Taxi Drivers and Chauffeurs


Will "Taxi Drivers and Chauffeurs" be replaced by AI & Robots?

It's highly likely this occupation will be replaced by robots/AI. This is further validated by our poll, which suggests a 85% chance of automation within the next 2 decades.

Automation Risk Level

Robots are watching

or 89% probability of automation

Projected Growth


by 2024

People Employed


as of 2018

Median Annual Wage


or $12.49 hourly

Most likely
Least likely

How this compares with other jobs: 532 out of 707

Cast Your Vote

How likely do you think this occupation will be taken over by robots/AI within the next 20 years?

People Employed (US)

Median Annual Wage (US)

Job description

Drive automobiles, vans, or limousines to transport passengers. May occasionally carry cargo. Includes hearse drivers.

SOC Code: 53-3041

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Sofia (Likely) says
Even though robots will be capable of doing this, I am not sure people will trust them enough
Sep 14, 2020 at 06:21 PM
Martin (Highly likely) says
I think it's very possible
Jun 28, 2020 at 11:22 AM
Jude (Highly likely) says
Very easy to automate and will save transport companies a lot of money.
Jun 22, 2020 at 10:26 AM
Bob Chan Chun Wai (Could go either way) says
May not totally replace as, may start off with slow lane vehicle in remote area. May take a longer time maybe 3 decade before the infrastructure are fully ready due to a lot of on going disruption like pandemic and other crisis along the way.
Jun 05, 2020 at 11:33 AM
Fredrick Neumann (Likely) says
I believe that with the further development of self driving cars and a less and less chance of crashes, autonomous driving is going to over take conventional taxis and ubers.
May 26, 2020 at 04:38 PM
A person (Highly likely) says
Autonomous driving technology is almost here already. It's almost always faster and more efficient. I think that cars moving in highly calculated ways (more like ants than human drivers, seriously) would be a big step up for our society as a whole.
Apr 05, 2020 at 04:56 PM
Walter H (Highly likely) says
Trucks and cars that can drive themselves are already being created. You are basically doomed in this profession. It’s time to look elsewhere!
Mar 24, 2020 at 01:47 AM
Noah R says
I think 99% of this occupation will go but I could still see it being a novelty type thing for limo drivers just like we still have people who drive horse carriages
Feb 20, 2020 at 06:27 PM
JC (No chance) says
Self driving cars have a long way to go.
Jan 23, 2020 at 11:00 PM
Ath (Highly likely) says
They may have a long way but it is *highly likely*
Aug 02, 2020 at 06:07 AM
kacper (Likely) says
because its easy for robots
Dec 12, 2019 at 07:02 AM
Usman Ahmed (Likely) says
They will be replaced by self driving cars such as Tesla in the near future which is already capable of driving without a human inside of it. On the other hand there will still be a job for engineers who will have to update and repair these vehicles because humans will always be seeking more knowledge as they have been continuously doing so since the first human being was created.
Sep 27, 2019 at 10:14 AM
Jesus says
Teslas aren't capable to drive without a human. It even says it in the users manual. Its not a level 5 car. Its really hard to make an autonomous car 100% safe in crowded cities. Just watch some videos on youtube and learn. Its not hard to make a car go between white lines and automatically brake and keep safe distance to another car in-front. But in many situations drivers needs to take over.
Dec 22, 2019 at 07:42 PM
Terrence (Likely) says
It is likely, algorithms are being created as of now for automated Uber driving cars and self driving planes.
Sep 24, 2019 at 08:15 AM
Mark (Could go either way) says
Humans may still want other people to do this work for many reasons - it's worth remembering that Autos are essentially computers whose routes can be hacked into the woods
Aug 03, 2019 at 11:17 AM
Mende says
Doubt it. The amount of lives self-driving would save is definitely way more than the amount that will be "hacked".
Aug 20, 2019 at 04:33 PM
Joe Smith says
This is not a serious study. Waiters and waitress have 97% rate to be automated in the next two decades (more than taxi drivers), but taxi drivers has less than that rate when in fact self-driving cars are yet invented. It not makes sense.
Jul 16, 2019 at 08:18 PM
Nico Cione (Highly likely) says
Because it will be highly likely.
Jul 03, 2019 at 12:25 AM
Tyler (Highly likely) says
Automation is imminent. The 'problem' of who to hit isn't a problem at all, because the system will not put itself in a situation where that choice ever comes about. They definitely won't program logic in to 'solve' a problem that doesn't exist.
May 31, 2019 at 07:00 PM
jack (Highly likely) says
Don't be delusional, there are already self driving taxis in california and other big cities, it's only a matter of time, at longest 5 years
May 30, 2019 at 07:14 PM
Otavio Souza (Likely) says
For the future, automakers are thinking of vehicles as a service. The trend is to have more chauffeurs for ride sharing services, such as Uber, and automakers will want a slice of the car sharing market. Self-driving cars are an expensive technology and not many people can afford it.
May 21, 2019 at 05:18 PM
Nani (Small chance) says
Once they solve the ethics questions for self-driving cars, then sure. For example, if the car is forced to swerve, should it hit a car or a cyclist? Then who is responsible? Until then, humans drivers are here to stay.
May 15, 2019 at 07:27 AM
Sophia (Highly likely) says
Technology is safer and more efficient
Apr 12, 2019 at 06:14 AM
Joe (Highly likely) says
There are already self-driving cars. Add some form of system to recognize potential passengers and a way for them to pay and you have an AI taxi driver
Apr 04, 2019 at 03:21 PM
Baba Booey says
Johnny cab from Total Recall. It will run you over if you don't pay.
Oct 07, 2019 at 05:48 PM
maddie says
what does that mean
Jun 15, 2020 at 03:46 AM
big man says
ill run you over with my road train Johnny cab!!!!!
Jun 15, 2020 at 04:09 AM

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