Reply
copper (אין סיכוי) 8 months ago
the robots simply lack the creativity of a good author like J.K.Rowling or Suzanne Collins.
0 0 Reply
Penguin (אין סיכוי) 8 months ago
Robots cannot have experiences. They just spit out a cacophony of random words with no care as to a message or logic or ethics.
0 0 Reply
M (נמוך) 10 months ago
In the United States, creative material developed by AI cannot be trademarked and therefore unprofitable.
0 0 Reply
David 5 months ago
To be fair, it's difficult to tell whether or not a text was written by AI, especially if the person who generated the prompt refactored the text.
0 0 Reply
Dakshay (מתונה) 11 months ago
If AI keeps improving, certainly studios will start using AI generated scripts to make movies/tv shows/ books. They will be garbage generic stuff in the beginning but at one point AI will certainly be able to write as well as a human. So writers working for studios will be in danger. But I think big established authors like Brandon Sanderson, have planned projects for decades later. And people will still buy their books because they love the stories. I think if you can cultivate a community of dedicated fans, you can definitely make a killing (or at least a livable income.)
Personally, I would hate to see the art of storytelling to be turned over to machines.
0 0 Reply

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