מתכנתי מחשבים

70% (סיכון גבוה)

סיכון גבוה (61-80%): משרות בקטגוריה זו נמצאות תחת איום משמעותי מאוטומציה, שכן רבים מהמשימות שלהם ניתנות לאוטומציה קלה באמצעות טכנולוגיות נוכחיות או קרובות לעתיד.

מידע נוסף על מהו הניקוד הזה, ואיך מחשבים אותו זמין כאן.

סקר משתמשים

רגש

הגרף הבא כלול בכל מקום שבו יש כמות משמעותית של הצבעות כדי להציג נתונים משמעותיים. ייצוגים חזותיים אלה מציגים את תוצאות הסקרים של המשתמשים לאורך זמן, ומספקים אינדיקציה משמעותית למגמות הרגש.

שכר

משולם מאוד גבוה ביחס למקצועות אחרים

ב-2023, השכר השנתי החציוני עבור 'Computer Programmers' היה 99,700 $, או 47 $ לשעה

'Computer Programmers' קיבלו שכר שהיה גבוה 107.4% מאשר השכר החציוני הלאומי, שעמד על 48,060 $

שכר לאורך זמן

תגובות

Leave a comment

Shadencus (נמוך) 22 days ago

Because programming good maintainable code requires understanding the greater project structure and deciding whats important and whats isn't. Also many programming problems require unique solutions, that may be similiar to each other but fundmentally different.
So its pretty hard to train an ai that can be adapted to every it infrastrcuture. It also is a risk since it would mean giving ai access to 100% of the system, which is a concerning security risk.
One day there may be an ai that can do that, but even then it will require programmers that maintain the ai and check/test code that it wrote since someone will need to take responsbility for what the ai does. And since i cant even gurantee my own code to work at all times in different cases, I sure as hell wont take responbility for some ai code no matter how good the ai is

0 1 Reply

Jim C. 15 days ago

They don't care about code quality. If it works, it's good enough. Look at the video game industry. They release broken crap and fix it later. All companies have switched to Unreal to save money and have a replaceable talent pool. All unique / groundup solutions are going to disappear.

PR review is getting handled by AI now. Gemini, Copilot, and CodeRabbit are taking over.

Security has always been weak. They just force 2 factor and call it a day. Look at the NPM supply attacks because one guy took the bait on an email.

0 1 Reply

Aleksander 23 days ago

After reading some of the comments. Here is my take on it. AI can give you a doctor diagnosis based pictures and laboratory samples. That diagnosis can be correct and human doctor can make a mistake and give the wrong diagnosis based on the same case. But ... AI can never replace human doctors not now not in the following 20 years. Programmers are in the same fold.

0 1 Reply

Sinus46 (נמוך) 1 month ago

AI cannot create new content outside of the data it was trained on. There is no way that an AI can write an entire new computer program without first looking at actual programs written by humans

1 2 Reply

Francesco Giovannini (נמוך) 1 month ago

Contrary to popular belief, the work of a quality programmer is very creative and is not easily replaceable by automated processes.

2 1 Reply

Mark Orsted (נמוך) 2 months ago

I think that we cannot trust software to understand the human experience. I use agentic and non-agentic AI to help code now, after 30 years doing this, and it's primary benefit is saving me from typing a lot of code that I know how to write, and can confirm is written properly, or correct as needed. The "correct as needed" factor is VERY high still.

3 3 Reply

Dev (מתונה) 2 months ago

AI adds another attack surface to software development companies

1 1 Reply

Titus (סביר להניח מאוד) 3 months ago

Once A.I. overtakes human intelligence it will write billions of lines of code error free with simple prompts from any person wanting a digital product. Why would any company need overpaid, error prone people at that point. Learn a trade quickly programmers!

1 14 Reply

Jim 2 months ago

AI is not intelligent at all. It uses basic pattern matching and heuristics. That is why it needs massive amounts of training data, most of which is created by companies. This has big limitations and second order effects like how AI will be biased according to data (Facial recognition software labels black people gorillas, etc, grok with neo-nazi views).

1 2 Reply

Swayam Bhowmick (סביר להניח מאוד) 3 months ago

Everyone who's commenting and judging is basing their judgment on the current state of things. But, the current state is rapidly evolving, and most people are failing to account for the trajectory that the progress of AI is taking. 2 years ago, we were laughing at AI-generated videos of Will Smith eating spaghetti; today, the realism sends shivers down our spines. 2 years ago, AI generated broken code, now, it's capabale of somewhat functional code, replacing junior devs entirely.

Please take into account the trajectory of progress rather than the current state of things.

7 4 Reply

Ab (סביר להניח מאוד) 3 months ago

It does not require any physical interaction with the real world

1 11 Reply

Habs (בלתי ברור) 3 months ago

Software development includes understanding requirements and talking to customers (who do not know what they want). My job will be heavily automated but not yet to be fully replaced by AI.

2 3 Reply

Name (נמוך) 4 months ago

AIs kind of suck at programming and logic they always add more bugs into my code

11 5 Reply

A 3 months ago

Currently. What about in 10 years though

9 2 Reply

John 4 months ago

Just as a few other professions, I’d say it would simply be limited to reducing unspecialized, entry-level positions. Those who find a niche would find that programming with chatbots are like lugging a junior dev that doesn’t learn around.

1 1 Reply

Everyone’s in denial 4 months ago

I am not saying I support the automation of everything, it’s just that in reality no one is safe as it accelerates. This is not just an assistant, nor just a displacement of humans, it is the complete replacement of the human mind. Pandora’s box was opened, now we have no idea if we will enter dystopia or utopia...

9 7 Reply

Jordan 3 months ago

No it is not. LLM's don't replicate how human brains work at all.

4 3 Reply

Tony B (נמוך) 5 months ago

AI has so far been good for created standard well known solutions. It is not good at all at understanding large amounts of existing code.

7 4 Reply

Jersey Jim 4 months ago

Getting better every week. MCP. Augment Code. LLM rules.

2 2 Reply

Shadencus 22 days ago

Doesn't matter since it not only needs to understand the code but also the tech stack(Azure, Django, bamboo, etc.) which runs the code and even if you train your ai for that, that its only useful for the code in that specific environment. And I dont even want to start about security risks

0 1 Reply

Mu (נמוך) 5 months ago

They will be reduced but not entirely replaced. This can be in ai research to improve the programming or new novel types of Research

1 3 Reply

Jacob (נמוך) 5 months ago

It will change a sofware engineer is still going to be required to check the code. You aren't going to want this to automated that's crazy.

5 1 Reply

Timothy (מתונה) 5 months ago

"For example, tasks or task components that appeal to capacities in which AI systems excel, will have to be less (or less fully) mastered by people, so that less training will probably be required. AI systems are already much better than people at logically and arithmetically correct gathering (selecting) and processing (weighing, prioritizing, analyzing, combining) large amounts of data. They do this quickly, accurately and reliably. They are also more stable (consistent) than humans, have no stress and emotions and have a great perseverance and a much better retention of knowledge and skills than people. As a machine, they serve people completely and without any “self-interest” or “own hidden agenda.”"

0 1 Reply

Michał (סביר להניח מאוד) 6 months ago

Without knowing programming at this point you can easily write a good program with the help of AI. I completely agree that this work can be automated.

1 10 Reply

Jordan 3 months ago

There's a serious difference between it works and it works correctly. Without understanding the code and testing it, all you've done is make a polished turd.

2 1 Reply

TAmzid2872 (בלתי ברור) 6 months ago

Programming isnt just about writing code, its about problem solving

12 1 Reply

Sven H. (סביר להניח מאוד) 6 months ago

AI can already code extremely well; there will be no need for human programmers in the future.

1 9 Reply