סופרים ומחברים

סיכון אוטומציה
מחושב
49%
רמת הסיכון
מִדְגֵּם
37%
מבוסס על 1,225 הצבעות
ביקוש עבודה
צמיחה
4.1%
עד השנה 2032
שכר
$ 73,150
או $ 35.17 לשעה
נפח
54,010
נכון ל- 2022
סיכום
ניקוד משרה
5.3/10

רוצים את הסיכום הזה באתר שלכם? הטמיעו את הקוד:

סיכון אוטומציה

49% (סיכון בינוני)

סיכון בינוני (41-60%): מקצועות עם סיכון בינוני לאוטומציה בדרך כלל כוללים משימות שגורתיות אך עדיין דורשים מערכת יחסים אנושית ושיקול דעת.

מידע נוסף על מהו הניקוד הזה, ואיך מחשבים אותו זמין כאן.

חלק מהתכונות החשובות מאוד של העבודה קשות לאוטומציה:

  • ייחודיות

  • שכנוע

  • תפיסה חברתית

Impact of Chat GPT on this occupation

We've received many comments and emails about Chat GPT and it's impact on this occupation. It's very impressive software, so people are understandably worried and/or excited.

However, something important to note with regards to the score we've calculated here, is that this occupation is comprised of many different types of job roles. Some examples of these include Advertising Writer, Blurb Writer, Copywriter and Screenwriter.

Some roles/tasks are more susceptible than other's to being automated by Chat GPT, but the score we've calculated is one that's an amalgamation of all of them.

Unfortunately, the source for our data (o*net) doesn't split this category up to the individual roles, so we can't calculate a score for each of them. If they do at some point in the future, we'll do the same, and generate scores accordingly.

Writing occupations aren't dead, but they are changing, so the best advice we can offer is to keep up to date with the latest developments, and use the tools available to your advantage.

סקר משתמשים

יש 37% אחוזי סיכוי לאוטומציה מלאה במהלך השניים העשורים הבאים

המבקרים שלנו הצביעו שיש סיכוי נמוך שהמקצוע הזה ימורה לאוטומציה. הערכה זו מקבלת תמיכה נוספת מהמפתח של סיכון האוטומציה שנחשב, שמעריך 49% סיכוי לאוטומציה.

מה לדעתך הסיכון של אוטומציה?

מה הסיכוי שסופרים ומחברים יוחלף על ידי רובוטים או אינטיליגנציה מלאכותית במהלך ה-20 השנים הבאות?






רגש

הגרף (או הגרפים) הבא מופיע בכל מקום שבו יש כמות משמעותית של הצבעות שמאפשרת יצירת נתונים משמעותיים. הייצוגים החזותיים הללו מציגים את תוצאות הסקרים של המשתמשים לאורך זמן, מספקים אינדיקציה משמעותית למגמות הרגשות.

רגשות לאורך זמן (רבעוני)

רגשות לאורך זמן (שנתי)

צמיחה

צמיחה מתונה לעומת מקצועות אחרים

מספר המשרות הפנויות בתחום 'Writers and Authors' צפוי לעלות 4.1% עד 2032

תעסוקה כוללת, ומשרות פנויות משוערות

* נתונים מלשכת הסטטיסטיקה לעבודה לתקופה בין 2021 ל-2031
עדכונים לתחזיות משוערות צפויים להתבצע 09-2023.

שכר

משולם היטב ביחס למקצועות אחרים

ב-2022, השכר השנתי החציוני עבור 'Writers and Authors' היה $ 73,150, או $ 35 לשעה

'Writers and Authors' קיבלו שכר שהיה גבוה 58.0% מאשר השכר החציוני הלאומי, שעמד על $ 46,310

שכר לאורך זמן

* נתונים מלשכת הסטטיסטיקה של העבודה

נפח

טווח בינוני של הזדמנויות עבודה בהשוואה למקצועות אחרים

נכון ל-2022 היו 54,010 אנשים שעסקו כ'Writers and Authors' בארצות הברית.

זה מייצג בערך < 0.001% מהכוח העובד ברחבי המדינה

במילים אחרות, כאחד מ-2 אלף אנשים מועסקים כ'Writers and Authors'.

תיאור המשרה

יצירה והכנה של חומרים מוכתבים, כמו תסריטים, סיפורים, פרסומות וחומרים אחרים.

SOC Code: 27-3043.00

משאבים

Will Chat GPT spell the end of blogging?

Here's a very informative video from Ricky Kesler from Income School about Chat GPT as it relates to blogging (and SEO). We think it contains great advice, and can be applied to all sorts of writing job roles, not just bloggers.

אם אתה חושב להתחיל קריירה חדשה, או מחפש לשנות משרות, יצרנו כלי חיפוש עבודה נוח שיכול לעזור לך למצוא את התפקיד החדש המושלם.

חפש משרות באזור המקומי שלך

תגובות

השאר תגובה

אומר Dom (נמוך)
Creativity, novelty, capturing the social, invention.
Apr 29, 2024 at 05:53 PM
אומר Rebecca (נמוך)
Because robots tend to be predictable and writers need imagination and I don't see robots having that
Apr 22, 2024 at 04:20 PM
אומר Philip Whittebane (סביר להניח מאוד)
At least many blurb and screenwriting jobs could be automated. Although there would still be the requirement for some level of creativity
Apr 19, 2024 at 10:07 PM
אומר Tomoko Julius (אין סיכוי)
i doubt that any time soon the originality of the human touch will fade away with the coming in of AI. It simply cannot. PERIOD!!!
Apr 11, 2024 at 09:29 AM
אומר Mike (סביר להניח מאוד)
Highly only because ChatGPT is used for writing, and it can be used in story making
Apr 09, 2024 at 08:13 AM
אומר copper (אין סיכוי)
the robots simply lack the creativity of a good author like J.K.Rowling or Suzanne Collins.
Mar 21, 2024 at 10:49 PM
אומר Penguin (אין סיכוי)
Robots cannot have experiences. They just spit out a cacophony of random words with no care as to a message or logic or ethics.
Mar 15, 2024 at 01:21 AM
אומר M (נמוך)
In the United States, creative material developed by AI cannot be trademarked and therefore unprofitable.
Jan 18, 2024 at 04:55 AM
אומר Dakshay (מתונה)
If AI keeps improving, certainly studios will start using AI generated scripts to make movies/tv shows/ books. They will be garbage generic stuff in the beginning but at one point AI will certainly be able to write as well as a human. So writers working for studios will be in danger. But I think big established authors like Brandon Sanderson, have planned projects for decades later. And people will still buy their books because they love the stories. I think if you can cultivate a community of dedicated fans, you can definitely make a killing (or at least a livable income.)
Personally, I would hate to see the art of storytelling to be turned over to machines.
Jan 07, 2024 at 09:23 AM
אומר Tom P (נמוך)
The creativity of a human cannot be replicated by robots, at least for many decades. It is so complex that we don't even understand it. However, I believe robots could potentially take over short-form content without many underlying creative choices.
Sep 01, 2023 at 05:17 AM
אומר d (אין סיכוי)
If you believe that people engage with writers purely because it's "content", I must inform you that this job would have already been eliminated a long, long time ago simply by SEO.

ChatGPT is not going to write things that people care about. This isn't because chatgpt is a bad writer - it's because people primarily consume written content because of the person behind it. Since the dawn of the internet, and even before, there have been an infinite number of takes, a vast supply of content. Yet, somehow, people still pay for newspapers, and substacks, and books, and all sorts of things that are seemingly available for free with just a Google search. It's because of the particulars of that person's perspective, not just "story good" or "take good."

There are already far more failed writers than successful ones, and far more failed "in the style of" works than actual successful works. What AI will do is simply raise the stakes for what it takes to be a successful writer or author, since it establishes a baseline commodity. However, that baseline is already very, very high.
Aug 23, 2023 at 08:13 AM
אומר maushri deb (אין סיכוי)
Being a writer human touch is very important.
Aug 08, 2023 at 06:22 PM
אומר Monty O’Brien (אין סיכוי)
Good novels are novel.
May 08, 2023 at 09:09 PM
אומר yokoso (סביר להניח מאוד)
it's already done for web writing, copywriting with chat gtp, bard and many other. AI can generate more and more accurate and imaginative stories, facts and a style of writing proper to an author. it's possible to train AI to seems more and more human without inconsistencies in the stories.
it's not gonna replace real writers yet but it is coming like winter.
Mar 06, 2023 at 09:25 AM
אומר Jay. (סביר להניח מאוד)
AI wil only get better here on out. With the push a button or voice command it will generate content that is not only factual but fitting in style and emotions for the target audience. Humans will merely check over the work. But the brunt of the work will be produced by AI.
Feb 20, 2023 at 05:12 AM
אומר Blue Balled Media (מתונה)
ChatGPT and services like it are rising, I don't think writers will be completely replaced by automation. It depends on the type of writing, I think the Human element will still be vital for storytelling, and wisdom.
Humans are still the best storytellers.
Jan 25, 2023 at 04:45 PM
אומר Andrei (סביר להניח מאוד)
Chatgpt is better than most authours on the planet right now.
Jan 20, 2023 at 09:01 PM
אומר Writer (מתונה)
It's difficult to say. As an author myself I deeply hope that human writers continue to flourish. It is clear that through AI the number of stories on the market will rise. The market will become saturated with average stories and the need to differentiate ourselves through our writing quality and our human brand will become ever more important.

Personally I went into this field because I absolutely thought I could write better than the average book, and that the "cream will rise to the top". I still believe this is true.

Where I get worried is if AI can learn to write fiction really well. Can an AI in 10 years learn beyond what it is taught (fed average books) and create amazing stories? That's what really scares me.

Will people want to read a story written by an AI or will people want to read stories written by humans? There's an element of detachment when reading AI writing and the uncanny valley effect might take hold when we read an AI trying to present human emotions through character. We will know - whoever put those words down did not understand them and they will have less meaning. Or will they? If they make sense they make sense. If it has emotional impact it has emotional impact - even if that was replicated through pulp learning and mastered through engagement scores.

Scary times to be a writer - to have any job. But this was always my dream and so I know deep down there's no chance I'll give up on it. Even if I can only build two thousand loyal readers, that is enough to make a living, and I'll do that through being very very human and marketing myself face first.
Jan 16, 2023 at 05:13 AM
אומר Lola (Likely) (מתונה)
Chat bots are getting crafty. Obviously they can’t replicate an original human’s true emotional journey, but for most things, such as instructional packets, robots may be preferred since they’re cheaper, less prone to mistakes, and won’t quit suddenly.
Jan 05, 2023 at 01:37 AM
אומר Nil (סביר להניח מאוד)
Copy.ai website already writes blog posts in seconds. This field is already lost.
Dec 12, 2022 at 12:58 PM
אומר Ariel
Not really I believe authors are still out there writing for us.
Aug 08, 2023 at 01:01 AM

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